• Title/Summary/Keyword: hazard ratio

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Prediction of Ground Subsidence Hazard Area Using GIS and Probability Model near Abandoned Underground Coal Mine (GIS 및 확률모델을 이용한 폐탄광 지역의 지반침하 위험 예측)

  • Choi, Jong-Kuk;Kim, Ki-Dong;Lee, Sa-Ro;Kim, Il-Soo;Won, Joong-Sun
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.40 no.3 s.184
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we predicted areas vulnerable to ground subsidence near abandoned underground coal mine at Sam-cheok City in Korea using a probability (frequency ratio) model with Geographic Information System (GIS). To extract the factors related to ground subsidence, a spatial database was constructed from a topographical map, geo-logical map, mining tunnel map, land characteristic map, and borehole data on the study area including subsidence sites surveyed in 2000. Eight major factors were extracted from the spatial analysis and the probability analysis of the surveyed ground subsidence sites. We have calculated the decision coefficient ($R^2$) to find out the relationship between eight factors and the occurrence of ground subsidence. The frequency ratio model was applied to deter-mine each factor's relative rating, then the ratings were overlaid for ground subsidence hazard mapping. The ground subsidence hazard map was then verified and compared with the surveyed ground subsidence sites. The results of verification showed high accuracy of 96.05% between the predicted hazard map and the actual ground subsidence sites. Therefore, the quantitative analysis of ground subsidence near abandoned underground coal mine would be possible with a frequency ratio model and a GIS.

BENZENE AND LEUKEMIA An Epidemiologic Risk Assessment

  • Rinsky Robert A.;Smith Alexander B.;Hornung Richard;Filloon Thomas G.;Young Ronald J.;Okun Andrea H.;Landrigan Philip J.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02a
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    • pp.651-657
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    • 1994
  • To assess quantitatively the association between benzene exposure and leukemia, we examined the mortality rate of a cohort with occupational exposure to benzene. Cumulative exposure for each cohort member was estimated from historical air-sampling data and, when no sampling data existed, from interpolation on the basis of existing data. The overall standardized mortality ratio (a measure of relative risk multiplied by 100) for leukemia was 337 (95 percent confidence interval, 154 to 641), and that for multiple myeloma was 409 (95 percent confidence interval, 110 to 1047). With stratification according to levels of cumulative exposure, the standardized mortality ratios for leukemia increased from 109 to 322, 1186, and 6637 with increases in cumulative benzene exposure from less than 40 parts per million-years (ppm-years), to 40 to 199, 200 to 399, and 400 or more. respectively. A cumulative benzene exposure of 400 ppm years is equivalent to a mean annual exposure of 10 ppm over a 40-year working lifetime; 10 ppm is the currently enforceable standard in the United States for occupational exposure to benzene. To examine the shape of the exposure-response relation, we performed a conditional logistic-regression analysis, in which 10 controls were matched to each cohort member with leukemia. From this model, it can be calculated that protection from benzene induced leukemia would increase exponentially with any reduction in the permissible exposure limit.

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Research on the Indices for Demonstrating Cell Conditions

  • Kim, Ik-Hyun;Pan, Sung-Bum
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.324-328
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    • 2012
  • In the past a few decades, various kinds of cells have been examined in laboratories all over the world, and their interesting results have been expressed through various methods in journal publications. For a representative example, the increment or reduction of cell numbers during a bio-related experimental process has been demonstrated using the hazard ratio in survival analysis or in the form of a graph. In addition, the condition of cells such as their normality or abnormality would be indicated by the images of the cell nuclei or membranes treated with proper fluorescent labeling. However, the above methods seem to not be quantitative but rather qualitative assessments, which might be difficult to provide people with the eidetic understanding through parameters or numerical data. With adequate suggestions on any indices enabling the explanation for cell conditions, some analyses may be underestimated due to the lack of objectiveness caused by merely linguistic evaluation for the cell conditions, not numerally scientific interpretation. Therefore, in this study, we would suggest some indices enabling quantitative analysis on the cellular conditions.

Modified Equivalent Radius Approach for Soil Damping Measurement in Torsional Testing

  • Bae, Yoon-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.39-43
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    • 2008
  • Determination of strain associated with shear modulus and damping ratio during torsional test is complicated. This is due to nonuniform stress-strain variation occurring linearly with radius in a soil specimen in torsion. A conventional equivalent radius approach proposed by Chen and Stokoe appears to be adequate for evaluating strain associated with shear modulus at low to intermediate strain levels. This approach is less accurate for damping measurement, particularly at high strain. Modified equivalent radius approach was used to account for the nonuniform stress-strain effect more precisely. The modified equivalent radius approach was applied for hyperbolic, modified hyperbolic, and Ramberg-Osgood models. The results illustrate the usefulness of the modified equivalent radius approach and suggest that using a single value of equivalent radius ratio to calculate strains is not appropriate.

