• Title/Summary/Keyword: historical frequency analysis

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Quantitative Characterization of Historical Drought Events in Korea - Focusing on Drought Frequency Analysis in the Five Major Basins - (우리나라 과거 가뭄사상의 정량적 특성 분석 -5대강 유역의 가뭄빈도분석을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Jang, Ho-Won;Kim, Jong-Suk;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.1011-1021
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to investigate droughts from the magnitude perspective based on the SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) and the theory of runs applicable to quantitative analysis of drought in South Korea. In addition, the dry spell analysis was conducted on the drought history in the five major river basins of South Korea to obtain the magnitude, duration and severity of drought, and the quantitative evaluation has been made on historical droughts by estimating the return period using the SDF (Severity-Duration-Frequency) curve gained through drought frequency analysis. The analysis results showed that the return periods for droughts at the regional and major river basin scales were clearly identified. The return periods of severe drought that occurred around the major river basins in South Korea turn out to be mostly 30 to 50 years with the years of the worst drought in terms of severity being 1988 and 1994. In particular, South Korea experienced extremely severe droughts for two consecutive years during the period between 1994 and 1995. Drought in 2014 occurred in the Han River basin and was evaluated as the worst one in terms of severity and magnitude.

Study on Multiscale Analysis on Drought Characteristics

  • Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.611-611
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    • 2015
  • One of the hazard of nature is a drought. Its impact varies from region to region and it is difficult for people to understand and define due to differences in hydrometeorological and social economic aspects across much of the country. In the most general sense, drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually month, season or more, resulting in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental sector. Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is well known and has been used to study aridity changes in modern and past climates. The PDSI index is estimated over US using USHCN historical data.(e.g. precipitation, temperature, latitude and soil moisture). In this study, low frequency drought variability associated with climate variability such as El-Nino and ENSO is mainly investigated. With respect to the multi-scale analysis, wavelet transform analysis is applied to the PDSI index in order to extract the low frequency band corresponding to 2-8 years. Finally, low frequency patterns associated with drought by comparing global wavelet power, with significance test are explored.

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Research on Tourist Perception of Grand Canal Cultural Heritage Based on Network Text Analysis : The Pingjiang Historical and Cultural District of Suzhou City as an example (네트워크 텍스트 분석을 통한 대운하 문화유산에 대한 관광객 인식 연구 : 쑤저우시 핑장역사문화지구의 예)

  • Chengkang Zheng;Qiwei Jing;Nam Kyung Hyeon
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.215-231
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    • 2023
  • Taking Pingjiang historical and cultural block in Suzhou as an example, this paper collects 1436 tourist comment data from Ctrip. com with Python technology, and uses network text analysis method to analyze frequency words, semantic network and emotion, so as to evaluate the tourist perception characteristics and levels of the Grand Canal cultural heritage. The study found that: natural and humanistic landscapes, historical and cultural deposits, and the style of the Jiangnan Canal are fully reflected in the perception of visitors to the Pingjiang Historical and Cultural District; Tourists hold strong positive emotions towards the Pingjiang Road historical and cultural district, however, there is still more space for the transformation and upgrading of the district. Finally,suggestions for measures to improve the perception of tourists of the Grand Canal cultural heritage are given in terms of conservation first, cultural integration and innovative utilization.

Developing Model of Drought Climate Scenarios for Agricultural Drought Mitigation (농업가뭄대응을 위한 가뭄기상시나리오 모델 개발 및 적용)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Choi, Jin-Yong;Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Tae-Gon;Go, Gwang-Don
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2012
  • Different from other natural hazards including floods, drought advances slowly and spreads widely, so that the preparedness is quite important and effective to mitigate the impacts from drought. Evaluation and forecast the status of drought for the present and future utilizing the meteorological scenario for agricultural drought can be useful to set a plan for agricultural drought mitigation in agriculture water resource management. In this study, drought climate scenario model on the basis of historical drought records for preparing agricultural drought mitigation was developed. To consider dependency and correlation between various climate variables, this model was utilized the historical climate pattern using reference year setting of four drought levels. The reference year for drought level was determined based on the frequency analysis result of monthly effective rainfall. On the basis of this model, drought climate scenarios at Suwon and Icheon station were set up and these scenarios were applied on the water balance simulation of reservoir water storage for Madun reservoir as well as the soil moisture model for Gosam reservoir watershed. The results showed that drought climate scenarios in this study could be more useful for long-term forecast of longer than 2~3 months period rather than short-term forecast of below one month.

A Study on Contingency Analysis Criteria based on Historical Transmission System's Outage Data (송전망 고장확률(FOR) 크기에 따른 상정고장 적용 기준)

  • Cha, S.T.;Kim, T.K.;Kwak, B.M.;Jeon, D.H.;Lee, J.W.;Lee, B.S.;Lee, S.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.232-234
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    • 2005
  • This paper will produce a practical, accurate method for computing the equipment forced outages rate (FOR) based on 10 years of historical equipment outages data. Also, the location and weather conditions on outages are included. The computed FOR are ranked as 4 groups (presumably high, medium, low & very low) depending on the frequency (up to # times per year) and a consistent framework for transmission reliability performance table is developed based on these groupings. Our intent is to use this framework as guidelines for contingency analysis criteria in system planning / operation departments. The concepts are illustrated on the 2005 KEPCO power system.

