• Title/Summary/Keyword: hydrological curve

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Bivariate regional frequency analysis of extreme rainfalls in Korea (이변량 지역빈도해석을 이용한 우리나라 극한 강우 분석)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Jeong, Changsam;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.9
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    • pp.747-759
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    • 2018
  • Multivariate regional frequency analysis has advantages of regional and multivariate framework as adopting a large number of regional dataset and modeling phenomena that cannot be considered in the univariate frequency analysis. To the best of our knowledge, the multivariate regional frequency analysis has not been employed for hydrological variables in South Korea. Applicability of the multivariate regional frequency analysis should be investigated for the hydrological variable in South Korea in order to improve our capacity to model the hydrological variables. The current study focused on estimating parameters of regional copula and regional marginal models, selecting the most appropriate distribution models, and estimating regional multivariate growth curve in the multivariate regional frequency analysis. Annual maximum rainfall and duration data observed at 71 stations were used for the analysis. The results of the current study indicate that Frank and Gumbel copula models were selected as the most appropriate regional copula models for the employed regions. Several distributions, e.g. Gumbel and log-normal, were the representative regional marginal models. Based on relative root mean square error of the quantile growth curves, the multivariate regional frequency analysis provided more stable and accurate quantiles than the multivariate at-site frequency analysis, especially for long return periods. Application of regional frequency analysis in bivariate rainfall-duration analysis can provide more stable quantile estimation for hydraulic infrastructure design criteria and accurate modelling of rainfall-duration relationship.

A Study on Estimation of the Delivery Ratio by Flow Duration in a Small-Scale Test Bed for Managing TMDL in Nakdong River (낙동강수계 수질오염총량관리를 위한 시범소유역 유황별 유달율 산정방법 연구)

  • Shon, Tae-Seok;Park, Jae-Bum;Shin, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.792-802
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is to construct the watershed management system with link of the non-point sources model and to estimate delivery ratio duration curves for various pollutants. For the total water pollution load management system, non-point source model should be performed with the study of the characteristic about non-point sources and loadings of non-point source and the allotment of pollutant in each area. In this study, daily flow rates and delivered pollutant loads of Nakdong river basin are simulated with modified TANK model and minimum variance unbiased estimator and SWAT model. Based on the simulation results, flow duration curves, load duration curves, and delivery ratio duration curves have been established. Then GIS analysis is performed to obtain several hydrological geomorphic characteristics such as watershed area, stream length, watershed slope and runoff curve number. As a result, the SWAT simulation results show good agreements in terms of discharge, BOD, TN, TP but for more exact simulation should be kept studying about variables and parameters which are needed for simulation. And as a result of the characteristic discharges, pollutants loading with the runoff and delivery ratios, non-point sources effects were higher than point sources effects in the small-scale test bed of Nakdong river basin.

Development of Regional Regression Model for Estimating Flow Duration Curves in Ungauged Basins (미계측 유역의 유황곡선 산정을 위한 지역회귀모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Tae Hee;Lee, Min Ho;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.427-437
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to develop the regional regression models based on the physiographical and climatological characteristics for estimating flow duration curve (FDC) in ungauged bsisns. To this end, the lower sections with duration from 185 to 355 days of FDCs were constructed from the 16 gauged streamflow data, which were fitted to the two-parameter logarithmic type regression equation. Then, the parameters of the equation were regionalized using the basin characteristics such as basin area, basin slope, drainage density, mean annual precipitation, mean annual streamflow, runoff curve number in order that the proposed regression model can be used for ungauged basin. From the comparison of the estimated by the regional regression model with the observed ones, the model with the combination of basin area, runoff curve number, mean annual precipitation showed the best performance.

