• 한국습지학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.41-52
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• 2003

The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.851-873
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• 2015

A methodology for estimation of statistical properties (viz. mean and standard deviation) of the expected seismic damage to reinforced concrete framed structures subject to corrosion of reinforcement, over a specified reference time (typically the service life of the structure) is proposed in this paper. The damage to the structure under the earthquake loading is characterised by the damage index, determined using the modified Park and Ang damage model. The reduction in area, yield strength and strain at ultimate of steel reinforcement, and the reduction in compressive strength of cover concrete due to corrosion are taken into account in the estimation of damage. The proposed methodology is illustrated through an example problem. From the results obtained, it is noted that there is an increase of about 70% in the mean value of expected seismic damage to the reinforced concrete frame considered over a reference time of 30 years when effect of corrosion is taken into consideration. This indicates that there is a need to consider the effect of corrosion of reinforcement on the estimation of expected seismic damage.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.577-590
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• 2019

The seismic response of structures to strong ground motions is a complex problem that has been studied for decades. However, most of current seismic regulations do not assess the potential level of damage that a structure may undergo during a strong earthquake. This will happen in spite that the design objectives for any structural system are formulated in terms of acceptable levels of damage. In this article, we analyze the expected damage in single-degree-of-freedom systems subjected to long-duration ground motions generated in soft soil sites, such as those located in the lakebed of Mexico City. An energy-based methodology is formulated, under the consideration of input energy as the basis for the evaluation process, to estimate expected damage. The results of the proposed methodology are validated with damage curves established directly with nonlinear dynamic analyses.

• KCI Concrete Journal
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.26-32
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• 2001

A simple expected damage cost model is developed and a systematic approach to evaluate the economic effects of seismic hazards to reinforced concrete structures is presented. An expected damage cost function during a specific lifetime is modeled by a Poisson's process with uniform continuous cash flow assumption. It is possible that the proposed method can decouple the damage cost effect from random earthquake events. Thus, expected damage cost function can be formulated as a combination of three independent terms; a present worth factor of Poisson's process, a damage cost interpolation function and a mean occurrence rate of earthquake intensity. The validity of the proposed method is demonstrated by a comparative study of LCC evaluations with the previous study.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.104-111
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• 1998

Statistical analyses of occupational accidents associated with construction work were carried out to explore the basic statistical characteristics of their damage consequences. Emphasis was placed upon the probabilistic and statistical analyses to clarify, in particular, the relationship between frequency of labour accidents and their damage consequences. Damage consequences were classified into two categories such as the number of workdays lost due to accidents and the number of injured workers involved in one accident. Two types of accident data were collected for the analyses. From the analyses, it was found that the relation between damage due to accidents and their frequencies can be represented by a simple power function which indicates a log-log linear relation. By making use of this relationship, various probabilistic evaluations such as the estimation of the mean time periods between accidents, expected damage consequences, and expected damage ratio between different mean time period of accidents were conducted.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.126-132
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• 2010

천해파 예측 인공신경망을 이용한 방파제 기대피해도 산정방법을 개발하였다. 극치분포를 따르는 심해파고를 이용하여 방파제 위치에서의 유의파고를 얻기 위해 인공신경망을 이용하였다. 조위와 심해파를 입력받은 인공신경망이 천해유의파를 예측할 수 있도록 학습시켰으며 파랑변형 해석에 사용되는 수치모델(SWAN)의 예측결과와 대등한 성능을 보였다. 천해파 예측 인공신경망을 이용함으로써 다수의 천해파를 매우 손쉽고 빠르게 얻을 수 있었으며 결과적으로 기대피해도 해석에 사용되는 시간을 단축할 수 있었다. 또한, 파고예측 시 방파제 위치에서의 조위 변동성에 따른 기대피해도를 상호비교함으로써 조위변동성을 고려하지 않을 경우 기대피해도를 과다 또는 과소 평가할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.37-72
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• 1979

This paper presents the FORTRAN program for expected damage by surface-to-surface weapons. One of the methods can be used to determine the effectiveness of general purpose (GP) bombs and cluster weapons against single unitary targets, linear targets, area targets, and areas of unitary target elements, The effectiveness index is in terms of fractional damage ($F_D$) or the number of volleys ($N_V$).

