• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.143-152
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• 2003

A data set having missing observations is often completed by using imputed values. In this paper, performances and accuracy of five imputation procedures are evaluated when missing values exist only on the response variable in the exponential regression model. Our simulation results show that adjusted exponential regression imputation procedure can be well used to compensate for missing data, in particular, compared to other imputation procedures. An illustrative example using real data is provided.

• Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.9-17
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• 2013

In this paper, a pseudorange correction regeneration algorithm was developed to improve the positioning accuracy of DGPS using multi-reference stations, and the optimal minimum number of reference sites was determined by trying out different numbers of reference. This research was conducted using from two to five sites, and positioning errors of less than 1 m were obtained when pseudorange corrections are collected from at least four reference stations and interpolated as the pseudorange correction at the rover. After determining the optimal minimum number of reference stations, the pseudorange correction regeneration algorithm developed was tested by comparison with the performance of other algorithms. Our approach was developed based on an exponential model. If pseudorange corrections are regenerated using an exponential model, the effect of a small difference in the baseline distance can be enlarged. Therefore, weights can be applied sensitively even when the baseline distance differs by a small amount. Also weights on the baseline distance were applied differently by assigning weights depending on the difference of the longest and shortest baselines. Through this method, the positioning accuracy improved by 19% compared to the result of previous studies.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제53권10호
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• pp.529-535
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• 2004

Load forecasting is essential in the electricity market for the participants to manage the market efficiently and stably. A wide variety of techniques/algorithms for load forecasting has been reported in many literatures. These techniques are as follows: multiple linear regression, stochastic time series, general exponential smoothing, state space and Kalman filter, knowledge-based expert system approach (fuzzy method and artificial neural network). These techniques have improved the accuracy of the load forecasting. In recent 10 years, many researchers have focused on artificial neural network and fuzzy method for the load forecasting. In this paper, we propose an algorithm of a hybrid load forecasting method using fuzzy linear regression and general exponential smoothing and considering the sensitivities of the temperature. In order to consider the lower load of weekends and Monday than weekdays, fuzzy linear regression method is proposed. The temperature sensitivity is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecasting through the relation of the daily load and temperature. And the normal load of weekdays is easily forecasted by general exponential smoothing method. Test results show that the proposed algorithm improves the accuracy of the load forecasting in 1996.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국데이터정보과학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.135-144
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• 2003

A data set having missing observations is often completed by using imputed values. In this paper, performances and accuracy of five imputation procedures are evaluated when missing values exist only on the response variable in the exponential regression model. Our simulation results show that adjusted exponential regression imputation procedure can be well used to compensate for missing data, in particular, compared to other imputation procedures. An illustrative example using real data is provided.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2021

In this paper, I was applied the life distribution following linear failure rate distribution, Lindley distribution and Burr-Hatke exponential distribution extensively used in the arena of software reliability and were associated the reliability possessions of the software using the nonhomogeneous Poisson process with finite failure. Furthermore, the average value functions of the life distribution are non-increasing form. Case of the linear failure rate distribution (exponential distribution) than other models, the smaller the estimated value estimation error in comparison with the true value. In terms of accuracy, since Burr-Hatke exponential distribution and exponential distribution model in the linear failure rate distribution have small mean square error values, Burr-Hatke exponential distribution and exponential distribution models were stared as the well-organized model. Also, the linear failure rate distribution (exponential distribution) and Burr-Hatke exponential distribution model, which can be viewed as an effectual model in terms of goodness-of-fit because the larger assessed value of the coefficient of determination than other models. Through this study, software workers can use the design of mean square error, mean value function as a elementary recommendation for discovering software failures.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.99-107
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• 1982

