• Title/Summary/Keyword: explanatory model

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A Study on Customer Segmentation Prediction Model using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 고객이탈 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Seo Kwang Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2005
  • Customer segmentation prediction has attracted a lot of research interests in previous literature, and recent studies have shown that artificial neural networks (ANN) method achieved better performance than traditional statistical ones. However, ANN approaches have suffered from difficulties with generalization, producing models that can overfit the data. This paper employs a relatively new machine learning technique, support vector machines (SVM), to the customer segmentation prediction problem in an attempt to provide a model with better explanatory power. To evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVM, we compare its performance with logistic regression analysis and ANN. The experiment results with real data of insurance company show that SVM superiors to them.

Integration of Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), Marketing Relationships, and Sharia Compliance in Indonesia's Islamic e-banking

  • USMAN, Hardius;PROJO, Nucke Widowati Kusumo
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2022
  • Purpose This research develops the expanded Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) to investigate the relationship between perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use with satisfaction and loyalty by considering the role of sharia compliance, commitment, and trust. Research design, data and methodology: A data source is 300 respondents from a self-administered survey. The target population is Muslims who are customers of Islamic banks, with age at least 18 years, and used e-banking to make payment transactions. The analysis methods are MANOVA and Multiple Linear Regression. Results: The results suggest that intention to use and actual behavior variables are replaced with satisfaction and loyalty. Commitment is not recommended, while trust is an explanatory variable that can be used as an external variable. Conclusions: It is important to increase satisfaction and commitment also concentrate to various aspects of sharia compliance to increase customer's loyalty to use e-banking. The fulfillment of sharia compliance by Islamic banks will increase the Islamic bank customers loyalty.

Influencing Factors of Mentoring on Nursing Students (멘토링의 영향요인: 간호대학생을 대상으로)

  • Seol-Young Bang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.733-741
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    • 2023
  • The purpose his study was a descriptive research study to identify the influencing factors of mentoring for nursing students, and was conducted with 120 nursing students. The collected data were subjected to real number and percentage, mean and standard deviation, t-test, ANOVA, Scheffe test, Pearson's correlation, and multiple regression analysis using SPSS/WIN 25.0. As a result of the study, mentoring was found to have a significant positive correlation with organizational socialization, core nursing competency, and clinical performance competency, and the explanatory power of the regression model was 64.1%. Since mentoring is an effective teaching method, based on this study, we propose a study to develop a structured mentoring program including organizational socialization, core nursing competency, and clinical performance competency to test the effectiveness. In addition, proposes a study to identify the relationship with various variables by dividing mentoring into sub-competencies of career development function, psychological stability function, and role model function.

The Impacts of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on the Trade Patterns of Tanzania (중국 일대일로 정책이 탄자니아 무역패턴에 미치는 영향)

  • Oscar M. Malela;Tae-Hee Lee
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2021
  • The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is designed to intensify bilateral trade between China and the BRI countries through the improvement of transportation connections. However, little research has empirically investigated the impacts of this policies on the trade patterns. This paper attempts to evaluate the impacts of BRI on the trade patterns of Tanzania. Our study extends the original gravity model of bilateral trade by adding GDP per capita, population and proximity as the explanatory variables. According to our research, we observed that the BRI significantly impacted the Tanzania's trade patterns, as it led to the increase of bilateral trade flow between Tanzania and China more importantly between Tanzania and its adjacent countries. It indicates that the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has boosted Tanzania's trade exclusively, hence the Tanzania's export sector earns greater trading potential with the adjacent countries.

Estimating the Determinants for Rate of Arrearage in Domestic Bank: A Panel Data Model Approach (패널 데이터모형을 적용한 국내일반은행 연체율 결정요인 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheu;Park, Hyoung-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.272-277
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    • 2010
  • In respect complication of group, rate of arrearage in domestic bank is composed of various factors. This paper studies focus on estimating the determinants of the rate of arrearage in domestic bank using panel data model. The volume of analysis consist of 3 groups(loaned patterns of enterprise, housekeeping, credit card). Analyzing period be formed over a 54 point(2005. 1~ 2009. 06). In this paper dependent variable setting up rate of arrearage in domestic bank, explanatory(independent) variables composed of the consumer price index, composite stock price index, rate of exchange, the coincident composite index, national housing bonds and employment rate. The result of estimating the rate of arrearage in domestic bank provides empirical evidences of significance positive relationships between the consumer price index However this study provides empirical evidences of significance negative relationships between the coincident composite index and the composite stock price index. The explanatory variables, that is, rate of exchange, national housing bonds and the employment rate are non-significance variables of negative factor. Implication of these findings are discussed for content research and practices.

