Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture (한국유기농업학회지)

Korean Association of Organic Agriculture (한국유기농업학회)
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Development of Yield Forecast Models for Autumn Chinese Cabbage and Radish Using Crop Growth and Development Information

생육정보를 이용한 가을배추와 가을무 단수 예측 모형 개발

  • 이춘수 (단국대학교 환경자원경제학과) ;
  • 양성범 (단국대학교 환경자원경제학과)
  • Received : 2017.04.30
  • Accepted : 2017.05.21
  • Published : 2017.05.31
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Abstract

This study suggests the yield forecast models for autumn chinese cabbage and radish using crop growth and development information. For this, we construct 24 alternative yield forecast models and compare the predictive power using root mean square percentage errors. The results shows that the predictive power of model including crop growth and development informations is better than model which does not include those informations. But the forecast errors of best forecast models exceeds 5%. Thus it is important to establish reliable data and improve forecast models.

Keywords

References

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