• Title/Summary/Keyword: fire risk

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Development of Mid-range Forecast Models of Forest Fire Risk Using Machine Learning (기계학습 기반의 산불위험 중기예보 모델 개발)

  • Park, Sumin;Son, Bokyung;Im, Jungho;Kang, Yoojin;Kwon, Chungeun;Kim, Sungyong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.5_2
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    • pp.781-791
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    • 2022
  • It is crucial to provide forest fire risk forecast information to minimize forest fire-related losses. In this research, forecast models of forest fire risk at a mid-range (with lead times up to 7 days) scale were developed considering past, present and future conditions (i.e., forest fire risk, drought, and weather) through random forest machine learning over South Korea. The models were developed using weather forecast data from the Global Data Assessment and Prediction System, historical and current Fire Risk Index (FRI) information, and environmental factors (i.e., elevation, forest fire hazard index, and drought index). Three schemes were examined: scheme 1 using historical values of FRI and drought index, scheme 2 using historical values of FRI only, and scheme 3 using the temporal patterns of FRI and drought index. The models showed high accuracy (Pearson correlation coefficient >0.8, relative root mean square error <10%), regardless of the lead times, resulting in a good agreement with actual forest fire events. The use of the historical FRI itself as an input variable rather than the trend of the historical FRI produced more accurate results, regardless of the drought index used.

A Case Study of Jet fire Estimation Model on the High Pressurized Pipeline of Natural Gas (고압가스배관의 제트화재 예측모델에 관한 사례연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Gon;Kim, Dong-Sung;Hwang, Cheol-Seung;Cho, Won-Cheol;Lee, Tae-Shik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.371-375
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    • 2007
  • Due to the benefit of QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) method, we can evaluate the risk, and it helps us to make our safe. We also depend to some of correlation equations to assess the jet fire at high pressurized transmission line. However, we can evaluate the risk within limitations. After comparing the current model to investigation report of natural gas transmission line accident at EL-Paso in U.S., this study concludes that more research and study are required because currently developed model cannot expect factors of the fire risk such as flame configuration.

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A Study on Risk Evaluation and Classification of Fire Equipments for Certification (소방용품의 강제인증을 위한 위험도평가 및 품목분류에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Gi-Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2009
  • This study focuses on the classification of fire equipments for certification based on the risk evaluation. In general, known statistics on fire equipment-related accidents needs to be used for risk evaluation. When statistics is not available, however, expected frequency and severity of accident for individual equipment can be taken into account in evaluating the related risks. Based on the level of inherent risks, each equipment is then classified into three categories for certification. For equipments that risk evaluation is not possible, characteristics of those products such as reliability are considered for classification. Once classified, each equipment is assigned an appropriate certification module.

The Risk Assessment of Tunnel Fire Through Real Scale Fire Test (실물터널 화재실험을 통한 터널화재 위험도 평가)

  • 최준석;최병일;김명배;한용식;장용재;이유환;황낙순;김필영
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 2002
  • The real scale tunnel fire tests are carried out for the first time in domestic range to assess the extent of risk in the tunnel fire. The tunnel dimension is 465 m in length, 9.2 m in width and 6.5 m in height. Gasoline pools with 0.25 MW∼2.5 MW size and a 1500CC passenger car are used as fire sources. Six jet fans are used to change the flow velocity inside the tunnel. Temperatures at total 86 points in the tunnel are measured to find the temperature distribution and smoke behavior in the real tunnel fire. In the experiment, it is examined that the important parameters to assess the extent of risk in tunnel fire such as back layering of smoke front, descending of smoke layer and the fire size of a real passenger car.

Fire Risk by Type of Building Exterior Material through Fire Cases (화재사례를 통한 건축물 외장재 종류별 화재발생위험성)

  • Lee, Jeong-Il;Kweon, Young-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the number of cases of fire spreading due to exterior materials of buildings is increasing. Due to the nature of modern architecture, which emphasizes the aesthetics of buildings, because buildings pursue a splendid appearance, they are inexpensive and have relatively good insulation performance, but an increasing number of buildings are adopting insulation materials that have poor fire safety performance. The risk of spread is also greatly increased. Since the exterior wall of a building is made of a variety of materials and structures, it is composed of a combination of several elements, including materials such as insulation and finishing materials. Therefore, it was determined that it was necessary to introduce a more systematic evaluation method for building exterior materials, and to improve the system reflecting this, away from the existing evaluation method that only checked the fire safety performance of finishing materials.

