• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood simulation

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Numerical Simulations of Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding at Mokpo Coastal Zone by MIKE21 Model (MIKE 21 모형을 이용한 목포해역 해일/범람모의)

  • Moon, Seung-Rok;Park, Seon-Jung;Kang, Ju-Whan;Yoon, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.348-359
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    • 2006
  • The city of Mokpo suffers lowland inundation damages by sea water flooding even without harsh weather like a typhoon, due to the low level urban infrastructure facilities, oceanic environmental changes by constructions of seadike/seawall and sea level rise caused by global warming. This study performs constructing the simulation system which employs the MIKE21 software. And the system is applied to several typhoon- induced surges which had resulted in inundation at Mokpo. Virtual situation of flooding is simulated in case 59 cm of surge height, which had been occurred actually by RUSA(0215), coincides with Approx. H.H.W. Then the water level of 545 cm corresponds to the extreme high water level(544 cm) for 10 year return period after the construction of Geumho seawall. The results show rapid and broad inundation at Inner-Port, requiring additional preparations for flood protections.

A Study on Generation of Stochastic Rainfall Variation using Multivariate Monte Carlo method (다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 추계학적 강우 변동 생성기법에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Ki-Hong;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2009
  • In this study, dimensionless-cumulative rainfall curves were generated by multivariate Monte Carlo method. For generation of rainfall curve rainfall storms were divided and made into dimensionless type since it was required to remove the spatial and temporal variances as well as differences in rainfall data. The dimensionless rainfall curves were divided into 4 types, and log-ratio method was introduced to overcome the limitations that elements of dimensionless-cumulative rainfall curve should always be more than zero and the sum total should be one. Orthogonal transformation by Johnson system and the constrained non-normal multivariate Monte Carlo simulation were introduced to analyse the rainfall characteristics. The generative technique in stochastic rainfall variation using multivariate Monte Carlo method will contribute to the design and evaluation of hydrosystems and can use the establishment of the flood disaster prevention system.

Estimations of flow rate and pollutant loading changes of the Yo-Cheon basin under AR5 climate change scenarios using SWA (SWAT을 이용한 AR5 기후변화 시나리오에 의한 섬진강 요천유역의 유량 및 오염부하량 변화 예측)

  • Jang, Yujin;Park, Jongtae;Seo, Dongil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2018
  • Two climate change scenarios, the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and the RCP 8.5 in the fifth Assessment Report (AR5) by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), were applied in the Yocheon basin area using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model to estimate changes in flow rates and pollutant loadings in the future. Field stream flow rate data in Songdong station and water quality data in Yocheon-1 station between 2013~2015 were used for model calibration. While $R^2$ value of flow rate calibration was 0.85 and $R^2$ value of water qualities were in the 0.12~0.43 range. The total study period was divided into 4 sub periods as 2030s (2016~2040), 2050s (2041~2070) and 2080s (2071~2100). The predicted results of flow rates and water quality concentrations were compared with results in calibrated periods, 2015s (2013~2015). In both RCP scenarios, flow rate and TSS (Total Suspended Solid) loadings were estimated to be in increasing trend while TN (Total Nitrogen) and TP (Total Phosphorus) loadings showed decreasing patterns. Also, flow rates and pollutant loadings showed larger differences between the maximum and the minimum values in RCP 4.5 than RCP 8.5 scenarios indicating more severe effect of drought and flood, respectively. Dependent on simulation period and rainfall periods in a year, flow rate, TSS, TN and TP showed different trends in each scenario. This emphasizes importance of considerations on time and space when analyzing climate change impacts of each variable under various scenarios.

A Study on the Efficient Operation of VTS in Inchon (인천항 VTS의 효율적인 운영방안에 관한 연구)

