• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation of travel time

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A Travel Time Estimation Algorithm using Transit GPS Probe Data (Transit GPS Data를 이용한 링크통행시간 추정 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Keechoo;Hong, Won-Pyo;Choi, Yoon-Hyuk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.739-746
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    • 2006
  • The bus probe-based link travel times were more readily available due to bus' fixed route schedule and it was different from that of taxi-based one in its value for the same link. At the same time, the bus-based one showed less accurate information than the taxi-based link travel time, in terms of reliability expressed by 1-RMSE(%) measure. The purpose of this thesis is to develop a heuristic algorithm for mixing both sources-based link travel times. The algorithm used both real-time and historical profile travel times. Real-time source used 4 consecutive periods' average and historical source used average value of link travel time for various congestion levels. The algorithm was evaluated for Seoul urban arterial network 3 corridors and 20 links. The results based on the developed algorithm were superior than the mere fusion based link travel times and the reliability amounted up to 71.45%. Some limitation and future research agenda have also been discussed.

A Study of Flood Runoff Variation by Travel Times Estimation Methods (도달시간 산정방법에 따른 홍수유출특성 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ki-Bum;Ko, Jin-Seuk;Jee, Hong-Gee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.34-45
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    • 2006
  • In this study comparison estimates travel times with observed travel time. In generally, peak flood discharges decrease become travel times longer. It is closely related to storage constant for the watershed routing of a flood. There are so many empirical formulas available for the estimation of travel time, storage coefficients and lag time but results computed generally show great different depending on individual formulas. When calculated flood discharge depend on the travel times varying the discharge. In this study the Wichun travel time shorter optimization travel time than observed travel time for the rusa and memi. There are showed good results for flood discharges, water level and velocity of the memi at the Younggok.

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Optimal Link Length Design for Departure Time-based Link Travel Time Information (출발시각기준 링크통행시간 정보의 공간적 설계 (연속류를 중심으로))

  • Kim, Jae-Jin;No, Jeong-Hyeon;NamGung, Seong;Park, Dong-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.2 s.95
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 2007
  • The objectives of this study aye to develop an on-line departure time-based travel time estimation method and to determine an optimal link length for the estimation. This study developed a link-based rolling horizon logic as the travel time estimation method. In order to determine an optimal link length, the information error of the travel time provision from the user's perspective was defined and employed as a selection criterion. It was found that, when the travel time aggregation size was set as five minutes, a link length of four kilometers gave the most accurate result.

Link Travel Time Estimation Using Uncompleted Link-passing GPS Probe Data in Congested Traffic Condition (혼잡상황에서 링크미통과 GPS 프로브데이터를 활용한 링크통행시간 추정기법 개발)

  • Sim, Sang-U;Choe, Gi-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.5 s.91
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    • pp.7-18
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    • 2006
  • Data for travel information Provision are regularly aggregated to Provide travel time information in a reliable and convenient manner and to manage traffic data and information efficiently. In most of practices in Korea, the GPS based travel time data are mainly aggregated every 5 minutes As a result, some probes can't pass by a link within aggregation interval and thereby create uncompleted link passing data. But these data are mostly generated during the congested times and therefore a method that uses such uncompleted link passing data are required. This study estimated queue dissipation length, green time and cycle that use GPS spot speed and developed a link travel time estimation method using such uncompleted link passing data. It also presents method and the overall process of using such data to estimate link travel time in a more accurate manner. As a result, MAPE 1.98% and MAE 4.75 sec of link travel time accuracy improvement has been reported, which is not much different from the real link travel time. The method Proposed here would be an alternative to increase the amount of GPS probe data, especially in congested urban arterial case.

Methodology for Estimation of Link Travel Time using Density-based Disaggregated Approach (밀도기반 비집계 접근법을 이용한 구간통행시간 추정 방법론)

  • Chang, Hyunho;Lee, Soong-bong;Han, Donghee;Lee, Young-Ihn
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.134-143
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    • 2017
  • In the case of highway, there may be a large number of travel time groups when there are a bus exclusive lane, a rest area, a sleeping shelter, etc. in the corresponding section. In most of the conventional travel time estimation studies, one representative travel time (assuming normal distribution) group is assumed in the low sample collection state, and if it is out of the specified range, it is determined as outliers and then the travel time is estimated. However, if there is a bus exclusive lane, a rest area, or a sleeping shelter in the relevant section, such as the highway, the distribution of travel time will be in the form of a bi-modal or a multi-modal, rather than a regular distribution. Therefore, applying the existing estimation methodology may result in distorted results. To solve this problem, first, it should be reliable even in the case of insufficient number of samples. Second, we propose a methodology to select the representative time group among a number of time groups and to estimate the representative time using individual time data of the selected time group.

