• 제목/요약/키워드: final demand

검색결과 365건 처리시간 0.03초

최대수요관리를 위한 코호넨 신경회로망과 웨이브릿 변환을 이용한 산업체 부하예측 (A novel Kohonen neural network and wavelet transform based approach to Industrial load forecasting for peak demand control)

  • 김창일;유인근
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.301-303
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents Kohonen neural network and wavelet transform analysis based technique for industrial peak load forecasting for the purpose of peak demand control. Firstly, one year of historical load data were sorted and clustered into several groups using Kohonen neural network and then wavelet transforms are adopted using the Biorthogonal mother wavelet in order to forecast the peak load of one hour ahead. The 5-level decomposition of the daily industrial load curve is implemented to consider the weather sensitive component of loads effectively. The wavelet coefficients associated with certain frequency and time localization is adjusted using the conventional multiple regression method and the components are reconstructed to predict the final loads through a six-scale synthesis technique.

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수요예측 모형의 비교분석에 관한 사례연구 (A comparative analysis of the Demand Forecasting Models : A case study)

  • 정상윤;황계연;김용진;김진
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제17권31호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this study is to search for the most effective forecasting model for condenser with independent demand among the quantitative methods such as Brown's exponential smoothing method, Box-Jenkins method, and multiple regression analysis method. The criterion for the comparison of the above models is mean squared error(MSE). The fitting results of these three methods are as follows. 1) Brown's exponential smoothing method is the simplest one, which means the method is easy to understand compared to others. But the precision is inferior to other ones. 2) Box-Jenkins method requires much historic data and takes time to get to the final model, although the precision is superior to that of Brown's exponential smoothing method. 3) Regression method explains the correlation between parts with similiar demand pattern, and the precision is the best out of three methods. Therefore, it is suggested that the multiple regression method is fairly good in precision for forecasting our item and that the method is easily applicable to practice.

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Future Deep Ocean Resources and the Technologies for Commercial Development

  • Yamazaki, Tetsuo
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2006년 창립20주년기념 정기학술대회 및 국제워크샵
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2006
  • During the 11 year period of 1995-2005, there was about a 40% increase in the world copper demand mainly because of the Asian economic growth. In the increase, about a half was consumed by China. Most of the China's copper demand increase has been taken place over the final 5-6 years of that period. The growth is expected to continue for several years, and in 10 years or sooner the same situation is expected for India. Copper is the third metal in global demand, but its little abundance in the Earth's crust is not well recognized. From the production rate and the abundance, a copper shortage, or crisis, has a high probability than the other metals. Deep ocean mineral resources such as manganese nodules in the Clarion-Clipperton Fracture Zones, Kuroko-type massive seafloor sulfides (SMS), and cobalt-rich manganese crusts in the EEZ and the high sea areas have big potentials for the future sources. We need to re-evaluate their potentials as copper resources and other metals to realize their developments. The same situation is under progress in the hydro-carbon markets. Methane hydrates that are classified into non-conventional hydro-carbon resources have an important role as the future sources, too.

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대중교통 지선노선 선정기법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Feeder Transit Route Design System)

  • 배기목
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2003년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집
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    • pp.316-321
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    • 2003
  • 단말버스 노선선정의 경우, 전체 네트워크로서의 노선선정 보다는 지하철 역 등의 특정 기종점과의 연계차원에서 단일 노선으로 취급하여 노선선정을 행함이 바람직하다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 관점 하에 마을버스 노선선정을 위한 간편 기법을 구축하였다. 검토대상 도로망 한정, 허용노선장에 의한 후보노선의 열거, 노선평가치에 의한 최종노선의 선정 등의 3가지 단계를 통해 단말기능으로서의 마을버스 노선을 선정하는 기법을 구축하였다.

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Water, Energy, and Food Nexus: Preserving Local Resources through Inter-Basin Trade

  • Wicaksono, Albert;Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.153-153
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    • 2018
  • Water-Energy-Food (WEF) nexus is a new holistic resources management concept that considers the interconnections among resources for sustainable resources planning and management. The current challenge is to fulfill the required demand in the lack of available resources. A traditional way to provide more available resource is by increase in production, but it caused increment of indirect demand of other interlinked resources. Importing resources from other area (where local supply is redundant) is another option to secure local resources with additional economic expenditure. The WEF nexus-trading model adapts the previously developed nationwide nexus simulation model with additional input parameters and functions to simulate trading scenarios. In general, the analysis starts with the quantification of local resources deficit (potential importing amount) and redundancy (potential exporting amount) of each area. Then, a trade module is initiated by determining possible donor area and importation amount. Finally, the nexus simulation for all area is re-run to determine final resources supply-demand results including the trading amount. The trade option provides an opportunity to meet local demands without draining local resources. However, the production capability of donor area may limit the importation amount. The newly developed trade option allows more alternatives for stakeholders to determine resources management plans.

