• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.782-795
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• 2019

Safety is always acritical focus of exploration of ocean resources, and it is well recognized that human factor is one of the major causes of accidents and breakdowns. Our research developed a dynamic human reliability assessment approach, Predicted Mean Vote-Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method (PMV-CREAM), that is applicable to monitoring the cognitive reliability of oceanauts during deep-sea missions. Taking into account the difficult and variable operating environment of manned submersibles, this paper analyzed the cognitive actions of oceanauts during the various procedures required by deep-sea missions, and calculated the PMV index using human factors and dynamic environmental data. The Cognitive Failure Probabilities (CFP) were calculated using the extended CREAM approach. Finally, the CFP were corrected using the PMV index. This PMV-CREAM hybrid model can be utilized to avoid human error in deep-sea research, thereby preventing injury and loss of life during undersea work. This paper verified the method with "Jiaolong" manned submersible 7,000 m dive test. The"Jiaolong" oceanauts CR(Corrected CFP) is dynamic from 3.0615E-3 to 4.2948E-3, the CR caused by the environment is 1.2333E-3. The result shown the PMV-CREAM method could describe the dynamic human reliability of manned submersible caused by thermal environment.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.292-300
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• 1995

이 논문은 새로운 동적 인간신뢰도 분석방법을 제시하였고, 사고관리 방안의 수행시 인간오류확률의 계산에 이 방법을 적용하였다. 기존의 다른 방법과 비교하기 위하여 PSA의 HRA수행시 가장 많이 사용되는 THERP, HCR, 및 SLIM-MAUD 방법론들의 특징을 논의하였다. 정전사고시 공동범람시키는 방안을 예제로 사용하였다. 이 방법은 Requirement와 Achievement의 연관개념에 기초하고 있다. Achievement 변수의 불확정성은 MAAP 전산코드와 Latin Hypercube Sampling 방법을 이용하여 결정하였고 Requirement 변수값은 운전원과의 면담을 통하여 얻었다. 이렇게 얻어진 변수들의 분포를 가지고 여러가지 시간값의 평균과 분산에 대하여 인간오류 확률값을 계산하였다. 이 방법은 매우 유연하여 사고관리 전략수행과 관련한 행위를 포함한 어떤 종류의 운전원 행위에도 적용가능 함을 보여주었다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제40권5호
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• pp.349-364
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• 2008

Over the years, probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) research activities conducted at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) have played an essential role in support of the agency's move towards risk-informed regulation. These research activities have provided the technical basis for NRC's regulatory activities in key areas; provided PRA methods, tools, and data enabling the agency to meet future challenges; supported the implementation of NRC's 1995 PRA Policy Statement by assessing key sources of risk; and supported the development of necessary technical and human resources supporting NRC's risk-informed activities. PRA research aimed at improving the NRC's understanding of risk can positively affect the agency's regulatory activities, as evidenced by three case studies involving research on fire PRA, human reliability analysis (HRA), and pressurized thermal shock (PTS) PRA. These case studies also show that such research can take a considerable amount of time, and that the incorporation of research results into regulatory practice can take even longer. The need for sustained effort and appropriate lead time is an important consideration in the development of a PRA research program aimed at helping the agency address key sources of risk for current and potential future facilities.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제11권2호통권35호
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• pp.60-64
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• 2007

한국에서는 석유화학 산업의 역사가 30년 이상이 되어 시설이 노후화되기 시작하여 잠재적인 사고의 위험 가능성이 높아지고 있다. 지금까지의 석유화학 산업에서의 전통적인 위험성 평가와 시스템의 제어는 기계적인 결함에만 중점을 두었기 때문에 인간의 행동을 제어하는 것은 간과하여 왔다. 자동화 기술과 제어기술의 발전도 필요하지만 인간의 의사 결정 요소가 석유화학산업에서 사고를 예방하는데 필수적이다. 거의 모든 심각한 사고는 인간 행동과 안전 장비의 기계적인 결함이 동시에 부적당할 때 발생한다. 진보적인 인간의 신뢰성 분석 소프트웨어는 실패 데이터를 수집하고, 한국의 화학 산업에서 인간의 오류 확률을 분석하기 위해 개발되었다. 이 논문에서는 Root cause Analysis를 통한 결과와 PIF(Performance Influencing Factor) 평가 결과를 보여준다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.187-195
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• 2015

Human-induced initiating events, also called Category B actions in human reliability analysis, are operator actions that may lead directly to initiating events. Most conventional probabilistic safety analyses typically assume that the frequency of initiating events also includes the probability of human-induced initiating events. However, some regulatory documents require Category B actions to be specifically analyzed and quantified in probabilistic safety analysis. An explicit modeling of Category B actions could also potentially lead to important insights into human performance in terms of safety. However, there is no standard procedure to identify Category B actions. This paper describes a systematic procedure to identify Category B actions for low power and shutdown conditions. The procedure includes several steps to determine operator actions that may lead to initiating events in the low power and shutdown stages. These steps are the selection of initiating events, the selection of systems or components, the screening of unlikely operating actions, and the quantification of initiating events. The procedure also provides the detailed instruction for each step, such as operator's action, information required, screening rules, and the outputs. Finally, the applicability of the suggested approach is also investigated by application to a plant example.

