• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.75-87
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• 2023

We designed to employ an Artificial Intelligence learning model to predict real estate prices and determine the reasons behind their changes, with the goal of using the results as a guide for policy. Numerous studies have already been conducted in an effort to develop a real estate price prediction model. The price prediction power of conventional time series analysis techniques (such as the widely-used ARIMA and VAR models for univariate time series analysis) and the more recently-discussed LSTM techniques is compared and analyzed in this study in order to forecast real estate prices. There is currently a period of rising volatility in the real estate market as a result of both internal and external factors. Predicting the movement of real estate values during times of heightened volatility is more challenging than it is during times of persistent general trends. According to the real estate market cycle, this study focuses on the three times of extreme volatility. It was established that the LSTM, VAR, and ARIMA models have strong predictive capacity by successfully forecasting the trading price index during a period of unusually high volatility. We explores potential synergies between the hybrid artificial intelligence learning model and the conventional statistical prediction model.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.187-194
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• 2019

Traditional demand forecasting methods are difficult to meet the needs of companies due to rapid changes in the market and the diversification of individual consumer needs. In a diversified production environment, the right demand forecast is an important factor for smooth yield management. Many of the existing predictive models commonly used in industry today are limited in function by little. The proposed model is designed to overcome these limitations, taking into account the part where each model performs better individually. In this paper, variables are extracted through Gray Relational analysis suitable for dynamic process analysis, and statistically predicted data is generated that includes characteristics of historical demand data produced through ARIMA forecasts. In combination with the LSTM model, demand forecasts can then be calculated by reflecting the many factors that affect demand forecast through an architecture that is structured to avoid the long-term dependency problems that the neural network model has.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.60-66
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• 2024

Host's data during transmission. Data tempering results in loss of host's sensitive information, which includes number of VM, storage availability, and other information. In the distributed cloud environment, each server (computing server (CS)) configured with Local Resource Monitors (LRMs) which runs independently and performs Virtual Machine (VM) migrations to nearby servers. Approaches like predictive VM migration [21] [22] by each server considering nearby server's CPU usage, roatative decision making capacity [21] among the servers in distributed cloud environment has been proposed. This approaches usage underlying server's computing power for predicting own server's future resource utilization and nearby server's resource usage computation. It results in running VM and its running application to remain in waiting state for computing power. In order to reduce this, a decentralized decision making hybrid model for VM migration need to be proposed where servers in decentralized cloud receives, future resource usage by analytical computing system and takes decision for migrating VM to its neighbor servers. Host's in the decentralized cloud shares, their detail with peer servers after fixed interval, this results in chance to tempering messages that would be exchanged in between HC and CH. At the same time, it reduces chance of over utilization of peer servers, caused due to compromised host. This paper discusses, an roatative decisive (RD) approach for VM migration among peer computing servers (CS) in decentralized cloud environment, preserving confidentiality and integrity of the host's data. Experimental result shows that, the proposed predictive VM migration approach reduces extra VM migration caused due over utilization of identified servers and reduces number of active servers in greater extent, and ensures confidentiality and integrity of peer host's data.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.119-142
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• 2015

With the explosive growth in the volume of information, Internet users are experiencing considerable difficulties in obtaining necessary information online. Against this backdrop, ever-greater importance is being placed on a recommender system that provides information catered to user preferences and tastes in an attempt to address issues associated with information overload. To this end, a number of techniques have been proposed, including content-based filtering (CBF), demographic filtering (DF) and collaborative filtering (CF). Among them, CBF and DF require external information and thus cannot be applied to a variety of domains. CF, on the other hand, is widely used since it is relatively free from the domain constraint. The CF technique is broadly classified into memory-based CF, model-based CF and hybrid CF. Model-based CF addresses the drawbacks of CF by considering the Bayesian model, clustering model or dependency network model. This filtering technique not only improves the sparsity and scalability issues but also boosts predictive performance. However, it involves expensive model-building and results in a tradeoff between performance and scalability. Such tradeoff is attributed to reduced coverage, which is a type of sparsity issues. In addition, expensive model-building may lead to performance instability since changes in the domain environment cannot be immediately incorporated into the model due to high costs involved. Cumulative changes in the domain environment that have failed to be reflected eventually undermine system performance. This study incorporates the Markov model of transition probabilities and the concept of fuzzy clustering with CBCF to propose predictive clustering-based CF (PCCF) that solves the issues of reduced coverage and of unstable performance. The method improves performance instability by tracking the changes in user preferences and bridging the gap between the static model and dynamic users. Furthermore, the issue of reduced coverage also improves by expanding the coverage based on transition probabilities and clustering probabilities. The proposed method consists of four processes. First, user preferences are normalized in preference clustering. Second, changes in user preferences are detected from review score entries during preference transition detection. Third, user propensities are normalized using patterns of changes (propensities) in user preferences in propensity clustering. Lastly, the preference prediction model is developed to predict user preferences for items during preference prediction. The proposed method has been validated by testing the robustness of performance instability and scalability-performance tradeoff. The initial test compared and analyzed the performance of individual recommender systems each enabled by IBCF, CBCF, ICFEC and PCCF under an environment where data sparsity had been minimized. The following test adjusted the optimal number of clusters in CBCF, ICFEC and PCCF for a comparative analysis of subsequent changes in the system performance. The test results revealed that the suggested method produced insignificant improvement in performance in comparison with the existing techniques. In addition, it failed to achieve significant improvement in the standard deviation that indicates the degree of data fluctuation. Notwithstanding, it resulted in marked improvement over the existing techniques in terms of range that indicates the level of performance fluctuation. The level of performance fluctuation before and after the model generation improved by 51.31% in the initial test. Then in the following test, there has been 36.05% improvement in the level of performance fluctuation driven by the changes in the number of clusters. This signifies that the proposed method, despite the slight performance improvement, clearly offers better performance stability compared to the existing techniques. Further research on this study will be directed toward enhancing the recommendation performance that failed to demonstrate significant improvement over the existing techniques. The future research will consider the introduction of a high-dimensional parameter-free clustering algorithm or deep learning-based model in order to improve performance in recommendations.

• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.11-19
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• 2022

In this paper, we propose a GoogleNet transfer learning and CNN-LSTM combination method to improve the time-series prediction performance for crack detection using crack data captured inside the sewer pipes. LSTM can solve the long-term dependency problem of CNN, so spatial and temporal characteristics can be considered at the same time. The predictive performance of the proposed method is excellent in all test variables as a result of comparing the RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) for time series sections using the crack data inside the sewer pipe. In addition, as a result of examining the prediction performance at the time of data generation, the proposed method was verified that it is effective in predicting crack detection by comparing with the existing CNN-only model. If the proposed method and experimental results obtained through this study are utilized, it can be applied in various fields such as the environment and humanities where time series data occurs frequently as well as crack data of concrete structures.

• Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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• 2016.07a
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• pp.505-506
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• 2016

본 눈문에서는 대전력 및 고전압 전력변환에 적용되는 3-Level NPC AC/DC PWM 컨버터의 출력 DC 전압의 전체적인 특성 향상을 위하여 PI제어와 모델예측제어의 혼합제어 기법을 제안한다. 혼합제어를 위하여 3-Level AC/DC PWM 컨버터를 모델링하고, PSIM 시뮬레이션을 통하여 제안한 혼합제어 기법의 제어성능을 검토하였다.

• Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.25-26
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• 2017

본 논문은 양극성 직류배전망 연계를 위한 3-level NPC AC/DC 컨버터 제어 시 PI제어와 연산량 감소 모델예측제어를 혼합한 제어 기법을 제안한다. 이를 통해 기존에 비해 향상된 동특성을 확인할 수 있다. 제안하는 제어 기법을 PSIM 시뮬레이션을 통해 검증하였다.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.184-191
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• 2018

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to propose a method to calculate the optimal preventive maintenance cycle of radar used in the aviation weapon system of ROKAF. Methods: A hybrid model is used to estimate the optimal preventive maintenance cycle in a system that can perform condition based predictive maintenance (CBPM) through continuous diagnosis. The failure data of the radars operating in the military were used to calculate the reliability. Results: According to the research results, the reliability threshold of the radar began to decrease after 5 flights, and decreased rapidly after 12 flights. Since the second check, costs have continued to decline. Conclusion: A method is proposed to determine the cycle of optimal preventive maintenance of radar within operational budget through modeling results between reliability limit and cost for radar. The results can be used to determine the optimal preventive maintenance cycle and frequency of various avionics equipment.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1996.10a
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• pp.18-18
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• 1996

This paper reviews some of the most prominent and promising areas of chemical process control both in relations to batch and continuous processes. These areas include the modeling, optimization, control and monitoring of chemical processes and entire plants. Most of these areas explicitly utilize a model of the process. For this purpose the types of models used are examined in some detail. These types of models are categorized in knowledge-driven and datadriven classes. In the areas of modeling and optimization, attention is paid to batch reactors using the Tendency Modeling approach. These Tendency models consist of data- and knowledge-driven components and are often called Gray or Hybrid models. In the case of continuous processes, emphasis is placed in the closed-loop identification of a state space model and their use in Model Predictive Control nonlinear processes, such as the Fluidized Catalytic Cracking process. The effective monitoring of multivariate process is examined through the use of statistical charts obtained by the use of Principal Component Analysis (PMC). Static and dynamic charts account for the cross and auto-correlation of the substantial number of variables measured on-line. Centralized and de-centralized chart also aim in isolating the source of process disturbances so that they can be eliminated. Even though significant progress has been made during the last decade, the challenges for the next ten years are substantial. Present progress is strongly influenced by the economical benefits industry is deriving from the use of these advanced techniques. Future progress will be further catalyzed from the harmonious collaboration of University and Industrial researchers.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.621-652
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• 2012

Software Estimations provide an inclusive set of directives for software project developers, project managers, and the management in order to produce more realistic estimates based on deficient, uncertain, and noisy data. A range of estimation models are being explored in the industry, as well as in academia, for research purposes but choosing the best model is quite intricate. Estimation by Analogy (EbA) is a form of case based reasoning, which uses fuzzy logic, grey system theory or machine-learning techniques, etc. for optimization. This research compares the estimation accuracy of some conventional data mining models with a hybrid model. Different data mining models are under consideration, including linear regression models like the ordinary least square and ridge regression, and nonlinear models like neural networks, support vector machines, and multivariate adaptive regression splines, etc. A precise and comprehensible predictive model based on the integration of GRA and regression has been introduced and compared. Empirical results have shown that regression when used with GRA gives outstanding results; indicating that the methodology has great potential and can be used as a candidate approach for software effort estimation.