• Title/Summary/Keyword: ex-post assessment

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An analysis of ex-post assessment on Korea-Chile Free Trade Agreement with respect to the agricultural sector

  • Han, Suk-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.468-480
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    • 2016
  • As the existing FTAs' implementations are being accelerated, ex-post assessments, such as tariff schedules and agricultural trade analyses results, have been emerging as important national issues for the agricultural sector. Korea-Chile FTA is the first FTA in Korea, and more than ten years have passed since April 2004. It will be necessary to measure the impacts of the agreement on the domestic agricultural industry by analyzing concessions made on traded items of farm products on prices, agricultural trade, and so on. The purpose of this study is to prepare for the request for ex-post assessments on the agricultural sector by trade negotiation procedural law. Additionally, by providing policy direction for agricultural policy segments requiring amendments and supplements through an ex-post assessment, we can more objectively evaluate the conflicting arguments between the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors. Current evaluation methods about ex-post impact assessment of FTA are generally comparison analysis on the change of trade balance before and after FTA implementation. However, this simple comparison analysis cannot be said to pure FTA effects and objective, tightening economic impact assessment of the FTA because of all combined situations such as effects of exchange rates, international macroeconomic changes, climate change, and the occurrence of pests. This research attempts to use dynamic analysis as its ex-post assessment methodology and is expected to contribute to future policy evaluation.

An Analysis of Ex-post Evaluation on Korea-EU FTA with respect to the Agricultural Sector (한·EU FTA 농업부문 사후영향평가)

  • Han, Suk-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.648-655
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    • 2016
  • As the FTAs' implementations are accelerated, an Ex-post assessment, such as an analysis of the tariff schedule and agricultural trade has been emerging as an important national issue for an agricultural sector Korea-EU FTA, which was to be implemented in the five years from July 2016 as one of the giant FTA. The purpose of this study was to determine the demand of an ex-post assessment on agricultural sector as a trade negotiation procedural law. In addition, by providing policy direction for the agricultural policy part requiring amendments and supplements through ex-post assessment, the conflicting arguments between agricultural and non-agricultural sector can be evaluated more objectively. The current evaluation method on the economic impact ex-post assessment of a FTA is generally compared using the change in trade balance before and after the time of FTA implementation. On the other hand, this comparison cannot be said to be the pure FTA effects and objective, tightening economic impact assessment of the FTA in all combined situations, such as the effects of exchange rates and international macroeconomic changes and climate change & occurrence of pests. Over the last 4 years, however, Korea-EU FTA's total accumulated agricultural GDP loss was measured to be 2,178 billion by these research attempts with dynamic analysis as ex-post assessment methodology. The greatest impact was mainly livestock and pork followed by cereals and vegetables. In addition, this research is expected to contribute to policy evaluations in the future.

A Study on Improvement Evaluation of Reliability of Ex-post (사후평가의 평가체계 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Chang-Hee;Kim, Si-Gon;Ahn, Chan-Gi
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.2182-2191
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    • 2011
  • Postmortem evaluation through the dictionary and the lack of points for the wrong strategy to respond to the avoid the prediction is important. However, the prevailing system of ex post facto assessment of postmortem simply does not have statistical figures to be provided only for the conditions. Thus, in this study, rail business is mainly evaluation procedures and evaluation of the verification system of ex post facto evaluation as to the issue, do not improve.

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A Method of Improving Air Quality Impact Assessment and Prediction (대기질 영향평가와 예측방법에 대한 개선방향)

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Won, Gyeong-Mee;Kim, Seong-Su
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 1994
  • When we conduct environmental impact assessment, main contents consist of summary, project outline, environmental conditions, environmental impacts due to the project, mitigation devices, and alternative measures of harmful impact on environment. In this Paper, to understand how they really conduct air quality impact assessment and prediction and examine their effectiveness, we considered the provisions and actual case of environmental impact assessment in Korea with that in Japan. As a result, we propose a method of improving air quality impact assessment and Prediction, such as reflection of the result in environmental impact assessment, detailed assessment focused on relatively important environmental impact elements, field measurement investigation over four season and seven sucessive days, the uniformity of units, the proper model development to predict environmental concentration and a biennial environmental impact assessment for ex post management.

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Development of Ex-post Cost Benefit criteria and Analysis Plan for an Urban Stream Restoration Project: The Case of Cheonggyecheon Restoration Project (도심 하천복원사업을 위한 사후 비용편익 항목 및 분석방안 제시: 청계천 복원사업을 사례로)

  • Lee, Miyeon;Jung, Insu
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.67-96
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    • 2012
  • The Ministry of Environment in Korea has been promoting the urban stream restoration project for paved streams in cities as the restored Cheonggyecheon. As an elementary study for suggesting policy implications for the project, cost and benefit criteria for an ex-post analysis on the Cheonggyecheon project is suggested in this study. The ex-ante analysis were reviewed critically by focusing on the cost and benefit criteria. Ex-post analysis plan in this study is developed considering the standard guideline of pre-feasibility, the theory of cost-benefit analysis, and the review results. The costs for compensating lands, amending conflicts, researching rivers, and maintaining water quantity were also included. For the benefits, this study proposes to estimate the benefits with the assessment on naturalness of stream. The results are expected to contribute to increase the efficiency of the urban stream restoration project and evaluate the project to match better with the meaning of the river restoration.

