• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth and yield model

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A Growth and Yield Model for Predicting Both Forest Stumpage and Mill Side Manufactured Product Yields and Economics

  • Schultz Emily B.;Matney Thomas G.
    • 한국펄프종이공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국펄프종이공학회 2006년도 PAN PACIFIC CONFERENCE vol.2
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    • pp.305-309
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents and illustrates the application of a growth and yield model that supports both forest and mill side volume and value estimates. Traditional forest stand growth and yield models represent the forest landowner view of yield and economics. Predicted yields are estimates of what one would expect from a procurement cruise, and current stumpage prices are applied to investigate optimum management strategies. Optimum management regimes and rotation ages obtained from the forest side view are unlikely to be economically optimal when viewed from the mill side. The actual distribution of recoverable manufactured product and its value are highly dependent on mill technologies and configurations. Overcoming this limitation of growth and yield computer models necessitates the ability to predict and price the expected manufactured distribution of lumber, lineal meters of veneer, and tonnes of air dried pulp fiber yield. With these embedded models, users of the yield simulator can evaluate the economics of possible/feasible management regimes from both the forest and mill business sides. The simulator is a forest side model that has been modified to produce estimates of manufactured product yields by embedding models for 1) pulpwood chip size class distribution and pulp yield for any kappa number (Schultz and Matney, 2002), 2) a lumber yield and pricing model based on the Best Opening Face model developed by the USDA Forest Service Forest Products Laboratory (Lewis, 1985a and Lewis, 1985b), and 3) a lineal meter veneer model derived from peeler block tests. While the model is strictly applicable to planted loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) on cutover site-prepared land in the United States (US) Gulf South, the model and computer program are adaptable to any region and forest type.

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수도성장 및 수량예측을 위한 동적모형 SIMRIW의 적용 (Application of Dynamic Model SIMRIW for Predicting the Growth and Yield of Rice)

  • 이남호
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 1993
  • A simplified physiologically-based dynamic model, SIMRIW was selected for predicting the growth and yield of rice. The applicability of the model to the rice cultivars and weather conditions in the Republic of Korea was evaluated. Parameters of the model were calibrated using actual rice yields in Suweon region and an optimization scheme, Constrained Rosenbrock Algorithm. The simulated results from the calibrated model were in good agreement with the field data. The model with parameters calibrated for Suweon was applied to other five regions for the evaluation of transferability, but the simulated results fell short of satisfaction. However, the model is found to be applied to real-time prediction of the growth and yield of rice crop, which is believed to be useful for timely rice crop management, agricultural policy making, and optimal irrigation water management.

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생육정보를 이용한 가을배추와 가을무 단수 예측 모형 개발 (Development of Yield Forecast Models for Autumn Chinese Cabbage and Radish Using Crop Growth and Development Information)

  • 이춘수;양성범
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2017
  • This study suggests the yield forecast models for autumn chinese cabbage and radish using crop growth and development information. For this, we construct 24 alternative yield forecast models and compare the predictive power using root mean square percentage errors. The results shows that the predictive power of model including crop growth and development informations is better than model which does not include those informations. But the forecast errors of best forecast models exceeds 5%. Thus it is important to establish reliable data and improve forecast models.

Approximate Yield Criterion for Voided Anisotropic Ductile Materials

  • Kim, Youngsuk;Sungyeun Won;Kim, Dogsoo;Hyunsung Son
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.1349-1355
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    • 2001
  • As most fractures of ductile materials in metal forming processes occurred due to the results of evolution of internal damage - void nucleation, growth and coalescence. In this paper, an approximate yield criterion for voided (porous) anisotropic ductile materials is developed. The proposed approximate yield function is based on Gurson's yield function in conjunction with the Hosford's non-quadratic anisotropic yield criterion in order to consider the characteristic of anisotropic properties of matrix material. The associated flow rules are presented and the laws governing void growth with strain are derided. Using the proposed model void growth of an anisotropic sheet under biaxial tensile loading and its effect on sheet metal formability are investigated. The yield surface of voided anisotropic sheet and void growth with strain are predicted and compared with the experimental results.

