• 제목/요약/키워드: growth point

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On Parameter Estimation of Growth Curves for Technological Forecasting by Using Non-linear Least Squares

  • Ko, Young-Hyun;Hong, Seung-Pyo;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 2008
  • Growth curves including Bass, Logistic and Gompertz functions are widely used in forecasting the market demand. Nonlinear least square method is often adopted for estimating the model parameters but it is difficult to set up the starting value for each parameter. If a wrong starting point is selected, the result may lead to erroneous forecasts. This paper proposes a method of selecting starting values for model parameters in estimating some growth curves by nonlinear least square method through grid search and transformation into linear regression model. Resealing the market data using the national economic index makes it possible to figure out the range of parameters and to utilize the grid search method. Application to some real data is also included, where the performance of our method is demonstrated.

Oil consumption and economic growth: A panel data analysis

  • Lim, Kyoung-Min;Lim, Seul-Ye;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.66-71
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    • 2014
  • Oil is obviously vital for economic growth and industry development. This paper attempts to explore whether or not there is a inverted-U relationship between oil consumption and economic growth. To this end, we employ a panel data analysis with fixed effect or random effect models using the set of data from 61 countries for the year 1990-2008. In conclusion, a statistically significant inverted-U relationship between per capita consumption of oil and per capita GDP is found. However, the level of per capita GDP at the peak point of per capita oil consumption is estimated to be 65,072 in 2005 international constant dollars, which is much larger than economic scales of sampled countries. Thus, as per capita GDP grows, per capita oil consumption is predicted to increase until eventually reaching the peak.

MULTIPLICITY RESULTS FOR NONLINEAR SCHRÖDINGER-POISSON SYSTEMS WITH SUBCRITICAL OR CRITICAL GROWTH

  • Guo, Shangjiang;Liu, Zhisu
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.247-262
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we consider the following $Schr{\ddot{o}}dinger$-Poisson system: $$\{\begin{array}{lll}-{\Delta}u+u+{\lambda}{\phi}u={\mu}f(u)+{\mid}u{\mid}^{p-2}u,\;\text{ in }{\Omega},\\-{\Delta}{\phi}=u^2,\;\text{ in }{\Omega},\\{\phi}=u=0,\;\text{ on }{\partial}{\Omega},\end{array}$$ where ${\Omega}$ is a smooth and bounded domain in $\mathbb{R}^3$, $p{\in}(1,6]$, ${\lambda}$, ${\mu}$ are two parameters and $f:\mathbb{R}{\rightarrow}\mathbb{R}$ is a continuous function. Using some critical point theorems and truncation technique, we obtain three multiplicity results for such a problem with subcritical or critical growth.

복수 표면피로균열의 성장합체거동과 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구 (Fatigue Crack Growth, Coalescence Behavior and Its Simulation on Multi-Surface Cracks)

  • 서창민;황남성;박명규
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.716-728
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, fatigue tests were carried out to study the behavior of growth and coalescence of multi-surface cracks which were initiated at the semi-circular surface notches, and a simulation program was developed to predict their growth and coalescence behavior. By comparing the experimental result with those of the simulation based on SPC(surface point connection), ASME and BSI(British Standards Institution) conditions, we tried to enhance the reliance and integrity of structures. This shows that the simulation result has utility for fatigue life prediction.

인공토양을 이용한 옥수수와 콩의 생육 연구 (Study on the Grow of Corn and Soybean in Artificial Soil)

  • 김선주
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2000
  • Sludge is generated in the process of water and wastewater treatment, and it has been causing various environmental problems. From this point of view, recycling of sludge appears to be the best way. The firing technology in pottery industry is applied to the sludge treatment , and the final product is called artificial soil. The effect of mixed artificial soil with upland soil was investigated through the crop growth experiment and the physical & chemical characteristics of the mixed soils were analyses. After the growth experiment , mixed soil plots contained more CEC, OM, TN, TP than upland soil plots. This result shows that the artificial soil produced form sludge can be mixed with upland soil, and crop can be increased. From the growth analysis, growth of soybean and corn in the mixed soil plots was better than that in the original upland soil plots. Heavy metals contents in the mixed soil plots were within the quality standard. This is a promising result since in most cases heavy metals are the most concern in the application of sludge product to farmland.

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크라이신 7-O-크로토네이트의 물성 및 육모효과 (Properties and Hair-growth Effect of Chrysin 7-O-crotonate)

  • 신준수;김연희;정재훈;김양배;김박광
    • 약학회지
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.316-319
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    • 1999
  • Chrysin 7-Ο-crotonate was synthesized by condensing crotonic acid with chrysin in organic solvent, tetrahydrofuran (THF) using dicyclohexylcarbodiimide (DCC) and 4-dimethylaminopyridine (DMAP). Its structure was indentified by NMR, MS, UV, IR etc. We also investigated the physico-chemical properties and set up the quantitative anytical method of this compound. The correlation coefficient of calibration curve measured at the isobestic point (340 nm) on this compound was approximately 0.9994 by absorption spetrophtometry. Detection limit was 1.6ng at S/N=3 by using a RP column by HPLC. The hair growth effect fo chrysin 7-Ο-crotonate on the hair of black mouse (C57BL/6), was carried out using paste method. When its ethanol solution was administered to this black mouse by route of skin, this compound promoted the growth of hair.

