• 제목/요약/키워드: experimental probability

검색결과 832건 처리시간 0.028초

A Marginal Probability Model for Repeated Polytomous Response Data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.577-585
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper suggests a marginal probability model for analyzing repeated polytomous response data when some factors are nested in others in treatment structures on a larger experimental unit. As a repeated measures factor, time is considered on a smaller experimental unit. So, two different experiment sizes are considered. Each size of experimental unit has its own design structure and treatment structure, and the marginal probability model can be constructed from the structures for each size of experimental unit. Weighted least squares(WLS) methods are used for estimating fixed effects in the suggested model.

  • PDF

초등 확률 프로그램 개발과 적용에 관한 연구 -초등 3학년을 중심으로- (A Study on the Development and Application of Probability Program in Elementary School -Centered on the 3rd grade-)

  • 안미정;박영희
    • 대한수학교육학회지:수학교육학연구
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.21-38
    • /
    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 초등학교 3학년부터 단계적으로 확률 개념을 학생들이 배우게 하려는 의도에서 초등학교 학생들의 확률 개념 이해 실태를 분석한 자료를 바탕으로 3학년에 적용할 수 있는 확률 프로그램을 개발하고 그 적용 가능성을 모색해 보려는 목적으로 실시되었다. 그래서 초등학교 3학년에서 6학년까지의 확률 개념 이해 실태를 조사, 분석해보고 이를 바탕으로 확률 프로그램을 개발한 후, 수학학습 능력이 다른 초등학교 3학년 5명의 아동을 대상으로 총 8차시분의 확률 프로그램 적용을 실시하고, 아동의 프로그램 투입 전과 투입 중, 투입 후의 확률 개념 수준 변화를 분석하였다. 또한 그 적용 결과를 바탕으로 프로그램을 개선하였다.

  • PDF

수학 실험실 수업 모형의 개발 연구 (A materialization of the experimental class model for Probability and Statistics lessons)

  • 임지연;이영하
    • 대한수학교육학회지:수학교육학연구
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.73-87
    • /
    • 1998
  • Recently experimental class model is growingly recommended for mathematics instruction. Freudenthal(1973) points out the difficulties of learning probability and Fischebien suggested to teach probability more intuitively through games. However detailed explanations for such classes are not easy to find. This paper is to give more detailed materials for those lessons and to check its effectiveness. We give 6 topics of probability and statistics being taught in our middle school, such as histogram, concept of probability, probability calculations, expectations, standard deviations, and correlations and each of which is given along with the experimental materials to be used. We perform a trial of the methods and found some encouragement in the students' mathematical attitudes and interests but not in the achievements. We belive that the drawback of the achievement result is due to the short length of time of our experiments.

  • PDF

The Textbook Analysis on Probability: The Case of Korea, Malaysia and U.S. Textbooks

  • Han, Sun-Young;Rosli, Roslinda;Capraro, Robert M.;Capraro, Mary M.
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈D:수학교육연구
    • /
    • 제15권2호
    • /
    • pp.127-140
    • /
    • 2011
  • "Statistical literacy" is important to be an effective citizen ([Gal, I. (2005). Towards "probability literacy" for all citizens: Building blocks and instructional dilemmas. In: G. A. Jones (Ed.), Exploring probability in school: Challenges for teaching and learning (pp. 39-63). New York: Springer]). Probability and statistics has been connected with real context and can be used to stimulate students' creative abilities. This study aims at identifying the extent that textbooks in three countries include experimental probability concepts and non-routine, open-ended, application and contextual problems. How well textbooks reflect real application situations is important in the sense that students can employ probability concepts when solving real world problems. Results showed that three textbook series did not mention experimental probability. Furthermore, all of text-books had more routine, close-ended, knowing, and non-contextual problems.

간헐디젤분무의 액적크기 및 속도의 공동확률밀도함수 (Joint probability density function of droplet sizes and velocities in a transient diesel spray)

  • 김종현;구자예;오두석
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
    • /
    • 제22권5호
    • /
    • pp.607-617
    • /
    • 1998
  • Comparisons of joint probability density distribution obtained from the raw data of measured droplet sizes and velocities in a transient diesel fuel spray with computed joint probability density function were made. Simultaneous droplet sizes and velocities were obtained using PDPA. Mathematical probability density functions which can fit the experimental distributions were extracted using the principle of maximum likelihood. Through the statistical process of functions, mean droplet diameters, non-dimensional mass, momentum and kinetic energy were estimated and compared with the experimental ones. A joint log-hyperbolic density function presents quite well the experimental joint density distribution which were extracted from experimental data.

저출력 레이저 조사 백서구강점막 창상부 Langerhans 세포에 미치는 영향에 관한 실험적 연구 (Experimental study on the effect of low energy laser irradiation in Langerhans cell of Lanaged rat oral mucosa)

