• Title/Summary/Keyword: event trees

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Research on rapid source term estimation in nuclear accident emergency decision for pressurized water reactor based on Bayesian network

  • Wu, Guohua;Tong, Jiejuan;Zhang, Liguo;Yuan, Diping;Xiao, Yiqing
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.8
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    • pp.2534-2546
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    • 2021
  • Nuclear emergency preparedness and response is an essential part to ensure the safety of nuclear power plant (NPP). Key support technologies of nuclear emergency decision-making usually consist of accident diagnosis, source term estimation, accident consequence assessment, and protective action recommendation. Source term estimation is almost the most difficult part among them. For example, bad communication, incomplete information, as well as complicated accident scenario make it hard to determine the reactor status and estimate the source term timely in the Fukushima accident. Subsequently, it leads to the hard decision on how to take appropriate emergency response actions. Hence, this paper aims to develop a method for rapid source term estimation to support nuclear emergency decision making in pressurized water reactor NPP. The method aims to make our knowledge on NPP provide better support nuclear emergency. Firstly, this paper studies how to build a Bayesian network model for the NPP based on professional knowledge and engineering knowledge. This paper presents a method transforming the PRA model (event trees and fault trees) into a corresponding Bayesian network model. To solve the problem that some physical phenomena which are modeled as pivotal events in level 2 PRA, cannot find sensors associated directly with their occurrence, a weighted assignment approach based on expert assessment is proposed in this paper. Secondly, the monitoring data of NPP are provided to the Bayesian network model, the real-time status of pivotal events and initiating events can be determined based on the junction tree algorithm. Thirdly, since PRA knowledge can link the accident sequences to the possible release categories, the proposed method is capable to find the most likely release category for the candidate accidents scenarios, namely the source term. The probabilities of possible accident sequences and the source term are calculated. Finally, the prototype software is checked against several sets of accident scenario data which are generated by the simulator of AP1000-NPP, including large loss of coolant accident, loss of main feedwater, main steam line break, and steam generator tube rupture. The results show that the proposed method for rapid source term estimation under nuclear emergency decision making is promising.

Erosion and Recovery of Coastal Dunes after Tropical Storms (태풍의 통과로 인한 해안사구 지형의 침식과 회복)

  • Choi, Kwang Hee;Jung, Pil Mo;Kim, Yoonmi;Suh, Min Hwan
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2012
  • Coastal dunes help stabilize the coastal landscape and protect the hinterland through dynamic interaction with sand beaches. Sometimes dune erosion occurs during the tropical cyclones, while dune recovery may naturally follow after the event. As the typhoon Kompasu passed through the Korean Peninsula early-September in 2010, it caused a rise in water in association with the storm, wave run-ups, and heavy rains in coastal areas. As the result, coastal dunes along the west coast of Korea were severely damaged during the storm. However, the degree and extent of erosion and recovery of dunes were found to be related with the condition of beach-dune systems including gradients of foreshore and front slope of the dune, sediment supply, vegetation, wind activity, and human interferences. Some dunes retreated landward more and more after the erosional event, while others recovered its original profile by aeolian transport processes mainly during the winter season. Vegetated dunes with pine trees were less recovered after the erosion than grass-covered dunes. In addition, dunes with artificial defense were more eroded and less recovered than those without hard constructions. According to the observation after the severe storm, it is likely that the sand transport process is critical to the dune recovery. Therefore, the interactions between beach and dune must be properly evaluated from a geomorphological perspective for the effective management of coastal dunes, including natural recovery after the erosion by storm events.

