• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.250-259
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• 2018

Purpose: Previously, missile reliability prediction is based on theoretical failure prediction model. It has shown that the predicted reliability is inadequate to real field data. Although an MTTF based reliability prediction method using real field data has recently been studied to overcome this issue. In this paper, we present a more realistic method, considering MTBF concept, to predict missile reliability. Methods: In this paper we proposed a modified survival model. This model is considering MTBF as its core concept, and failed missiles in the model are to be repaired and redeployed. We compared the modified model (MTBF) and the previous model (MTTF) in terms of fitness against the real failure data. Results: The reliability prediction result of MTBF based model is closer to fields failure data set than that of MTTF based model. Conclusion: The proposed MTBF concept is more fitted to real failure data of missile than MTTF concept. The methodology of this study can be applied to analyze field failure data of other similar missiles.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.278-285
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• 2012

Purpose: Weapon systems have the long life cycle unlike the consumer product. Thus, the reliability of weapon system is improved during the life cycle through the steady technical change. In this paper, we deal with the method of evaluating the reliability of weapon system with the field failure data. Methods: Especially, we present how to gather the field failure data and evaluate the reliability through the case of K-series weapon system. To evaluate reliability, the reliability growth model is used and the result is discussed. Results: It is steadily improved the reliability of K-series weapon system deployed from 2000 to 2004. The frequency of the failures that affect the mission is largely reduced and MTBMF(mean time between mission failure) is also improved. Conclusion: We can guess the trend of the reliability of weapon system with the field data through this study. Furthermore, it can be used to improve the reliability and make maintenance policy.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.211-217
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• 2010

As the vehicle components are various, we confront unexpected problems in the development and application of them. also warranty expenses occur in the result of unconfirmed warranty.in this paper, to solve the problems of disconnection of damper Strut cable, we applied the optimum conditions through taguchi method for improvement of durability. and we made standard of reliability by weibull analysis of the field data. we acquired reliability standard by correlation with lab data and confirmed improved components satisfying the target of reliability. The analysis of reliability by field data is very useful and we need to apply this method to other components, the correlation between field data and Lab Test has influence on satisfying the target of reliability.this method would be utilized for current mass production components and upcoming developed components. the reliability of durability should be continuously used in the basis of primary technique in cope with competitive automotive companies.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.83-91
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• 2017

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop a quality assurance model and to determine appropriate warranty period for a guided missile using its field data. Methods: 10 years of actual firing data is collected from the defense industry company and military. Parametric maximum likelihood estimation for a reliability function is determined with the data. Results: The reliability function estimates average lifetime of the missile. That function shows a user requirement, 80% reliability (lifetime) is come up when 8 years have passed, which is longer than the estimates in the missile's development phase. Conclusion: Quality assurance warranty for a guided missile must be established with actual test data. It is necessary to update and modify the reliability prediction and the warranty period with actual field test data.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제36권3호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2013

This paper is a case study of reliability assessment with field warranty data of Clutch Master Cylinder (CMC) in hydraulic clutch system. We estimate lifetime distribution using field warranty data which contain much useful information for understanding reliability of the system in the real-world environments. However, the estimated parameters are far from existing reference values, which seems to be caused right censored field warranty data. To modify the parameters, we use the information of the durability test which is performed to verify that the lifetime of the item meets the required level. After that, we can observe that the modified parameters are closer to the existing reference values. This case study shows a possible idea to supplement lack of right censored field warranty data and its applicability.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2008

A methodology for collection and analysis of automotive field reliability data is presented. Automotive warranty system usually covers a pre-determined period of time and/or mileage accumulation. Therefore mileage information for the vehicles that have not experienced any failure or problems during the warranty period is not available. In this paper, a reliability analysis method using the estimated mileage distribution from an additional survey for vehicles that have not any record during the warranty period is proposed. Methods of reliability analysis using the warranty information collected under the EU and US warranty policies are also provided.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.241-255
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• 1999

This paper concerns Reliability Analysis System(RAS) developed by LG Electronics, Inc. for collecting, classifying, and analyzing field failure data. To develop this system, a database for the management of field failure data was built and several functions were included to analyze and assess the product reliability. Nonparametric estimation and cumulative hazard plotting techniques were applied to estimate the reliability for a specific period. This system serves not only engineers in charge of quality but also designers who wish to monitor the reliability of their own products.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.368-378
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• 2002

As more companies are equipped with data aquisition systems for their products, huge amount of field warranty data has been accumulated. We focus on the case when the field data for a given product comprise with the number of sales and the number of the first failures for each period. The number of censored items and their ages are assumed to be given. This type of data are incomplete in the sense that the age of a failed item is unknown. We construct a model for this type of data and propose an algorithm for nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of the product reliability. Unlike the nonhomogeneous Poisson process(NHPP) model, our method can handle the data with censored items as well as those with small population. A few examples are investigated to characterize our model, and a real field warranty data set is analyzed by the method.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.43-48
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• 2014

The door system for railway vehicles is the critical device directly influences on safety and satisfaction of passengers, Recently, electrical type of passenger door system is widely used for EMU type train instead of pneumatic type of passenger door system. The estimation of MTBF and failure rates for electrical type door system is essential. The manufacturor simply provides intrinsic reliability data for the railway operator. But actual reliability data based on operation and maintenance data is not complying with intrinsic reliability. In this study, operation and failure data associated with electrical door system were analyzed in order to determine actual MTBF and failure data. Intrinsic reliability data and service reliability data were studied to finallize much more practical and reliable actual reliability. Relax 2011 was used to predict intrinsic reliability and 217Plus model was also used to estimate of actual reliability data based on field data. Furthermore, it is necessary to keep studying on reliability prediction methodology and applying it in the field and doing research on improvement of reliability through feedback as well.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.79-95
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• 2003

Manufacturers collect and analyze field reliability data to enhance the quality and reliability of their products and to improve customer satisfaction. To reduce the data collecting and maintenance costs, the amount of data maintained for evaluating product quality and reliability should be minimized. With this in mind, some industrial companies assemble warranty databases by gathering data from different sources for a particular time period. This “marginal count failure data” does not provide (i) the number of failures by when the product entered service, (ii) the number of failures by product age, or (iii) information about the effects of the operating season or environment. This article describes a method for estimating age-based claim rates from marginal count failure data. It uses covariates to identify variations in claims relative to variables such as manufacturing characteristics, time of manufacture, operating season or environment. A Poisson model is presented, and the method is illustrated using warranty claims data for two electrical products.