  • 조재오
    • Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
    • /
    • 제15권3호
    • /
    • pp.217-228
    • /
    • 1993
  • The purpose or this study was to observe the histological alteration of Langerhans cells on wound healing process in applying low energy laser irradiation. For this study, 50 Spraque-Dewly rats, weighing 150Gm or more were devided into control, experimental control group(0), 47.5Hz(1), 190Hz(3), 380Hz(5), 760Hz(7), lased group. All the experimental animals were made excision wound on buccal mucosa, 2mm depth, and lased with stoma laser (904nm, semconductor type ASGaAI, Sedalac France) 47.5Hz, 380Hz, 960Hz, 3minutes one time respectively except experimental control group. After the experiment, experimental animals were sacrificed after 24hours, 48hours, 72hours on each. Taken specimens were embedden in paraffin, sectioned 6-8u in thickness. And the langerhans cell were detected using ant S-100 protein antibody, and histochemically processed with Avidin Biotin complex method. All the Langerhan cells were calculated under light microspe in 400 multiplication field and standard deviation, probability test between each group were evaluated using statistical analysis system(S.A.S)program. Following results were obtained. 1. Langerhan cells were increased in experimental control group compared to that in control group(P<0.01). 2. 24hour after experiments, Langerhans cell were decreased compare to that in control group and control experimental group 5, 1, 3. Probability test shows significance between control experimental and 5, 1, 3 group on a =0.05 range. 3. 48our after experiment, Langerhans cells were decreased compare to that on experimental control group, and probability test shows significance between control experimental and 3, 7, 5 group an a=0.05 range. 4. 72hour after experiments, Langerhans cells were decreased compare to that on experimental control group and probability test on group comparison shows significance between control experimental and 1, 5 and 1 between 3, 7 between 3, and 5, between 7, respeilively on a=0.05 range. 5. Langerhans cells number in experimental group were decreased compare to that on experimental control group in applying laser irradiation.

  • PDF

격추확률 최대화를 위한 미사일 최적배치 문제 (An Optimal Missile Allocation Problem for Maximizing Kill Probability)

  • 정치영;이재영;이상헌
    • 경영과학
    • /
    • 제27권1호
    • /
    • pp.75-90
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, we proposed new solution procedure of the air defense missile allocation problem. In order to find the optimal location of missile, we formulated a simple mathematical model maximizing the kill probability of enemy air threat including aircraft and missile. To find the Kill probability, we developed a new procedure using actual experimental data in the mathematical model. Actual experimental data mean real characteristic factor, which was acquired when the missile had been developed through missile fire experiment. The result of this study can offer practical solution for missile allocation and the methodology in this study can be used to the decision making for the optimal military facility allocation.

Examination of experimental errors in Scanlan derivatives of a closed-box bridge deck

  • Rizzo, Fabio;Caracoglia, Luca
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • 제26권4호
    • /
    • pp.231-251
    • /
    • 2018
  • The objective of the investigation is the analysis of wind-tunnel experimental errors, associated with the measurement of aeroelastic coefficients of bridge decks (Scanlan flutter derivatives). A two-degree-of-freedom experimental apparatus is used for the measurement of flutter derivatives. A section model of a closed-box bridge deck is considered in this investigation. Identification is based on free-vibration aeroelastic tests and the Iterative Least Squares method. Experimental error investigation is carried out by repeating the measurements and acquisitions thirty times for each wind tunnel speed and configuration of the model. This operational procedure is proposed for analyzing the experimental variability of flutter derivatives. Several statistical quantities are examined; these quantities include the standard deviation and the empirical probability density function of the flutter derivatives at each wind speed. Moreover, the critical flutter speed of the setup is evaluated according to standard flutter theory by accounting for experimental variability. Since the probability distribution of flutter derivatives and critical flutter speed does not seem to obey a standard theoretical model, polynomial chaos expansion is proposed and used to represent the experimental variability.

동해 해역에서 측정된 해상실험 데이터 기반의 수중음향 불확정성 추정 및 소나 탐지확률 예측 (Estimation of underwater acoustic uncertainty based on the ocean experimental data measured in the East Sea and its application to predict sonar detection probability)

  • 이대혁;양원준;김지섭;설호석;최지웅;손수욱
    • 한국음향학회지
    • /
    • 제43권3호
    • /
    • pp.285-292
    • /
    • 2024
  • 소나 탐지확률을 계산하는 경우, 수중음향 불확정성은 표준편차가 8 dB ~ 9 dB인 정규분포를 따르는 것으로 고려되고 있다. 하지만, 소나 탐지성능은 실험해역, 해양환경 변동성에 따라 크게 변화하기 때문에 해상실험 데이터 기반의 수중음향 불확정성을 반영한 탐지성능 예측이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 동해 천해환경에서 측정된 중주파수(2.3 kHz, 3 kHz) 소음준위와 전달손실 자료 기반의 수중음향 불확정성이 산출되었다. 해상실험 데이터 기반의 수중음향 불확정성을 반영한 예상탐지확률을 산출한 후, 이를 기존의 탐지확률 결과, 레일리 분포의 불확정성과 음으로 치우친 분포의 불확정성을 반영한 예상탐지확률 결과와 비교하였다. 결과적으로 각각의 수중음향 불확정성에 따라 탐지영역의 차이가 발생하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

Probability-based structural response of steel beams and frames with uncertain semi-rigid connections

  • Domenico, Dario De;Falsone, Giovanni;Laudani, Rossella
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제67권5호
    • /
    • pp.439-455
    • /
    • 2018
  • Within a probabilistic framework, this paper addresses the determination of the static structural response of beams and frames with partially restrained (semi-rigid) connections. The flexibility of the nodal connections is incorporated via an idealized linear-elastic behavior of the beam constraints through the use of rotational springs, which are here considered uncertain for taking into account the largely scattered results observed in experimental findings. The analysis is conducted via the Probabilistic Transformation Method, by modelling the spring stiffness terms (or equivalently, the fixity factors of the beam) as uniformly distributed random variables. The limit values of the Eurocode 3 fixity factors for steel semi-rigid connections are assumed. The exact probability density function of a few indicators of the structural response is derived and discussed in order to identify to what extent the uncertainty of the beam constraints affects the resulting beam response. Some design considerations arise which point out the paramount importance of probability-based approaches whenever a comprehensive experimental background regarding the stiffness of the beam connection is lacking, for example in steel frames with semi-rigid connections or in precast reinforced concrete framed structures. Indeed, it is demonstrated that resorting to deterministic approaches may lead to misleading (and in some cases non-conservative) outcomes from a design viewpoint.