• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth modeling

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Bayesian model updating for the corrosion fatigue crack growth rate of Ni-base alloy X-750

  • Yoon, Jae Young;Lee, Tae Hyun;Ryu, Kyung Ha;Kim, Yong Jin;Kim, Sung Hyun;Park, Jong Won
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.304-313
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    • 2021
  • Nickel base Alloy X-750, which is used as fastener parts in light-water reactor (LWR), has experienced many failures by environmentally assisted cracking (EAC). In order to improve the reliability of passive components for nuclear power plants (NPP's), it is necessary to study the failure mechanism and to predict crack growth behavior by developing a probabilistic failure model. In this study, The Bayesian inference was employed to reduce the uncertainties contained in EAC modeling parameters that have been established from experiments with Alloy X-750. Corrosion fatigue crack growth rate model (FCGR) was developed by fitting into Paris' Law of measured data from the several fatigue tests conducted either in constant load or constant ΔK mode. These parameters characterizing the corrosion fatigue crack growth behavior of X-750 were successfully updated to reduce the uncertainty in the model by using the Bayesian inference method. It is demonstrated that probabilistic failure models for passive components can be developed by updating a laboratory model with field-inspection data, when crack growth rates (CGRs) are low and multiple inspections can be made prior to the component failure.

The Effect of Amount and Interaction Styles of Maternal Inputs on Early Vocabulary Acquisition : A Longitudinal Multilevel Modeling Perspective (어휘 습득에서 어머니의 언어적 입력의 양과 상호작용 유형의 영향 : 다층 모형의 적용)

  • Chang-Song, You-Kyung;Hong, Sehee;Lee, Keunyoung
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.109-126
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    • 2007
  • A sample of 322 18-month-old infants and their mothers were assessed longitudinally at 24 and 30 months. Maternal utterances and styles of linguistic interaction were measured during a 10 minute free play session. Mothers completed a vocabulary checklist for infants. Longitudinal data were analyzed by multilevel modeling. Results indicated that vocabulary increased with age of infants and the growth rate was highly predictable by the size of vocabulary at 18 months. The growth rate was strongly influenced by maternal questioning and feedback. The effect of the maternal linguistic input was constant with age. Gender differences in size of vocabulary did not vary systematically with age.

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Control system modeling of stock management for civil infrastructure

  • Abe, Masato
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.609-625
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    • 2015
  • Management of infrastructure stock is essential in sustainability of society, and its analysis and optimization are studied in the light of control system modeling in this paper. At the first part of the paper, cost of stock management is analyzed based on macroscopic statistics on infrastructure stock and economical growth. Stock management burden relative to economy is observed to become larger at low economic growth periods in developed economies. Then, control system modeling of stock management is introduced and by augmenting maintenance actions as control input, dynamic behavior of stock is simulated and compared with existing time history statistics. Assuming steady state conditions, applicability of the model to cross sectional data is also demonstrated. The proposed model is enhanced so that both preventive and corrective maintenance can be included as system inputs, i.e., feedforward and feedback control inputs. Optimal management strategy to achieve specified deteriorated stock level with minimal cost, expressed in terms of preventive and corrective maintenance actions, is derived based on estimated parameter values for corrosion of steel bridges. Relative cost effectiveness of preventive maintenance is shown when target deteriorated stock level is lower.

Modeling and Analysis of Extractive Butanol Fermentation with Pervaporation (투과증발을 이용한 부탄올 추출발효 시스템의 모델링과 분석)

  • 김성훈;박창호
    • KSBB Journal
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.529-536
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    • 2000
  • Results from experiments and mathematical modeling were compared for pervaporative butanol fermentation. The developed model includes expressions to predict characteristics of butanol fermentation, such as, microbial growth, solvent (butanol, acetone, and ethanol) formation and organic acid (acetate and butyrate) production. Butanol diffusivity was 1.15${\times}$10(sup)-7 ㎡/hr at 1.5 L/min-tubing of air flow rate using a pervaporative module. The model correlated well with experimental results (cell growth, glucose consumption and concentrations of solvents and organic acids) for batch fermentation with and without pervaporation. Larger surface area and thinner module tubing resulted in an increased glucose consumption and a decreased residual butanol concentration. Optimum membrane area and thickness were 0.34 ㎡ and 120 $\mu\textrm{m}$, respectively.

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Shelf-life Estimation of Frankfurter Sausage Containing Dietary Fiber from Rice Bran Using Predictive Modeling (예측미생물을 이용한 미강식이섬유 함유 프랑크푸르터 소시지의 유통기한 설정)

