• Title/Summary/Keyword: financial losses

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Analysis of Building Vulnerabilities to Typhoon Disaster Based on Damage Loss Data (태풍 재해에 대한 건물 취약성의 피해손실 데이터 기반 분석)

  • Ahn, Sung-Jin;Kim, Tae-Hui;Son, Ki-Young;Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2019
  • Typhoons can cause significant financial damage worldwide. For this reason, states, local governments and insurance companies attempt to quantify and mitigate the financial risks related to these natural disasters by developing a typhoon risk assessment model. As such, the importance of typhoon risk assessment models is increasing, and it is also important to reflect local vulnerabilities to enable sophisticated assessments. Although a practical study of economic losses associated with natural disasters has identified essential risk indicators, comprehensive studies covering the correlation between vulnerability and economic loss are still needed. The purpose of this study is to identify typhoon damage indicators and to develop evaluation indicators for typhoon damage prediction functions, utilizing the loses from Typhoon Maemi as data. This study analyzes actual loss records of Typhoon Maemi provided by local insurance companies to prepare for a scenario of maximum losses. To create a vulnerability function, the authors used the wind speed and distance from the coast and the total value of property, construction type, floors, and underground floor indicators. The results and metrics of this study provide practical guidelines for government agencies and insurance companies in developing vulnerability functions that reflect the actual financial losses and regional vulnerabilities of buildings.

Operational Risk Measurement of Financial Institutions via AHP (AHP 분석을 이용한 금융기관 운영리스크 측정)

  • Choi, Seung-Il
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2011
  • Basel II advanced measurement approaches for operational risk need to estimate the frequency and severity distribution of operational losses. Due to lack of internal loss data, the estimation is impossible in many cases and so external loss data might be used by scaling on asset or gross income. To get around lack of loss data, scenario analysis combined with loss distribution approach can be useful in calculating the capital charge of operational risk. However, scenario based loss distribution approach requires much time and effort. Instead we may apply the analytic hierarchy process to measure operational risk of financial institutions. The analytic hierarchy process combined with loss distribution approach is to estimate the capital charge of operational risk in other areas based on the operational VaR in an area with sufficient loss data. AHP provides a tool for timely measurement of operational risk in this rapidly changing global environment.

파산비용(破産費用)의 중요성(重要性)과 측정방법(測定方法)에 관한 연구(硏究)

  • Jeong, Gyeong-Su
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 1988
  • This paper is to examine the relevance of banarptcy Costs (BC) to Capital Structure with three related purposes: whether or not BC are trival,, a proxy methodology for estimating BC, the present value of expected BC vs tax benefits' trade off. For these purposes, the samples includes 19 industrial firms which went bankrupt over period 1970-78 and secondly seven large Companies which went bankrnpt recently in the U.S. The results are quite strong that BC are not trival. In many cases they exceed 20% of the value of the firm measured just prior to bankruptcy. Direct BC are explicit and administrative costs paid by debtor in reorganization/liqaidation process. Indirect BC are essentially defined as unexpected losses and estimated in two way: a regression method and security analyst's forcasts. The present value of expected BC for many of the bankrupt firm is found to exceed the present value of tax benefits from leverage. This implies that firms were overleveraged and that a potentially important ingredient in the discussion of optimum capital structure is indeed the BC factor. Therefore, BC are relevant to the cost of capital structure decision and should he considered seriously.

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Bayesian Inference for Predicting the Default Rate Using the Power Prior

  • Kim, Seong-W.;Son, Young-Sook;Choi, Sang-A
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.685-699
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    • 2006
  • Commercial banks and other related areas have developed internal models to better quantify their financial risks. Since an appropriate credit risk model plays a very important role in the risk management at financial institutions, it needs more accurate model which forecasts the credit losses, and statistical inference on that model is required. In this paper, we propose a new method for estimating a default rate. It is a Bayesian approach using the power prior which allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the default rate. Inference on current data could be more reliable if there exist similar data based on previous studies. Ibrahim and Chen (2000) utilize these data to characterize the power prior. It allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the parameters in the models. We demonstrate our methodologies with a real data set regarding SOHO data and also perform a simulation study.

Fuzzy Darwinian Detection of Credit Card Fraud (퍼지-다윈의 불량 신용 탐지 시스템)

  • Bentley, Peter J.;Kim, Jung-Won;Jung, Gil-Ho;Choi, Jong-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.277-280
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    • 2000
  • Credit evaluation is one of the most important and difficult tasks fur credit card companies, mortgage companies, banks and other financial institutes. Incorrect credit judgement causes huge financial losses. This work describes the use of an evolutionary-fuzzy system capable of classifying suspicious and non-suspicious credit card transactions. The paper starts with the details of the system used in this work. A series of experiments are described, showing that the complete system is capable of attaining good accuracy and intelligibility levels for real data.

