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http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2011.44.11.889

Derivation of Drought Severity-Duration-Frequency Curves Using Drought Frequency Analysis  

Lee, Joo-Heon (Dept. of Civil Eng., Joongbu University)
Kim, Chang-Joo (Dept. of Civil Eng., Joongbu University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.44, no.11, 2011 , pp. 889-902 More about this Journal
Abstract
In this study, frequency analysis using drought index had implemented for the derivation of drought severity-duration-frequency (SDF) curves to enable quantitative evaluations of past historical droughts having been occurred in Korean Peninsular. Seoul, Daejeon, Daegu, Gwangju, and Busan weather stations were selected and precipitation data during 1974~2010 (37 years) was used for the calculation of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and frequency analysis. Based on the results of goodness of fit test on the probability distribution, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) was selected as most suitable probability distribution for the drought frequency analysis using SPI. This study can suggest return periods for historical major drought events by using newrly derived SDF curves for each stations. In case of 1994~1995 droughts which had focused on southern part of Korea. SDF curves of Gwangju weather station showed 50~100 years of return period and Busan station showed 100~200 years of return period. Besides, in case of 1988~1989 droughts, SDF of Seoul weather station were appeared as having return periods of 300 years.
Keywords
drought index; standardized precipitation index; frequency analysis; SDF curve; SPI;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 6  (Citation Analysis)
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