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A Study of Institutionalization Process of Korean Environmental Impact Assessment System and Policy Suggestions (환경영향평가의 제도화에 관한 연구 및 개선방안)

  • 김성수
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 1993
  • This paper attempts to analyze the institutionalization process of Environmental Impact Assessment(EIA) system within the context of Korean environmental policy. The implementation of EIA in the 1980's was not seriously considered by other government agencies and was sometimes degraded as mere formality due to the inherent problems of the system. With viewing the theory and practice of EIA in Korea, this paper argues that it is essential to reinforce ex post facto management incorporate the participation of residents of concerned areas, upgrade the validity of assessment by selecting a credible assessment-agenices and develop the required technologies. Finally, this paper acknowledge the necessity of devising the mechanism to reconcile the conflict between the regional interest and the national interest.

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Development of the Environmental Impact Assessment Techniques for the Grading of Rareness in Plant (식물의 희소성 평가를 위한 환경영향평가기법 개발)

  • Lee, You Mi
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 1997
  • This study was conducted to develop the new Environmental Impact Assessment techniques for the grading of rareness in plant. 17 EISs which were submitted in 1996 were analyzed to know the problems in existent EIA techniques for the conservation of rare plants. Category of rare plant was reevaluated and evaluation technique for the grading of rareness in plant was developed. The results obtained from this study were as follows: 1. The evaluation technique of rareness in plant was not reflected in the current preparation provision for EIS. And t his fact also appeared in most of the EIS which were reexamined in this study. 2. The category of rare species which have been considered as the subject of protection in EIA have to be enlarged to more than legally protected species designated by MOE. 3. The taxonomic characteristics and status of species, characteristics of population, geographical characters, extent of threat and its possibility by man resulted from the habitat loss were investigated. Each item was endowed scores from 1 to 5 and all the scores were summed, and then this value was used to evaluate the order of conservation. 4. Conservation measures for the rare plants have to be applied according to the levels of rareness grade, and they are absolute conservation, in situ conservation, transplanting and ex situ conservation, post observation and none by the levels from A to E. 5. Considering the phenology of rare plants, investigation for the rare plants have to be made a1 least three times. 6. Size of the MVP(Minimum Viable Population), pollination ecology also have to be considered for the conservation of rare plants. And in the case of adopting ex situ conservation measure, the site and methods for the conservation of rare plants have to be proposed in detail.

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Assessment & Implication on Ex-post Free Trade Agreements with respect to the Korean Agricultural Sector (기 체결 FTA 농업부문 사후영향평가와 시사점)

  • Han, Suk-Ho;Lee, Suhwan;Youm, Jung-Won;Ji, Seong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.377-385
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed the impact of the implementation of 14 FTAs on the domestic agricultural sector through aneconomic post-impact assessment using the dynamic analysis method. As a result of the implementation of the FTAs, agricultural production decreased significantly, mainly in the livestock and fruit sectors. Most of the previous studieswere limited to the post-impact assessment of individual FTAs, which does not reflect the fact that the implementation of a number of FTAs results ina combinationof trade creation, trade transitions, and FTA accumulation effects. Therefore, this study provides amore objective and comprehensive evaluation of the effects of FTAs in the agricultural sector, and contributes to some extent to the evaluation of the policy directions necessary for revising and supplementing the domestic measures needed to supplement the FTAs. Of course, a more sophisticated analysis is needed to separate the impact of these complementary domestic measures and the performance of the general agricultural project.

Location Suitability Assessment of the Living SOC Project in Rural Areas - Focusing on the Sports Center - (농촌 생활SOC 사업의 입지 적합성 평가 - 국민체육센터를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Lim, Sang-Yon;Seong, Eun-Young
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.173-189
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to evaluate the location suitability of the Living SOC Project in rural areas. For the assessment of location suitability, we applied location efficiency and location equity, respectively. One hundred sixteen national sports centers in 57 rural areas are selected as the target of analysis. The location efficiency and location equity in each sports center revealed a large gap between facilities. The location suitability evaluation results examined in 57 rural areas were similar to those analyzed at individual facilities. The correlation between the location suitability results and rural characteristics was weak. Also, location efficiency and location equity have a fragile relationship. In the light of these results, the location of the sports center, whose supply has been confirmed in rural areas through the Living SOC project, does not consider regional characteristics actively. In addition, it is difficult to say that the location efficiency and location equity of sports centers have been proactively estimated. Therefore, breaking away from the performance-oriented policy and switching to a lifestyle SOC supply policy based on the pre- and ex-post location evaluation system is necessary.

Assessment & implications of the business cessation support system for farmers: focus on the grape business

  • Han, Sukho;Youm, Jungwon;Jang, Heesoo;Koo, Seungmo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.533-544
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we conducted a dynamic ex-post assessment on the grape business cessation support System. Based on the analysis results, in the short term, there was an increase in grape price due to a decrease in production and accompanying increases in the prices of consumption substitution items. However, in the long run, grape prices fell again due to an increase in grape production because of the entry of new grape farmers and the growth of adult grape trees. In addition, the analysis showed that the balloon effect caused by the conversion of crops caused indirect damage such as an increase in the production volume of substitution crops and a decrease in prices. When analyzing the social welfare measurement, the results showed that the support system for business cessation increased the overall social welfare due to an increase in producer welfare because of a price increase in the short term, but in the long term, both producer and consumer welfare decreased. In the end, it is necessary to review the system because the government's intervention may cause market distortion and inefficient resource allocation. Above all, it is necessary to minimize the indirect effect of the industry's contraction and balloon effect due to excessive business cessation. For this, conditional support should be provided in parallel with post management rather than unconditional support. In addition, it is necessary to provide a strategic support system that considers substitution items in addition to those items to be supported.