Modified Equivalent Radius Approach in Evaluating Stress-Strain Relationship in Torsional Test

  • Bae, Yoon-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.97-103
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    • 2008
  • Determination of stress-strain relationship in torsional tests is complicated due to nonuniform stress-strain variation occurring linearly with the radius in a soil specimen in torsion. The equivalent radius approach is adequate when calculating strain at low to intermediate strains, however, the approach is less accurate when performing the test at higher strain levels. The modified equivalent radius approach was developed to account for the problem more precisely. This approach was extended to generate the plots of equivalent radius ratio versus strain using modified hyperbolic and Ramberg-Osgood models. Results showed the effects of soil nonlinearity on the equivalent radius ratio curves were observed. Curve fitting was also performed to find the stress-strain relationship by fitting the theoretical torque-rotation relationship to measured torque-rotation relationship.

Probabilistic Landslide Susceptibility Analysis and Verification using GIS and Remote Sensing Data at Penang, Malaysia

  • Lee, S.;Choi, J.;Talib, En. Jasmi Ab
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.129-131
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    • 2003
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the hazard of landslides at Penang, Malaysia, using a Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing. Landslide locations were identified in the study area from interpretation of aerial photographs and field surveys. The topographic and geologic data and satellite image were collected, processed and constructed into a spatial database using GIS and image processing. The used factors that influence landslide occurrence are topographic slope, topographic aspect topographic curv ature and distance from drainage from topographic database, geology and distance from lineament from the geologic database, land use from TM satellite image and vegetation index value from SPOT satellite image. Landslide hazardous area were analysed and mapped using the landslide-occurrence factors by probability - likelihood ratio - method. The results of the analysis were verified using the landslide location data. The validation results showed satisfactory agreement between the hazard map and the existing data on landslide location.

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Association of Congestive Heart Failure and Death with Ankylosing Spondylitis : A Nationwide Longitudinal Cohort Study in Korea

  • Bae, Ki Hwan;Hong, Je Beom;Choi, Yoon Jin;Jung, Jin Hyung;Han, In-Bo;Choi, Jung Min;Sohn, Seil
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2019
  • Objective : We attempted to discover that Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) has a comprehensive relationship with congestive heart failure and death. Methods : We used a nationwide database managed by the Korean National Health Insurance Service from 2010 to 2014. Twelve thousand nine hundred eighty-eight patients with a diagnosis of AS and 64940 age- and sex- stratified matching subjects without AS were enrolled in the AS and control groups. Incidence probabilities of 6 years congestive heart failure and death in each group were calculated. The Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to estimate the hazard ratio. We divided the AS and control groups into subgroups according to sex, age, income, and comorbidities. Results : During the follow-up period, 102 patients (0.79%) in the AS group and 201 patients (0.32%) in the control group developed congestive heart failure (p<0.0001). In addition, 211 (1.62%) subjects in the AS group died during the follow-up period compared to 639 (0.98%) subjects in the control group (p<0.0001). The adjusted hazard ratio of congestive heart failure and death in the AS group was 2.28 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.80-2.89) and 1.66 (95% CI, 1.42-1.95), respectively. The hazard ratios of congestive heart failure and death were significantly increased in all of the subgroups. Conclusion : The incidence rates of congestive heart failure and death were increased in AS patients.

On the comparison of cumulative hazard functions

  • Park, Sangun;Ha, Seung Ah
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.623-633
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes two distance measures between two cumulative hazard functions that can be obtained by comparing their difference and ratio, respectively. Then we estimate the measures and present goodness of t test statistics. Since the proposed test statistics are expressed in terms of the cumulative hazard functions, we can easily give more weights on earlier (or later) departures in cumulative hazards if we like to place an emphasis on earlier (or later) departures. We also show that these test statistics present comparable performances with other well-known test statistics based on the empirical distribution function for an exponential null distribution. The proposed test statistic is an omnibus test which is applicable to other lots of distributions than an exponential distribution.

Quantitative Comparison of Probabilistic Multi-source Spatial Data Integration Models for Landslide Hazard Assessment

  • Park No-Wook;Chi Kwang-Hoon;Chung Chang-Jo F.;Kwon Byung-Doo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.622-625
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents multi-source spatial data integration models based on probability theory for landslide hazard assessment. Four probabilistic models such as empirical likelihood ratio estimation, logistic regression, generalized additive and predictive discriminant models are proposed and applied. The models proposed here are theoretically based on statistical relationships between landslide occurrences and input spatial data sets. Those models especially have the advantage of direct use of continuous data without any information loss. A case study from the Gangneung area, Korea was carried out to quantitatively assess those four models and to discuss operational issues.

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Diagnostics for the Cox model

  • Xue, Yishu;Schifano, Elizabeth D.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.583-604
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    • 2017
  • The most popular regression model for the analysis of time-to-event data is the Cox proportional hazards model. While the model specifies a parametric relationship between the hazard function and the predictor variables, there is no specification regarding the form of the baseline hazard function. A critical assumption of the Cox model, however, is the proportional hazards assumption: when the predictor variables do not vary over time, the hazard ratio comparing any two observations is constant with respect to time. Therefore, to perform credible estimation and inference, one must first assess whether the proportional hazards assumption is reasonable. As with other regression techniques, it is also essential to examine whether appropriate functional forms of the predictor variables have been used, and whether there are any outlying or influential observations. This article reviews diagnostic methods for assessing goodness-of-fit for the Cox proportional hazards model. We illustrate these methods with a case-study using available R functions, and provide complete R code for a simulated example as a supplement.