• Title/Summary/Keyword: historical frequency analysis

Search Result 128, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Evaluation for usefulness of Chukwookee Data in Rainfall Frequency Analysis (강우빈도해석에서의 측우기자료의 유용성 평가)

  • Kim, Kee-Wook;Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Min-Kyu;Kim, Dae-Ha;Park, Sangh-Young;Kim, Hyeon-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2007.05a
    • /
    • pp.1526-1530
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, the chukwookee data were evaluated by applying that for the historical rainfall frequency analysis. To derive a two parameter log-normal distribution by using historical data and modern data, censored data MLE and binomial censored data MLE were applied. As a result, we found that both average and standard deviation were all estimated smaller with chukwookee data then those with only modern data. This indicates that rather big events rarely happens during the period of chukwookee data then during the modern period. The frequency analysis results using the parameters estimated were also similar to those expected. The point to be noticed is that the rainfall quantiles estimated by both methods were similar, especially for the 99% threshold. This result indicates that the historical document records like the annals of Chosun dynasty could be valuable and effective for the frequency analysis. This also means the extension of data available for frequency analysis.

  • PDF

Drought Analysis using SC-PDSI and Derivation of Drought Severity-Duration-Frequency Curves in North Korea (SC-PDSI를 이용한 북한지역 가뭄분석 및 가뭄심도-지속기간-생기빈도 곡선의 유도)

  • Kang, Shin Uk;Moon, Jang Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.9
    • /
    • pp.813-824
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, drought of North Korea are analyzed using drought index. 27 weather stations are selected and monthly precipitation and average temperature data are collected for drought analysis. SC-PDSI is used for drought analysis and calculated using collected weather data during 1984~2013 (30 years) in 27 weather stations. From the analysis result of historical drought event using drought index, it is confirmed that severe droughts occurred in the early and mid 2000's at most stations. Secondly, drought frequency analysis was carried out for the derivation of drought severity-duration-frequency (SDF) curves to enable quantitative evaluations of past historical droughts having been occurred in 6 stations (Pyeongyang, Hamheung, Cheongjin, Wonsan, Haeju, Sinuiju). This study can suggest return periods for historical major drought events by using derived SDF curves for each station. In the result, drought events in the early and mid 2000's had return periods of 20~50 years.

Evaluation for usefulness of Chukwookee Data in Rainfall Frequency Analysis (강우빈도해석에서의 측우기자료의 유용성 평가)

  • Kim, Kee-Wook;Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Min-Kyu;Kim, Hyeon-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.11
    • /
    • pp.851-859
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, the chukwookee data were evaluated by applying that for the historical rainfall frequency analysis. To derive a two parameter log-normal distribution by using historical data and modem data, censored data MLE and binomial censored data MLE were applied. As a result, we found that both average and standard deviation were all estimated smaller with chukwookee data then those with only modern data. This indicates that rather big events rarely happens during the period of chukwookee data then during the modern period. The frequency analysis results using the parameters estimated were also similar to those expected. The point to be noticed is that the rainfall quantiles estimated by both methods were similar. This result indicates that the historical document records like the annals of Chosun dynasty could be valuable and effective for the frequency analysis. This also means the extension of data available for frequency analysis.

Derivation of Drought Severity-Duration-Frequency Curves Using Drought Frequency Analysis (가뭄빈도해석을 통한 가뭄심도-지속시간-생기빈도 곡선의 유도)

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Chang-Joo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.44 no.11
    • /
    • pp.889-902
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this study, frequency analysis using drought index had implemented for the derivation of drought severity-duration-frequency (SDF) curves to enable quantitative evaluations of past historical droughts having been occurred in Korean Peninsular. Seoul, Daejeon, Daegu, Gwangju, and Busan weather stations were selected and precipitation data during 1974~2010 (37 years) was used for the calculation of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and frequency analysis. Based on the results of goodness of fit test on the probability distribution, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) was selected as most suitable probability distribution for the drought frequency analysis using SPI. This study can suggest return periods for historical major drought events by using newrly derived SDF curves for each stations. In case of 1994~1995 droughts which had focused on southern part of Korea. SDF curves of Gwangju weather station showed 50~100 years of return period and Busan station showed 100~200 years of return period. Besides, in case of 1988~1989 droughts, SDF of Seoul weather station were appeared as having return periods of 300 years.

Historical Operation Characteristic Analysis of Energy Storage System for Governor Free using Simulink Model (Simulink 모델을 활용한 주파수추종용 ESS 운전 특성분석)

  • Cho, Sung-Min;Im, Ji-Hoon;Lee, Sung-Eun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.66 no.6
    • /
    • pp.905-910
    • /
    • 2017
  • As the development of BESS(Battery Energy Storage System), the application of BESS in load frequency control is considered as effective method. So, KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) have installed about 236MW ESS for GF(Govner Free) function from 2014. In this paper, we implemented Simulink Model for KEPCO GF ESS and analyzed one year historical operation data generated by Simulink model and actually measured frequency data. The operation results were divided into action for maintaining SOC and frequency. In addition, we also analyzed cycle life of GF ESS using two ESS cycle life model. We concluded the ESS cycle life models are not appropriate, because Most of the SOC swing in operation results are below 10%.

