• Title/Summary/Keyword: hydrologic persistence

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A study on the stochastic generation of annual runoff (연유출량의 추계학적 모의발생에 관한 연구)

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 1995
  • This study was conducted to get best fitting frequency distribution for the annual run- off and to simulate long series of annual flows by single-season first order Markov Model with comparison of statistical parameters which were derived from observed and synthetic flows at four watersheds in Seom Jin and Yeong San river systems. The results summarized through this study are as follows. 1. Hydrologic persistence of observed flows was acknowledged by the correlogram analysis. 2. A normal distribution of the annual runoff for the applied watersheds was confirmed as the best one among others by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. 3. Statistical parameters were calculated from synthetic flows simulated by normal dis- tribution. In was confirmed that mean and standard deviation of simulated flows are much closer to those of observed data than except coefficient of skewness. 4. Hydrologic persistence between observed flows and synthetic flows simulated was also confirmed by the correlogram analysis. 5. It is to be desired that generation technique of synthetic flow in this study would be compared with other simulation techniques for the objective time series.

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The Characteristics of Drinking Groundwater Quality in Chung Cheong Nam Do (충청남도 음용지하수 수질의 특성)

  • 김흥락;한운수;박혜숙
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.721-727
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    • 2002
  • The characteristics of drinking groundwater quality at Chung Cheong Nam Do was analyzed by investigating the 3,086 groundwater data which were carried out the water quality inspection from Jan. 1998 to Dec. 1998. It was found that all the mean concentration of items was not over the drinking water quality standard except Zn at Yeongee area. The highest mean concentration of nitrate was $8.2 mg/{\ell}$ at Hongsung area. And the mean concentrations of nitrate and ammonium at Sucheon, Yesan, Yeongee were relatively higher. It was considered that the groundwater of that area was contaminated by breeding livestock as farm pollutants. The mean concentrations of chloride, hardness and evaporation residual at coastal regions were higher than inland regions. Especially the mean concentration of chloride was 2.5 times higher. It was considered that the groundwater at coastal regions was affected by seawater. It was found that the correlation between Fe and Mn was relatively high(r=0.776) and the correlation between hardness and evaporation residual was very high(r=0.983). The rainfall series and detection rate of E-coli had the hydrologic persistence. The correlation between the detection rate and rainfall series over 150 mm was very high (r=0.9146). Therefore it is surely required to control the groundwater sanitation in the rainy season.

Improved method of the conventional flow duration curve by using daily mode discharges (일 최빈유량을 이용한 유황곡선 개선방안)

  • Park, Tae Sun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2021
  • The conventional Flow Duration Curve has limitations that it does not consider hydrologic persistence of daily discharge, that the daily discharge is greatly affected by the maximums or minimums, and that the date of occurrence and duration of a specific discharge cannot be known. In this study, we propose a Daily Mode Discharge Curve, which consists of aligning the daily discharge each year by the date of occurrence, calculating the daily mode discharge, and averaging them every 5 days. As a result of reviewing the long-term observational daily discharge data at 8 points upstream and downstream of the mainstream of the 4 major rivers in Korea, it was found that the daily discharge at all points shows hydrological persistence, and the distortion of it was alleviated by using Daily Mode Discharge Curve. We also suggest that the Daily Mode Discharge Curve is useful for utilizing reference discharge such as Drought, Low, Normal, Plentiful, and Flood Discharge.

Influence of Snow Accumulation and Snowmelt Using NWS-PC Model in Rainfall-runoff Simulation (NWS-PC 모형을 이용한 강우-유출 모의에서 적설 및 융설 영향)

  • Kang, Shin Uk;Rieu, Seung Yup
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • The impact of snow accumulation and snowmelt in rainfall-runoff modelling was analyzed for the Soyanggang dam basin by comparing the measured and simulated discharges simulated by the NWS-PC model. Sugawara's conceptual model was used to simulate the snow accumulation and snowmelt phenomena and NWS-PC model was employed to simulate rainfall-runoff. Parameters in model calibration were estimated by the Multi-step Automated Calibration Scheme and optimized using SCE-UA algorithm in each step. The results of the model calibration and verification show that the model considering snowmelt process is better than the one without consideration of snowmelt under the performance criteria such as RMSE, PBIAS, NSE, and PME. The measured discharge time series has over 60 days of persistence. Correlograms for each simulation showed that the simulated discharge with snowmelt model reproduce the persistence closely to the measured discharge's while the one without snow accumulation and snowmelt model reproduce only 20 days of persistence. The study result indicates that the inclusion of snow accumulation and snowmelt model is important for the accurate simulation of rainfall-runoff phenomena in the Soyanggang dam basin.

Application to Evaluation of Hydrologic Time Series Forecasting for Long-Term Runoff Simulation (장기유출모의를 위한 수문시계열 예측모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jong-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.10
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    • pp.809-824
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    • 2009
  • Hydrological system forecasting, which is the short term runoff historical data during the limited period in dam site, is a conditional precedent of hydrological persistence by stochastic analysis. We have forecasted the monthly hydrological system from Andong dam basin data that is the rainfall, evaporation, and runoff, using the seasonal ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model. Also we have conducted long term runoff simulations through the forecasted results of TANK model and ARIMA+TANK model. The results of analysis have been concurred to the observation data, and it has been considered for application to possibility on the stochastic model for dam inflow forecasting. Thus, the method presented in this study suggests a help to water resource mid- and long-term strategy establishment to application for runoff simulations through the forecasting variables of hydrological time series on the relatively short holding runoff data in an object basins.

A Comparative Study of the Long-Term and Short-Term Stochastic Models for Streamflow Generation (하천유량의 모의발생을 위한 장기 및 단기 추계학적 모형의 비교연구)

  • 이동렬;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.257-266
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    • 1987
  • The existing stochastic models for the data with hydrologic persistence can be classified into two categories; the short-term and long-term models.For the present study, the Hurst coefficients which are the dominant parameter in the Fast Fractional Gaussian Noise(FFGN)model, one of the long-term models. are estimated with historical annual and monthly streamflows. In order to verify the applicability of these estimators the statistical properties of the generated annual streamflows by FFGN model are compared with those of the historical annual streamflows. Then the generated annual streamflows by FFGN model are disaggregated into the monthly streamflows by disaggregation model at two sites, i.e. Waekman and Jindong, in the Nakdong River Basin. On the other hand, the monthly stream flows at the two sites were also generated by the two-site Matalas model which is one of the short-term models. To evaluate the applicability of the above models and to select the better model the statistical properties of the generated monthly streamflows by two models were compared with those of the historicals, respectively.

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