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피나무의 임지생산력지수 및 임분수확모델 개발 (Development of a Site Productivity Index and Yield Prediction Model for a Tilia amurensis Stand)

  • 김소라;임종수;이선정;송정은;이혜림;손영모
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제112권2호
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 국가산림자원조사 자료를 활용하여 피나무림의 임지생산력지수와 수확예측모델을 도출하기 위하여 수행되었다. 피나무의 임지생산력을 알 수 있는 지위지수는 Schumacher 모델로서 파라미터를 도출하였으며, 이 결과로서 지위지수분류곡선도를 작성하였다. 국내 피나무림 지위지수 분포는 8~16 범위에 있는 것으로 나타났다. 임령을 설명변수로하여 흉고직경과 수고를 추정하는 생장모델은 Chapman-Richards 모델과 Weibull 모델을 이용하여 각각 도출하였다. 추정 모델의 적합도는 각각 0.32, 0.11로 나타나 일반적으로 볼 때 낮은 값이었으나, 추정식의 잔차가 "0"을 중심으로 고르게 분포하여 식을 적용하는데는 문제가 없을 것으로 판단되었다. 피나무림의 임분축적 변화에는 흉고단면적과 지위지수가 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이 두 가지 인자를 적용시켜 피나무림의 수확모델을 도출하였으며, 모델에 대한 설명력은 약 94%로 높게 나타났다. 그리고 이들 수확모델의 잔차에 대한 정규성 및 자기상관 등에 대해서도 검증한 결과 문제가 없는 것으로 나타났다. 최종적으로 피나무림의 생장모델과 수확모델을 이용하여 임시로 활용할 수 있는 임분수확표를 제작하였으며, 이 자료에 의하면 피나무림이 70년생이 될 때, ha당 축적은 약 208 m3 이 될 것으로 예측되었다. 본 연구의 결과가 밀원자원 및 목재로서 활용가치가 높은 피나무림에 대한 경영의사결정에 도움이 되기를 기대한다.

Model for Estimating CO2 Concentration in Package Headspace of Microbiologically Perishable Food

  • Lee, Dong-Sun;Kim, Hwan-Ki;An, Duck-Soon;Yam, Kit L.
    • Preventive Nutrition and Food Science
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.364-369
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    • 2011
  • Levels of carbon dioxide gas, a metabolite of microbial growth, have been reported to parallel the onset of microbial spoilage and may be used as a convenient index for a packaged food's shelf life. This study aimed to establish a kinetic model of $CO_2$ production from perishable food for the potential use for shelf life control in the food supply chain. Aerobic bacterial count and package $CO_2$ concentration were measured during the storage of seasoned pork meat at four temperatures (0, 5, 10 and $15^{\circ}C$), and their interrelationship was investigated to establish a mathematical model. The microbial growth at constant temperature was described by using model of Baranyi and Roberts. $CO_2$ production from the stored food could be explained by taking care of its yield and maintenance factors linked to the microbial growth. By establishing the temperature dependence of the microbial growth and $CO_2$ yield factor, $CO_2$ partial pressure or concentration in package headspace could be estimated to a limited extent, which is helpful for controlling the shelf life under constant and dynamic temperature conditions. Application and efficacy of the model needs to be improved with further refinement in the model.

Use of Remotely-Sensed Data in Cotton Growth Model

  • Ko, Jong-Han;Maas, Stephan J.
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2007
  • Remote sensing data can be integrated into crop models, making simulation improved. A crop model that uses remote sensing data was evaluated for its capability, which was performed through comparing three different methods of canopy measurement for cotton(Gossypium hirsutum L.). The measurement methods used were leaf area index(LAI), hand-held remotely sensed perpendicular vegetation index(PVI), and satellite remotely sensed PVI. Simulated values of cotton growth and lint yield showed reasonable agreement with the corresponding measurements when canopy measurements of LAI and hand-held remotely sensed PVI were used for model calibration. Meanwhile, simulated lint yields involving the satellite remotely sensed PVI were in rough agreement with the measured lint yields. We believe this matter could be improved by using remote sensing data obtained from finer resolution sensors. The model not only has simple input requirements but also is easy to use. It promises to expand its applicability to other regions for crop production, and to be applicable to regional crop growth monitoring and yield mapping projects.

