• Title/Summary/Keyword: fuzzy multi-criteria decision making

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Data-Driven Approaches for Evaluating Countries in the International Construction Market

  • Lee, Kang-Wook;Han, Seung H.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.496-500
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    • 2015
  • International construction projects are inherently more risky than domestic projects with multi-dimensional uncertainties that require complementary risk management at both the country and project levels. However, despite a growing need for systematic country evaluations, most studies have focused on project-level decisions and lack country-based approaches for firms in the construction industry. Accordingly, this study suggests data-driven approaches for evaluating countries using two quantitative models. The first is a two-stage country segmentation model that not only screens negative countries based on country attractiveness (macro-segmentation) but also identifies promising countries based on the level of past project performance in a given country (micro-segmentation). The second is a multi-criteria country segmentation model that combines a firm's business objective with the country evaluation process based on Kraljic's matrix and fuzzy preference relations (FPR). These models utilize not only secondary data from internationally reputable institutions but also performance data on Korean firms from 1990 to 2014 to evaluate 29 countries. The proposed approaches enable firms to enhance their decision-making capacity for evaluating and selecting countries at the early stage of corporate strategy development.

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A Handover Algorithm Using Fuzzy Set Theory (퍼지 이론을 이용한 핸드오버 알고리즘)

  • 정한호;김준철;이준환
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.824-834
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    • 1993
  • In cellular mobile communication systems, if the size of a cell is decreasing for economic utilization of frequency resources, frequent handovers may be requested because the time a mobile stays in a cell is decreasing. In general the measured parameters to decide handover including RSSI, BER, and the distance between mobile station and base station, are usually incorrect and handover decision using single parameter insufficient. Therefore, the better handover algorithm should take over the problems of this uncertain measurements, and make the decision more robust and flexible by the consideration of all those decision parameters at the same time. We propose a novel handover algorithm based the multicriteria decision making, in which those parameters are participated in the decision process using aggregation function in fuzzy set theory. As a simulation results, the overall decision making is more reliable and flexible than the conventional method using only one parameter, RSSI in terms of call force ratio, and handover request ratio.

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Multi-criteria decision making application methodologies for Water Resources Planning (수자원 계획수립을 위한 다기준 의사결정기법의 적용 방안)

  • Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.227-227
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 수자원계획 문제에서 다기준 의사결정기법을 적용할 때 발생할 수 있는 두 가지 문제에 대해 분석하였다. 첫 번째는 다기준 의사결정기법 선택의 차이가 결과에 어느 정도 영향을 미칠 수 있는지를 제시하였고 두 번째는 평가기준에 대한 가중치와 대안들의 평가치에 대한 불확실성을 최소화하기 위해 민감도 분석을 수행하는 절차를 제시하였다. 첫 번째 문제를 위해 가중합계법, Compromise Programming, 계층화분석과정, 수정된 계층화 분석과정, 가중곱방법, TOPSIS, ELECTRE-2, Regime 방법을 사용하였다. 또한 최근 사용빈도가 높은 삼각형 Fuzzy 숫자와 다기준 의사결정기법을 결합한 기법에 대해서도 분석하였는데 Fuzzy WSM, Fuzzy 계층화분석과정, Fuzzy 수정 계층화분석과정, Fuzzy TOPSIS, Fuzzy Compromise Programming을 검토하였다. 분석결과 평가기준에 대한 가중치 조건과 표준화 방법이 동일한 상황에도 불구하고 조금씩 다른 순위를 제시하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 다양한 MCDM 기법들을 적용해도 동일한 순위로 나타나는 대안들이 있었다. 따라서 다기준 의사결정기법을 사용한 수자원 관리계획을 수립할 때에는 다양한 분석기법을 활용해서 기법의 선택으로 인한 불확실성을 최소화해야 한다. 두 번째 문제는 평가기준에 대한 가중치와 대안의 효과 정량화 자료의 불확실성을 극복하기 위해 각각에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 본 연구는 유량확보와 수질개선을 위한 수자원 계획 수립을 위해 가중합계법을 이용한 문제에 두 경우의 민감도 분석을 모두 수행하였다. 이 과정에서 결정계수와 민감도 계수를 산정하여 이용하였다. 본 연구는 향후 수자원 관리 및 계획 분야에서 다기준 의사결정기법을 적용할 때 사용될 수 있는 기초 가이드라인이 될 것이다.

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Using the MCDM of the Innovative Product Value Chain to Promote New Product Design

  • Liao, Shih-Chung
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - In the past, designs for traditional products have usually focused on historic techniques. However, this tradition of using historic techniques has now been replaced by the trend of using the innovative design concept. Research design, data, and methodology - To measure future market trends and quality requirements, we apply the results of the questionnaires and analyze them with various experimental processes and a design methodology. In this way, we gauge the impact of the innovative product value chain on the promotion of new products. Results - Accompanied with an innovative product value chain, the product can stimulate the development of enterprise management, which has become the main issue in social and economic development in every developed country, and can facilitate the progress of enterprise management throughout the enterprise. Conclusions - Customer demand should be emphasized as the primary means to solve design problems, to design optimal solutions, to create differentiation with competitors, and to pursue optimal marketing strategies.