A Study on the Improvement Direction of Life Safety Codes for High Fire Risk Building Applications (화재위험성이 높은 건축물의 용도를 대상으로 한 인명안전기준의 개선방향)

  • Kwon, Young-Jin;Jin, Seung-Hyeon;Lee, Byeong-Heun;Koo, In-Hyuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.53-54
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    • 2021
  • Grenfell Tower was renovated in 2014 and 2016 at a high cost to replace the exterior materials, windows and co-heating facilities of the building. The exterior materials used during the repair work were sandwich panels filled with polyethylene and plastic, which were expanded on the aluminum metal surface. It is a product called Celotex RS 5000, a low-resolution but inexpensive repair material, and is currently an external material that cannot be used in high-rise buildings. Similar domestic fire cases began to focus social attention on the safety of high-rise buildings through the Busan Residential Complex Fire (2010), Uijeongbu Urban Living Housing Fire (2015), and Ulsan Residential Complex Fire (2020), and residents' safety concerns are increasing. In Korea, the occurrence and risk of similar fires are high, so setting up fire prevention measures through fire case investigation is considered the most basic measure in securing human safety. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine the status of fire damage caused by domestic and foreign eruptions, domestic and international research status and related regulations on external materials and windows starting from the Grenfell Tower fire in England.

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Upward Flame Spread for Fire Risk Classification of High-Rise Buildings

  • McLaggan, Martyn S.;Gupta, Vinny;Hidalgo, Juan P.;Torero, Jose L.
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.299-310
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    • 2021
  • External fire spread has the potential to breach vertical compartmentation and violate the fire safety strategy of a building. The traditional design solution to this has been the use of non-combustible materials and spandrel panels but recent audits show that combustible materials are widespread and included in highly complex systems. Furthermore, most jurisdictions no longer require detailing of spandrel panels under many different circumstances. These buildings require rapid investigation using rational scientific methods to be able to adequately classify the fire risk. In this work, we use an extensive experimental campaign of material-scale data to explore the critical parameters driving upward flame spread. Two criteria are outlined using two different approaches. The first evaluates the time to ignition and the time to burnout to assess the ability for a fire to spread, and can be easily determined using traditional means. The second evaluates the preheated flame length as the critical parameter driving flame spread. A wide range of cladding materials are ranked according to these criteria to show their potential propensity to flame spread. From this, designers can use conservative approaches to perform fire risk assessments for buildings with combustible materials or can be used to aid decision-making. Precise estimates of flame spread rates within complex façade systems are not achievable with the current level of knowledge and will require a substantial amount of work to make progress.

How to Reduce Fire Fatalities in Residential Occupancies on the Way to a Rapidly Aging Society?

  • Sekizawa, Ai
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2006
  • Everybody may be vulnerable to fires depending on the time, place, and circumstances. Fire statistics show that the occurrence of fire death depends not only on the severity of a fire itself, but also largely on the conditions of occupants such as physical functions, the environment around occupants, and the type of facility where are fire occurs. The review of fire safety from the viewpoint of vulnerable populations does not simply mean additional special attention and care only to high risk groups, but instead it means significant review of fire safety design and systems for all people from a more universal standpoint. Therefore, in order to examine the strategies of a fire death-reduction program, safety measures suitable for the relevant high-risk groups considering the type of vulnerable person, the type of fire, and the type of building in residential occupancies. Solutions will require strenuous multilateral effort and flexibility.

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An Investigation of Quantitative Risk Assessment Methods for the Thermal Failure in Targets using Fire Modeling (화재모델링을 이용한 목표 대상물의 열적 손상에 대한 정량적 위험성 평가방법의 고찰)

  • Yang, Ho-Dong;Han, Ho-Sik;Hwang, Cheol-Hong;Kim, Sung-Chan
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.116-123
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    • 2016
  • The quantitative risk assessment methods for thermal failure in targets were studied using fire modeling. To this end, Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), as a representative fire model, was used and the probabilities related to thermal damage to an electrical cable were evaluated according to the change in fire area inside a specific compartment. 'The maximum probability of exceeding the damage thresholds' adopted in a conservative point of view and 'the probability of failure' including the time to damage were compared. The probability of failure suggested in the present study could evaluate the quantitative fire risk more realistically, compared to the maximum probability of exceeding the damage thresholds with the assumption that thermal damage occurred the instant the target reached its minimum failure criteria in terms of the surface temperature and heat flux.

A Study on the Fire Risk of the Kimchi Refrigerator through Case Analysis of Fire Accidents (사례 분석을 통한 김치냉장고의 화재 위험성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Nam Kyu;Ji, Hong Keun;Song, Jae Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we describe fire risk of Kimchi refrigerator. The Kimchi refrigerator has been widely spread and used starting from the first half of 2000 and recently fire accidents caused by the Kimchi refrigerator emerged as social concern. In particular, in products of a specific manufacturer, it is not an environmental factor, but a characteristic that the fire is caused due to a defect of the product itself is shown. These features are judged to be formed by unique defects regardless of external factor by forming electrically arc mark in the relay element. In this paper, we analyzed the cause of the fire occurring in the Kimchi refrigerator and finally confirmed the characteristic that the fire occurred mainly in the relay element due to insufficient capacity of the relay element. Therefore, when a fire occurs in a product of the same maker as the Kimchi refrigerator mentioned in this paper, it is always judged that the inspection of the relay element should be carried out.