  • 김상환;박진수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 1998.10b
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 1998
  • Many Countries have made efforts to assist ships navigate accurately , safely and expeditiously for the safety control against increasing marine traffic , in their coastal waters. However, they are exposed in spite of these efforts,to risks of casulaties and marine polluation caused by traffic congestion when ships are navigating through waterways approaches to ports or harbors and in narrow fairways. Therefore, efficient control of VTS in Port is necessary nowadays to provide ships with necessary service , which interacts with shipping and organize the flow of traffic so as to maximize the efficiency of the port or harbor while minimizing the risk of accident and environmental pollution. Even though the navigation condition of ships is very inferior compared to other ports in Korea, such as the big difference between the ebb and flood tide, the frequent fog, the narrow fairway , the density of navigation traffic in Inchon Port is high and transportation quantity of dangerous cargoe increases gradually. In cosideration of the characteristics of natural circumstance and traffic circumstance the VTS established newly in Inchon port have to operate efficiently. The purpose of this study is to help efficient operation of VTS in Inchon port by accomplishing both the literature research and questionnaire survey. Questionnaire survey was read to the VTS personnel in Inchon Port and customer familiar to Inchon Port such as ship navigators, pilots, shipping companies and so on. Most of ship navigators who occupy half of the respondents are Korean Officer who had responded while they were calling at Inchon port. The conclusions and recommendations includes ; First, the service area should be extended over Designated area to provide the vessel with navigational assistance service regarding the information of traffic congestion area, fishing boat and small ship's activities. Second, the types of information service to be offered are ship's movement and weather condition inthe vicinity of the port and state of fairway in the approaching channel to thte fairway. Third, VTS personnel should be upgraded by the on-the-job training and continuous simulation training as well as supplement of the qualified personnel for VTS operation. Fourth , the Harbor Master System to be introduced for safe navigation and efficient port operation.

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Applicability Test of a Wetting and Drying Scheme for KU-RLMS Model (KU-RLMS 모형의 잠김-드러남 기법 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Nam-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.448-457
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    • 2011
  • A wetting and drying(WAD) scheme was introduced in KU-RLMS which is a two-dimensional depth-averaged unsteady model, and applicability tests for wetting and drying were performed in this study. WAD scheme in the model uses a mathematically less elegant but numerically easier method to test for dry or wet cells at each time step, then to apply blocking conditions for fluxes at cells' interfaces. WAD scheme introduced in the model was verified against an analytical solution in a frictionless parabolic basin. It was found that there occurs a little phase difference between analytical and numerical solution and little decrease of amplitude of numerical result. I used three test channels having a linear sloping bottom topography, a stepwise bottom topography, and a stepwise, a bumpy and bowl-shaped bottom topography. It could be found that numerical simulation results in test channels have similar shapes of Balzano[4] and Oey[15].

The Behavior of Floating Debris in the Nakdong River Estuary using a Simple Numerical Particle Model (입자수치모의를 통한 낙동강 하구 해안부유쓰레기 거동)

  • Yoo, Chang-Ill;Yoon, Han-Sam;Kim, Gyou-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2007
  • This study reviewed the behavior(movement) characteristics of floating marine debris flowing in the Nakdong River Estuary using a simple numerical particle-tracking model on the conditions of the maximum water discharge outflow from the Nakdong River barrage during the passage of typhoon Maemi in 2003. The simulation showed that the particle distribution and movement of floating marine debris in the Nakdong River Estuary reached a stable state at 72 hours after the typhoon had passed, during the flood period of river discharge. The quantity of floating particles distributed on the east coast of Gadeok and Jinu Islands increased by 40% at 33 hours after starting the model, while the change in other sea areas was 20-40%.

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Application of Urban Stream Discharge Simulation Using Short-term Rainfall Forecast (단기 강우예측 정보를 이용한 도시하천 유출모의 적용)

  • Yhang, Yoo Bin;Lim, Chang Mook;Yoon, Sun Kwon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we developed real-time urban stream discharge forecasting model using short-term rainfall forecasts data simulated by a regional climate model (RCM). The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecasting System (CFS) data was used as a boundary condition for the RCM, namely the Global/Regional Integrated Model System(GRIMs)-Regional Model Program (RMP). In addition, we make ensemble (ESB) forecast with different lead time from 1-day to 3-day and its accuracy was validated through temporal correlation coefficient (TCC). The simulated rainfall is compared to observed data, which are automatic weather stations (AWS) data and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA 3B43; 3 hourly rainfall with $0.25^{\circ}{\times}0.25^{\circ}$ resolution) data over midland of Korea in July 26-29, 2011. Moreover, we evaluated urban rainfall-runoff relationship using Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). Several statistical measures (e.g., percent error of peak, precent error of volume, and time of peak) are used to validate the rainfall-runoff model's performance. The correlation coefficient (CC) and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) are evaluated. The result shows that the high correlation was lead time (LT) 33-hour, LT 27-hour, and ESB forecasts, and the NSE shows positive values in LT 33-hour, and ESB forecasts. Through this study, it can be expected to utilizing the real-time urban flood alert using short-term weather forecast.