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의료소비자의 알 권리에 대한 연구* - 지식, 요구, 평가 및 실행 수준을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Patient's Right to Know - Focused on Level of Knowledge, Demand, Evaluation and Practice -)

  • 백혜란;이기춘
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2003
  • The goal of this study was to estimate the knowledge on the patient about treating and attitude about their right to know and how they practice. That is the study seek to find how much they claim about their right to know and how they evaluate it. Additionally describe how much the patient carry on their right to know and find out that of each level's associations. This main Purpose of the study was to increase patient's right to know during in medical services. Socio-demographic variables, personal service variables and other used variables which levels of consumers knowledge, demand, evaluation and about right to know on practice level were analyzed statistically. For this purpose, the subjects of this study were consumers who had experienced medical services. The survey was conducted on 551 Korean aged in off-line by self-administered questionnaires. Final analyzed sample sizes are 551. The regression, ANOVA, t-test and other descriptive analyses were used. The obtained results were as When the consumers were estimated the level of Knowledge, the degree of respondent's level was middle state. The level of demand showed low tendency but their practice level was relatively high. On the other hand, consumer's demand for the patient's right to know was very high. The level of knowledge, demand, evaluation have affected positively to the level of consumers practices. Based on empirical research, the statistics of consumers' knowledge level was significant to other variables and effecting highly. It was recommended consumer education should be provided effectively to increase protecting their right.

전기공사 현장 안전관리자의 직무자원, 직무요구 및 조직몰입의 영향 연구 (A Study on the Influence of Electronic Construction Site Safety Managers' Job Resources, Job Demands, and Organizational Commitment)

  • 서현정;김남균;손민지;홍아정
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2021
  • This study was conducted to suggest a direction in which safety managers can concentrate on industrial accident prevention and safety management for the organization. The job resources of safety managers were divided into organizational and individual levels, and the magnitude of the impact on organizational commitment was compared. Furthermore, job demands were classified into environmental risk factors and personal psychological factors to confirm their effect on organizational commitment. The moderating effect of job resources and sub-factors of the variable in the relationship between job demands and organizational commitment was verified. In this study, a questionnaire survey was conducted on 193 safety managers in the domestic electric construction business, data were collected, and a questionnaire of 180 people was used for the final analysis. Based on the results, organization-level resources among the sub-factors of job resources and individual psychological factors among the sub-factors of job demand had a more significant influence on organizational commitment. In the relationship between job resources and organizational commitment, the moderating effect of job demand was verified, confirming that job demand had a negative moderating effect. Individual psychological factors had a modulating effect, whereas environmental factors did not. The significance, implications, and limitations of this study are discussed based on the research results.

Estimation of Supply and Demand for Cardiologists in Korea

  • Mira Kim;Kyunghee Chae;Ju Mee Wang;Arum Choi;Jang-Whan Bae;Keon-Woong Moon;Sukil Kim
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2024
  • Background and Objectives: The objective of this study was to estimate the supply and demand for cardiologists in Korea and provide evidence for healthcare policy to ensure a stable and adequate workforce for optimal cardiovascular disease management. Methods: Past trends of inflow and outflow of cardiologists were used to make crude projections, which were then adjusted based on demands of services to obtain final projections. Inflow of cardiologists was estimated using second-order polynomial regression and demand for cardiology care was estimated using linear regression. Results: There were 1,139 active cardiologists who were under the age of 65 in clinical practice in Korea. The estimated number of cardiologists from 2022 to 2040 showed that the number of cardiologists would peak at 1,344 in 2032 and gradually decrease thereafter. We also estimated an increase of 947,811 cases of heart-related procedures annually from 2023 to 2032. The number of heart-related procedures per cardiologist would increase 1.4 times from 12,964 in 2023 to 17,862 in 2032. The estimated number of emergency patients per cardiologist under 50 years old would almost double from 544 in 2022 to 987 in 2032. Conclusions: We expect significant shortage of cardiologists in Korea within the next 10 years. The number of emergency patients per cardiologist will increase by nearly 50%, leading to high individual workload for cardiologists. To prevent this imbalance between supply and demand, an organized and collective approach by the specialty of cardiology is imperative to produce a balanced workforce.

Cave communities and the future

  • Chapman, Phil
    • 동굴
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    • 제4호
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1996
  • Caves abd the life they contain face constant pressure from a worldw demand for cement. hydro-electric power and land for building a agriculture. The 8th International Congress of Speleology held in Kentu two years ago passed a resolution on behalf of the IUCN "Cave Speci Group" which called for "...biological surveys of threatened caves. mos in the tropics, and ecological studies to solve specific managem provlems on the causes of endangerment and how these can be remov or mitigated". This final article in the "Cave Life" series explains the n for an ecological approach to cavelife conservation.

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수출이 수입유발에 미치는 효과에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effect of Export on Induction of Import)

  • 손용정
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.127-139
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    • 2007
  • There are three methods to examine import structures : 1) look at import coefficient, 2) import dependency, and 3) composition ratio of imported products. Therefore, this study analyses the import structure of Korea using the three methods above and when final demand occurs on produced goods and services in each industrial section, it divides import induction coefficients that indicate size of induced import directly and indirectly into consumption, investment and export to identify the effect of export on import induction.

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