• 정보과학회 컴퓨팅의 실제 논문지
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• 제23권11호
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• pp.632-640
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• 2017

일사량은 태양광 발전시스템의 전력 생산량에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 기상요소이며, 다른 기상요소들과 달리 기상청의 일기예보를 통해 제공받을 수 없다. 따라서 효율적인 태양광 발전시스템 운용을 위해 일사량 예측에 관한 연구는 필수적이다. 본 연구는 기상정보 데이터 기반의 Dynamic Piecewise 일사량 예측 모델을 제안한다. Dynamic Piecewise 일사량 예측 모델은 유사한 태양고도와 유사한 날씨의 데이터 조각들로 나누어 학습하기 위해, 예측하는 시점의 태양고도와 운량을 기준으로 전체 데이터를 동적으로 나눈 후 기계학습 알고리즘인 다중 선형회귀 알고리즘으로 학습하여 일사량을 예측하는데 사용된다. 본 연구의 성능을 검증하기 위해 제안 모델인 Dynamic Piecewise 일사량 예측 모델과 이전 연구에서 제안한 모델, 기존의 상관관계식 기반 일사량 예측 모델에 동일한 기상정보 데이터 셋을 적용하여 비교하였으며, 비교결과 본 연구에서 제안한 모델이 가장 정확한 일사량 예측 성능을 보였다.

• 대한교통학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한교통학회 1995년도 한-중 국제학술회의 발표논문
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• pp.239-250
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• 1995

With speeding up the process of being international municipality, the gravity of lacking parking lots in Shanghai urban area, which directly blocks the traffic in the city, has been revealed. This thesis analyses present automobiles parking capability and forecasts the future's needs for the city. To solve the problem, the concept could be to expand parking areas in city center recently to relax the tention and to do thoughtful planning in the near future on the foundation of fully consideration the trend. The municipal government has to set up policy properly, amplify regulations, strenthern the administration and open up a path to raise founds. Berween road system administration which is dynamic and parking lot system administration which is static, there are a knot on macroscopic meaning and an interference as well. The coordination of these two systems would be reflested on the effects of whole municipal traffic adminisration. Basically, public parking lots are city's foundal facilities, just like roads, bridges, etc. The main problems now in Shanghai are large parking space demands, insufficient facilities, cheap parking expenses comparing with the cost of parking lots construcion and poor administration. According to the forecast on social economy development, there will be 580 thousand automobiles in Shanghai by the year 2000, and the amount of private cars will increase greatly. The frequency of automobiles going out will be 1.45 million per day. Public parking lots being able to afford 105 thousand units are needed. To satisfy the demands, the recent aim of planning should be speed up the parking lots construction, the planning objective in next period should be developing reasonably and exceed the demands properly. In order to realize the planning objective, the government has to formulate correct policy and amplify administration regulations. The government has to adopt both administration and economy means, including charging parking people reasonably, collect necessary taxes, bringing the parking lots planning into general municipality planning, opening up an effective path to raise founds, such as set up founds for parking lots construction, issue bonds and stocks, get loans at home and abroad, etc.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.35-41
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• 2005

There has been increasing offshore oil exploration, drilling, and production activities, as well as a huge amount of petroleum being transported by tankers and pipelines through the ocean and costal environment. Assessment must be made of the potential risk of damage resulting from the exploration, development and transportation activities. This is achieved through predictive impact evaluations of the fate of hypothetical or real oil spills. VVhen an oil spill occurs, planning and execution of cleanup measures also require the capability to forecast the short-term and long-term behavior of the spilled oil. A great amount of effort has been spent by government agencies, oil industries, and researchers over the past decade to develop more realistic models for oil spills. Numerous oil spill models have been developed and applied, most of which attempt to predict the oil spill fate and behavior. For an actual contingency planning, the oil fate and behavior model should be combined with an oil spill incident model, an environmental impact and risk model and a contingency planning model. The purpose of this review study is to give an overview of existing oil spill models that deal with the physical, chemical, biological, and socia-economical aspects of the incident, fate, and environmental impact of oil spills. After reviewing the existing models, future research needs are suggested. In the study, available oil spill models are separated into oil spill incident, oil spill fate and behavior, environmental impact and risk, and contingency planning models. The processes of the oil spill fate and behavior are reviewed in detail and the characteristics of existing oil spill fate and behavior models are examined and classified so that an ideal model may be identified. Finally, future research needs are discussed.

