• Title/Summary/Keyword: global-local analysis

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Development of 2-ton thrust-level sub-scale calorimeter (추력 2톤급 축소형 칼로리미터 개발)

  • Cho, Won-Kook;Ryu, Chul-Sung;Chung, Yong-Hyun;Lee, Kwang-Jin;Kim, Seung-Han;Lee, Soo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2005
  • A calorimeter of 2-ton thrust level rocket engine chamber has been developed to measure the wall heat flux. The liner of the chamber is made of copper-chromium alloy to maximize the heat transfer performance and structural strength. 1-D design code based on empirical correlations has been used for the prediction of the global thermal characteristics while 3-D CFD has been applied for the verification of local cooling performance. The predicted average wall heat flux at the throat is 43 $MW/m^{2}$ for the combustion chamber pressure of 53 bar. The chamber structure is confirmed to be safe at the pressure of 150 bar through 2-D stress analysis and measurement of the strain of the test species. Finally, the test of pressurizing the calorimeter chamber has been performed with water at the pressure of 150 bar in room temperature environment. No thermal damage has been detected after the hot-fire test in the test nozzle of same cooling performance with the developed calorimeter though the measured throat heat flux is higher than the design value by 10%.

Cost analysis of water supply and development of desalination vessel as a drought response (가뭄 시 광역자치단체 별 물 비용 분석 및 해상 이동형 담수화 플랜트 이용 대응 방안 연구)

  • Yang, Hayeon;Koo, Jaewuk;Hwang, Taemun;Jeong, Seongpil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2020
  • Due to global climate change, Korea is experiencing flooding and drought severely. It is hard to manage water resources because intensive precipitation during short periods and drought are commonly occurred in Korea, recently. Severe drought occurred in 2015 and 2017 in the islands, and coastal and inland areas in Korea, and the citizens experienced decreased water supply and emergency water service by using bottled water. Therefore, the Korean government provided additional governmental funds such as the grant of drought disaster. In this study, we tried to calculate the cost of water for drought response based on the cost of tap water for the regional local governments in Korea and the grant of drought disaster by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety in Korea, etc. The estimated costs of water for drought responses in coastal and inland areas which have a chance to apply alternative water sources such as brackish or seawater desalination and water reuse in Korea were higher than in other areas in Korea. Additionally, as the novel approach of drought response, the 300 ㎥/day-scale desalination vessel was suggested to provide desalinated water for the islands in Korea. The estimated expenses of water supply for the target island areas (Sinan-gun and Jindo-gun) by the desalination vessel was lower than those by emergency water service by using bottled water.

Uncertainty Analysis for the Probabilistic Flood Forecasting (확률론적 홍수예측을 위한 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Kyung-Tae;Kim, Young-Oh;Kang, Tae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.71-71
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    • 2012
  • 현재 전 세계적으로 극한강우의 발생빈도가 점차 높아지고 있으며 홍수량 또한 강도가 커지고 있는 것이 현실이다. 하지만 과거의 홍수발생 빈도에 따라 설계된 홍수방어시설들이 점차 한계를 보이고 있으므로 이를 대비하기위한 구조적 대책뿐만 아니라 홍수피해 발생 가능지역에 사전 예경보를 시행하는 비구조적 대책마련 또한 필요하다. 기존의 홍수예측은 확정적인 하나의 유량예측값만을 제공함으로써 신속하고 편리하였지만 이에 대한 불확실성이 큰 경우 예상치 못한 큰 인적 물적 피해를 가져올 수 있다. 이처럼 확률론적 홍수예측의 필요성이 대두되어 지면서 유럽이나 미국등 선진국에서는 EFFS(European Flood Forecasting System)과 NWSRFS(National Water Service River Forecast System)같이 이미 확률론적 홍수예측에 대한 연구 및 기술개발이 활발하게 진행되어지고 있다. 하지만 홍수예측의 확률론적 접근에 있어서는 많은 불확실성들이 내포되어 있으므로 예측시스템에서 생성된 앙상블 유량예측 결과의 신뢰도 분석과 올바른 불확실성 정보의 제공이 필요하다. 본 연구는 확률론적 홍수예측 방법을 국내에 적용시켜서 기상청의 예측시스템 KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System), MAPLE(McGill Algorithm for Precipitation Nowcasting by Lagrangian Extrapolation), UM(Unified Model) 그리고 MOGREPS(Met Office Global Regional Ensemble Prediction System)으로부터 생성된 기상앙상블을 현재 국토해양부 홍수통제소에서 사용하고 있는 강우-유출모형인 저류함수모형(Storage Function Method)의 입력 자료로 사용한다. 확률론적 홍수예측에서 오는 불확실성을 분석하기 위해서 첫 번째로 제공되는 기상예측 시스템의 시 공간적 스케일 및 대상유역의 공간특성에 따라 어떠한 형태로 전파되어지는지를 분석하였다. 두 번째는 각각의 예측시스템들이 선행기간(Lead time)에 따라 불확실성의 특성이 어떻게 나타나게 되는지를 확인하였다. 이러한 불확실성의 특성을 정확하게 파악하게 된다면 예측에 있어서 현재 갖고 있는 문제점들로부터 개선해 나가야 할 방향을 제시해주어 향후연구에 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Analysis of the Importance-Satisfaction of the Grape Selection Attributes by Grape Consumption Level (포도소비수준에 따른 포도선택속성 중요도-만족도 분석)