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Stable investment feasibility study for the utilization of ELW (안정적 투자를 위한 ELW의 활용가능성 연구)

  • Jeong, Jae-Jeong;Kim, Jeong-Hyeon;Lee, Seok-Hyeon;Gang, Gyeong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2012.04a
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    • pp.667-678
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    • 2012
  • Internet and information technology due to the development of rapid changes in the investment environment, the existing securities, or by disassembling the combined financial engineering to create new securities with the development of enlarged minimize losses to investors in financial markets more stable that can be and need a way to invest in this paper, such as individual stocks or a specific index of those derivatives that are linked to the December 1, 2005 and 2010 the market began trading from the phone call attention off new measures to gauge the individual through ELW underlying assets such as stocks or a specific index to minimize the loss of a stable hedge for investors to evaluate the possibility of studying for.

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A Causal Analysis of Conglomerate Bankruptcies

  • KU, Sang-Wuk;WHANG, Yun-Oh
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - Strategic causes for the failure include unrealistic growth, overexpansion, unfamiliar new markets, volume obsession, unrealistic promises and poor project selection. Organizational causes are insufficient capital and profits, lack of business knowledge, poor financial management, poor sales skills, inadequate marketing, poor leadership, poor leadership transfer, project losses, poor field performance and owner bankruptcy. Uncontrollable causes include industry and economic weakness and banking and surety changes. While helpful, the list provides insufficient clarity regarding the causal roots of failure. Research design, data and methodology - The research framework to organize the information involved with many of the recent and large failures in the industry. Results - This research then identified five dominant root causes - excessive egoism, poor strategic leadership, too much change, loss of discipline and inadequate capitalization. Conclusion - Finally, additional input from external forces may accelerate the firm's pace to failure. It is important on the development of diagnostic tools that are based on this model and that will provide new ways to assess a conglomerate's level of risk for incurring a financial crisis.

The Analysis of Relationship between Railway Signaling Standards and Other Safety Standards for Safety Meaning Establishment (열차제어시스템 안전성 개념 확립을 위한 국제 표준들의 관계분석)

  • Jo, Hyun-Jeong;Hwang, Jong-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.1145-1146
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    • 2008
  • Failures of equipments are linked directly to extensive damages of human lives or financial losses from the increasing uses of railway signaling equipments utilizing computers. Then safety organizations have to establish for guaranteeing safety during the system life-cycle. In this paper, we examine the relationship between railway signaling standards and other safety standards for safety meaning establishment.

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Total internet Trust Service (안전한 인터넷 거래를 위한 토탈 전자인증 서비스)

  • 신홍식
    • Proceedings of the CALSEC Conference
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    • 2002.01a
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    • pp.238-241
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    • 2002
  • ·전자상거래: 서로 보지 않고 하는 거래 온라인 범죄(Online Fraud)급증 90% of information security managers have detected breaches at their organizations within a year 74% of companies have experienced financial losses because of cybercrime price tag on e-security breaches:>$17 billion worldwide in 2000(source: CIO Magazine, March 2001) ·전자상거래 최대의 걸림돌: 신뢰 62% cited trust as the top E-commerce barrier -Authentication was key to 60%: Privacy was key to 56% ·(1999 ITAA and E&Y Survey) 인터넷을 신뢰의 공간(Trust Network)으로 만들자. (OECD의 Global Theme. 1998.10) 전자상거래 신뢰 확보→인증기관 출현(중략)

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Asymmetric Timeliness of Market Information According to Corporate Losses and Earnings (기업의 손실과 이익에 따른 시장정보의 비대칭적 적시성)

  • Jong-Gyu Kim;Myoung-Jong Kim;Seong-Jun Hwang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the sensitivity reflected in the accounting earnings differs according to the difference in the characteristics of accounting information such as profit and loss for the same market information. For this, market information and accounting data were analyzed for 11,462 non-financial listed companies listed on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets from 2012 to 2020 by using Basu's measurement of conditional conservatism and Ball and Shivakumar's measurement of conservatism. Accounting earnings sensitivity was analyzed according to the combination of information. As a result of the study, it was confirmed that both earnings and losses corporates recognize losses with delay, while losses are recognized quickly by loss corporates and delayed recognition by earnings companies. It was confirmed that more strict conservatism was applied to the losses corporates compared to the earnings corporates by delaying the recognition of earnings while the early recognition of the losses. It provides empirical data on the causality between the asymmetric timeliness and the combined effect of market information and accounting information by verifying that the losses corporates responds sensitively to market information while the earnings corporates does not react sensitively to the market information.