• Title/Summary/Keyword: hazard analysis(HA)

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A Reliability Analysis of a Guyed Tower (Guyed Tower의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Tae-B.,Ha;Hang-S.,Choi
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 1987
  • As offshore activities move into deeper ocean, conventional fixed-base platforms drastically increase in size and cost, One of alternatives available is a guyed tower, in which environmental loads are supported by guylines instead of structural members. The guying system of the guyed tower is designed on one hand to be stiff enough to limit the structural displacement in normal operations, but on the other hand to be soft enough to permit large slow sways during the presence of design-level storms. This compliancy provides an efficient means of withstanding harsh environment so that the disproportionate increase in size of deep water platforms can be kept to a rational limit. Novel configurations contain always some degrees of potential risks mainly due to the lack of experience. The most critical hazard inherent to a guyed tower may be the pullout of anchor piles. Once it happens, the guyline fails to function and it may eventually lead to the total collapse of the system. It is the aim of this paper to discuss and quantify the anchor-pullout risk of a guyed tower. A stochastic analysis is made for evaluating the first-upcrossing probability of the tension acting on anchor piles over the uplift capacity. Nonlinearities involved in the mooring stiffness and hydrodynamics are taken into account by using time-domain analysis. A simplified two dimensional dynamic model is developed to exemplify the underlying concept. Real hurricane data in the Gulf of Mexico spanning over 70 years are incorporated in a numerical example of which result clearly indicates highly potential risk of anchor pullout.

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Application of Conditional Spectra to Seismic Fragility Assessment for an NPP Containment Building based on Nonlinear Dynamic Analysis (조건부스펙트럼을 적용한 원전 격납건물의 비선형 동적 해석 기반 지진취약도평가)

  • Shin, Dong-Hyun;Park, Ji-Hun;Jeon, Seong-Ha
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2021
  • Conditional spectra (CS) are applied to the seismic fragility assessment of a nuclear power plant (NPP) containment building for comparison with a relevant conventional uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS). Three different control frequencies are considered in developing conditional spectra. The contribution of diverse magnitudes and epicentral distances is identified from deaggregation for the UHRS at a control frequency and incorporated into the conditional spectra. A total of 30 ground motion records are selected and scaled to simulate the probability distribution of each conditional spectra, respectively. A set of lumped mass stick models for the containment building are built considering nonlinear bending and shear deformation and uncertainty in modeling parameters using the Latin hypercube sampling technique. Incremental dynamic analysis is conducted for different seismic input models in order to estimate seismic fragility functions. The seismic fragility functions and high confidence of low probability of failure (HCLPF) are calculated for different seismic input models and analyzed comparatively.

Investigation of the Level of Microbial Contamination in the Environment for Juice Production (생딸기 주스 제조 환경에서의 미생물학적 오염도 조사)

  • Kim, Se-Ri;Shim, Won-Bo;Park, Seon-Ja;Ha, Kwang-Soo;Yoon, Hae-Suk;Ha, Sang-Do;Kim, Keun-Sung;Lee, Kyu-Ho;Kim, Min-Gon;Kim, Kwang-Yup;Kim, Cheol-Ho;Chung, Duck-Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2005
  • Microbial contamination levels in commercial strawberry juices were examined for sanitary indication bacteria, such as aerobic plate count (APC), coliforms, and Escherchia coli, and pathogenic bacteria such as E. coli O157:H7, Salmonella spp., Staphylococcus aureus, and Listeria monocytogenes. APC and coliform count ranged 0-5.2 and $0-2.8\;log_{10}\;CFU/(mL,\;g,\;100cm^{2},\;hand)$, respectively, and 80% strawberry juices were contaminated with E. coli and S. aureus, detected at 19%, was found in employee's hands, strawberries, and strawberry juices, whereas E. coli O157:H7, Salmonella spp, and L. monocytogenes were not detected. These results will provide microbiological information for introduction of Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point (HACCP) system in juice shops.