A Study on Analysis all Prescriptions of Consumptive part in DonguiBogam (동의보감(東醫寶鑑) 허노문(虛勞門) 처방(處方)의 방제(方劑) 분석(分析)에 대한 고찰(考察))

  • Lee, Ju-Hee;Yun, Hen-Ja;Yun, Young-Gab
    • Herbal Formula Science
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.101-121
    • /
    • 2012
  • Objectives : As the understand about historical consumptive part through studying prescriptions in DonguiBogam, we would like to study some modern geriatric and chronic diseases. Methods : We analyzed application frequency of basic prescriptions, symptoms of prescriptions and the pathology analysis against historical comsumptive in DonguiBogam. Results : Through investigation into application frequency of basic prescriptions, symptoms of prescriptions, and two way analysis of Qi blood(yin yang) pathologies and viscera and bowels pathologies, we were able to found mostly used basic prescription, common symptoms, and separate some characteristics pathologies. Conclusions : We expected that this study will can help to give rationale for future study of consumptive caring.

A Study on the Perception of Grand Canal Heritage Visitors Based on Web Text Analysis:The Pingjiang Historical and Cultural District of Suzhou City as an example (인터넷 텍스트분석을 통한 대운하 유산 관광객 인식에 관한연구 : 소주시 평강역사 문화거리를 예로 들다)

  • Zheng Chengkang;Jing Qiwei;Nam Kyung Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
    • /
    • 2023.01a
    • /
    • pp.437-438
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper takes the Pingjiang historical and cultural district of Suzhou city as an example, collects 1439 visitor review data from Ctrip.com with the help of Python technology, and uses web text analysis to conduct research on high-frequency words, semantic networks and emotional tendencies to comprehensively assess the tourist perception of the Grand Canal heritage. The study found that: natural and humanistic landscape, historical and cultural accumulation, and the style of Jiangnan Canal are fully reflected in the tourists' perception of Pingjiang historical and cultural district; tourists hold strong positive emotion towards Pingjiang Road, however, there is still more room for renovation and improvement of the historical and cultural district. Finally, countermeasure suggestions for improving the tourist perception of the Grand Canal heritage are given in terms of protection first, cultural integration and innovative utilization.

  • PDF

Assessment of Historical Earthquake Magnitudes and Epicenters Using Ground Motion Simulations (지진동 모사를 통한 역사지진 규모와 진앙 평가)

  • Kim, Seongryong;Lee, Sang-Jun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-69
    • /
    • 2021
  • Historical records of earthquakes are generally used as a basis to extrapolate the instrumental earthquake catalog in time and space during the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA). However, the historical catalogs' input parameters determined through historical descriptions rather than any quantitative measurements are accompanied by considerable uncertainty in PSHA. Therefore, quantitative assessment to verify the historical earthquake parameters is essential for refining the reliability of PSHA. This study presents an approach and its application to constrain reliable ranges of the magnitude and corresponding epicenter of historical earthquakes. First, ranges rather than specific values of ground motion intensities are estimated at multiple locations with distances between each other for selected historical earthquakes by reviewing observed co-seismic natural phenomena, structural damage levels, or felt areas described in their historical records. Based on specific objective criteria, this study selects only one earthquake (July 24, 1643), which is potentially one of the largest historical earthquakes. Then, ground motion simulations are performed for sufficiently broadly distributed epicenters, with a regular grid to prevent one from relying on strong assumptions. Calculated peak ground accelerations and velocities in areas with the historical descriptions on corresponding earthquakes are converted to intensities with an empirical ground motion-intensity conversion equation to compare them with historical descriptions. For the ground motion simulation, ground motion prediction equations and a frequency-wavenumber method are used to consider the effects of possible source mechanisms and stress drop. From these quantitative calculations, reliable ranges of epicenters and magnitudes and the trade-off between them are inferred for the earthquake that can conservatively match the upper and lower boundaries of intensity values from historical descriptions.

The Influence of Characters' Aesthetic Elements on Viewing Engagement and Re-viewing Intention : Focusing on the Chinese historical TV series 'The Story of Yanxi Palace' (캐릭터의 미적요소가 시청 몰입도와 재시청 의도에 미치는 영향 : 중국 사극 드라마<연희공략(延禧攻略)>를 대상으로)

  • Han, Ming;Yun, Su-Mi;Choi, Hye-Jin;Kwon, Oh-Hyeok
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.369-378
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the effect of aesthetic elements of characters on viewing immersion and re-watching intentions in Chinese historical dramas. For the empirical study, frequency analysis, factor analysis, reliability analysis, correlation analysis, and regression analysis were performed using SPSS 23.0 based on the questionnaire of 330 Chinese who watched the historical drama . As a result of the study, it was found that the character aesthetic elements of Chinese historical dramas with hair and costumes had a positive effect on viewing immersion and re-watching intentions. In addition, it was found that viewing immersion had a mediating effect on the relationship between aesthetic factors and re-viewing intention. It is expected that continuous character creation can be expected through various aesthetic elements such as hair and clothes to increase the value of dramas in the future.