• 한국해안해양공학회지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.21-32
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• 2003

본 연구에서는 1996년에 Hanzawa et al.이 수평혼성방파제 피복 블록의 기대피해를 계산하기 위해 개발한 신뢰성 설계법을 방향 불규칙 파의 방향 분산, 심해 설계 주파향이 해안선에 직각 방향으로부터 기울어진 각도, 심해 주파향의 설계치에 대한 편차 등과 같은 파향의 변동성을 고려할 수 있도록 확장하였다. 심해로부터 방파제 설치 위치까지의 파랑 변형을 계산하기 위하여 Hanzawa et al.은 평행한 등심선을 갖는 직선 해안에 직각으로 입사하는 일방향 불규칙파를 가정하여 1975년에 Goda가 개발한 모형을 사용하였다 본 연구에서는 방향 불규칙파의 변형을 계산하기 위하여 1997년에 Kweon et al.이 개발한 모형을 사용하였다 계산 결과. 파향의 변동성이 피복 블록의 기대피해 계산에 큰 영향을 미치는 것을 알 수 있었다. 만일 본 연구에서 가정한 바와 같이, 방파제에 직각으로 입사하는 파랑에 대한 피복석의 안정공식이 비스듬히 입사하는 파랑에 대해서도 유효하다. 면 파랑의 방향성을 무시한 종래의 설계법은 수심과 바닥경사에 따라 기대피해를 두 배 정도까지도 과대산정 혹은 과소산정 할 수 있을 것이다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.429-450
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• 2016

An attempt has been made to incorporate the concept of collapse safety margin into the procedures proposed in the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework for direct earthquake loss estimation, in which the collapse probability curve obtained from incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) is mathematically characterized with the S-type fitting model. The regressive collapse probability curve is then used to identify non-collapse cases and collapse cases. With the assumed lognormal probability distribution for non-collapse damage indexes, the expected direct earthquake loss ratio is calculated from the weighted average over several damage states for non-collapse cases. Collapse safety margin is shown to be strongly related with sustained damage endurance of structures. Such endurance exhibits a strong link with expected direct earthquake loss. The results from the case study on three concrete frames indicate that increase in cross section cannot always achieve a more desirable output of collapse safety margin and less direct earthquake loss. It is a more effective way to acquire wider collapse safety margin and less direct earthquake loss through proper enhancement of reinforcement in structural components. Interestingly, total expected direct earthquake loss ratio seems to be insensitive a change in cross section. It has demonstrated a consistent correlation with collapse safety margin. The results also indicates that, if direct economic loss is seriously concerned, it is of much significance to reduce the probability of occurrence of moderate and even severe damage, as well as the probability of structural collapse.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 2004년도 춘계 학술발표회 제16권1호
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• pp.720-723
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• 2004

This study is intended to propose a systematic approach for determining optimum Life-Cycle Cost (LCC)-effective seismic design for continuous PSC bridges considering lifetime expected seismic risks. In the paper, a set of cost function for LCC analysis of bridges is proposed. The total LCC functions consist of initial cost and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair/replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect socio-economic losses. The damage costs are expressed in terms of Park-Ang median global damage indices (Park and Ang, 1985) and lifetime damage probabilities. The proposed approach is applied to model bridges of both moderate seismicity regions like Korea and high seismicity regions like Japan. Since, in case of bridges, a number of parameters may have an influence on optimal target reliability, various sensitivity analyses are performed in this study. It may be expected that the proposed approach can be effectively utilized for the development of cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of various types of bridges as well as continuous PC bridges.