Preparation of Data for Restoration of Dangsan Forests and Rural Community Forests from the Case Study of Hanbam and Goiran Villages (한밤마을과 괴란마을의 사례 분석을 통한 당산숲·마을숲 복원 자료 구축)

  • Choi, Jaiung;Kim, Dong Yeob
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2007
  • This study aims to understand the characteristics of dangsan forests and rural community forests (RCF), and seek for a landscape management scheme. Dangsan forests and RCF have been maintained by local residents since hundreds of years ago. However, many of them have been disturbed. The case sites were derived from the twenty villages previous investigated where dangsan forests and RCF's remainrd. The two sites were remodelled to restore what have been degraded. Hanbam village has maintained its dangsan forest with good management practices, whereas the dangsan forest and RCF of Goiran village showed relatively poor management. The size of dangsan forest at hanbam village was 13,784$m^2$, and major tree species was Pinus densiflora. In total, 151 trees with more than 30cm in DBH were standing on the site. As a cultural activity, the dangsan festival have been held in January $5^{th}$ by lunar calendar to the 2005 at the Jindongdan, a dangsan tree made of stone. The RCF of Hanbam village has disappeared due to the event of landslide in 1930, which needs to be restored. Goiran village has a dangsan forest and a RCF. The forests in Goiran village revealed many problems due to bad management practice. The prototype of the dangsan forest was deteriorated by introduced Prunus serrulata and the facilities for physical training. A systematic management scheme for dangsan forests and RCF's should be established with a close partnership among local residents, experts, and local government.

Analysis on Characteristics of Sediment Produce by Landslide in a Basin 2. Rainfall Event-based Analysis (유역 내에서의 산사태에 의한 토사발생특성 분석 2. 강우사상별 분석)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Kee-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the characteristics of sediment produce by landslide triggered by rainfall. One-dimensional unsaturated groundwater model and infinite slope stability analysis were used to estimate the behavior of soil moisture and slope stability according to rainfall, respectively. Slope stability analysis was performed considering on soil depth and characteristics of trees. The results of the analysis on characteristics of sediment produce according to rainfall events showed that the sediment produce by landslide was mainly contributed to rainfall intensity and its temporal clustering. The results of the analysis on characteristics of sediment produce by extreme events showed that remaining rainfall amount of typhoon 'Rusa' was much more than that of the other extreme events, and thus this remaining rainfall was to contribute to sediment transportation. Additionally, only a small number of extreme events were found to cause most amount of sediment produce in a basin.

Tabu Search-Genetic Process Mining Algorithm for Discovering Stochastic Process Tree (확률적 프로세스 트리 생성을 위한 타부 검색 -유전자 프로세스 마이닝 알고리즘)

  • Joo, Woo-Min;Choi, Jin Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2019
  • Process mining is an analytical technique aimed at obtaining useful information about a process by extracting a process model from events log. However, most existing process models are deterministic because they do not include stochastic elements such as the occurrence probabilities or execution times of activities. Therefore, available information is limited, resulting in the limitations on analyzing and understanding the process. Furthermore, it is also important to develop an efficient methodology to discover the process model. Although genetic process mining algorithm is one of the methods that can handle data with noises, it has a limitation of large computation time when it is applied to data with large capacity. To resolve these issues, in this paper, we define a stochastic process tree and propose a tabu search-genetic process mining (TS-GPM) algorithm for a stochastic process tree. Specifically, we define a two-dimensional array as a chromosome to represent a stochastic process tree, fitness function, a procedure for generating stochastic process tree and a model trace as a string of activities generated from the process tree. Furthermore, by storing and comparing model traces with low fitness values in the tabu list, we can prevent duplicated searches for process trees with low fitness value being performed. In order to verify the performance of the proposed algorithm, we performed a numerical experiment by using two kinds of event log data used in the previous research. The results showed that the suggested TS-GPM algorithm outperformed the GPM algorithm in terms of fitness and computation time.

A Case of Kartagener's Syndrome Presenting as Respiratory and Right Heart Failures (호흡부전과 우심부전을 동반한 Kartagener 증후군 1예)

  • Yang, Suck-Chul;Lee, Kyung-Sang;Yoon, Ho-Joo;Shin, Dong-Ho;Park, Sung-Soo;Lee, Jung-Hee;Park, Choong-Ki
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.251-256
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    • 1996
  • Kartagener's syndrome, a congenital disease transmitted as an autosomal recessive illness with a prevalence of approximately 1:20,000 persons, is characterized by the triple association of situs inversus, bronchiectasis, and sinusitis. Affected persons have an incoordination of ciliary motility that leads to defective mucociliary transport, chronic bronchial infections. Kartagener's syndrome is a subset of the immotile cilia syndrome and therefore all patients with Kartagener's syndrome have immotile cilia with obvious ultrastructural defects in the ciliary axoneme. In the respiratory tract this inability presumably causes impaired clearance of mucus and inhaled particles and results in the chronic infections of the sinuses and bronchial trees that are characterized of the disease. The end-stage phenomenon in Kartagener's syndrome, respiratory or heart failure is a less common event and heart-lung transplantation is becoming an accepted therapy for patients with end-stage pulmonary disease in Kartagener's syndrome in many institutes. We report one case of Kartagener's syndrome in a 25-year-old young woman who was presented as respiratory and right heart failures, with review of literatures.

