• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood analysis

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A Comparative Study of Linear-Nonlinear Flood Runoff Models. (선형-비선형 홍수유출모델의 비교연구)

  • 이순택;이영화
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.267-276
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    • 1986
  • This study aims at the development of flood runoff model by comparing and analyzing nonlinear models with linear models in rier basins. The models which are used at the analysis are Nash model and Runoff function method as linear models, and Tank model and Storage function method as nonlinear models. The results, which are obtained from the analysis of these models by using hydrologic data of a representative basin in Nakdong river, Wi-chun basin, show that the peak time, peak flow and flood hydrogrphs by nonlinear models are better than those by linear models in comparison with observed ones, and that nonlinear models are suittable as flood runoff model.

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Extreme Rainfall and Flood related to Tropical Moisture Exports Related Extreme in Korea

  • Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Kyung-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.170-170
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    • 2018
  • In some case studies, the heavy precipitation events and rapid cyclogenesis in the extratropics can be caused by moist and warm tropical air masses. Tropical Moisture Exports (TME) correspond to the meridional transport of moist air masses, primarily born in tropical oceanic areas, to higher latitudes; and are closely related to flood events, especially in the mid-latitudes. The TME for the region of interest is mostly estimated by the back tracking approach using Lagrangian Analysis Tools (LAGRANTO) from ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA) data. In this study, we aim to estimate the TME that are related to rainfall in Korea. The major moisture sources of the TME that contribute to heavy rainfall and extreme floods in Korea are identified. The TME is found to have significant connection with extreme events in Korea such as heavy rainfall and extreme flood events. The results show the most of the moisture sources comes from the west Pacific during the warm half of the year and it contributes significantly to the annual TME and is linked to the East Asian monsoon.

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Computation of Criterion Rainfall for Urban Flood by Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀에 의한 도시 침수발생의 한계강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.713-723
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    • 2019
  • Due to the climate change and various rainfall pattern, it is difficult to estimate a rainfall criterion which cause inundation for urban drainage districts. It is necessary to examine the result of inundation analysis by considering the detailed topography of the watershed, drainage system, and various rainfall scenarios. In this study, various rainfall scenarios were considered with the probabilistic rainfall and Huff's time distribution method in order to identify the rainfall characteristics affecting the inundation of the Hyoja drainage basin. Flood analysis was performed with SWMM and two-dimensional inundation analysis model and the parameters of SWMM were optimized with flood trace map and GA (Genetic Algorithm). By linking SWMM and two-dimensional flood analysis model, the fitness ratio between the existing flood trace and simulated inundation map turned out to be 73.6 %. The occurrence of inundation according to each rainfall scenario was identified, and the rainfall criterion could be estimated through the logistic regression method. By reflecting the results of one/two dimensional flood analysis, and AWS/ASOS data during 2010~2018, the rainfall criteria for inundation occurrence were estimated as 72.04 mm, 146.83 mm, 203.06 mm in 1, 2 and 3 hr of rainfall duration repectively. The rainfall criterion could be re-estimated through input of continuously observed rainfall data. The methodology presented in this study is expected to provide a quantitative rainfall criterion for urban drainage area, and the basic data for flood warning and evacuation plan.

A Study on Rainfall-Runoff Frequency Analysis for Estimating Design Flood (설계홍수량 산정을 위한 강우-유출 빈도해석에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jongin;Ji, Jungwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.8
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    • pp.605-612
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze design flood estimation methods which are the basis for determining the size of a flood control structure. The result from a flood frequency analysis which is considered as the best way for estimating design flood was assumed as a true value, and a method of simulating runoff and performing frequency analysis of the maximum discharge data were compared with a design storm method. For a comparative analysis of design flood estimation, seven basins (Namgang reservoir basin, Soyanggang reservoir basin, Andong reservoir basin, Seomjingang reservoir basin, Imha reservoir basin, Chungju reservoir basin, Hapcheon reservoir basin) were selected. For the Seomjingang, Hapcheon, and Imha reservoir basins, the method proposed in this study showed better results, whereas the conventional method showed better results for the Namgang, Soyanggang, and Chungju reservoir basins. The results show that the conventional method (the design storm method) is not the best way for estimating design flood and the proposed method can be used as an alternative for small basins.

The Study on the Development of Flood Prediction and Warning System at Ungaged Coastal Urban Area - On-Cheon Stream in Busan - (미계측 해안 도시 유역의 홍수예경보 시스템 구축 방법 검토 - 부산시 온천천 유역 대상 -)

  • Shin, Hyun-Suk;Park, Yong-Woon;Hong, Il-Pyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.6 s.179
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    • pp.447-458
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the coastal urban flood prediction and warning system based on HEC-RAS and SWMM were investigated to evaluate a watershed of On-Cheon stream in Busan which has characteristics of costal area cased by flooding of coastal urban areas. The basis of this study is a selection of various geological data from the numerical map that is a watershed of On-Cheon stream and computation of hydrologic GIS data. Thiessen method was used for analyzing of rainfall on the On-Cheon stream and 6th regression equation, which is Huff's Type II was time-distribution of rainfall. To evaluate the deployment of flood prediction and warning system, risk depth was used on the 3 selected areas. To find the threshold runoff for hydraulic analysis of stream, HEC-RAS was used and flood depth and threshold runoff was considered with the effect of tidal water level. To estimate urban flash flood trigger rainfall, PCSWMM 2002 was introduced for hydrologic analysis. Consequently, not only were the criteria of coastal urban flood prediction and warning system decided on the watershed of On-Cheon stream, but also the deployment flow charts of flood prediction and warning system and operation system was evaluated. This study indicates the criteria of flood prediction and warning system on the coastal areas and modeling methods with application of ArcView GIS, HEC-RAS and SWMM on the basin. For the future, flood prediction and warning system should be considered and developed to various basin cases to reduce natural flood disasters in coastal urban area.