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.99-108
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• 2011

Almost all companies have paid much attention to the safety management ranging from maintenance to operation even at the stage of designing in order to prevent accidents, but fatal accidents continue to increase throughout the world. In particular, it is essential to systematically prevent such fatal accidents as fire, explosion or leakage of toxic gas at factories in order to not only protect the workers and neighbors but also prevent economic losses and environmental pollution. Though it is well known that accident probability is very low in NPP(Nuclear Power Plants), the reason why many researches are still being performed about the accidents is the results may be so severe. HRA is the main process to make preparation for possibility of human error in designing of the NPP. But those techniques have some problems and limitation as follows; the evaluation sensitivity of those techniques are out of date. And the evaluation of human error is not coupled with the design process. Additionally, the scope of the human error which has to be included in reliability assessment should be expanded. This work focuses on the coincidence of human error and mechanical failure for some important performance shaping factors to propose a method for improving safety effectively of the process industries. In order to apply in these purposes into the thesis, I found 63 critical Performance Shaping Factors of the eight dimensions throughout studies that I executed earlier. In this study, various analysis of opinion of specialists(Personal Factors, Training, Knowledge or Experience, Procedures and Documentation, Information, Communications, HMI, Workplace Design, Quality of Environment, Team Factors) and the guideline for construction of PSF were accomplished. The selected method was AHP which simplifies objective conclusions by maintaining consistency. This research focused on the implementation process of PSF to evaluate the process of PSF at each phase. As a result, we propose an evaluation model of PSF as a tool to find critical problem at each phase and improve on how to resolve the problems found at each phase. This evaluation model makes it possible to extraction of PSF succesfully by presenting the basis of assessment which will be used by enterprises to minimize the trial and error of construction process of PSF.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제43권6호
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• pp.395-402
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• 2019

최근 보다 안전하고 효율적인 해상운송시스템을 위한 해결책으로 자율운항선박의 개발 및 운용에 대한 논의가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 자율운항기술은 해양사고 방지, 선박의 연비 증진, 비용 절감 등 긍정적인 측면과 함께 선원의 일자리 감소, 업무의 변화, 보안문제 등 부정적인 측면도 상존하고 있다. 향후 자율운항선박의 시대가 도래 하더라도 육상 센터에서의 제어가 이루어지게 되므로, 육상 운항사의 상황인식과 같이 새로운 인적요인 이슈가 존재할 것으로 예측된다. 본 논문에서는 자율운항선박의 개발 및 운용과정에 고려해야 할 주요 인적요인 이슈를 고찰하고, 육상 센터의 제어에 따라 예상되는 육상 운항사의 의사결정 및 업무수행에 영향을 미치는 요소에 대한 식별과 영향 요소의 평가를 위한 인적 신뢰성 분석 방안을 제시하였다.

• 대한인간공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한인간공학회 1997년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.56-60
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• 1997

The study of human erroneous actions has traditionally taken place along two different lines of approach. One has been concerned with finding and explaining the causes of erroneous actions, such as studies in the psychology of "error". The other has been concerned with the qualitative and quantitative prediction of possible erroneous actions, exemplified by the field of human reliability analysis (HRA). Another distinction is also that the former approach has been dominated by an academic point of view, hence emphasising theories, models, and experiments, while the latter has been of a more pragmatic nature, hence putting greater emphasis on data and methods. We have been developing a method to make predictions about error modes. The input to the method is a detailed task description of a set of scenarios for an experiment. This description is then analysed to characterise thd nature of the individual task steps, as well as the conditions under which they must be carried out. The task steps are expressed in terms of a predefined set of cognitive activity types. Following that each task step is examined in terms of a systematic classification of possible error modes and the likely error modes are identified. This effectively constitutes a qualitative analysis of the possibilities for erroneous action in a given task. In order to evaluate the accuracy of the predictions, the data from a large scale experiment were analysed. The experiment used the full-scale nuclear power plant simulator in the Halden Man-Machine Systems Laboratory (HAMMLAB) and used six crews of systematic performance observations by experts using a pre-defined task description, as well as audio and video recordings. The purpose of the analysis was to determine how well the predictions matiched the actually observed performance failures. The results indicated a very acceptable rate of accuracy. The emphasis in this experiment has been to develop a practical method for qualitative performance prediction, i.e., a method that did not require too many resources or specialised human factors knowledge. If such methods are to become practical tools, it is important that they are valid, reliable, and robust.