Fitting competing risks models using medical big data from tuberculosis patients (전국 결핵 신환자 의료빅데이터를 이용한 경쟁위험모형 적합)

  • Kim, Gyeong Dae;Noh, Maeng Seok;Kim, Chang Hoon;Ha, Il Do
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2018
  • Tuberculosis causes high morbidity and mortality. However, Korea still has the highest tuberculosis (TB) incidence and mortality among OECD countries despite decreasing incidence and mortality due to the development of modern medicine. Korea has now implemented various policy projects to prevent and control tuberculosis. This study analyzes the effects of public-private mix (PPM) tuberculosis control program on treatment outcomes and identifies the factors that affecting the success of TB treatment. We analyzed 130,000 new tuberculosis patient cohort from 2012 to 2015 using data of tuberculosis patient reports managed by the Disease Control Headquarters. A cumulative incidence function (CIF) compared the cumulative treatment success rates for each factor. We compared the results of the analysis using two popular types of competition risk models (cause-specific Cox's proportional hazards model and subdistribution hazard model) that account for the main event of interest (treatment success) and competing events (death).

A Study on Traffic Impact Assessment Method using Microscopic Simulation Model (미시적 교통류 시뮬레이션을 활용한 교통영향평가 분석기법 개선방안)

  • Shin, Dae-Sup;Lee, Seon-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2008
  • Traffic flow which is prescribed under previous traffic effect/access act is analyzed by traffic volume, V/C, mean speed on road and LOS on the intersection. These indexes based on analytical method can not consider stochastic characteristics of traffic flow. Moreover it is hard to analyze traffic flow visually in whole traffic effect area because only individual road and intersections are targeted. In this study, it is devised to show traffic flow analysis method within traffic effect area visually applying microscopic-simulation by car-following theory, and then based on this, effect analyze ways are studied according to space range plan, improvement measure establishment and etc. To execute this study, effect area is set up using V/C, and the change of traffic current around development area is analyzed using microscopic-simulation program.

Assessment of Dietary Exposure to Toxic Heavy Metals from Edible Seaweeds in Korea (다소비 해조류 섭취에 의한 유해중금속의 식이노출평가)

  • Kang, Eun Hye;Hong, Do Hee;Park, Ji-In;Lee, Ka Jeong;Jo, Mi Ra;Yu, Hongsik;Ha, Kwang Soo;Son, Kwang Tae;Yoon, Minchul
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.836-843
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    • 2022
  • In the present study, exposure to heavy metals by consumption of edible seaweeds (green laver, laver, hijiki, sea tangle, and sea mustard) was assessed based on their concentrations of lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd), arsenic (As), and mercury (Hg). The mean of heavy metal concentrations were 0.006-0.023 mg/kg for Pb, 0.037-0.156 mg/kg for Cd, 1.117-15.928 mg/kg for As, and 0.008-0.021 mg/kg for Hg. In multivariate analysis, the correlations were high between Pb levels in sea mustard, Cb levels in laver, and As and Hg level in Hijiki. However, the estimated daily intake and target hazard quotient (THQ) of the heavy metals in edible seaweeds were below their approved limits suggesting no health risks associated with seaweed consumption by Koreans.

Seismic Fragility Assessment for Korean High-Rise Non-Seismic RC Shear Wall Apartment Buildings (국내 고층 비내진 철근콘크리트 벽식 아파트의 지진취약도 평가)

  • Jeon, Seong-Ha;Shin, Dong-Hyun;Park, Ji-Hun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2020
  • Seismic fragility was assessed for non-seismic reinforced concrete shear walls in Korean high-rise apartment buildings in order to implement an earthquake damage prediction system. Seismic hazard was defined with an earthquake scenario, in which ground motion intensity was varied with respect to prescribed seismic center distances given an earthquake magnitude. Ground motion response spectra were computed using Korean ground motion attenuation equations to match accelerograms. Seismic fragility functions were developed using nonlinear static and dynamic analysis for comparison. Differences in seismic fragility between damage state criteria including inter-story drifts and the performance of individual structural members were investigated. The analyzed building had an exceptionally long period for the fundamental mode in the longitudinal direction and corresponding contribution of higher modes because of a prominently insufficient wall quantity in such direction. The results showed that nonlinear static analyses based on a single mode tend to underestimate structural damage. Moreover, detailed assessments of structural members are recommended for seismic fragility assessment of a relatively low performance level such as collapse prevention. On the other hand, inter-story drift is a more appropriate criterion for a relatively high performance level such as immediate occupancy.