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Design of Seoul Park in Paris (파리서울공원 설계)

  • 오웅성
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2001
  • The seoul Metropolitan Government has announced a program of the realization of a Korean garden named 'Seoul Park' in Paris 'Jardin d'Acclimatation' in June, 2000. The program for 'Seoul Park' in Paris has double objectives which aims celebrating the 10th anniversary of the establishment of sisterhood relationship between Seoul and paris and to promote the mutual cooperation and the amity between the two metropolitan cities. The purpose of this study is focusing on the issues on the setting procedure of characteristics of the 'Seoul Park', type of the Park, and design realization of expression of Korean identity, and the cultural consolidation between parks in Korean and French. The Seoul Park will be constructed on the shore of a lake of the Jardin d'Acclimatation, and the size of the area is 4,675㎡. In July, a design competition for the preparation of a schematic plan of the Seoul Park was held in Seoul. In this competition, the author won with a scheme which proposed a Korean Garden as expression of "between" two cultures which is fitted into the French environment. Although, the Seoul Park in Paris is a small Korean garden, its significance would be emphasized in terms of that it represents the adaptation of a Korean culture to the French territory. Throughout the winning entry, we could recognized hat the author defines Korean garden as 'time device', and 'Seoul Park' as 'Situation' which is the consolidation of the cultures between korea and France. And also the author pursued Korean garden as a net type of 'sequence of the event'. In this paper, we have discussed the concept and the schematic plan of the winning entry. focusing on following issues: Definition of the garden; Form of the garden; Expression of Korean garden; Representation of the reconciliation between two environments. Since many parts of the garden are under designing, and the discussion on the resetting of the existing trees in the garden is in progress, more specific investigation will be done in the next thesis.

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Extracting Specific Information in Web Pages Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 이용한 웹페이지 내의 특정 정보 추출)

  • Lee, Joung-Yun;Kim, Jae-Gon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2018
  • With the advent of the digital age, production and distribution of web pages has been exploding. Internet users frequently need to extract specific information they want from these vast web pages. However, it takes lots of time and effort for users to find a specific information in many web pages. While search engines that are commonly used provide users with web pages containing the information they are looking for on the Internet, additional time and efforts are required to find the specific information among extensive search results. Therefore, it is necessary to develop algorithms that can automatically extract specific information in web pages. Every year, thousands of international conference are held all over the world. Each international conference has a website and provides general information for the conference such as the date of the event, the venue, greeting, the abstract submission deadline for a paper, the date of the registration, etc. It is not easy for researchers to catch the abstract submission deadline quickly because it is displayed in various formats from conference to conference and frequently updated. This study focuses on the issue of extracting abstract submission deadlines from International conference websites. In this study, we use three machine learning models such as SVM, decision trees, and artificial neural network to develop algorithms to extract an abstract submission deadline in an international conference website. Performances of the suggested algorithms are evaluated using 2,200 conference websites.

Incomplete data handling technique using decision trees (결정트리를 이용하는 불완전한 데이터 처리기법)

  • Lee, Jong Chan
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2021
  • This paper discusses how to handle incomplete data including missing values. Optimally processing the missing value means obtaining an estimate that is the closest to the original value from the information contained in the training data, and replacing the missing value with this value. The way to achieve this is to use a decision tree that is completed in the process of classifying information by the classifier. In other words, this decision tree is obtained in the process of learning by inputting only complete information that does not include loss values among all training data into the C4.5 classifier. The nodes of this decision tree have classification variable information, and the higher node closer to the root contains more information, and the leaf node forms a classification region through a path from the root. In addition, the average of classified data events is recorded in each region. Events including the missing value are input to this decision tree, and the region closest to the event is searched through a traversal process according to the information of each node. The average value recorded in this area is regarded as an estimate of the missing value, and the compensation process is completed.