A Study on the Production of Flooding Maps in Small Stream (소하천 홍수범람지도 제작에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Hyeok;Jun, Kye Won;Kim, Il Dong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2021
  • Due to recent climate change, the flood damage is becoming larger due to the development of localized heavy rains. 2020.12 The Ministry of Environment provides 100-year flood flood map, but in the case of small rivers, river structures are designed at 50-80 years frequency, making it difficult to predict damage and provide evacuation information. This study prepared flood map of Donamcheon district in Geumnam-myeon, Sejong Special Self-Governing Province, which is a small stream and habitual flood zone. The flood level was calculated using HEC-RAS and the flood area was visualized through HEC-GeoRAS. The analysis results showed that property damage such as special crops and roads occurred during the 30-80 year frequency rainfall, and it affected private houses such as general residential areas and public land when the frequency occurred for 100 years. The results of the comparison and analysis of the flood map provided by the Ministry of Environment and the results of the HEC-GeoRAS simulation showed that the flood map provided by the Ministry of Environment did not consider small streams. Further studies on flood flood maps considering the large and small stream are needed in the future.

Development of regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments in the metropolises (대도시에서의 인적·물적 홍수피해 추정을 위한 회귀함수 개발)

  • Lim, Yeon Taek;Lee, Jong Seok;Choi, Hyun Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1119-1130
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    • 2020
  • Flood disasters have been recently increasing worldwide due to climate change and extreme weather events. Since flood damage recovery has been conducted as a common coping strategy to flood disasters in the Republic of Korea, it is necessary to predict the regional flood damage costs by rainfall characteristics for a preventative measure to flood damage. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to present the regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments for the 7 metropolises in the Republic of Korea. A comprehensive regression analysis was performed through the total 48 simple regression models on the two types of flood damage records for human and economic costs over the past two decades from 1998 to 2017 using the four kinds of nonlinear equations with each of the six rainfall variables. The damage assessment functions for each metropolis were finally selected by the evaluation of the regression results with the coefficient of determination and the statistical significance test, and then used for the human and economic flood damage assessments for 100-year rainfall in the 7 metropolises. The results of this study are expected to provide the basic information on flood damage cost assessments for flood damage mitigation measures.

Comparative analysis of inundation flow patterns and flood risk assessment methods within subway stations (지하철 역사 내 침수 흐름 분석 및 침수 위험도 평가 방법 비교)

  • Shin, Jaehyun;Kim, Minjeong;Cho, Inhwan;Park, Inhwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.10
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    • pp.667-678
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    • 2023
  • In this study, quasi-3D inundation flow simulations were conducted for a simplified subway station configuration. The effects of variations in rainwater inflow locations and discharge were investigated, analyzing the resulting inundation flow patterns and flood risk. The inundation simulation results calculated the incipient velocities for slipping and toppling accidents to assess pedestrian safety. The results indicated that velocities exceeding the incipient velocity for slipping accidents mainly occurred on the flooded staircase. Meanwhile, velocities surpassing the incipient toppling accidents were observed around the staircase and the corridor near the staircase leading to B2F. This observation is consistent with the results from the specific force distribution analysis. To provide detailed flood risk assessments, the Flood Hazard Degree (FD) was applied with four levels of criteria, along with the Flood Intensity Factor (FIF). The results demonstrated that FD identified a broader area at risk of flood-induced consequences compared to FIF. When comparing the different inundation risk assessment methods, the specific force method tended to overestimate the risk area, whereas FIF tended to underestimate it. Furthermore, among all assessment methods, the influence of rainwater discharge was found to have a more dominant effect on flood risk assessment compared to the number of rainwater inflow locations. Additionally, the direction of inundation flow influenced the assessed risk, with collision-induced flow patterns leading to higher flood risk than those with identical flow directions.

Error Analysis of Muskingum-Cunge Flood Routing Method (Muskingum-Cunge 홍수추적 방법의 오차해석)

  • Kim, Dae-Geun;Seo, Il-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.751-760
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    • 2003
  • Error analysis of finite difference equation on the Muskingum-Cunge flood routing method with free time and space weighting factor was carried out. The error analysis shows that the numerical solution of the Muskingum-Cunge method becomes diverged with time when the sum of time weighting factor and space weighting factor is greater than 1.0. Numerical diffusion increases when the sum of time weighting factor and space weighting factor decreases. Numerical diffusion and numerical oscillation increase when the grid resolution is coarse. Numerical experiments and field applications show that the Muskingum-Cunge method with free space weighting factor is more effective for simulating the flood routing with great peak diminution than conventional Muskingum-Cunge method with fixed space weighting factor, 0.5.