• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제48권12호
• /
• pp.1011-1021
• /
• 2015

본 연구에서는 표준강수지수(SPI)를 이용하여 우리나라의 과거 가뭄사상을 규모적 관점에서 정량적 평가를 실시하였다. 이를 위하여, 5대강 권역에 대한 가뭄사상의 지속기간, 규모, 평균심도를 연속이론을 바탕으로 산정하였다. 또한 과거 가뭄사상의 재현기간을 추정하고 가뭄 평균심도-지속기간-빈도 곡선을 작성하기 위하여 가뭄빈도분석을 실시하였다. 분석결과, 우리나라에 발생했던 심한 가뭄의 재현기간은 대부분 30~50년으로 분석되었으며, 가뭄규모로 평가할 때 가장 가뭄이 심했던 해는 1988년과 1994년으로 나타났다. 특히, 1994년과 1995년에서는 2년 연속 가뭄이 발생하여 가장 극심했던 장기가뭄으로 분석되었다. 또한 2014년의 가뭄은 한강 권역을 중심으로 발생하였으며 가뭄의 규모와 평균심도 면에서 볼 때 우리나라 역사상 가장 극심했던 가뭄으로 평가되었다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
• /
• pp.611-611
• /
• 2015

One of the hazard of nature is a drought. Its impact varies from region to region and it is difficult for people to understand and define due to differences in hydrometeorological and social economic aspects across much of the country. In the most general sense, drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually month, season or more, resulting in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental sector. Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is well known and has been used to study aridity changes in modern and past climates. The PDSI index is estimated over US using USHCN historical data.(e.g. precipitation, temperature, latitude and soil moisture). In this study, low frequency drought variability associated with climate variability such as El-Nino and ENSO is mainly investigated. With respect to the multi-scale analysis, wavelet transform analysis is applied to the PDSI index in order to extract the low frequency band corresponding to 2-8 years. Finally, low frequency patterns associated with drought by comparing global wavelet power, with significance test are explored.

• 지능정보연구
• /
• 제29권1호
• /
• pp.215-231
• /
• 2023

본 논문은 쑤저우의 핑장 역사문화 지구을 예로 들어 Python 기술을 적용한 Ctrip.com에서 1436개의 관광객 댓글 데이터를 수집하고, 네트워크 텍스트 분석 방법을 사용하여 빈도 단어, 의미 네트워크 및 감정을 분석하여 대운하 문화의 관광객 인식 특성과 수준을 평가하였다유산.연구 결과: 평강역사문화지구 관광객들의 인식에 자연인문경관, 역사문화축적, 강남운하 풍경이 잘 나타나 있다 ; 관광객들은 평강로 역사문화지구에 대해 비교적 긍정적인 감정을 가지고 있지만, 지구의 개조와 개선은 여전히 큰 여지가 있다.마지막으로 보호우선, 문화통합, 혁신적 활용 등의 측면에서 대운하 문화유산에 대한 관광객의 인식을 높이기 위한 대책을 제시했다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
• /
• 제54권2호
• /
• pp.67-75
• /
• 2012

Different from other natural hazards including floods, drought advances slowly and spreads widely, so that the preparedness is quite important and effective to mitigate the impacts from drought. Evaluation and forecast the status of drought for the present and future utilizing the meteorological scenario for agricultural drought can be useful to set a plan for agricultural drought mitigation in agriculture water resource management. In this study, drought climate scenario model on the basis of historical drought records for preparing agricultural drought mitigation was developed. To consider dependency and correlation between various climate variables, this model was utilized the historical climate pattern using reference year setting of four drought levels. The reference year for drought level was determined based on the frequency analysis result of monthly effective rainfall. On the basis of this model, drought climate scenarios at Suwon and Icheon station were set up and these scenarios were applied on the water balance simulation of reservoir water storage for Madun reservoir as well as the soil moisture model for Gosam reservoir watershed. The results showed that drought climate scenarios in this study could be more useful for long-term forecast of longer than 2~3 months period rather than short-term forecast of below one month.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
• /
• pp.232-234
• /
• 2005

This paper will produce a practical, accurate method for computing the equipment forced outages rate (FOR) based on 10 years of historical equipment outages data. Also, the location and weather conditions on outages are included. The computed FOR are ranked as 4 groups (presumably high, medium, low & very low) depending on the frequency (up to # times per year) and a consistent framework for transmission reliability performance table is developed based on these groupings. Our intent is to use this framework as guidelines for contingency analysis criteria in system planning / operation departments. The concepts are illustrated on the 2005 KEPCO power system.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
• /
• pp.268-272
• /
• 2010

The research presented here represents a collaborative effort with the SFWMD on developing scenarios for future climate for the SFWMD area. The project focuses on developing methodology for simulating precipitation representing both natural quasi-oscillatory modes of variability in these climate variables and also the secular trends projected by the IPCC scenarios that are publicly available. This study specifically provides the results for precipitation modeling. The starting point for the modeling was the work of Tebaldi et al that is considered one of the benchmarks for bias correction and model combination in this context. This model was extended in the framework of a Hierarchical Bayesian Model (HBM) to formally and simultaneously consider biases between the models and observations over the historical period and trends in the observations and models out to the end of the 21st century in line with the different ensemble model simulations from the IPCC scenarios. The low frequency variability is modeled using the previously developed Wavelet Autoregressive Model (WARM), with a correction to preserve the variance associated with the full series from the HBM projections. The assumption here is that there is no useful information in the IPCC models as to the change in the low frequency variability of the regional, seasonal precipitation. This assumption is based on a preliminary analysis of these models historical and future output. Thus, preserving the low frequency structure from the historical series into the future emerges as a pragmatic goal. We find that there are significant biases between the observations and the base case scenarios for precipitation. The biases vary across models, and are shrunk using posterior maximum likelihood to allow some models to depart from the central tendency while allowing others to cluster and reduce biases by averaging. The projected changes in the future precipitation are small compared to the bias between model base run and observations and also relative to the inter-annual and decadal variability in the precipitation.