• 대기
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.267-277
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• 2012

The objectives of this study are to develop a real-time drought monitoring and prediction system on the East Asia domain and to evaluate the performance of the system by using past historical drought records. The system is mainly composed of two parts: drought monitoring for providing current drought indices with meteorological and hydrological conditions; drought outlooks for suggesting future drought indices and future hydrometeorological conditions. Both parts represent the drought conditions on the East Asia domain (latitude $21.15{\sim}50.15^{\circ}$, longitude $104.40{\sim}149.65^{\circ}$), Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$) and South Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$), respectively. The observed meteorological data from ASOS (Automated Surface Observing System) and AWS (Automatic Weather System) of KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration) and model-driven hydrological data from LSM (Land Surface model) are used for the real-time drought monitoring, while the monthly and seasonal weather forecast information from UM (Unified Model) of KMA are utilized for drought outlooks. For the evaluation of the system, past historical drought records occurred in Korea are surveyed and are compared with the application results of the system. The results demonstrated that the selected drought indices such as KMA drought index, SPI (3), SPI (6), PDSI, SRI and SSI are reasonable, especially, the performance of SRI and SSI provides higher accuracy that the others.

• 복식
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• 제52권2호
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• pp.31-44
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• 2002

This study was intended to inquire into Check Pattern. The purpose of this study attempted to make a systematic investigation of the characteristic of the Check Pattern, the checker using vertical and horizontal lines which was the universal plastic element and inquire into it in terms of era, designers and combined work. By doing so, this study attempted to Investigate the phase of the Check Pattern in world fashion and further forecast the future of checker design applicable to the 21th century fashion. The result can be summarized as follows : 1. Mondrim's neo-plasticism has not only had a great influence on Op Art and Minimalism work but is deeply related to fashion and textile design. Mondrian used vertical and horizontal line ad the dualistic element. 2. The checker is estimated to have been used since the Etruian times, though uncertain. and largely divided into the Madras check and Scotland Check. Though the origin of the tartan representation of the Scotland check can not be accurately found out, it began to emerge in around the 13th century. 3. Check Pattern has began to be widely used with the development of the textile industry since 1826 and been used in every typical Sihoutto appearing in each era up to the present. And Check Pattern is used most designer in the world, who represent their own personality in their works. This study could find out that the checker is the element of Infinite applicability in the future. It is expected that the sophisticated and beautiful design using the chocker will be presented by many korean designer though the overall and systematic study of the checker.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.49-70
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• 2006

In recent, Open markets are booming up rapidly. Open markets are one of the online marketplaces which mainly concentrated on spot transactions of commodities, and are differentiated from integrated internet shopping stores with market participants, trading rules and so on. This study investigated on factors affecting satisfaction with and preference on open markets by comparing open markets with integrated internet shopping stores, and aimed to figure out the reasons why open markets are growing up so rapidly and to forecast the future of open markets. To investigate the factors affecting buyers' satisfaction with and preference on internet shopping channel. I extracted several factors through literature reviews. The factors include the pros (cost saving and time saving), the cons (security concerns and privacy concerns), and decision making support suggested by Simon's research as well. Then, I constructed research model and related research hypotheses. To verify research hypotheses, I conducted field survey targeting on online buyers and analyzed research data using structural equation model. According to data analysis result, open markets have competitive advantages over integrated internet shopping stores with respect to cost saving, time saving, and decision making support. However, online buyers are still concerning privacy issues within open markets. In summary, buyers are considering that open markets are cheaper, faster, and more efficient internet shopping channel, compared with integrated internet shopping stores. However, open markets are required to dedicate to lessen buyers' privacy concerns to rebirth as more satisfying and preferable internet shopping channel and to prosper in the future.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.221-231
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• 2010

