• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.41-52
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• 2003

The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.851-873
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• 2015

A methodology for estimation of statistical properties (viz. mean and standard deviation) of the expected seismic damage to reinforced concrete framed structures subject to corrosion of reinforcement, over a specified reference time (typically the service life of the structure) is proposed in this paper. The damage to the structure under the earthquake loading is characterised by the damage index, determined using the modified Park and Ang damage model. The reduction in area, yield strength and strain at ultimate of steel reinforcement, and the reduction in compressive strength of cover concrete due to corrosion are taken into account in the estimation of damage. The proposed methodology is illustrated through an example problem. From the results obtained, it is noted that there is an increase of about 70% in the mean value of expected seismic damage to the reinforced concrete frame considered over a reference time of 30 years when effect of corrosion is taken into consideration. This indicates that there is a need to consider the effect of corrosion of reinforcement on the estimation of expected seismic damage.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.17 no.6
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• pp.577-590
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• 2019

The seismic response of structures to strong ground motions is a complex problem that has been studied for decades. However, most of current seismic regulations do not assess the potential level of damage that a structure may undergo during a strong earthquake. This will happen in spite that the design objectives for any structural system are formulated in terms of acceptable levels of damage. In this article, we analyze the expected damage in single-degree-of-freedom systems subjected to long-duration ground motions generated in soft soil sites, such as those located in the lakebed of Mexico City. An energy-based methodology is formulated, under the consideration of input energy as the basis for the evaluation process, to estimate expected damage. The results of the proposed methodology are validated with damage curves established directly with nonlinear dynamic analyses.

• KCI Concrete Journal
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.26-32
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• 2001

A simple expected damage cost model is developed and a systematic approach to evaluate the economic effects of seismic hazards to reinforced concrete structures is presented. An expected damage cost function during a specific lifetime is modeled by a Poisson's process with uniform continuous cash flow assumption. It is possible that the proposed method can decouple the damage cost effect from random earthquake events. Thus, expected damage cost function can be formulated as a combination of three independent terms; a present worth factor of Poisson's process, a damage cost interpolation function and a mean occurrence rate of earthquake intensity. The validity of the proposed method is demonstrated by a comparative study of LCC evaluations with the previous study.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.104-111
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• 1998

Statistical analyses of occupational accidents associated with construction work were carried out to explore the basic statistical characteristics of their damage consequences. Emphasis was placed upon the probabilistic and statistical analyses to clarify, in particular, the relationship between frequency of labour accidents and their damage consequences. Damage consequences were classified into two categories such as the number of workdays lost due to accidents and the number of injured workers involved in one accident. Two types of accident data were collected for the analyses. From the analyses, it was found that the relation between damage due to accidents and their frequencies can be represented by a simple power function which indicates a log-log linear relation. By making use of this relationship, various probabilistic evaluations such as the estimation of the mean time periods between accidents, expected damage consequences, and expected damage ratio between different mean time period of accidents were conducted.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.126-132
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• 2010

An approach to calculating expected damage of breakwater assisted by artificial neural network was developed. Wave height in front of a breakwater was predicted by a trained artificial neural network with inputs of wave height in deep ocean and tidal level. Prediction results by the neural network can be comparable to that by professional numerical model for wave transformation. Using the wave prediction neural network, it was very easy and fast to obtain a number of significant waves at breakwater and finally analysis time for expected damage can be shortened. In addition, the effect of considering tidal level in the calculation of expected damage was revealed by comparing the expected damages with and without tidal variation. Therefore, it was pointed out that tidal variation should be considered to improve prediction accuracy.

• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.37-72
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• 1979

This paper presents the FORTRAN program for expected damage by surface-to-surface weapons. One of the methods can be used to determine the effectiveness of general purpose (GP) bombs and cluster weapons against single unitary targets, linear targets, area targets, and areas of unitary target elements, The effectiveness index is in terms of fractional damage ($F_D$) or the number of volleys ($N_V$).

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.21-32
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• 2003

In this study, the reliability design method developed by Hanzawa et al. in 1996 for calculation of the expected damage to armor blocks of a horizontally composite breakwater is extended to take into account the variability in wave direction such as directional spreading of waves, obliquity of the design principal wave direction from the shore-normal direction, and its variation about the design value. To calculate the transformation of random directional waves. the model developed by Kweon et al. in 1997 is used instead of Goda's model, which was developed in 1975 for unidirectional random waves normally incident to a straight coast with parallel depth contours and has been used by Hanzawa et al. It was found that the variability in wave direction had great influence on the computed expected damage to armor blocks. The previous design, which disregarded wave directionality, could either overestimate or underestimate the expected damage by a factor of two depending on water depth and seabed slope, if the assumption of the present study that the stability formula for breakwater armor blocks proposed for normal incidence can be used for obliquely incident waves is valid.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.429-450
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• 2016

An attempt has been made to incorporate the concept of collapse safety margin into the procedures proposed in the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework for direct earthquake loss estimation, in which the collapse probability curve obtained from incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) is mathematically characterized with the S-type fitting model. The regressive collapse probability curve is then used to identify non-collapse cases and collapse cases. With the assumed lognormal probability distribution for non-collapse damage indexes, the expected direct earthquake loss ratio is calculated from the weighted average over several damage states for non-collapse cases. Collapse safety margin is shown to be strongly related with sustained damage endurance of structures. Such endurance exhibits a strong link with expected direct earthquake loss. The results from the case study on three concrete frames indicate that increase in cross section cannot always achieve a more desirable output of collapse safety margin and less direct earthquake loss. It is a more effective way to acquire wider collapse safety margin and less direct earthquake loss through proper enhancement of reinforcement in structural components. Interestingly, total expected direct earthquake loss ratio seems to be insensitive a change in cross section. It has demonstrated a consistent correlation with collapse safety margin. The results also indicates that, if direct economic loss is seriously concerned, it is of much significance to reduce the probability of occurrence of moderate and even severe damage, as well as the probability of structural collapse.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 2004.05a
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• pp.720-723
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• 2004

This study is intended to propose a systematic approach for determining optimum Life-Cycle Cost (LCC)-effective seismic design for continuous PSC bridges considering lifetime expected seismic risks. In the paper, a set of cost function for LCC analysis of bridges is proposed. The total LCC functions consist of initial cost and direct/indirect damage costs considering repair/replacement costs, human losses and property damage costs, road user costs, and indirect socio-economic losses. The damage costs are expressed in terms of Park-Ang median global damage indices (Park and Ang, 1985) and lifetime damage probabilities. The proposed approach is applied to model bridges of both moderate seismicity regions like Korea and high seismicity regions like Japan. Since, in case of bridges, a number of parameters may have an influence on optimal target reliability, various sensitivity analyses are performed in this study. It may be expected that the proposed approach can be effectively utilized for the development of cost-effective performance criteria for design and upgrading of various types of bridges as well as continuous PC bridges.