• 제목/요약/키워드: expected utility

검색결과 345건 처리시간 0.029초

기대효용최대화를 통한 한국형 기업 신용평가 모형 (Korea-specified Maximum Expected Utility Model for the Probability of Default)

  • 박유성;송지현;최보승
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.573-584
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    • 2007
  • 기업의 신용을 평가하는데 있어 정확한 파산확률의 추정은 무엇보다도 중요한 요소이다. 선형로지스틱회귀모형보다 성능이 좋은 기대효용최대화 (Maximum Expected Utility) 모형이 제안되었다. 그러나 이 모형에 포함되어 있는 모수의 일부가 북미와 유럽지역의 자료를 토대로 경험적으로 추정되어진 것이므로 우리나라 기업에 바로 적용하기에는 무리가 있다. 따라서 우리나라 중소기업의 자료를 바탕으로 모수를 재추정하여 한국형 MEU모형을 제안하고자 한다. 34,057개의 중소기업을 이용하여 한국형 MEU모형을 설계한 결과, 기존의 북미 유럽형 모형과 차이가 많이 나는 것으로 나타났으며 성능면에서도 선형로지스틱회귀모형보다 전 산업분류에 걸쳐 한국형 MEU모형이 매우 우수한 것으로 나타났다.

Introducing a New Urban Utility Index Concept that Combines Urban Growth and Disasters

  • Koh, Munsung
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.236-248
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study is to introduce the urban utility concept that combines urban growth and urban disasters in the aspect of a conceptual theory. While many studies focused on the dollar amount damaged from a disaster, it requires adding not just building damages or human body losses but also the quality of life satisfaction. An issue in measuring the quality of life satisfaction needs to introduce a proper mode quantifying it. This study introduces the urban utility change in measuring the negative impacts of a disaster on urban life, which has been rarely investigated. To identify urban utility, urban flooding that is a cross-sectoral agenda and important to both developed and developing countries was adopted to respond to its increased frequency and damages, encouraging governments to focus on flood control policies. By combining a literature review on urban utility and urban growth, this study defined the urban utility concept as a net benefit of a resident with earnings subtracting housing and commuting costs. The theoretical study also explained that urban utility and its components dynamically change as per urban growth and disasters that even reversely affect urban growth. Because the urban utility can be one of the useful indices to appreciate the relationship between a disaster and urban growth, it is highly expected to apply for similar disaster impacts on urban areas, including COVID-19 and various global warming issues.

The Anti-consumption Effect on the Car Sharing Utility: The Moderating Effect of Brand Luxury Level

  • LEE, Hee-Jung
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study examines the motivations that prompt customers to use commercial sharing services (CSSs), and the relationship between anti-consumption and the perceived utility of CSSs in the fashion-sharing business. This study tries to understand how the two types of anti-consumption can differentially affect consumers' perceived utility to use CSSs. In particular, as the types of CSS have diversified and many consumers have used them, it can be expected that the influence of anti-consumption on the perceived utility of CSSs can change, depending on the field where the CSS is applied. Research design, data and methodology: The structural equation modeling (SEM) with the SPSS 22.0 and AMOS 18.0 programs was used. Results: This study found that (i) two types of anti-consumption (voluntary and selective) differentially affect the perceived utilities to use CSSs; (ii) the two types of anti-consumption differentially affect the perceived utility to use CSSs depending on the level of the brand. Conclusions: In order to promote the spread of consumers' use in the sharing economy, it will be possible to identify what important utility is and make a meaningful contribution to the establishment of future marketing strategies.

eUCP 11조의 잠재적 하자의 규명과 합리적 개정방안의 모색 (A Study on the Inherent Defects in the eUCP Article 11 & Implication for the Revision)

  • 김기선
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제35권
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    • pp.41-69
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzes some important implications for the forthcoming revision of eUCP through the methodology of expected utility maximization theory. The overall results are as follows. First, beneficiary with an initial wealth has a risk-averse utility in traditional letter of credit transaction, and he would be more risk-averse in eUCP transaction. Secondly, the beneficiary who has risk-averse utility will pay for the risk premium to reduce the risk of corruption of an electronic record by means of cost of loss reduction activities. Thirdly, the cost of loss reduction activities is represented by a convex cost function, Fourthly, a risk averse beneficiary pursues loss reducing activities to the point where the expected marginal product of loss reduction is less than its marginal cost. Fifthly, a more risk-averse eUCP beneficiary will always select a higher level of loss reduction as long as the effectiveness of loss reduction is certain. Sixthly, when the effectiveness of loss reduction is uncertain, the more risk-averse eUCP beneficiary does not necessarily choose a higher level of loss reducing activities. Finally, it would be more reasonable that eUCP Article 11 should protect eUCP beneficiary who pursues a higher level of loss reducing activities.

