• 제목/요약/키워드: extreme wind speeds

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Capacity of a transmission tower under downburst wind loading

  • Mara, T.G.;Hong, H.P.;Lee, C.S.;Ho, T.C.E.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.65-87
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    • 2016
  • The wind velocity profile over the height of a structure in high intensity wind (HIW) events, such as downbursts, differs from that associated with atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) winds. Current design codes for lattice transmission structures contain only limited advice on the treatment of HIW effects, and structural design is carried out using wind load profiles and response factors derived for ABL winds. The present study assesses the load-deformation curve (capacity curve) of a transmission tower under modeled downburst wind loading, and compares it with that obtained for an ABL wind loading profile. The analysis considers nonlinear inelastic response under simulated downburst wind fields. The capacity curve is represented using the relationship between the base shear and the maximum tip displacement. The results indicate that the capacity curve remains relatively consistent between different downburst scenarios and an ABL loading profile. The use of the capacity curve avoids the difficulty associated with defining a reference wind speed and corresponding wind profile that are adequate and applicable for downburst and ABL winds, thereby allowing a direct comparison of response under synoptic and downburst events. Uncertainty propagation analysis is carried out to evaluate the tower capacity by considering the uncertainty in material properties and geometric variables. The results indicated the coefficient of variation of the tower capacity is small compared to those associated with extreme wind speeds.

풍속 재현빈도와 일치하는 해일모의용 표준태풍 생성 (Generation of a Standard Typhoon using for Surge Simulation Consistent with Wind in Terms of Return Period)

  • 강주환;김양선;권순덕;전영선
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2016
  • 서해안에 영향을 미친 태풍자료를 사용하여 몬테칼로 시뮬레이션을 통해 목포를 비롯하여 군산, 인천 및 제주 등 서해안 4곳의 빈도별 풍속을 산정하였다. 민감도분석 결과 최근접거리와 최대풍속반경의 차이가 풍속에 가장 영향을 크게 미치는 요소이고 위치각과 기압강하량 역시 민감한 반면 이동속도는 가장 둔감한 매개변수로 나타나고 있다. 이를 토대로 빈도별 최대풍속을 발생시키는 평균적인 해당빈도의 표준태풍을 설정할 수 있으며, 각 지점에서의 태풍 매개변수 설정을 통해 표준태풍을 확립할 수 있다. 이러한 표준태풍을 통해 빈도별 풍속과 일맥상통하는 빈도별 해일고 역시 산정할 수 있게 된다. 또한 가항반원에 해당하는 자료만 포함시켜 해석함으로써 음해일을 유발하는 표준태풍 역시 생성할 수 있다.

태풍 모의를 통한 해상 설계풍속 추정 (Extreme Offshore Wind Estimation using Typhoon Simulation)

  • 고동휘;정신택;조홍연;강금석
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 2014
  • 극치해상 풍속 산정을 위해서는 장기 관측자료가 반드시 필요하다. 그러나, 해상에서의 장기 관측 자료를 확보하기란 거의 불가능하다. 따라서 해상 바람 조건을 분석하기 위해 태풍 모의 기법이 널리 이용되어 진다. 본 연구에서는 Holland(1980) model을 이용하여 1978년부터 2012년까지(35년간) 한반도 서해안 지역에 영향을 미친 총 74개 태풍에 대해서 태풍 모의를 하였다. 그 결과, BOLAVEN(1215)에 의한 HeMOSU-1의 100 m 고도 최대풍속은 49.02 m/s로서 35년간 가장 영향을 크게 미친 태풍으로 나타났다. 한편, 모의 결과는 서해안 지역에 설치 된 HeMOSU-1의 관측치(MUIFA, BOLAVEN, SANBA)와 비교하였다. 그리고 재현주기별 극치 풍속을 예측하기 위해 한반도 서해안 4개 지점(HeMOSU-1, 군산, 목포, 제주)의 35개 연 최대 풍속 자료에 Gumbel 분포형을 적용하였다. HeMOSU-1 지점의 해상 100 m 높이에서의 50년 빈도 설계풍속 값은 50 m/s, 100년 빈도 설계풍속 값은 54.92 m/s로 나타났으며, BOLAVEN 풍속이 50년 빈도 풍속에 해당되었다.

재해석자료를 이용한 한반도 해상의 기준풍속 추정 (Estimation of Reference Wind Speeds in Offshore of the Korean Peninsula Using Reanalysis Data Sets)

  • 김현구;김보영;강용혁;하영철
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2021
  • To determine the wind turbine class in the offshore of the Korean Peninsula, the reference wind speed for a 50-y return period at the hub height of a wind turbine was estimated using the reanalysis data sets. The most recent reanalysis data, ERA5, showed the highest correlation coefficient (R) of 0.82 with the wind speed measured by the Southwest offshore meteorological tower. However, most of the reanaysis data sets except CFSR underestimated the annual maximum wind speed. The gust factor of converting the 1 h-average into the 10 min-average wind speed was 1.03, which is the same as the WMO reference, using several meteorological towers and lidar measurements. Because the period, frequency, and path of typhoons invading the Korean Peninsula has been changing owing to the climate effect, significant differences occurred in the estimation of the extreme wind speed. Depending on the past data period and length, the extreme wind speed differed by more than 30% and the extreme wind speed decreased as the data period became longer. Finally, a reference wind speed map around the Korean Peninsula was drawn using the data of the last 10 years at the general hub-height of 100 m above the sea level.