Risk Prediction Process for Access to Hazard Workplaces in Construction Sites (건설현장 내 위험작업구역 접근 시 위험도 예측 프로세스)

  • Ha, Min-woo;Cho, Yu-jin;Son, Seok-hyun;Han, Seung-woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.69-70
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    • 2020
  • Accidents in the construction industry are very high compared to other industries, and the number is also increasing steeply every year. Relevant studies were limited for solving the problems. The purpose of this study is to develop a comprehensive risk prediction process for personnel deployed at construction sites on safety management. First of all, the variables were divided into fixed, real-time and working types variables, and the relevant comprehensive data were collected. Second, the probability of a disaster was derived based on the collected data, and weights for each variable were calculated using the dummy regression analysis method using statistical methodology. Lastly, the resulting weighting and disaster probability equation was constructed, and The Final Risk Calculation Formula was developed. The Final Risk Calculation Formula presented in this study is expected to have a significant impact on the establishment of effective safety management measures to prevent possible safety accidents at construction sites

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Development of a Hydrograph Triggered by Earth-Dam-Break for Compiling a Flood Hazard Map (홍수위험지도 작성을 위한 댐 붕괴 지점에서의 유량곡선 산정)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha;Kim, Sung-Wook;Yu, Soonyoung;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Cho, Jinwoo;Kim, Jin-Man
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.381-387
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    • 2013
  • In compiling flood hazard maps for the case of dam-failure, a scenario-based numerical modeling approach is commonly used, involving the modeling of important parameters that capture peak discharge, such as breach formation and progress. In this study, an earth-dam-break model is constructed assuming an identical mechanism and hydraulic process for all dam-break processes. A focus of the analysis is estimation of the hydrograph at the outlet as a function of time. The constructed hydrograph then serves as an upper boundary condition in running the flood routing model downstream, although flood routing is not considered here. Validation was performed using the record of the Tangjishan dam-break in China. The results were satisfactory, with a coefficient of determination of 0.974, Nash-Sutcliffe Coefficient of Efficiency (NSC) of 0.94, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of $610m^3/sec$. The proposed model will contribute to assessments of potential flood hazards caused by dam-break.

Development of a Raster-based Two-dimensional Flood Inundation Model (래스터 기반의 2차원 홍수범람 모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Gi-Ha;Lee, Seung-Soo;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2010
  • The past researches on flood inundation simulation mainly focused on development of numerical models based on unstructured mesh networks to improve model performances. However, despite the accurate simulation results, such models are not suitable for real-time flood inundation forecasting due to a huge computational burden in terms of geographic data processing. In addition, even though various types of vector and raster data are available to be compatible with flood inundation models for post-processes such as flood hazard mapping and flood inundation risk analysis, the unstructured mesh-based models are not effective to fully use such information due to data incommensurability. Therefore, this study aims to develop a raster-based two-dimensional inundation model; it guarantees computational efficiency because of direct application of DEM for flood inundation modeling and also has a good compatibility with various types of raster data, compared to a commercial model such as FLUMEN. We applied the model to simulate the BaekSan levee break in the Nam river during a flood period from August 10 to 13, 2002. The simulation results showed a good agreement with the field-surveyed inundation area and were also very similar with results from the FLUMEN. Moreover, the model provided physically-acceptable velocity vectors with respect to inundating and returning flows due to the difference of water level between channel and lowland.