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Climate Change Scenario Generation and Uncertainty Assessment: Multiple variables and potential hydrological impacts

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Park, Rae-Gun;Choi, Byung-Kyu;Park, Se-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.268-272
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    • 2010
  • The research presented here represents a collaborative effort with the SFWMD on developing scenarios for future climate for the SFWMD area. The project focuses on developing methodology for simulating precipitation representing both natural quasi-oscillatory modes of variability in these climate variables and also the secular trends projected by the IPCC scenarios that are publicly available. This study specifically provides the results for precipitation modeling. The starting point for the modeling was the work of Tebaldi et al that is considered one of the benchmarks for bias correction and model combination in this context. This model was extended in the framework of a Hierarchical Bayesian Model (HBM) to formally and simultaneously consider biases between the models and observations over the historical period and trends in the observations and models out to the end of the 21st century in line with the different ensemble model simulations from the IPCC scenarios. The low frequency variability is modeled using the previously developed Wavelet Autoregressive Model (WARM), with a correction to preserve the variance associated with the full series from the HBM projections. The assumption here is that there is no useful information in the IPCC models as to the change in the low frequency variability of the regional, seasonal precipitation. This assumption is based on a preliminary analysis of these models historical and future output. Thus, preserving the low frequency structure from the historical series into the future emerges as a pragmatic goal. We find that there are significant biases between the observations and the base case scenarios for precipitation. The biases vary across models, and are shrunk using posterior maximum likelihood to allow some models to depart from the central tendency while allowing others to cluster and reduce biases by averaging. The projected changes in the future precipitation are small compared to the bias between model base run and observations and also relative to the inter-annual and decadal variability in the precipitation.

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Design Flood Estimation using Historical Rainfall Events and Storage Function Model in Large River Basins (과거강우사상과 저류함수모형을 이용한 대유역 계획홍수량 추정)

  • Youn, Jong-Woo;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Ahn, Won-Sik;Rim, Hae-Wook
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.3B
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    • pp.269-279
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    • 2009
  • The design flood estimation in a large river basin has a lot of uncertainties in areal reduction factors, time-spatial rainfall distribution, and parameters of rainfall-runoff model. The use of historical concurrent rainfall events for estimating design flood would reduce the uncertainties. This study presents a procedure for estimating design floods using historical rainfall events and storage function model. The design rainfall and time-spatial distribution were determined through analyzing concurrent rainfall events, and the design floods were estimated using storage function model with a non-linear hydrology response. To evaluate the applicability of the procedure of this study, the estimated floods were compared to results of frequency analysis of flood data. Both floods gave very similar results. It shows the applicability of the procedure presented in this study for estimating design floods in practices.

A Case Analysis Utilization of Historical Buildings - Focused on Conversion-type Buildings - (역사적 건축물의 활용에 관한 사례분석 - 전용형 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jong-Hye;Shin, Kyung-Joo
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to present the possibilities that a variety of conversions can be made in terms of the spatial function through the situation analysis and in-depth case studies, focusing on the cases of the conversion of historic buildings. Literature analysis and case analysis technique were conducted as the research methods. For the literature analysis, the researcher selected 105 cases of conversion-type buildings by recombining and reanalyzing them to space functional changes; the SPSS PC+ 18.0 program was used as the analysis tool to conduct a frequency analysis and cross analysis. In-depth analysis was conducted to investigate the overview of the architecture, building history, spatial functional changes, space program, conservation value, and the conserved parts by selecting 9 cases in Korean and foreign countries that have been recently converted through literature analysis and the results of the study were as follows. 1) As a result of analyzing the changes in function, the highest percentage of the cases was conversion into the cultural function (63.8%). 2) There were cases for conversion into the commercial function, business function, accommodation function and educational function besides cultural function. 3) As a result of spatial program, the attempts to increase the utilization of the building generally by applying the complex space with more than two functions could be seen. 4) The buildings with historical and architectural value were conserved most of the outer wall and some portion of internal parts; the buildings with symbolic value were renovated largely, while preserving symbolic parts; and the buildings with practical value were renovated in a way that maintains the structural parts while changing the interior space to be suitable for their function.

Analysis of Hip-hop Fashion Codes in Contemporary Chinese Fashion

  • Sen, Bin;Haejung, Yum
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to find out the type of fashion codes hip-hop fashion has in contemporary Chinese fashion, and the frequency and characteristics of each fashion code. Text mining, which is the most basic analysis method in big data analyticswas used rather than traditional design element analysis. Specific results were as follows. First, hip-hop initially entered China in the late 1970s. The most historical turning point was the American film "Breakin". Second, frequency and word cloud analysis results showed that the "national tide" fashion code was the most notable code. Third, through word embedding analysis, fashion codes were divided into types of "original hip-hop codes", "trendy hip-hop codes", and "hip-hop codes grafted with traditional Chinese culture".

Analysis of Regional Flood Damage Characteristics using Relationship between Flood Frequency and Damages (홍수피해 발생빈도-피해액 관계분석을 통한 지역별 홍수피해특성 분석)

  • Park, Tae-Sun;Choi, Min-Ha;Yeo, Chang-Geon;Lee, Seung-Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2009
  • It has been considered only with the concerned regional damage costs whenever the restoration and flood control measures were established in Korea. If the relationship between regional flood frequency and damages is quantitatively analyzed, more resonable and reliable countermeasure for flood protection and restoration can be proposed. Historical data ('70~'07) about flood damage in Korea were utilized and analyzed to present such relationship using the point frequency analysis. Also, the quadrant analysis was employed to divide into 4 categories: high frequency-high damage, high frequency-low damage, low frequency-high damage, and low frequency-low damage. If the results from this study were utilized well in specific cities and counties in Korea, it would be helpful to establish the countermeasures and action plans for flood protection because it was possible to compare with the relationship between flood frequency and damage of each region. And it would be the fundamental data for estimating the effect of future flood protection plan.