  • Choi, Seung Gyun;Kim, Tae Young;Kim, Soo Min;Paik, Jin Kyoung;Choi, Hee Ryong;Kim, Tae In;Hong, Wan Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.595-603
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    • 2019
  • This paper provides data for product development and improvement of grape varieties by analyzing the satisfaction-importance of the grape selection attributes from a consumer's perspective. A survey was conducted on consumers aged 19-59 living in Seoul, Gyeonggi and Incheon on their fruit consumption level, preferences according to the grape quality characteristics, importance, and satisfaction with the grape selection attributes. Three hundred and eighty two valid samples were collected and analyzed statistically using SPSS 23. In the preference according to the grape quality characteristics, consumers tended to prefer a sweet taste, black color, and seedless grapes. Regarding the importance of the grape selection attributes according to the level of grape consumption, the high consumption group considers texture, size, shape, color, ease of removing seeds, country of origin, area of production, certification, and brand to be more important. In satisfaction, the high consumption group rated satisfaction highly in texture, odor, size, shape, color, ease of removing peelings, ease of removing seeds, price, country of origin, area of production, certification, and brand. An analysis of the IPA of the grape selection attributes showed that improvement of price and shape attributes will be prioritized, and the development and management of properties, such as seeds, peelings, certification, and brand will be required. These results can be used to help improve the grape varieties and develop products that meet the consumer needs, secure the competitiveness of grape farmers, and revitalize the local economy.

Analysis of seasonal effect on Korean native cattle (Hanwoo) birth weight

  • Cho, Kwanghyun;Song, Yirim;Yeo, Joon-Mo;Park, Jin-Ki;Kim, Dong-Wook;Roh, Seung-Hee;Seong, Pilnam;Lee, Won-Young
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.759-765
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    • 2021
  • Recently, summer temperatures have frequently been abnormal in Korea owing to global warming. In summer, a decrease in feed intake rate and biological activity were observed in Hanwoo (Korean Native Cattle), leading to lower production rates in the industry. However, the precise scale of damage was not reported as with other animals of economic value. This study was conducted to investigate the effects of birth season on birth weight in Hanwoo. Data were collected from 100 local breeding farms from 2016 to 2019. A total of 41,081 Hanwoo calves were classified and analyzed by sex, year, month, and season (March-May, spring; June-August, summer; September-November, fall; and December-February, winter) of birth. The birth weight of Hanwoo calves differed according to birth month. The average birth weight of male calves was 30.47 kg and that of female calves was 28.16 kg. Hanwoo birth weight was the highest in March-born calves and the lowest in July-born calves. The birth weights of calves born in February, March, April, November, and December were significantly larger than those of calves born in July. In addition, the birth weight of Hanwoo calves from the summer was significantly lower than that of calves born in other seasons. Furthermore, Hanwoo steer slaughter age showed a negative correlation, whereas carcass weight had a positive correlation with birth weight. In the beef cattle industry, birth weight is a very important economic characteristic that is related to growth rate. These data will contribute toward planning the reproduction of Hanwoo and analysis of changes in characteristics of economic value owing to high temperatures.

Study on Estimate Optimum Area of State Forests Through Case Study of OECD Countries (OECD국가 분석을 통한 국유림의 적정 면적 산정)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Bo-Kyeong;Kim, Eui-Gyeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.107 no.4
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    • pp.436-445
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to find out factors to affect forest area of public sector such as state forest and estimate optimum area of state forest in Korea. This study was carried out with the rate of public forest and public forest per capita as dependent variables and 15 independent variables to the 35 countries in OECD countries using analysis of linear regression. From research, optimum area of the public forests of Korea was estimated from to minimum 2,136,000 hectares to maximum 2,667,000 hectares, based on OECD countries. The public forest areas of Korea were 1,984,000 hectares in 2010. To reach the average level of OECD countries, it is required that public forest areas of Korea are expended from minimum 152,000 hectares to maximum 683,000 hectares. It is hard to expect that enhancing the areas of public forest in Korea through expanding local government owned forest areas. Therefore, it required that state forest areas are expanded by Korea government.