An interface element for modelling the onset and growth of mixed-mode cracking in aluminium and fibre metal laminates

  • Hashagen, Frank;de Borst, Rene
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제5권6호
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    • pp.817-837
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    • 1997
  • In the present contribution an interface crack model is introduced which is capable of modelling crack initialisation and growth in aluminium as well as in Fibre Metal Laminates. Interface elements are inserted in a finite element mesh with a yield function which bounds all states of stress in the interface. Hardening occurs after a state of stress exceeds the yield stress of the material. The hardening branch is bounded by the ultimate stress of the material. Thereafter, the state of stress is reduced to zero while the inelastic deformations grow. The energy dissipated by the inelastic deformations in this process equals the fracture energy of the material. The model is applied to calculate the onset and growth of cracking in centre cracked plates made of aluminium and GLARE$^{(R)}$. The impact of the model parameters on the performance of the crack model is studied by comparisons of the numerical results with experimental data.

안면도(安眠島) 소나무 임분(林分)의 동적(動的) 생장(生長)모델 (Dynamic Growth Model for Pinus densiflora Stands in Anmyun-Island)

  • 서정호;이우균;손요환;함보영
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제90권6호
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    • pp.725-733
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구에서는 안면도 소나무 임지에 대해 임분 내 생장인자들간의 상관관계를 구명하고 이를 기초로 동적 임분생장모델을 구축하였다. 이를 위해 영급이 고루 분포되도록 96개의 표본점을 선정하였고, 각 표본점에서 입목의 흉고직경, 수고를 측정한 후 이를 분석하여 평균흉고직경, 평균수고, 우세목수고, ha당 본수, ha당 단면적, ha당 재적 등을 추정하였다. SAS의 비선형 회귀분석(NLIN) 및 단순선형분석(REG)을 통해 생장인자간의 함수식을 유도하였으며, 이 함수들을 이용하여 관리방법에 따라 임분의 생장 및 수확이 다양하게 예측될 수 있는 동적 임분생장모델을 구축하였다. 다양한 시업주기 및 강도를 적용해 임분의 생장을 예측한 결과, 본 연구에서 구축된 동적 임분생장모델은 일반적인 생장법칙을 잘 나타내고 있어 안면도 소나무임분의 생장 및 수확량 예측에 적합한 것으로 판단되었다. 이러한 동적 임분생장모델은 실제 산림경영에서 다양한 관리방법에 따른 임분의 생장예측을 위하여 이용될 수 있을 것이며, 산림경영계획에 있어 의사결정을 위한 도구로서 이용될 수 있을 것이다.

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균열선단의 소성스트레치를 이용한 피로균열성장모델 (A model of fatigue crack growth based on plastic stretch at the crack tip)

  • 주영식;김재훈
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2003
  • 피로균열성장모델을 유도하고 지연모델을 제안하였다. 피로균열성장모델은 피로균열선단의 소성변형으로 인하여 균열표면에 발생하는 잔류소성스트레치를 고려하고 있다. 균열 성장률은 균열선단 재료요소의 소성변형에너지와 누적피로손상으로부터 계산된다. 유도한 균열성장모델로부터 계산한 균열성장률은 AL6061-T651과 17-4PH 주강의 시험결과와 잘 일치하고 있다. 피로균열성장지연모델은 인장과대하중으로부터 생성된 잔류소성스트레치를 근거로 하고 있으며, 인장과대하중은 다음 하중 사이클의 소성변형률을 감소시킨다. Strip-yield모델을 이용하여 균열선단의 소성역을 계산하였다. 새로 제안된 지연모델은 인장과대하중하의 피로균열선장특성 및 지체지연 현상을 잘 기술하고 있다.