Mobile Tracking Method based on the Fuzzy Mliti-criteria Decision Making (퍼지 다기준 의사 결정을 이용한 이동체 위치 추적 방법)

  • 이기성;신창둔;이종찬;이근왕
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.26 no.7A
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    • pp.1144-1151
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구에서는 AOA(Angle of Arrival)와 TOA(Time of Arrival) 그리고 TDOA(Time Difference of Arrival)의 추정값을 이용한 위치 추정 기법들이 설명되고 분석된다. 이들 기법들을 다중경로 페이딩 (mutipath fading)과 shadowing을 갖는 마이크로셀 환경에 적용한다면, 빠르고 예측할 수 없는 신호 레벨의 변화로 인하여 이동체의 위치를 정확히 추정하는 것은 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 수신 신호 세기(RSS: Received Signal Strength) 이외에 이동체와 기지국간의 거리, 이동체의 이동방향, 이동체의 이전위치와 같은 부정확한 다수의 파라미터를 동시에 고려하는 퍼지 다기준 (multi-criteria) 의사 결정 방법을 이용하여 이동체의 위치를 결정하는 방법을 제안한다. 시뮬레이션을 통하여, 이동체의 방향과 속도의 영향을 분석한다.

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Synthesis of Spatial Results to Recommend a Preferred Alternative

  • Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kang, Shin-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.798-802
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    • 2010
  • The integration of GIS and fuzzy MCDA(Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis) allows the engineer to determine the preferred alternative for each spatial location in the study area. The next step is to recommend to the final decision makers a single flood management alternative for the entire region. Note that if the study area is large, it might be possible to use the kind of information to recommend different alternatives for different portions of the region. However, for this study it is assumed that only a single alternative will be used. In this study, a "cost of uniformity" metric is proposed that allows decision makers to compute the impact of selecting a single alternative for the entire floodplain. This metric represents the increase in the average distance metric value as compared to the spatially diverse solution from the MCDA and GIS analysis. The results could be applied to any region of the floodplain as desired. Whether the decision makers decide to apply these calculations to the entire floodplain or to specific important regions within the floodplain, an analysis of the increases in the cost of uniformity provides an integrated way for the decision maker to rank the alternatives. This should provide an improvement in their engineering analysis.

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Fuzzy-AHP-Based Technology Evaluation Model for venture firms (Fuzzy-AHP에 기반을 둔 벤처기업의 기술력 평가 모델)

  • Joun, Hyang-Soon;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.363-371
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    • 2016
  • Technology evaluation for technology innovation of venture firms should take the rapidly changing corporate environment, the ambiguity of language used in evaluation, and the inaccuracy of evaluation index into consideration. In this paper, targeting the absorptive capacity and technological entrepreneurship which are typical evaluation factors of venture firms, an ACTEM model to calculate the importance, priority, and dynamic capability of factors, applying Fuzzy-AHP was proposed. The fuzzy theory was introduced to compensate for the ambiguity of cognitive judgments when calculating weighted values for the factors that made up an assessment scale. An assessment criteria framework for absorptive capacity, technological entrepreneurship, and dynamic capability, which were not considered in previous studies on the evaluation and measurement of technological prowess, so that the users could have a realistic alternative to choose. The study compared the ACTEM model with the old AHP assessment method and found that "knowledge acquisition" and "producing ability" were the highest in absorptive capacity and technological entrepreneurship, respectively, thus demonstrating its validity.

Mobile Location Estimation scheme Using Fuzzy Set Theory in Microcell Structure (마이크로셀 구조에서 퍼지 이론을 이용한 이동체 위치 추정 방법)

  • Lee, Jong-Chan;Lee, Mun-Ho
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, positioning schemes based on AOA(Angle of Arrival), TOA(Time of Arrival), and TDOA(Time Difference of Arrival) measurements are reviewed and analyzed. In the case of using those schemes in microcell structure with severe multipath fading and shadowing conditions, the rapid and unpredictable variation of signal level makes it difficult to estimate the position and velocity of mobiles. Therefore, we propose a novel mobile tracking method based on the multicriteria decision making, in which uncertain parameters such as RSS(Received Signal Strength), the distance between mobile and base station, the moving direction, and the previous location are participated in the decision process using aggregation function in fuzzy set theory. Through a simulation, we analysis the impaction of the frequent change of direction and speed of mobiles.

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An Improved Handover Method Using Mobile Tracking by Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making (기준 의사 결정에 의한 모바일 트래킹을 이용한 향상된 핸드오버)

  • Kang, Il-Ko;Shin, Seong-Yoon;Lee, Jong-Chan;Pyo, Seong-Bae;Rhee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2006
  • It is widely accepted that the coverage with high user densities can only be achieved with small cell such as micro- and pico-cell. The smaller cell size causes frequent handovers between cells and a decrease in the permissible handover Processing delay. This may result in the handover failure. in addition to the loss of some Packets during the handover. In these cases. re-transmission is needed in order to compensate errors, which triggers a rapid degradation of throughput. In this paper, we propose a new handover scheme in the next generation mobile communication systems, in which the handover setup process is done in advance before a handover request by predicting the handover cell based on mobile terminal's current position and moving direction. Simulation is focused on the handover failure rate and Packet loss rate. The simulation results show that our proposed method provides a better performance than the conventional method.

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Technical Entrepreneurship Education Service Quality Evaluation System based on FAHP (FAHP에 기반을 둔 기술창업교육서비스품질 평가 시스템)

  • Joun, Hyang-Soon;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.509-516
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    • 2015
  • Intangibility, measurement difficulty and irreversibility, which are the characteristics of service, have such problems as obscurity and uncertainty in quality evaluation. Technical entrepreneurship education, a sort of public service, also contains such characteristics of service. To objectively evaluate the service quality of technical entrepreneurship education, this paper drew up factors as hierarchical structure, centered on FAHP technique, and conducted pre-processing, inputted those factors into triangular fuzzy number fuzzy judgement matrix, and calculated their weights. In this manner, this paper proposed a TESE system, through which an analysis can be conducted by drawing relative importance and priorities of the factors. The proposed system can efficiently evaluate the qualitative technical start-up education service quality factors quantitatively in the diversely changing technical start-up environment in view of the highest result quality (41%), which means performance in the relative importance of major factors. Namely, this paper confirmed that clear decision making can be made through an experiment.