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Streptomyces fradiae에서 대사중간산물 이용속도에 의한 균체 성장과 tylosin 생합성의 조절 (Regulation of Cell Growth and Tylosin Biosynthesis through Flux Control of Metabolic Intermediate in Streptomyces fradiae)

  • 강현아;이계준
    • 미생물학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 1987
  • 배지성분으로 첨가된 glutamate의 농도가 균의성장고 tylosin 생합성에 미치는 영향을 조사하였다. 그 결과 oxaloacetate를 공동기질로 사용하는 효소의 활성에 의하여 균의 성장과 tylosin의 생합성이 조절됨을 알았다. 즉, citrate synthase와 aspartate aminotransferase의 활성은 균의 성장에 아주 긴요하며 methylmalonyl-CoA carboxytransferase의 활성은 tylosin 생합성에 아주 중요한 효소임을 알았다. Glutamate의 농도는 우의 효소의 활성에 직접적으로 영향을 주고 있음을 알았다.

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완전제어형 식물공장에서 퀴노아 (Chenopodium quinoa Willd.)의 생장을 예측하기 위한 모델 개발 (Development of Models for Estimating Growth of Quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd.) in a Closed-Type Plant Factory System)

  • 오스틴 지라파;조영열
    • 생물환경조절학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.326-331
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    • 2018
  • 작물 생육 모델은 작물의 생육을 이해하고 통합하기 위해 유용한 도구이다. 완전제어형 식물공장에서 엽채류로 활용하기 위한 퀴노아(Chenopodium quinoa Willd.)의 초장, 광합성률, 생장 모델을 예측하기 위한 모델을 1차식, 2차식 및 비선형 및 선형지수 등식을 사용하여 개발하였다. 식물 생육과 수량은 정식 후 5일간격으로 측정하였다. 광합성과 생장 곡선 모델을 계산하였다. 초장과 정식 후 일수(DAT)간의 선형 및 곡선 관계를 얻었으나, 초장을 정확하게 예측하기 위한 모델은 선형 등식이었다. 광합성률 모델을 비선형 등식을 선택하였다. 광보상점, 광포화점, 및 호흡률은 각각 29, 813 and $3.4{\mu}mol{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}s^{-1}$였다. 지상부 생체중과 건물중은 선형관계를 보였다. 지상부 건물중의 회귀계수는 0.75 ($R^2=0.921^{***}$)였다. 선형지수 수식을 사용하여 시간 함수에 따른 퀴노아의 지상부 건물중 증가를 비선형 회귀식으로 수행하였다. 작물생장률과 상대생장률은 각각 $22.9g{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}d^{-1}$ and $0.28g{\cdot}g^{-1}{\cdot}d^{-1}$였다. 이러한 모델들은 정확하게 퀴노아의 초장, 광합성률, 지상부 생체중과 건물중을 예측할 수 있다.

A METHODOLOGY TO EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF REGIONAL SCALE FOR NON-POINT SOURCE LOADS

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Choi, Jae-Young
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.194-200
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the population growth, industrial and agricultural development are rapidly undergoing in the Lower Rio Grande Valley (LRGV) in Texas. The Lower Rio Grande Valley (LRGV) composed of the 4 counties and three of them are interesting for Non-point and point source pollutant modeling: Starr, Cameron, and Hidalgo. Especially, the LRGV is an intensively irrigation region, and Texas A&M University Agriculture Program and the New Mexico State University College of Agriculture applied irrigation district program, projects in GIS and Hydrology based agricultural water management systems and assessment of prioritized protecting stream network, water quality and rehabilitation based on water saving potential in Rio Grande River. In the LRGV region, where point and non-point sources of pollution may be a big concern, because increasing fertilizers and pesticides use and population cause. This project objective seeks to determine the accumulation of non-point and point source and discuss the main impacts of agriculture and environmental concern with water quality related to pesticides, fertilizer, and nutrients within LRGV region. The GIS technique is widely used and developed for the assessment of non-point source pollution in LRGV region. This project shows the losses in $kg/km^2/yr$ of BOD (Biological Oxygen Demand), TN (total Nitrogen) and TP (total phosphorus) in the runoff from the surface of LRGV. Especially, farmers in Cameron County consume a lot of fertilizer and pesticide to improve crop yield net profit. Then, this region can be created as larger nonpoint source area for nutrients and the intensity of runoff by excess irrigation water. And many sediment and used irrigation water with including high nutrients can be discharged into Rio Grade River.

A Study of Sales Increase and/or Decrease by Campaign Using a Differential Equation Model of the Growth Phenomenon

  • Horinouchi, Kunihito;Takabayashi, Naoki;Yamamoto, Hisashi;Ohba, Masaaki
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.289-296
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    • 2014
  • With society becoming more advanced and complex, the required management engineering makes essential the development of human resources that can propose solutions for problems of new phenomena from a different perspective. As an example of such phenomena, we note a consumer electronics 'Eco-point' system campaign in this study. To mitigate global warming, revitalize the economy, and encourage the adoption of terrestrial digital compatible TVs, the consumer electronics Eco-point system campaign was implemented in May 2009 in Japan. In this study, we note a model which is constant term with exponential curve with notion of the growth phenomenon (Nakagiri and Kurita, Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan, 2002). In our study, we call this model the 'differential equation model of the growth phenomenon.' This model represents a phenomenon with a hierarchical structure for capturing the properties of n species. In this study, we propose a new model which can represent not only the impact of largescale campaigns but also seasonal factors. Accordingly, we understand the phenomenon of fluctuation of sales of some products caused by large-scale campaigns and predict the fluctuation of sales. The final goal of this study is to develop human resources that can propose provision and solution for pre-consumption and reactionary decline in demand by understanding the impact of large-scale campaigns. As the first step of this goal, our objective is to propose a new regression method with different conventional perspective that can describe the fluctuation of sales caused by large-scale campaigns and show the possibility of new management engineering education.