실시간 홍수예측모형의 구성에서 장래 강우 양상(지속기간, 강우강도 등)에 대한 가정으로 인하여 홍수예측의 신뢰성을 높이기 어려웠다는 점을 해결하기 위하여 현재까지의 강우, 수위 및 상류지역의 수위를 기반으로 장래 수위를 예측할 수 있는 회귀모형을 구성하였다. 대상유역인 대전광역시의 도심하천 구간에서 각 수위 및 강우관측소들 간의 자료들을 활용하여 최대 2시간 후의 수위변화를 예측할 수 있는 모형을 구성하였다. 각각의 선행시간에 대하여 예측한 결과 실체 실측치를 예측하는 과정에서 표준편차가 최대 5 cm, 평균 표준편차가 1~4 cm에 머무르고 있는 점 및 결정계수의 값이 대부분 0.95 이상을 나타내는 점 등을 살펴보면 전체적으로 예보모형이 안정적으로 운영이 되고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 다만 본 회귀모형의 특성이 유역반응의 정상성을 가정함을 감안한다면 어느 정도 기간까지 정상성을 유지할 수 있는가의 문제는 추후 연구가 더욱 필요할 것으로 보인다.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제48권4호
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• pp.311-321
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• 2020

최근 초소형위성, 소형위성에 대한 혁신적인 기술 발전으로 인해 거대 군집임무(Mega Constellation)가 활발하게 이루어지고, 재활용 우주발사체로 인한 우주 접근 비용이 급격하게 낮아지면서, 우주 개발은 지금까지와는 다른 'New Space Age' 시대로의 전환을 앞두고 있다. 이에 따라, 활발한 우주 개발의 필연적인 부수물인 '우주쓰레기'들의 증가로 인한 우주환경 악화 문제 역시 국제적인 관심사로 떠오르고 있다. 본 논문에서는 국가 우주정책의 변화를 앞두고 우주환경 보호를 위한 국제기구들과 각 국가들의 '우주쓰레기 경감 가이드라인' 제정 내용과 동향들을 살펴보고, 국제 사회의 향후 움직임에 대해 전망하였다. 또한, 우리나라의 현실에 맞는 가이드라인 예시 및 적용 방안에 대해서도 제안하였다.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.1-14
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• 2015

본 연구의 목적은 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용하여 현금흐름할인법의 순현재가치 분석에 필요한 용선수익과 3개월 리보금리, 해체가격을 예측하여 미래 불확실성을 경감시킬 수 있는 선박의 가치를 측정하고자 했다. 정확한 연구분석을 위해 총 10,000회의 시뮬레이션을 수행하였으며, 연구 결과의 실증 분석을 위해 2010년 기준 선박 도입에 따른 선박 가치 분석을 일반적인 현금흐름할인법과 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 확률론적 현금흐름할인법을 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구의 분석 결과 지난 2010년 기준 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용하여 현금흐름할인법을 시행할 경우 일반적인 현금흐름할인법을 통한 결과보다 부정적인 순현재가치가 산출되어 선주들의 무분별한 선박발주에 경각심을 일으키는 계기가 될 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 사용한 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 확률론적 현금흐름할인법 기반의 선박 가치평가방법은 확률분포를 통해 기존 현금흐름할인법에서의 고정된 현재가치가 아닌 미래의 불확실성에 대한 변수를 반복 검증함으로서 선주들이 현금흐름에 대한 유동성 리스크에 대처할 수 있는 정보를 제공한다는 가치를 가지고 있다.

• Spatial Information Research
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.173-192
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• 2008

전 세계적으로 기후변화와 환경변화로 인한 재난, 재해의 발생 빈도가 빈번해지고 규모가 커지면서 지구시스템의 변화를 이해, 감시, 예측하기 위한 지구관측(Earth Observation)관련 국제협력이 강화되고 있다. 이에 지구관측에 필수적인 원격탐사 자료를 이용한 공중모니터링의 중요성이 매우 커지고 있다. 이와 같은 상황에서 이 논문은 국내외 공중모니터링 관련 협력체계 및 연구 현황을 살펴본 후, 국내의 공중모니터링 체계의 발전방향에 대하여 연구적 측면, 조직 및 제도적 측면, 전략적 측면에서 논의하였다. 이 연구의 결과는 체계적인 공중모니터링 방안 수립에 대한 토대를 제공하고 향후 국내 전지구관측시스템(Global Earth Observation System of Systems) 구축을 위한 기초적 자료로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.