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Decisions under risk and uncertainty through the use of Choquet integral

  • Narukawa, Yasuo;Murofushi, Toshiaki
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2003년도 ISIS 2003
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    • pp.555-558
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    • 2003
  • The Choquet-Stieltjes integral is defined. It is shown that the Choquet -Stieltjes integral is rep-resented by a Choquet integral. As an application of the theorem above, it is shown that Choquet expected utility model for decision under uncertainty and rank dependent utility model for decision under .risk are respectively same as their simplified version.

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ON STOCHASTIC OPTIMAL REINSURANCE AND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES FOR THE SURPLUS

  • Kim, Jai Heui;Lee, Eun Sun
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2008
  • When we consider a life insurance company that sells a large number of continuous T-year term life insurance policies, it is important to find an optimal strategy which maximizes the surplus of the insurance company at time T. The purpose of this paper is to give an explicit expression for the optimal reinsurance and investment strategy which maximizes the expected exponential utility of the final value of the surplus at the end of T-th year. To do this we solve the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.

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불완전한 정보하의 의사결정하에서의 아중요인 추계적-통계적 우세법칙 (Multiattribute Stochastic Statistical Dominance in Decision Making with Incomplete Information)

  • 이대주
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 1993
  • In multiattribute decision making a decision maker (DM) can choose the best alternative if his/her multiattribute utility function and the joint probability distribution of outcomes are exactly known. This paper develops multiattribute stochastic-statistical dominance rules which can be applied to the situation when neither of them is known exactly, that is, when the DM cannot calculate the expected utility for each alternative. First, the notion of relative risk aversion is used dominance rules are developed to screen out dominated alternatives so that hi/she choose the best one among the remaining nondominated alternatives.

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위험 하에서의 외해가두리양식업 투자의사결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Investment Decision of Offshore Aquaculture under Risk)

  • 김도훈;최종열;이정의
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.109-123
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    • 2008
  • This study is aimed to establish an investment decision model for offshore aquaculture project of rock bream in Korea using a certainty equivalent method (CEM) based on the expected utility theory and to investigate its economic viability under risk and uncertainty. In the analysis with CEM, the effects of risk attitude and risk level on investment and risk premium were examined and the impacts of various risk and uncertainty factors on the investment decision were also assessed. In addition, the outcomes were compared to those evaluated by the traditional net present value (NPV) method. Results show that risk premium grew as the investors became more risk averse and uncertainty level (the variance of NPV) increased. Consequently, the certainty equivalent value was predicted to decrease from the value assessed by the traditional NPV method.

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근거 중심의 학습을 통한 학생들의 임상 실무 능력 개선에 관한 연구 (The Study of an Improvement of Clinical Competency through Evidence Based Learning)

  • 이동엽
    • 대한통합의학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect that the academic achievement of the students about the evidence based learning investigates the learning utility value about and the request. Method : The agreement of college students explaining the purpose of research for 12 weeks against 17 students and investigate through a questionnaire. The level of academic achievement according to the sex and claim showed a characteristic with a percentage. An utility investigate the descriptive epidemiologic characteristic about the class of the evidence based learning. Result : The most of college students the level of academic achievement and requests the expected grade of the students about the evidence based learning wanted the 'high' grade of 9 persons, 'middle' grade of 8 persons in the part and the expectation for the class taken so much was high(p<.05). There was the significant different in the utility aspect in the need of the evidence based learning, homework solution, learning synergy effect improvement, and reference search ability improvement(p<.05). Conclusion : These finding revealed that the evidence based learning the satisfaction with class raises the improvement and utility value, and provided the need and the has to develop the educational model which the college students contentment raises an improvement after this opportunity for the new recognition.

초전도 전력케이블의 전력계통 적용을 위한 고장전류 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Fault Current Characteristics for the Utility Application of HTS Power cable)

  • 김재호;박민원;심기덕;조전욱;유인근
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2007년도 제38회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.75-76
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    • 2007
  • Several kinds of High Temperature Superconducting(HTS) power cables have already been developed and evaluated for use in the utility power network. HTS power cable is expected to be used as a very powerful energy delivery system supplying electric power for densely populated cities in the near future, because HTS power cable is capable of the high current density delivery with low AC loss and the size effect comparing with the conventional cable whose capacity is same. Before applying the HTS power cable to real utility network system analysis should be carried out by some simulation tools. Hereby the electrical power system analysis is very important for the practical use of HTS power devices. In this paper, authors propose a real-time simulation method which incorporates a real HTS tapes into the simulated 22.9kV utility power network system using Real Time Digital Simulator(RTDS). For the simulation analysis, a test sample of HTS tapes was actually manufactured, and the transient phenomenon of HTS power cable system was analyzed in the simulated utility power network.

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