The Gringorten estimator revisited

  • Cook, Nicholas John;Harris, Raymond Ian
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.355-372
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    • 2013
  • The Gringorten estimator has been extensively used in extreme value analysis of wind speed records to obtain unbiased estimates of design wind speeds. This paper reviews the derivation of the Gringorten estimator for the mean plotting position of extremes drawn from parents of the exponential type and demonstrates how it eliminates most of the bias caused by the classical Weibull estimator. It is shown that the coefficients in the Gringorten estimator are the asymptotic values for infinite sample sizes, whereas the estimator is most often used for small sample sizes. The principles used by Gringorten are used to derive a new Consistent Linear Unbiased Estimator (CLUE) for the mean plotting positions for the Fisher Tippett Type 1, Exponential and Weibull distributions and for the associated standard deviations. Analytical and Bootstrap methods are used to calibrate the bias error in each of the estimators and to show that the CLUE are accurate to better than 1%.

Meteorological basis for wind loads calculation in Croatia

  • Bajic, Alica;Peros, Bernardin
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.389-406
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    • 2005
  • The results of reference wind speed calculation in Croatia as a base for the revision of the Croatian standards for wind loads upon structures are presented. Wind speed averaged over 10 minutes, at 10 m height, in a flat, open terrain, with a 50-year mean return period is given for 27 meteorological stations in Croatia. It is shown that the greatest part of Croatia is covered with expected reference wind speeds up to 25 m/s. Exceptions are stations with specific anemometer location open to the bura wind which is accelerated due to the channelling effects of local orography and the nearby mountain passes where the expected reference wind speed ranges between 38 m/s and 55 m/s. The methodology for unifying all available information from wind measurements regardless of the averaging period is discussed by analysing wind speed variability at the meteorological station in Hvar.

태풍 내습 시 발생 가능한 최대 풍속 산정을 통한 태풍의 사전 방재 시스템 기초 자료 구축 (Building Baseline Data for a Typhoon Protection System via Calculation of the Extreme Wind Speed During a Typhoon)

  • 나하나;박종길;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.203-217
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    • 2018
  • For this study, WRF numerical modeling was performed, using RDAPS information for input data on typhoons affecting the Korean peninsula to produce wind data of 700hPa. RAM numerical modeling was also used to calculate 3-second gusts as the extreme wind speed. After comparing wind speeds at an altitude of 10 m to evaluate the feasibility of WRF numerical modeling, modeled values were found to be similar with measured ones, reflecting change tendencies well. Therefore, the WRF numerical modeling results were verified. As a result of comparing and analyzing these wind speeds, as calculated through RAM numerical modeling, to evaluate applicability for disaster preparedness, change tendencies were observed to be similar between modeled and measured values. In particular, modeled values were slightly higher than measured ones, indicating applicability for the prevention of possible damage due to gales. Our analysis of 3-second gusts during the study period showed a high distribution of 3-second gusts in the southeast region of the Korean peninsula from 2002-2006. The frequency of 3-second gusts increased in the central north region of Korea as time progressed. Our analysis on the characteristics of 3-second gusts during years characterized by El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ or La Nina showed greater strength during hurricanes that affected the Korean peninsula in El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ years.

국내 풍하중의 확률적 특성 분석 (Probabilistic Analysis of Wind Loads)

  • 김상효;배규웅;박홍석
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1990년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 1990
  • The probabilistic characteristics of wind loads have been analyzed using statistical data on wind speeds, pressure coefficient, exposure coefficient, and gust factor. The wind speed data collected in 25 nationwide weather stations have been modified to be consistent in measuring height, exposure condition as well as averaging time, Having performed Monte Carlo simulation for various heights and site conditions, the statistical models of wind loads were determined, in which Type-I extreme value distribution has been applied. The models also incorporate a reduction factor of 0.85 to account for the reduced probability that the maximum wind speed will occur in a direction most unfavorable to the response of structure.

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Towards a revised base wind speed map for the United Kingdom

  • Miller, Craig A.;Cook, Nicholas J.;Barnard, Richard H.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.197-212
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    • 2001
  • Observations of extreme wind speeds in the United Kingdom from 1970 to 1980, corrected for the influence of upwind ground roughness and topography, have been analysed using the recently-developed "Improved Method of Independent Storms" (IMIS). The results have been used to compile two new maps of base wind speed and to confirm the climatic factors in current use. One map is 'irrespective' of wind direction and the other is 'equally weighted' by direction. The 'equally weighted' map is expected to be more consistently reliable and appropriate for use with the climatic factors for the design of buildings and structures.

CGCM3 전지구모형에 의한 한반도 미래 일평균 풍속의 평가 (Estimation of Future Daily Wind Speed over South Korea Using the CGCM3 Model)

  • 함희정
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제33권A호
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2013
  • A statistical downscaling methodology has been developed to investigate future daily wind speeds over South Korea. This methodology includes calibration of the statistical downscaling model by using large-scale atmospheric variables encompassing NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, validation of the model for the calibration period, and estimation of the future wind speed based on the general circulation model (GCM) outputs of scenario A1B of the CGCM3. Based on the scenario A1B of the CGCM3 model, the potential impacts of climate change on the daily surface wind speed is relatively small (+/- 1m/s) in South Korea.

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