Model of Simultaneous Travel time and Activity Duration for worker with Transportation Panel Data

  • Kim Soon-Gwan
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.09a
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    • pp.160-167
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    • 1998
  • Recent world-wide interest in activity-based travel behavior modeling has generated an entirely new perspective on how the profession views the travel demand process. This paper seeks to further promote the case of activity-based travel behavior models by providing some empirical evidence of relationship between travel time and activity duration decision for worker with transportation panel data. The travel time from home to work and from work to home, without activity involvement, is estimated by the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. And, the travel time to and from the selected activity and the activity duration are modeled simultaneously by the Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS) method due to the endogenous relationship between travel time and activity duration. Two kinds of models, OLS and 3SLS, include selectivity bias corrections in a discrete/continuous framework, because of the inter-relationship between the choice of activity type/travel mode (discrete) and the travel time/activity duration (continuous). Estimation is undertaken using a sample of over 1300 household two-day trip diaries collected from the same travelers in the Seattle area in 1989. The behavioral consequences of these models provide interesting and provocative findings that should be of value to transportation policy formulation and analysis.

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A Development of Preprocessing Models of Toll Collection System Data for Travel Time Estimation (통행시간 추정을 위한 TCS 데이터의 전처리 모형 개발)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seok;NamKoong, Seong J.
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2009
  • TCS Data imply characteristics of traffic conditions. However, there are outliers in TCS data, which can not represent the travel time of the pertinent section, if these outliers are not eliminated, travel time may be distorted owing to these outliers. Various travel time can be distributed under the same section and time because the variation of the travel time is increase as the section distance is increase, which make difficult to calculate the representative of travel time. Accordingly, it is important to grasp travel time characteristics in order to compute the representative of travel time using TCS Data. In this study, after analyzing the variation ratio of the travel time according to the link distance and the level of congestion, the outlier elimination model and the smoothing model for TCS data were proposed. The results show that the proposed model can be utilized for estimating a reliable travel time for a long-distance path in which there are a variation of travel times from the same departure time, the intervals are large and the change in the representative travel time is irregular for a short period.

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Autonomous Self-Estimation of Vehicle Travel Times in VANET Environment (VANET 환경에서 자율적 자가추정(Self-Estimation) 통행시간정보 산출기법 개발)

  • Im, Hui-Seop;O, Cheol;Gang, Gyeong-Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2010
  • Wireless communication technologies including vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) and vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) enable the development of more sophisticated and effective traffic information systems. This study presents a method to estimate vehicular travel times in a vehicular ad hoc network (VANET) environment. A novel feature of the proposed method is estimating individual vehicle travel times through advanced on-board units in each vehicle, referred to as self-estimated travel time in this study. The method uses travel information including vehicle position and speed at each given time step transmitted through the V2V and V2I communications. Vehicle trajectory data obtained from the VISSIM simulator is used for evaluating the accuracy of estimated travel times. Relevant technical issues for successful field implementation are also discussed.

Analysis and Estimation of Factors Affecting Travel Time Budget (통행시간예산의 요인분석 및 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Park, Je-Jin;Lee, Ki-Young;Park, Yong-Duk
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2009
  • The traveler's travel pattern has significantly changed due to the social and economic changes. The travel time among the traveler's pattern is the limited resource. The travelers are trying to maximize the utility of travel with the least travel cost. So, the travelers travel with their own travel time budget in mind, which they can pay or choose to pay for the optimal maximization of the utility of the individuals. This research is to group and extract the specific factors which affect the travel time budget by utilizing the CART analysis method, which enables the analysis of traveler's characteristics and their interrelationship based on the data collected from "2002 Household Travel Practice Research" and then try to derive a model for estimating the traveler’s travel time budget. The result of CART analysis shows that the factors which affect the travel time budget include the traveler's age, size of house, type of house, type of employment, job and relation to the head of household. Considering the affecting factors derived, I developed an estimation model. From that model, we found that the age, size of house and type of house were positively (+) related to the travel time budget while the homeworking people who have less travel frequency as a type of employment were negatively (-) related to it. In particular, from the point of type of job, the housewives, children not yet old enough to attend schools and people who are working in the agricultural, or marine product industries were found to have the negative (-) value while the people who have the administrative, office, management jobs were found to have the positive (+) value.

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Quality of Departure Time Based On-line Link Travel Time Estimates (구간통행속도 추정을 위한 고속도로 검지기자료 처리기법 개발)

  • Park, Dong-Joo;Kim, Jae-Jin;Rho, Jung-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Beom
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the quality of on-line departure time-based link travel time estimates. For this, accuracy (i.e. estimation error) and timeliness (i.e. degree of time lag) are proposed as MOE of the quality of on-line link travel time estimates. Then the relationship between quality of link travel time estimates and link length and level of congestion is analyzed. It was found that there is trade-off between the accuracy and timeliness of link travel time estimates. The estimation error was modeled to consist of two components: one is systematic error and the other is mean square error which reflects level of congestion. further, time lag was again segmented into three parts for the analysis purpose. There are minimum one, congestion-related one, and update interval-related one. From the real-world data using AVI system, it was revealed that regardless of the link length and level of congestion, 10 minutes of time lag occurs in general.

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