  • Heo, Chan;Kim, Hyoun-Wook;Choi, Yun-Sang;Kim, Cheon-Jei;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2009
  • Predictive modeling was applied to study the growth of microorganisms related to spoilage in frankfurter sausage containing various levels of dietary fiber (0, 1, 2, and 3%) from rice bran and to estimate its shelf-life. Using the Baranyi model, total viable cells, anaerobic and psychrotrophic bacteria were measured during 35 days of cold storage ($<4{\pm}1^{\circ}C$). The lag times (LT) demonstrated by control and treatment groups were 6.28, 623, 6.24, and 6.25 days, respectively. The growth rate of total viable cells in each group were 0.95, 0.91, 0.92, and 0.91 (Log CFU/g/day), respectively. The anaerobic and psychrotrophic bacteria had lower initial ($y_0$) and maximal bacterial counts ($y_{max}$) than total viable cells. Also, the anaerobic and psychrotrophic bacteria possessed lower growth rate and longer lag time than total viable cells. The estimated shelf-life of frankfurter containing rice bran fiber by the growth rate of total viable cells was 7.8, 7.9, 7.9, and 7.7 days, respectively. There were no significant differences in shelf-life as a function of fiber content. In other words, the addition of dietary fiber in sausage did not show the critically hazardous results in growth of microorganism. The 12 predictive models were then characterized by high $R^2$, and small RMSE. Furthermore, $B_f$ and $A_f$ values showed a very close relationship between the predictive and observed data.

Viscoelastic constitutive modeling of asphalt concrete with growing damage

  • Lee, Hyun-Jong;Kim, Y. Richard;Kim, Sun-Hoon
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.225-240
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a mechanistic approach to uniaxial viscoelastic constitutive modeling of asphalt concrete that accounts for damage evolution under cyclic loading conditions. An elasticviscoelastic correspondence principle in terms of pseudo variables is applied to separately evaluate viscoelasticity and time-dependent damage growth in asphalt concrete. The time-dependent damage growth in asphalt concrete is modeled by using a damage parameter based on a generalization of microcrack growth law. Internal state variables that describe the hysteretic behavior of asphalt concrete are determined. A constitutive equation in terms of stress and pseudo strain is first established for controlled-strain mode and then transformed to a controlled-stress constitutive equation by simply replacing physical stress and pseudo strain with pseudo stress and physical strain. Tensile uniaxial fatigue tests are performed under the controlled-strain mode to determine model parameters. The constitutive equations in terms of pseudo strain and pseudo stress satisfactorily predict the constitutive behavior of asphalt concrete all the way up to failure under controlled-strain and -stress modes, respectively.

An advanced single-particle model for C3S hydration - validating the statistical independence of model parameters

  • Biernacki, Joseph J.;Gottapu, Manohar
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.989-999
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    • 2015
  • An advanced continuum-based multi-physical single particle model was recently introduce for the hydration of tricalcium silicate ($C_3S$). In this model, the dissolution and the precipitation events are modeled as two different yet simultaneous chemical reactions. Product precipitation involves a nucleation and growth mechanism wherein nucleation is assumed to happen only at the surface of the unreacted core and product growth is characterized via a two-step densification mechanism having rapid growth of a low density initial product followed by slow densification. Although this modeling strategy has been shown to nicely mimic all stages of $C_3S$ hydration - dissolution, dormancy (induction), the onset of rapid hydration, the transition to slow hydration and prolonged reaction - the major criticism is that many adjustable parameters are required. If formulated correctly, however, the model parameters are shown here to be statistically independent and significant.

A Modeling of Flame Initiation and Its Development in SI Engines (SI 기관에서 초기 화염의 생성 및 성장에 대한 모델링)

  • Song, Jeonghoon;Sunwoo, Myoungho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 1999
  • In spark ignited engines, the electrical spark not only sets the time for the onset of combustion but also is able to greatly influence the character of the initial flame growth and the subsequent combustion, and thereby can influence engine performance. The relative importance of the ignition energy is particularly high under lean or high residual gas or exhaust gas recirculation (EGR). In this study, a modeling of flame Initiation and its development is proposed. Submodels consist in representing of cylinder pressure and temperature, heat transfer to cylinder wall, and flame kernel heat transfer to ambient air and to spark plug electrodes. The breakdown process and the subsequent electrical power input initially control the kernel growth while intermediate growth is mainly dominated by diffusion or conduction. Then, the flame propagates by the chemical energy, and laminar and turbulent flame velocity.

Estimation of Software Reliability with Multiple Errors (다중오류들을 갖는 소프트웨어 신뢰성의 추정)

  • Lee, In-Suk;Jung, Won-Tae;Jeong, Hye-Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, we consider possibility that the multiple errors occur in each testing stage. At present, software reliability modeling is considered as a part of software reliability quality assurance in software engineering. However they dealt with the software growth model for the single error debugging at each testing stage until now. Hence it is necessary to study software reliability with multiple errors debugging. Therefore we propose software reliability growth modeling and estimate the parameters in the proposed software reliability growth model for the multiple errors debugging at each testing stage.

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Analysis of a crop growth model using Unified Modeling Language

  • Kim, Kwang Soo;Kim, Do-Gyeom;Kim, Sey Hyun;Hwang, Grim;Jeong, Haneul
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.12-14
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    • 2011
  • Crop growth simulation models have been developed as research and management tools. When these models are needed to incorporate new knowledge on phenology and physiology of crops, programming languages have been used for development and documentation of these models. However, researchers may have limited skill in programming languages. Furthermore, software developer may find it challenging to improve the crop models because documentation of the models are rarely available. The Unified Modeling Language (UML) can provide a simple approach for development and documentation of model. A template for implementation of the model can be obtained using the UML, which would facilitate code re-use and model improvement.

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