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A Study on the Evaluation of Arctic Policy Priorities Using the CFPR Method-Focused on Policy of the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries

CFPR법을 활용한 북극정책 우선순위 평가에 관한 연구 -해양수산부 정책을 중심으로

  • Choi, Su-Beom (Graduate School of Logistics, Incheon National University) ;
  • Park, Sung-Hoon (Graduate School of Logistics, Incheon National University) ;
  • Kim, Dong-Myoung (Graduate School of Logistics, Incheon National University) ;
  • Lee, Hae-Chan (Graduate School of Logistics, Incheon National University) ;
  • Yeo, Gi-Tae (Graduate School of Logistics, Incheon National University)
  • 최수범 (인천대학교 동북아물류대학원) ;
  • 박성훈 (인천대학교 동북아물류대학원) ;
  • 김동명 (인천대학교 동북아물류대학원) ;
  • 이해찬 (인천대학교 동북아물류대학원) ;
  • 여기태 (인천대학교 동북아물류대학원)
  • Received : 2020.03.03
  • Accepted : 2020.04.20
  • Published : 2020.06.30

Abstract

In the case of government policies related to the Arctic Ocean, there is a "Northern Sea activity promotion basic plan" presented by the Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries, but it is difficult to adjust the timing of the policy enforcement and consider the importance of policies because no concrete order of enforcement of policies or weight has been presented by the government. In view of this, the purpose of this study was to estimate the priorities of the government's Arctic policies. Additionally, this study also presents priorities for "support measures" and "foreign cooperation measures" for the smooth implementation of Arctic policies. As for the methodology of this study, the CFPR (Consistent Fuzzy P reference Relations) method, which can comprehensively estimate expert opinions, was applied. According to the results of the analysis, the most important Arctic policy of the government was shown to be "Cooperation for Shipping and Logistics, such as Pioneering Northern Sea Routes" (0.087), followed by "Fostering Professional Manpower" (0.086), and "P reparing Institutional Foundation and Blueprint" (0.085). The results of this study have implications for the establishment of Arctic Ocean-related policies by policymakers as well as authorities.

북극해 관련 정부정책의 경우 해양수산부에서 제시된 "북극활동 진흥 기본계획"이 있으나, 구체적인 정책 집행의 순위 및 가중치 등이 제시되어 있지 않아 정책집행의 시기조절 및 경중을 고려하기에 어려움이 있다. 이러한 측면에서 본 연구에서는 정부에서 제시한 북극정책의 우선순위를 평가하는 것을 연구의 목적으로 하였다. 또한 북극정책의 원활한 수행을 위한 "지원방안" 및 "대외협력 방안"에 대해서도 우선순위를 제시하였다. 연구의 방법론은 전문가 의견을 종합적으로 평가할 수 있는 CFPR(Consistent Fuzzy Preference Relations) 방법을 활용하였다. 분석결과 해양수산부의 가장 중요한 북극정책은 '북극항로 개척 등 해운물류 협력'(0.087)이며, '전문인력 양성'(0.086), '제도적 기반 및 청사진 마련'(0.085) 순으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 북극해 관련 정책입안자 혹은 당국의 정책수립에 시사점을 제공할 수 있다.

Keywords

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