This paper is concerned with the optimality of exponential smoothing applied to the general IMA process with different moving average and differencing orders. Numerical experiments were performed for IMA(m,n) process with various combinations of m and n, and the corresponding forecast errors were compared. Results show that the higher differencing order is more critical to the optimality of exponential smoothing, i.e., the IMA process with the higher moving average order, forecasted by exponential smoothing, has comparatively smaller forecast error. If the difference between the differencing order and the moving average order becomes larger, the accuracy of forecast by exponential smoothing declines gradually.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.172-181
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• 1999

Series expansion methods to compute the exponential of a matrix have been compared by applying them to fuel depletion calculations. Specifically, Taylor, Pade, Chebyshev, and rational Chebyshev approximations have been investigated by approximating the exponentials of bum matrices by truncated series of each method with the scaling and squaring algorithm. The accuracy and efficiency of these methods have been tested by performing various numerical tests using one thermal reactor and two fast reactor depletion problems. The results indicate that all the four series methods are accurate enough to be used for fuel depletion calculations although the rational Chebyshev approximation is relatively less accurate. They also show that the rational approximations are more efficient than the polynomial approximations. Considering the computational accuracy and efficiency, the Pade approximation appears to be better than the other methods. Its accuracy is better than the rational Chebyshev approximation, while being comparable to the polynomial approximations. On the other hand, its efficiency is better than the polynomial approximations and is similar to the rational Chebyshev approximation. In particular, for fast reactor depletion calculations, it is faster than the polynomial approximations by a factor of ∼ 1.7.

• Nutritional Sciences
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.201-211
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• 2006

The purpose of this study was to provide dietitians with the guidance in forecasting meal counts for a university/college foodservice facility. The forecasting methods to be analyzed were the following: naive model 1, 2, and 3; moving average, double moving average, simple exponential smoothing, double exponential smoothing, Holt's, and Winters' methods, and simple linear regression. The accuracy of the forecasting methods was measured using mean squared error and Theil's U-statistic. This study showed how to project meal counts using 10 forecasting methods for dietitians. The results of this study showed that WES was the most accurate forecasting method, followed by $na\ddot{i}ve$ 2 and naive 3 models. However, naive model 2 and 3 were recommended for using by dietitians in university/college dining facilities because of the accuracy and ease of use. In addition, the 2000 spring semester data were better than the 2000 fall semester data to forecast 2001spring semester data.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.42-50
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• 2009

A new method for simulating voltage and current distributions in transmission lines is described. It gives the time domain solution of the terminal voltage and current as well as their line distributions. This is achieved by treating voltage and current distributions as distributed state variables (DSVs) and turning the transmission line equation into an ordinary differential equation. Thus the transmission line is treated like other lumped dynamic components, such as capacitors. Using backward differentiation formulae for time discretization, the DSV transmission line component is converted to a simple time domain companion model, from which its local truncation error can be derived. As the voltage and current distributions get more complicated with time, a new piecewise exponential with controllable accuracy is invented. A segmentation algorithm is also devised so that the line is dynamically bisected to guarantee that the total piecewise exponential error is a small fraction of the local truncation error. Using this approach, the user can see the line voltage and current at any point and time freely without explicitly segmenting the line before starting the simulation.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.257-263
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• 2009

Focusing on the idea that the equation of exponential smoothing method (ESM) is equivalent to (1, 1) order ARMA model equation, new method of estimation of smoothing constant in exponential smoothing method is proposed before by us which satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. Theoretical solution was derived in a simple way. Mere application of ESM does not make good forecasting accuracy for the time series which has non-linear trend and/or trend by month. A new method to cope with this issue is required. In this paper, combining the trend removal method with this method, we aim to improve forecasting accuracy. An approach to this method is executed in the following method. Trend removal by a linear function is applied to the original shipping data of consumer goods. The combination of linear and non-linear function is also introduced in trend removal. For the comparison, monthly trend is removed after that. Theoretical solution of smoothing constant of ESM is calculated for both of the monthly trend removing data and the non monthly trend removing data. Then forecasting is executed on these data. The new method shows that it is useful especially for the time series that has stable characteristics and has rather strong seasonal trend and also the case that has non-linear trend. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.