Exploring Spatial Variations and Factors associated with Walking Practice in Korea: An Empirical Study based on Geographically Weighted Regression (지리적 가중회귀모형을 이용한 지역별 걷기실천율의 지역적 변이 및 영향요인 탐색)

  • Kim, Eunjoo;Lee, Yeongseo;Yoon, Ju Young
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.426-438
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Walking practice is a representative indicator of the level of physical activity of local residents. Although the world health organization addressed reduction in prevalence of insufficient physical activity as a global target, the rate of walking practice in Korea has not improved and there are large regional disparities. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the spatial variations of walking practice and its associated factors in Korea. Methods: A secondary analysis was conducted using Community Health Outcome and Health Determinants Database 1.3 from Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. A total of 229 districts was included in the analysis. We compared the ordinary least squares (OLS) and the geographically weighted regression (GWR) to explore the associated factors of walking practice. MGWR 2.2.1 software was used to explore the spatial distribution of walking practice and modeling the GWR. Results: Walking practice had spatial variations across the country. The results showed that the GWR model had better accommodation of spatial autocorrelation than the OLS model. The GWR results indicated that different predictors of walking practice across regions of Korea. Conclusion: The findings of this study may provide insight to nursing researchers, health professionals, and policy makers in planning health programs to promote walking practices in their respective communities.

In-depth Correlation Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 Effective Reproduction Number and Mobility Patterns: Three Groups of Countries

  • Setti, Mounir Ould;Tollis, Sylvain
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.134-143
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: Many governments have imposed-and are still imposing-mobility restrictions to contain the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, there is no consensus on whether policy-induced reductions of human mobility effectively reduce the effective reproduction number (Rt) of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Several studies based on country-restricted data reported conflicting trends in the change of the SARS-CoV-2 Rt following mobility restrictions. The objective of this study was to examine, at the global scale, the existence of regional specificities in the correlations between Rt and human mobility. Methods: We computed the Rt of SARS-CoV-2 using data on worldwide infection cases reported by the Johns Hopkins University, and analyzed the correlation between Rt and mobility indicators from the Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports in 125 countries, as well as states/regions within the United States, using the Pearson correlation test, linear modeling, and quadratic modeling. Results: The correlation analysis identified countries where Rt negatively correlated with residential mobility, as expected by policymakers, but also countries where Rt positively correlated with residential mobility and countries with more complex correlation patterns. The correlations between Rt and residential mobility were non-linear in many countries, indicating an optimal level above which increasing residential mobility is counterproductive. Conclusions: Our results indicate that, in order to effectively reduce viral circulation, mobility restriction measures must be tailored by region, considering local cultural determinants and social behaviors. We believe that our results have the potential to guide differential refinement of mobility restriction policies at a country/regional resolution.

Development of a Risk Management Procedure Model for the Construction Project Using Construction Risk Management System (CRMS를 활용한 건설공사의 리스크관리 절차모형 개발)

  • Kim, Chang Hak;Kang, Leen Seok;Park, Hong Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4D
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2010
  • This study suggested CRMS (construction risk management system) which is a new risk analysis model after analyzing existing risk management process for to guarantee a successful performance at the construction planning and work phase. CRMS is risk management procedures in order that the contractor identify, analyze and administrate the risk during performing construction project. This model may give much help to quantify and be ready the right managing methods about identified risk by the contractor. Especially, the most important and difficult things of all risk management may be to identify risk in the project. This study make more focusing on the developing a procedure that can identify risk more easily in the construction project. The risk is divided into global risk and local risk of a project. Also, this study suggests methods which are using the RBS (risk breakdown structure) related with WBS. This result will be useful as basic materials for developing computerizing system for risk management.

Univariate Analysis of Soil Moisture Time Series for a Hillslope Located in the KoFlux Gwangneung Supersite (광릉수목원 내 산지사면에서의 토양수분 시계열 자료의 단변량 분석)

  • Son, Mi-Na;Kim, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Do-Hoon;Lee, Dong-Ho;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.88-99
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    • 2007
  • Soil moisture is one of the essential components in determining surface hydrological processes such as infiltration, surface runoff as well as meteorological, ecological and water quality responses at watershed scale. This paper discusses soil moisture transfer processes measured at hillslope scale in the Gwangneung forest catchment to understand and provide the basis of stochastic structures of soil moisture variation. Measured soil moisture series were modelled based upon the developed univariate model platform. The modeling consists of a series of procedures: pre-treatment of data, model structure investigation, selection of candidate models, parameter estimation and diagnostic checking. The spatial distribution of model is associated with topographic characteristics of the hillslope. The upslope area computed by the multiple flow direction algorithm and the local slope are found to be effective parameters to explain the distribution of the model structure. This study enables us to identify the key factors affecting the soil moisture distribution and to ultimately construct a realistic soil moisture map in a complex landscape such as the Gwangneung Supersite.