An Analysis of Capital Market Shock Reaction Effects in OECD Countries (OECD 회원국들의 자본시장 충격반응도 분석)

  • Kim, Byoung Joon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.3-18
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    • 2018
  • In this study, I examined capital market shock reaction effects of 29 OECD countries with the past 24 years sample period consisting of daily stock market return using T-GARCH model focused on volatility feedback hypothesis. US daily stock market return is used as a unique independent variable in this model in consideration of its characteristics of biggest market share and as an origin country of Global Financial Crisis. As a result, France, Finland, and Mexico in order are shown to be the strongest countries in the aspect of return spillovers from US. Canada, Mexico, and France are shown to be the highest countries in the aspect of explanatory power of model. The degrees of shock reaction are proved to be higher in order in Germany, Chile, Switzerland, and Denmark and those of downside shock reaction are seen higher in order in Greece, Great Britain, Australia, and Japan. Canada and Mexico belonging to NAFTA are shown to be higher in the return spillover from US and in the model explanatory power, but they are shown to be lower in the impact of shock reaction, suggesting that regional distance effect or gravity theory cannot be applied to financial spillovers any longer. In the analysis of subsample period of Global Financial Crisis, north American three countries do not show any consistent results as in the full sample period but shock reaction in the European countries are shown to record stronger, suggesting that shocks from US in the Crisis Times are transferred mainly to European region.

Recidivism prediction of sex offender risk assessment tools: STATIC-99 and HAGSOR-Dynamic (교정시설내 성범죄자 재범위험성 평가도구의 재범 예측: STATIC-99와 HAGSOR-동적요인을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Jeongsook
    • Korean Journal of Forensic Psychology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.99-119
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    • 2022
  • Research on sex offense has shown that sex offenders are very heterogeneous. Sex offenders are heterogeneous in their probability of risk of recidivism. Some sex offenders are known to be much higher in their tendencies to reactivate than others. The study examined the predictive and explanatory power of static and dynamic risk factors in STATIC-99 and HAGSOR-Dynamic which have been used in Korean correctional facilities since 2014. STATIC-99 and HAGSOR-Dynamic showed moderate predictive accuracy for all crimes(AUC = .737, AUC = .597, respectively, ps < .001). However, when examining sex crime alone, only STATIC-99 predicted recidivism significantly(AUC = .743, p < .001). The incremental predictive power of HAGSOR-Dynamic was confirmed; the explanatory power of Model 2 comprising both static and dynamic risk factors were significant beyond Model 1 comprising only static factors(∆χ2= 12.721, p < .001), but this tendency was only applied to the model of all crimes. These findings were discussed with implications of practicing the sex offender assessment and treatment.

A Structural Equation Model on Quality of Life of Mothers of Children with Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD 아동 어머니의 삶의 질 구조모형)

  • Park, Chan Gyeong;Jeon, Mi Yang
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.279-291
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to explore how characteristics of ADHD children affect social support for mothers, parenting stress, parenting sense of competence, coping, and quality of life. The conceptual model was based on the Lazarus and Folkman's stress-evaluation-coping theory. Methods: Data were collected 208 mothers of children with ADHD. Data were analysed using SPSS 18.0 and AMOS 18.0 programs. Results: The proposed model was good fit for the data based on the model fit indices. Parenting stress, parenting sense of competence and coping directly affected quality of life but characteristics of the children and social support had only an indirect effect. The explanatory power of these variables was 52.1%. Conclusion: The results of this study indicate that nursing strategies to increase social support for mothers with ADHD children, lowers parenting stress, improves parenting sense of competence, and guides the parents to choose appropriate coping. In particular, as social support has the strongest influence on the quality of life, it is necessary to develop nursing intervention programs that utilize social support for parents with ADHD children.

Prediction of Galloping Accidents in Power Transmission Line Using Logistic Regression Analysis

  • Lee, Junghoon;Jung, Ho-Yeon;Koo, J.R.;Yoon, Yoonjin;Jung, Hyung-Jo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.969-980
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    • 2017
  • Galloping is one of the most serious vibration problems in transmission lines. Power lines can be extensively damaged owing to aerodynamic instabilities caused by ice accretion. In this study, the accident probability induced by galloping phenomenon was analyzed using logistic regression analysis. As former studies have generally concluded, main factors considered were local weather factors and physical factors of power delivery systems. Since the number of transmission towers outnumbers the number of weather observatories, interpolation of weather factors, Kriging to be more specific, has been conducted in prior to forming galloping accident estimation model. Physical factors have been provided by Korea Electric Power Corporation, however because of the large number of explanatory variables, variable selection has been conducted, leaving total 11 variables. Before forming estimation model, with 84 provided galloping cases, 840 non-galloped cases were chosen out of 13 billion cases. Prediction model for accidents by galloping has been formed with logistic regression model and validated with 4-fold validation method, corresponding AUC value of ROC curve has been used to assess the discrimination level of estimation models. As the result, logistic regression analysis effectively discriminated the power lines that experienced galloping accidents from those that did not.

Medical Tourism Industry in Kangwon Province and Its Economic Impacts on the Region

  • Zhu, Yan Hua;Kang, Joo Hoon;Jung, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2014
  • This paper has two purposes. The first is to suggest the new and simple method to derive a regional input-output model from the national input-output table published by the Bank of Korea. The interregional input-output table has not been devised in spite of its potential use while the national table has been made every five years with the revised version during each five years. Second, this paper aims to derive Kangwon interregional input-output model from the national model using the regional supply proportion of industry and to analyze the effect of medical tourism industry on the regional economy of Kangwon Province. The paper measures, in particular, the effect of medical tourism industry on the financial self-sufficiency of Kangwon Province using the estimated output elasticity of tax revenue with the autoregressive distributed lag scheme ADL(1,1) in which the dependent variable and the single explanatory variable are each lagged once.