Study on the Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine (景祐宮圖) (국립문화재연구소 소장 '경우궁도(景祐宮圖)'에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung Mee
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.196-221
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    • 2011
  • The Royal Private Shrines or the Samyo(私廟), were dedicated to members of Choseon's royal family who could not be enshrined at the (official) Royal Ancestral Shrine, the Jongmyo(宗廟). The Samyo were constructed at the national level and were systematically managed as such. Because these private Shrines were dedicated to those who couldn't belong to the Jongmyo but were still very important, such as the ruling king's biological father or mother. The details of all royal constructions were included in the State Event Manuals, and with them, the two-dimensional layouts of the Samyo also. From the remaining "Hyunsa-gung Private Tomb Construction Layout Record(顯思宮別廟營建都監儀軌)" of 1824, which is the construction record of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine(景祐宮) dedicated to Subin, the mother of King Sunjo(純祖), it became possible to investigate the so far unknown "The Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine", in terms of the year produced, materials used and other situational contexts. The investigation revealed that the "The Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine" is actually the "Hyunsa-gung Private Tomb Layout" produced by the Royal Construction Bureau. The bureau painted this to build Hyunsa-gung Private Shrine in a separately prepared site outside the court in 1824, according to the royal verdict to close down and move the temporary shrine inside the courtyard dedicated to Subin who had passed away in 1822. As the Construction Bureau must have also produced the Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine Layout, the painter(s) of this layout should exist among the official artists listed in the State Event Manual, but sadly, as their paintings have not survived to this day, we cannot compare their painting styles. The biggest stylistic character of the Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine is its perfect diagonal composition method and detailed and neat portrayalof the many palace buildings, just as seen in Donggwoldo(東闕圖, Painting of a panoramic view for Changdeokgung and Changgyeonggung Palaces). A well-perceiving architectural painting employs a specific point of view chosen to fit the purpose of the painting, or it can opt to the multi-viewpoint. Korean traditional architectural paintings in early ages utilized the diagonal composition method, the bird-eye viewpoint, or the multi-viewpoint. By the 18th century, detailed but also artistic architectural paintings utilizing the diagonal method are observed. In the early 19th century, the peak of such techniques is exhibited in Donggwoldo(Painting of a panoramic view for Changdeokgung and Changgyeonggung Palaces). From the perfect diagonal composition method employed and the details of the palace buildings numbering almost two hundreds, we can determine that the Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine also belongs to the same category of the highly technical architectural paintings as Donggwoldo(Painting of a panoramic view for Changdeokgung and Changgyeonggung Palaces). We can also confirm this hypothesis by comparing the painting techniques employed in these two paintings in detailthe way trees and houses are depicted, and the way ground texture is expressed, etc. The unique characteristic of the Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine is, however, that the area surrounding the central shrine building(正堂), the most important area of the shrine, is drawn using not the diagonal method but the bird-eye viewpoint with the buildings lying flat on both the left and right sides, just as seen in the "Buildings Below the Central Shrine(正堂以下諸處)" in the State Event Manual's Painting Method section. The same viewpoint method is discovered in some other concurrent paintings of common residential buildings, so it is not certain that this particular viewpoint had been a distinctive feature for shrine paintings in general. On the other hand, when the diagonalmethod pointing to the left direction is chosen, the top-left and bottom-right sections of the painting become inevitably empty. This has been the case for the Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine, but in contrast, Donggwoldo shows perfect screen composition with these empty margins filled up with different types of trees and other objects. Such difference is consistent with the different situational contexts of these two paintings: the Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine is a simple single-sheet painting, while Donggwoldo is a perfected work of painting book given an official title. Therefore, if Donggwoldo was produced to fulfill the role of depiction and documentation as well as the aesthetic purpose, contrastingly, the Painting of Gyeongwoo-gung Shrine only served the purpose of copying the circumstances of the architecture and projecting them onto the painting.