• Title/Summary/Keyword: freeway incident

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Speed Prediction of Urban Freeway Using LSTM and CNN-LSTM Neural Network (LSTM 및 CNN-LSTM 신경망을 활용한 도시부 간선도로 속도 예측)

  • Park, Boogi;Bae, Sang hoon;Jung, Bokyung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.86-99
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    • 2021
  • One of the methods to alleviate traffic congestion is to increase the efficiency of the roads by providing traffic condition information on road user and distributing the traffic. For this, reliability must be guaranteed, and quantitative real-time traffic speed prediction is essential. In this study, and based on analysis of traffic speed related to traffic conditions, historical data correlated with traffic flow were used as input. We developed an LSTM model that predicts speed in response to normal traffic conditions, along with a CNN-LSTM model that predicts speed in response to incidents. Through these models, we try to predict traffic speeds during the hour in five-minute intervals. As a result, predictions had an average error rate of 7.43km/h for normal traffic flows, and an error rate of 7.66km/h for traffic incident flows when there was an incident.

Incident Detection for Urban Arterial Road by Adopting Car Navigation Data (차량 궤적 데이터를 활용한 도심부 간선도로의 돌발상황 검지)

  • Kim, Tae-Uk;Bae, Sang-Hoon;Jung, Heejin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2014
  • Traffic congestion cost is more likely to occur in the inner city than interregional road, and it accounts for about 63.39% of the whole. Therefore, it is important to mitigate traffic congestion of the inner city. Traffic congestion in the urban could be divided into Recurrent congestion and Non-recurrent congestion. Quick and accurate detection of Non-recurrent congestion is also important in order to relieve traffic congestion. The existing studies about incident detection have been variously conducted, however it was limited to Uninterrupted Traffic Flow Facilities such as freeway. Moreover study of incident detection on the interrupted Traffic Flow Facilities is still inadequate due to complex geometric structure such as traffic signals and intersections. Therefore, in this study, incident detection model was constructed using by Artificial Neural Network to aim at urban arterial road that is interrupted traffic flow facility. In the result of the reliability assessment, the detection rate were 46.15% and false alarm rate were 25.00%. These results have a meaning as a result of the initial study aimed at interrupted traffic flow. Furthermore, it demonstrates the possibility that Non-recurrent congestion can be detected by using car navigation data such as car navigator system device.

Development of the Algofithm for Gaussian Mixture Models based Traffic Accident Auto-Detection in Freeway (GMM(Gaussian Mixture Model)을 적용한 영상처리기법의 연속류도로 사고 자동검지 알고리즘 개발)

  • O, Ju-Taek;Im, Jae-Geuk;Yeo, Tae-Dong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.169-183
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    • 2010
  • Image-based traffic information collection systems have entered widespread adoption and use in many countries since these systems are not only capable of replacing existing loop-based detectors which have limitations in management and administration, but are also capable of providing and managing a wide variety of traffic related information. In addition, these systems are expanding rapidly in terms of purpose and scope of use. Currently, the utilization of image processing technology in the field of traffic accident management is limited to installing surveillance cameras on locations where traffic accidents are expected to occur and digitalizing of recorded data. Accurately recording the sequence of situations around a traffic accident in a freeway and then objectively and clearly analyzing how such accident occurred is more urgent and important than anything else in resolving a traffic accident. Therefore, in this research, existing technologies, this freeway attribute, velocity changes, volume changes, occupancy changes reflect judge the primary. Furthermore, We pointed out by many past researches while presenting and implementing an active and environmentally adaptive methodology capable of effectively reducing false detection situations which frequently occur even with the Gaussian Mixture model analytical method which has been considered the best among well-known environmental obstacle reduction methods. Therefore, in this way, the accident was the final decision. Also, environmental factors occur frequently, and with the index finger situations, effectively reducing that can actively and environmentally adaptive techniques through accident final judgment. This implementation of the evaluate performance of the experiment road of 12 incidents in simulated and the jang-hang IC's real-time accident experiment. As a result, the do well detection 93.33%, false alarm 6.7% as showed high reliability.