• 대한토목학회논문집
• /
• 제29권3B호
• /
• pp.269-279
• /
• 2009

대유역에서 계획홍수량 추정은 ARF, 강우 시공간분포 및 강우-유출 모형의 매개변수 등에서 많은 불확실성이 발생한다. 과거 동시 강우사상을 이용한 계획홍수량의 추정은 이들 불확실성을 개선할 수 있다. 본 연구는 과거 동시 강우사상과 저류 함수모형을 이용하여 대유역의 홍수량을 추정하는 방법을 제시하였다. 과거 동시 강우사상의 시공간분포를 이용하여 계획 강우량과 강우의 시공간분포를 산정하였고 비선형 강우-유출 반응을 재현할 수 있는 저류함수모형을 이용하여 홍수량을 추정하였다. 추정된 계획홍수량은 실측홍수량에 의한 빈도분석 결과와 비교하여 본 연구에서 제시한 홍수량 추정기법의 적용성을 평가하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 실측홍수량의 빈도해석과 비슷한 결과를 얻었으며 이는 대유역의 홍수량 추정에서 본 연구의 홍수량 추정과정을 충분히 이용할 수 있음을 보여준다.

• 한국실내디자인학회논문집
• /
• 제22권5호
• /
• pp.51-59
• /
• 2013

This study aimed to present the possibilities that a variety of conversions can be made in terms of the spatial function through the situation analysis and in-depth case studies, focusing on the cases of the conversion of historic buildings. Literature analysis and case analysis technique were conducted as the research methods. For the literature analysis, the researcher selected 105 cases of conversion-type buildings by recombining and reanalyzing them to space functional changes; the SPSS PC+ 18.0 program was used as the analysis tool to conduct a frequency analysis and cross analysis. In-depth analysis was conducted to investigate the overview of the architecture, building history, spatial functional changes, space program, conservation value, and the conserved parts by selecting 9 cases in Korean and foreign countries that have been recently converted through literature analysis and the results of the study were as follows. 1) As a result of analyzing the changes in function, the highest percentage of the cases was conversion into the cultural function (63.8%). 2) There were cases for conversion into the commercial function, business function, accommodation function and educational function besides cultural function. 3) As a result of spatial program, the attempts to increase the utilization of the building generally by applying the complex space with more than two functions could be seen. 4) The buildings with historical and architectural value were conserved most of the outer wall and some portion of internal parts; the buildings with symbolic value were renovated largely, while preserving symbolic parts; and the buildings with practical value were renovated in a way that maintains the structural parts while changing the interior space to be suitable for their function.

• 패션비즈니스
• /
• 제26권6호
• /
• pp.1-13
• /
• 2022

The purpose of this study was to find out the type of fashion codes hip-hop fashion has in contemporary Chinese fashion, and the frequency and characteristics of each fashion code. Text mining, which is the most basic analysis method in big data analyticswas used rather than traditional design element analysis. Specific results were as follows. First, hip-hop initially entered China in the late 1970s. The most historical turning point was the American film "Breakin". Second, frequency and word cloud analysis results showed that the "national tide" fashion code was the most notable code. Third, through word embedding analysis, fashion codes were divided into types of "original hip-hop codes", "trendy hip-hop codes", and "hip-hop codes grafted with traditional Chinese culture".

• 한국방재학회 논문집
• /
• 제9권5호
• /
• pp.87-92
• /
• 2009

현재까지의 치수대책이나 복구대책은 대부분 당해 연도의 지역별 피해액만을 기준으로 이루어지고 있다. 그러나 지역의 홍수 발생빈도와 홍수피해액 관계를 분석하면 지역의 홍수피해특성을 고려한 보다 합리적인 치수대책을 마련할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 점빈도 분석을 이용하여 과거 38년('70~'07)간의 전국 시군구별 홍수피해자료를 이용하여 무차원 홍수피해 발생빈도와 피해액간의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 분석결과를 바탕으로 사분면적 해석방법을 도입하여 전국 시군구의 홍수피해 유형을 다빈도-대피해 지역, 다빈도-소피해 지역, 소빈도-대피해 지역, 소빈도-소피해 지역이라는 네 가지 유형으로 구분하였다. 본 연구의 분석결과를 활용하면 시군구별로 홍수피해액별 발생빈도와 발생빈도별 홍수피해액을 손쉽게 비교할 수 있기 때문에 지역의 치수방어년을 설정하는 데에도 많은 도움이 될 수 있다. 또한, 발생빈도별 홍수피해액을 산정할 수 있기 때문에 치수사업의 효과를 분석하거나 예측하기 위한 기초자료로도 충분히 활용할 수 있을 것이다.