A Study on the Selection of AMC of Curve Number (유출곡선지수의 선행토양함수조건 선정 기준 연구)

  • Kim, Jee-Sang;Ahn, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.519-535
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    • 2012
  • In order to establish a rainfall-runoff model, calibration of hydrological parameters for the model is very important. Especially, Curve Number(CN), estimated by NRCS method, is a main factor to apply unit hydrograph theory to calculation of peak discharge. For using NRCS method, it is needed selecting AMC because CN is strongly connected with that. In this study, we focus our concern on finding a applicable standard for selecting AMC for CN. For this, three dams which are Boryeong, Habchon, Namgang are selected as target basins to use observed data including rainfall and dam inflow. As a result of this research, it is found that CN must be included as a calibrated parameter to calculate effective rainfall for the rainfall-runoff model. Also, it is preferred to use PWRMSE of HEC-HMS program as a objective function for optimizing hydrological parameters. From the analyzing result of variation of AMC for peak discharge, it is recommended to apply AMC-III to estimation of CN for calculating effective rainfall of design hydrograph.

Development of Drought Index based on Streamflow for Monitoring Hydrological Drought (수문학적 가뭄감시를 위한 하천유량 기반 가뭄지수 개발)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kim, Jeong-Yup;Moon, Jang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.669-680
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    • 2017
  • This study evaluated the consistency of the standard flow to forecast low-flow based on various drought indices. The data used in this study were streamflow data at the Gurye2 station located in the Seomjin River and the Angang station located in the Hyeongsan River, as well as rainfall data of nearby weather stations (Namwon and Pohang). Using streamflow data, the streamflow accumulation drought index (SADI) was developed in this study to represent the hydrological drought condition. For SADI calculations, the threshold of drought was determined by a Change-Point analysis of the flow pattern and a reduction factor was estimated based on the kernel density function. Standardized runoff index (SRI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were also calculated to compared with the SADI. SRI and SPI were calculated for the 30-, 90-, 180-, and 270-day period and then an ROC curve analysis was performed to determine the appropriate time-period which has the highest consistency with the standard flow. The result of ROC curve analysis indicated that for the Seomjin River-Gurye2 station SADI_C3, SRI30, SADI_C1, SADI_C2, and SPI90 were confirmed in oder of having high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage and for the Hyeongsan River-Angang station, SADI_C3, SADI_C1, SPI270, SRI30, and SADI_C2 have order of high consistency with standard flow under the attention stage.

Regionalization of CN values at Imha Watershed with SCE-UA (최적화 기법을 이용한 임하호유역 대표 CN값 추정)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Kim, Tae-Dong;Choi, Dong-Hyuk
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2011
  • Curve Numbers (CN) for the combination of land use and hydrologic soil group were regionalized at Imha Watershed using Long-term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) coupled with SCE-UA. The L-THIA was calibrated during 1991-2000 and validated during 2001-2007 using monthly observed direct runoff data. The Nash-Sutcliffe (NS) coefficients for calibration and validation were 0.91 and 0.93, respectively, and showed high model efficiency. Based on the criteria of model calibration, both calibration and validation represented 'very good' fit with observe data. The spatial distribution of direct surface runoff by L-THIA represented runoff from Thiessen pologen at Subi and Sukbo rain gage station much higher than other area due to the combination of poor hydrologic condition (hydrologic soil C and D group) and locality heavy rainfall. As a results of hydrologic condition and treatment for land use type based on calibrated CNs, forest is recommended to be hydrologically modelled dived into deciduous, coniferous, and mixed forest due to the hydrological difference. The CNs for forest and upland showed the poor hydrologic condition. The steep slope of forest and alpine agricultural field make high runoff rate which is the poor hydrologic condition because CN method can not consider field slope. L-THIA linded with SCE-UA could generated a regionalized CNs for land use type with minimized time and effort, and maximized model's accuracy.

APPLICATION OF QUICKBIRD SATELLITE IMAGE TO STORM RUNOFF MODELLING

  • Kim, Sang-Ho;Lee, Mi-Seon;Park, Geun-Ae;Hong, Suk-Young;Choi, Chul-Uong;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.602-605
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    • 2006
  • This study is to apply QuickBird satellite image for the simulation of storm runoff in a small rural watershed. For a 1.05 $km^2$ watershed located in Goesan-Gun of Chungbuk Province, the land use from the QuickBird image was produced by on-screening digitising after ortho-rectifying using 2 m DEM. For 3 cases of land use, soil and elevation scale (1:5,000, 1:25,000 and 1:50,000), SCS (Soil Conservation Service)-CN (Curve Number) and the watershed physical parameters were prepared for the storm runoff model, HEC-HMS (Hydrological Modelling System). The model was evaluated for each case and compared the simulated results with couple of selected storm events.