Development of an AIDA(Automatic Incident Detection Algorithm) for Uninterrupted Flow Based on the Concept of Short-term Displaced Flow (연속류도로 단기 적체 교통량 개념 기반 돌발상황 자동감지 알고리즘 개발)

  • Lee, Kyu-Soon;Shin, Chi-Hyun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2016
  • Many traffic centers are highly hesitant in employing existing Automatic Incident Detection Algorithms due to high false alarm rate, low detection rate, and enormous effort taken in maintaining algorithm parameters, together with complex algorithm structure and filtering/smoothing process. Concerns grow over the situation particularly in Freeway Incident Management Area This study proposes a new algorithm and introduces a novel concept, the Displaced Flow Index (DiFI) which is similar to a product of relative speed and relative occupancy for every execution period. The algorithm structure is very simple, also easy to understand with minimum parameters, and could use raw data without any additional pre-processing. To evaluate the performance of the DiFI algorithm, validation test on the algorithm has been conducted using detector data taken from Naebu Expressway in Seoul and following transferability tests with Gyeongbu Expressway detector data. Performance test has utilized many indices such as DR, FAR, MTTD (Mean Time To Detect), CR (Classification Rate), CI (Composite Index) and PI (Performance Index). It was found that the DR is up to 100%, the MTTD is a little over 1.0 minutes, and the FAR is as low as 2.99%. This newly designed algorithm seems promising and outperformed SAO and most popular AIDAs such as APID and DELOS, and showed the best performance in every category.

Case study on the Applications of Simulation on ITS - Focused on Management of Tollgate and Incident in Freeway - (지능형교통시스템에서의 시뮬레이션 모델 개발연구 - 고속도로 요금소 및 유고관리 적용사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Ho-Jung;Jo, Yong-Seong;Baek, Seung-Geol;An, Byeong-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.1040-1046
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    • 2005
  • 지능형교통시스템(Intelligent Transportation System: ITS)의 기술발전에 따라 고속도로 상에도 각종 검지 센서가 설치되고 교통정보가 다양한 형태로 제공되고 있으며, 전자요금징수시스템(Electronic Toll Collection System: ETCS) 또한 시범운영단계를 마치고 모든 고속도로를 대상으로 확대적용을 준비 중에 있다. 본 논문에서는 ITS 관련시스템 중 고속도로를 대상으로 적용되는 전자요금징수시스템과 유고관리 시스템을 대상으로 수행되었던 시뮬레이션 사례를 소개하고, ITS 분야에서의 시뮬레이션 적용 필요성에 대해서 논의하고자 한다. 전자요금징수시스템을 대상으로 한 시뮬레이션의 경우 현재 시범운영중인 영업소를 대상으로 향후 다양한 요금지불수단 도입에 따른 효과적인 영업소 운영방안을 도출하는 것을 목적으로 개발되었으며, 운전자들의 영업소 차로선택모형 등에 대한 사전연구를 통하여 모델링에 반영하였다. 또한, 고속도로 유고관리시스템의 경우 사고 직후 사고영향에 대한 실시간 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 지체지속시간 및 지체영향구간을 예측하여, 향후 교통정보제공에 활용하는 것을 목적으로 개발되었다. 개발된 시뮬레이션 모델을 통하여 각종운영방안에 대한 평가를 수행하였으며, 실제 유고상황에서의 검지자료와의 비교를 통하여 성능평가를 수행하였다.

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A Simulation-Based Investigation of an Advanced Traveler Information System with V2V in Urban Network (시뮬레이션기법을 통한 차량 간 통신을 이용한 첨단교통정보시스템의 효과 분석 (도시 도로망을 중심으로))

  • Kim, Hoe-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.121-138
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    • 2011
  • More affordable and available cutting-edge technologies (e.g., wireless vehicle communication) are regarded as a possible alternative to the fixed infrastructure-based traffic information system requiring the expensive infrastructure investments and mostly implemented in the uninterrupted freeway network with limited spatial system expansion. This paper develops an advanced decentralized traveler information System (ATIS) using vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication system whose performance (drivers' travel time savings) are enhanced by three complementary functions (autonomous automatic incident detection algorithm, reliable sample size function, and driver behavior model) and evaluates it in the typical $6{\times}6$ urban grid network with non-recurrent traffic state (traffic incident) with the varying key parameters (traffic flow, communication radio range, and penetration ratio), employing the off-the-shelf microscopic simulation model (VISSIM) under the ideal vehicle communication environment. Simulation outputs indicate that as the three key parameters are increased more participating vehicles are involved for traffic data propagation in the less communication groups at the faster data dissemination speed. Also, participating vehicles saved their travel time by dynamically updating the up-to-date traffic states and searching for the new route. Focusing on the travel time difference of (instant) re-routing vehicles, lower traffic flow cases saved more time than higher traffic flow ones. This is because a relatively small number of vehicles in 300vph case re-route during the most system-efficient time period (the early time of the traffic incident) but more vehicles in 514vph case re-route during less system-efficient time period, even after the incident is resolved. Also, normally re-routings on the network-entering links saved more travel time than any other places inside the network except the case where the direct effect of traffic incident triggers vehicle re-routings during the effective incident time period and the location and direction of the incident link determines the spatial distribution of re-routing vehicles.