Application of ecosystem modeling for the assessment of water quality in an eutrophic marine environment; Jinhae Bay (부영양화된 해양환경의 수질개선을 위한 해양생태계모델링의 적용 ; 한국의 진해만)

  • Lee, Won-Chan;Park, Sung-Eun;Hong, Sok-Jin;Oh, Hyun-Taik;Jung, Rea-Hong;Koo, Jun-Ho
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.217-219
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    • 2006
  • This study focused an water quality response to land-based pollution loads and the appropriate pollutant load reduction in Chinhae Bay using an eco-hydrodynamic model. Land-based discharge foam urban areas, industrial complex and sewage treatment plant was the greatest contributor to cause red-tide blooms and summer hypoxia. Tidal currents velocity af the ebb tide was about 10 cm/s stronger than that of the flood tide. A residual current was simulated to. have a slightly complicated pattern with ranging from 0.1 to. 2.7 cm/s. In Masan Bay, pollutant materials cannot flaw from the inner to the outer bay easily because af residual currents flaw southward at surface and northward at the bottom. The simulation results of COD distribution showedhigh concentrations aver 3 mg/L in the inner part of Masan Bay related pollutant discharge, and charge, and lower levels less than 1.5mg/L in the central part of Chinhae Bay. For improvement water quality in Chinhae Bay, it is necessary to reduce the organic and inorganic loads from paint sources by mare than 50% and ameliorate severe polluted sediment.

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Finite Element A nalysis of Gradually and Rapidly Varied Unsteady Flow in Open Channel:I.Theory and Stability Analysis (개수로내의 점변 및 급변 부정류에 대한 유한요소해석 :I.이론 및 수치안정성 해석)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Park, Jae-Hong;Lee, Jong-Tae
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.167-178
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    • 1996
  • The simulation techniques of hydrologic data series have been developed for the purposes of the design of water resources system, the optimization of reservoir operation, and the design of flood control of reservoir, etx. While the stochastic models are usually used in most analysis of water resources fields for the generation of data sequences, the indexed sequential modeling (ISM) method based on generation of a series of overlapping short-term flow sequences directly from the historical record has been used for the data generation in western USA since the early of 1980's. It was reported that the reliable results by ISM were obtained in practical applications. In this study, we generate annual inflow series at a location of Hong Cheon Dam site by using ISM method and first order autoregressive model (AR(1)), and estimate the drought characteristics for the comparison aim between ISM and AR(1).

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Flood Runoff Simulation using Radar Rainfall and Distributed Model in Imjin River Basin (레이더 강우와 분포형 모형을 이용한 임진강 유역의 홍수 유출 모의)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Bae, Young-Hye;Park, Jung-Sool;Kim, Kyung-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.738-743
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    • 2008
  • 최근 기상이변으로 인한 돌발홍수의 빈번한 발생으로 인해 신속하고 정량적인 강우예측의 필요성이 대두되고 있으며 강우의 거동을 실시간으로 관측하여 예측이 가능한 강우레이더의 활용성이 높아지고 있다. 또한, 1Km 해상도의 격자형으로 제공되는 강우레이더를 효과적으로 활용하기 위해 격자단위의 분석이 가능한 분포형 수문모형의 활용이 증가하고 있다. 본 연구를 위한 선행연구로 배영혜 등(2007)은 레이더 강우와 물리적 기반의 분포형 모형인 $Vflo^{TM}$을 이용하여 임진강 유역에 대한 강우-유출 모의를 실시하였으며 분포형 모형의 입력 자료로 활용된 임진강 유역의 공간자료는 임진강 유역조사 성과 및 GIS/RS를 자료를 이용하여 구축하였다. 배영혜 등(2007)이 모의한 임진강 유역의 홍수 유출 모의 결과 모의치와 관측치 사이의 첨두값은 일치하나 지체 시간의 차이가 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 오차의 원인을 파악하기 위해 북한의 하천과 연결되지 않은 임진강 영중지점을 대상으로 홍수 유출 모의를 실시한 결과 지상 강우계를 이용한 레이더 강우의 보정 유무보다는 GIS 수문매개변수의 불확실성이 오차에 큰 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났으며 특히 토양분류 체계가 상이하고 현시성이 결여된 토양도의 활용이 수리전도도를 비롯한 토양 매개변수에 불확실성을 초래하여 첨두 유량과 지체시간 등에 영향을 준 것으로 파악되었다. 본 연구에서는 유역면적의 약 2/3가 미계측 지역인 임진강 유역의 지리적 특성과 현지조사가 필수적인 토양도의 재구축이 현실적으로 어렵다는 점을 고려하여 상대적으로 단순한 가 분포형(Quasi-distributed) 수문 모형인 ModClark 모형을 이용하여 2006년 7월 사상에 대하여 홍수 유출 모의를 실시하였으며 그 결과를 선행연구를 통해 모의한 $Vflo^{TM}$ 모형의 유출 모의 결과와 비교하였다.

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