• Title/Summary/Keyword: exchangeable random variables

Search Result 4, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

A NOTE ON THE WEAK LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS FOR EXCHANGEABLE RANDOM VARIABLES

  • Hong, Dug-Hun;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.385-391
    • /
    • 1998
  • In this note, we study a weak law of large numbers for sequences of exchangeable random variables. As a special case, we have an extension of Kolmogorov's generalization of Khintchine's weak law of large numbers to i.i.d. random variables.

  • PDF

A Note on Almost Sure Properties of Exchangeable Random Variables

  • Dug Hun Hong;Sungho Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.4 no.3
    • /
    • pp.859-862
    • /
    • 1997
  • In this paper a general result on almost sure properties is proved for a sequence of exchangeable random variables. Some known results follow from the theorem as special cases.

  • PDF

VaR Estimation with Multiple Copula Functions (다차원 Copula 함수를 이용한 VaR 추정)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Lee, Won-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.809-820
    • /
    • 2011
  • VaR(Value at risk) is a measure of market risk management and needs to be estimated for multiple distributions. In this paper, Copula functions are used to generate distributions of multivariate random variables. The dependence structure of random variables is classified by the exchangeable Copula, fully nested Copula, partially nested Copula. For the earning rate data of four Korean industries, the parameters of the Archimedean Copula functions including Clayton, Gumbel and Frank Copula are estimated by using three kinds of dependence structure. These Copula functions are then fitted to to the data so that corresponding VaR are obtained and explored.

Analysis of Repeated Measured VAS in a Clinical Trial for Evaluating a New NSAID with GEE Method (퇴행성 관절염 환자를 대상으로 새로운 진통제 평가를 위한 임상시험자료의 GEE 분석)

  • Lim, Hoi-Jeong;Kim, Yoon-I;Jung, Young-Bok;Seong, Sang-Cheol;Ahn, Jin-Hwan;Roh, Kwon-Jae;Kim, Jung-Man;Park, Byung-Joo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.37 no.4
    • /
    • pp.381-389
    • /
    • 2004
  • Objective : To compare the efficacy between SKI306X and Diclofenac by using generalized estimating equations (GEE) methodology in the analysis of correlated bivariate binary outcome data in Osteoarthritis (OA) diseases. Methods : A randomized, double-blind, active comparator-controlled, non-inferiority clinical trial was conducted at 5 institutions in Korea with the random assignment of 248 patients aged 35 to 75 years old with OA of the knee and clinical evidence of OA. Patients were enrolled in this study if they had at least moderate pain in the affected knee joint and a score larger than 35mm as assessed by VAS (Visual Analog Scale). The main exposure variable was treatment (SKI 306X vs. Diclofenac) and other covariates were age, sex, BMI, baseline VAS, center, operation history (Yes/No), NSAIDS (Y/N), acupuncture (Y/N), herbal medicine (Y/N), past history of musculoskeletal disease (Y/N), and previous therapy related with OA (Y/N). The main study outcome was the change of VAS pain scores from baseline to the 2nd and 4th weeks after treatment. Pain scores were obtained as baseline, 2nd and 4th weeks after treatment. We applied GEE approach with empirical covariance matrix and independent(or exchangeable) working correlation matrix to evaluate the relation of several risk factors to the change of VAS pain scores with correlated binary bivariate outcomes. Results : While baseline VAS, age, and acupuncture variables had protective effects for reducing the OA pain, its treatment (Joins/Diclofenac) was not statistically significant through GEE methodology (ITT:aOR=1.37, 95% CI=(0.8200, 2.26), PP:aOR=1.47, 95% CI=(0.73, 2.95)). The goodness-of-fit statistic for GEE (6.55, p=0.68) was computed to assess the adequacy of the fitted final model. Conclusions : Both ANCOVA and GEE methods yielded non statistical significance in the evaluation of non-inferiority of the efficacy between SKI306X and Diclofenac. While VAS outcome for each visit was applied in GEE, only VAS outcome for the fourth visit was applied in ANCOVA. So the GEE methodology is more accurate for the analysis of correlated outcomes.