Use of a Driving Simulator to Determine Optimum VMS Locations for Freeway Off-ramp Traffic Diversion (Driving Simulator를 이용한 유출지점 경로안내용 VMS 적정 설치 위치 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Cheol;Kim, Tae-Hyung;Lee, Jae-Joon;Lee, Soo-Beom;Lee, Chung-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.155-164
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    • 2008
  • Variable Message Signs (VMS) is one of the major components for Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) services that provides real-time traffic and incident information to drivers. The objective of this research was to develop a method determining the optimal location of VMS considering safety and driving characteristics of various drivers. A driving simulator was utilized to evaluate how drivers can safely exit to off-ramp depending on various VMS locations while information relating route diversion was provided. The binary logistic regression and factor analysis were applied in developing a probability model that predicts the success of safe off-ramp exiting. Based on the developed probability model, a method to estimate the spacing between VMS and off-ramp is suggested. It is expected that the products of this study would be utilized as a tool in determining VMS locations for ITS planners and designers.

An Automatic Pattern Recognition Algorithm for Identifying the Spatio-temporal Congestion Evolution Patterns in Freeway Historic Data (고속도로 이력데이터에 포함된 정체 시공간 전개 패턴 자동인식 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Eun Mi;Oh, Hyun Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.522-530
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    • 2014
  • Spatio-temporal congestion evolution pattern can be reproduced using the VDS(Vehicle Detection System) historic speed dataset in the TMC(Traffic Management Center)s. Such dataset provides a pool of spatio-temporally experienced traffic conditions. Traffic flow pattern is known as spatio-temporally recurred, and even non-recurrent congestion caused by incidents has patterns according to the incident conditions. These imply that the information should be useful for traffic prediction and traffic management. Traffic flow predictions are generally performed using black-box approaches such as neural network, genetic algorithm, and etc. Black-box approaches are not designed to provide an explanation of their modeling and reasoning process and not to estimate the benefits and the risks of the implementation of such a solution. TMCs are reluctant to employ the black-box approaches even though there are numerous valuable articles. This research proposes a more readily understandable and intuitively appealing data-driven approach and developes an algorithm for identifying congestion patterns for recurrent and non-recurrent congestion management and information provision.

Analysis of the Research Trend and Developmental Direction against the VDS Data (차량검지기 자료 관련 연구동향 분석 및 발전방향)

  • Kim, Han-Soo;Park, Dong-Joo;Shin, Seung-Jin;Beck, Seung-Kirl;NamKoong, Sung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.6 no.1 s.12
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2007
  • A VDS data in the domestic has been used within limits to real time information such as congestion management, incident management, and route guidance service. On the other hand, a VDS data in the foreign countries had been used to various objectives such as transportation policy assessment, transportation construction evaluation, franc safety improvement, and etc. The scope and method of the study is the VDS data which was installed in the uninterrupted flow such as the freeway and the interrupted flow in a diversion route of the leeway. It has investigated and analyzed the VDS as our subject to study, study objective and study methodology for each study generally classified as 1) data collection 2) data processing 3) data store and 4) data quality section. This study has investigated and analyzed the various literatures in domestic and foreign countries regarding the VDS data. And It drew the development direction of the study which is about VDS data in domestic from now.

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Preventive Congestion Management Algorithm for Ubiquitous Freeway System (유비쿼터스 교통환경을 위한 연속류 정체예방관리 알고리즘)

  • Park, Eun-Mi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2009
  • The ubiquitous transportation system environments make it possible to collect each vehicle's position and velocity data and to perform more sophisticated traffic flow management at individual vehicle or platoon level through V2V and V2I communication. It is necessary to develop a new traffic management paradigm to take advantage of the ubiquitous transportation system environments. This paper proposed a preventive congestion management algorithm for uninterrupted flow, whose goal is to minimize the incident potential and maximize the productivity by maintaining traffic flow stability. The algorithm includes the following steps: Processing the raw data to produce the 3-dimension speed/flow/density profile and to produce the platoon profile and the shock wave profile, Determining the traffic state and the flow stability based on the processed data, Deciding the desirable speed the according the traffic flow state, and finally Providing the desirable speed information. It remains as further work to perform field experiments and calibrate the algorithm parameters.