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Watershed Modeling Application for Receiving Water Quality Management in Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역의 수질관리를 위한 유역모델링 적용 연구)

  • Jang, Jae-Ho;Ahn, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.409-417
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    • 2012
  • SWAT model was applied for the Nakdong River Basin to characterize water quality variability and assess the feasibility of using the load duration curve to water quality management. The basin was divided into 67 sub-basins considering various watershed environment, and rainfall runoff and pollutant loading were simulated based on 6 year measurements of meteo-hydrological data, discharge data of treatment plants, and water quality data (SS, T-N and T-P). The results demonstrate that non-point source loads during wet season increase by 80 ~ 95% of total loads. Although the rate of water flow governs the amount of SS that is transported to the main streams, nutrient concentrations are highly elevated during dry season by being concentrated. This phenomenon is more pronounced in the lower basin, receiving large amounts of urban point source discharges such as treated sewages. Also, the load duration curves (LDC) demonstrate dominant source problems based on the load exceedances, showing that SS concentrations are associated with the rainy season and nutrients, such as T-P, may be more concentrated at low flow and more diluted at higher flow. Overall, the LDC method could be used conveniently to assess watershed characteristics and pollutant loads in watershed scale.

Analysis of Hydrological Impact by Typhoon RUSA using Landsat Images and Hydrological Model (Landsat영상과 수문모형을 이용한 태풍 RUSA에 의한 수문영향 분석)

  • Lee, Mi-Seon;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.5 s.154
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    • pp.391-399
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate hydrological impact by the land cover change of typhoon damage. For the typhoon RUSA (rainfall 1,402 mm) occurred in 2002 (August $31\;{\sim}$ September 1), satellite images of Landsat 7 ETM+ of September 29, 2000 and Landsat 5 TM of September 11, 2002 were selected, and each land cover was classified for Namdae-cheon watershed $192.7km^2$ located in the middle-eastern part of Korea Peninsula. SCS unit hydrograph for watershed runoff and Muskingum for streamflow routing of WMS HEC-1 was adopted. 30m resolution DEM & hydrological soil group using 1:50,000 soil map were prepared. The model was calibrated using three available data of storm events of 1985 to 1988 based on 1985 land cover condition. To predict the streamflow change by damaged land cover condition, rainfall of 50 years to 500 years frequency were generated using 2nd quantile of Huff method. The damaged land cover condition treated as bare soil surface increased streamflow of $50.1\;m^3/sec$ for 50 years rainfall frequency and $67.6\;m^3/sec$ for 500 years rainfall frequency based on AMC-I condition. There may be some speedy treatment by the government for the next coming typhoon damage.

An analysis of runoff characteristic by using soil moisture in Sulma basin (설마천 연구지역에서의 토양수분량을 활용한 유출 발생 특성분석)

  • Kim, Kiyoung;Lee, Yongjun;Jung, Sungwon;Lee, Yeongil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.615-626
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    • 2019
  • Soil moisture and runoff have very close relationship. Especially the water retention capacity and drainage characteristics of the soil are determined by various factors of the soil. In this study, a total of 40 rainfall events were identified from the entire rainfall events of Sulma basin in 2016 and 2017. For each selected events, the constant-K method was used to separate direct runoff and baseflow from total flow and calculate the runoff coefficient which shows positive exponential curve with Antecedent Soil Moisture (ASM). In addition to that, the threshold of soil moisture was determined at the point where the runoff coefficient starts increasing dramatically. The threshold of soil moisture shows great correlation with runoff and depth to water table. It was founded that not only ASM but also various factors, such as Initial Soil Moisture (ISM), storage capacity of soil and precipitation, affect the results of runoff response. Furthermore, wet condition and dry condition are separated by ASM threshold and the start and peak response are analyzed. And the results show that the response under wet condition occurred more quickly than that of dry condition. In most events occurred in dry condition, factors reached peak in order of soil moisture, depth to water table and runoff. However, in wet condition, they reached peak in order of depth to water table, runoff and soil moisture. These results will help identify the interaction among factors which affect the runoff, and it will help establish the relationship between various soil conditions and runoff.