• 제목/요약/키워드: estimate cost

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아파트 재건축사업의 수익성평가에 대한 확률적 위험도 분석 모형 적용방안 (Application of Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Profitability-Evaluation of Apartment Reconstruction Projects)

  • 우광민;이학기
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2006
  • 현재 재건축사업은 추진 의사결정과 관련한 확정된 지표나 기준이 없이 막연한 수익성에 대한 기대를 토대로 시행되고 있으며, 사업시행과정 에서 직면하게 되는 제반 위험 에 대해 경험 적으로 대응하고 있는 실정이다. 또한 재건축조합이나 시공예정 회사들이 제공하는 관리처분계획에 포함된 수익성에 관한 정보는 결정론적 분석을 통한 단순한 예측에 불과하여 재건축을 시행하는 과정에서 결과가 수정되는 것이 일반적이다. 즉 수익성에 대한 예측이 재건축시행 과정상의 유동적인 상황에서 변경됨에 따라 예측결과에 대한 신뢰도는 근본적으로 내 외적인 한계를 갖고 있다. 본 연구는 재건축사업의 수익성에 영향을 미치는 변수들을 확률적으로 평가하여 수익과 위험을 동시에 분석하는 수익성예측모델을 개발하고, 사례연구를 통해 개발모델의 적합성을 검증하여 기존의 결정론적 접근방식이 갖는 한계를 극복하고자 한다.

PRICE S 모델을 이용한 무기체계 내장형 소프트웨어 비용 추정 기법 (A Cost Estimation Technique using the PRICE S Model for Embedded Software in Weapon Systems)

  • 신언희;강성진
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제13D권5호
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    • pp.717-724
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    • 2006
  • 무기체계 획득 사업에 있어서 소프트웨어의 비중이 높아감에 따라 비용추정의 중요성이 증대되고 있으나, 무기체계 내장형 소프트웨어의 비용에 대한 추정은 일반 소프트웨어 비용 추정 방법을 따르며 주로 PRICE S 모델을 도구로 사용하고 있다. 그렇지만, PRICE S 모델에서 내장형 소프트웨어에 대한 개발규모 산정에 따른 추정 비용의 타당성에 대한 검증 결과는 알려져 있지 않다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 PRICE S 모델을 이용하여 무기체계 내장형 소프트웨어의 산정 규모를 통한 비용 추정 기법을 제안한다. 이를 위하여 PRICE S 모델의 규모 산정 도구를 이용하여 코드라인과 기능점수 방식으로 소프트웨어의 규모를 추정한다. 최종적으로는 제작사에서 제공하는 실제 비용 자료와 비교한다. 결과적으로 객관적으로 추정이 어려웠던 무기체계 내장형 소프트웨어의 규모 및 비용을 추정하는 방안을 제시함으로써, 앞으로 무기체계 획득 사업에서 소프트웨어의 비용 검증 및 협상에 활용할 수 있을 것이다.

노인부부가계를 위한 노후 월평균 생계비 산정 - 최저생계비, 표준생계비, 유락생계비의 산정 - (The Estimate of the Living Cost for the elderly Couple)

  • 이선형;이연숙
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2002
  • This study was performed to estimate living cost for the elderly couple living in a city in Korea. Living cost means expenditure per month for elderly couple. It was assumed that the elderly couple will need different living cost according to their circumstances. The circumstances are health status, retirement status, and the level of living they want. The subjects were the elderly couple households over the age 65 of household head. Total number of subject was 1,649 households. Used data was Annual Report surveyed by National Statistical Office on the Family Income and Expenditure. Analysis of data was done through frequency, percentage, means, median using SAS Program. The results of this study were as follows: Their standard living cost was 844,980 won by pure relative standard line and 842,300 won by quasi relative standard lines. And minimum living cost was 713,400 won by the former, by the latter was 557,600 won (3/2 of median). And abundant Living cost was 1,068,020 won by the former, by the latter 1,263,450 won. The living cost of elderly households was about 81-83%, comparing with non-elderly households. Among the item of expenditure, the proportion of housing and medical care cost was larger than any other items.

Suggestion and Verification of Assessment model on Construction-Cost of Steel Bridge in Project Performance Phases

  • Kab-Soo Kyung;Hye-Yeon Park;Sin-Hwa Kang;Eun-Kyoung Jeon
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.606-615
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    • 2009
  • Estimating the reasonable construction-cost according to the construction phase in public construction is an important element for securing and executing a national budget efficiently. As a general rule, the predetermined cost of construction is estimated at the end of the design of the target structure. Therefore, it seems to be a considerably difficult problem to estimate the approximate cost of construction, only with its basic information of the bridge in the design planning phase and the early design stage where we can not have specific detailed-section of the target structure. In this paper, we present the calculation of construction-cost in the planning phase based on the analysis of factors affecting the cost of construction conducted in the previous study. Beside, to estimate the cost of construction in early design phase, we would like to present the calculation of construction-cost in the early design phase by executing the analysis of data collected from 61 steel box bridges. It was found from the result of study that the estimated cost of construction gained by the calculation of construction-cost in this paper reduces the error between the real cost of construction and that by the existing method of using.

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실적공사비에 의한 지하철 공사비 예측모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction-Formulas of Approximate Estimate Based on Actual Work Cost for Subway)

  • 박종혁;전영배;박홍태
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 2004년 이후 도입된 실적 공사비 제도에 의하여 착공된 지하철 건설공사를 대상으로 실적공사비, 공사규모 그리고 시간을 고려하여 공사비를 예측하는 식을 제시하였다. 11개의 지하철공사 자료를 이용하여 지하철 공사비 예측을 위한 비용-규모 지수 n(신뢰범위:0.5~0.7)을 구한 결과, 총공사비 0.713, 순공사비 0.77로 도출되었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 공사비 예측 식 모델은 향후 지하철 공사 적용 현장의 사업기획, 예비조사, 타당성조사, 기본설계 단계에서 개산 공사비를 추정하는데 효과적으로 적용할 수 있을 것이다.

정전에 따른 지역 및 산업종별 부가가치 저감을 고려한 거시적 관점에서의 지역별 공급지장비 단가 산정에 관한 연구 (Study on the Estimation of Macroscopic Outage Cost using Reduction of Regional Added Value due to Power Outage)

  • 이재걸;최영도;전동훈;서철수;최재석
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권4호
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    • pp.726-732
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    • 2011
  • To establish the transmission system expansion plan based on reliability, valuation of outage cost become more important. In previous studies about outage cost estimation, macroscopic, microscopic and analytic methods are proposed but they have some limit. For instance, microscopic method involves a complex field survey process and macroscopic method can not estimate regional outage cost. So in this paper, a new method to estimate regional macroscopic outage cost using the reduction of value added due to power outages is proposed. This method uses regional add value according to production activities called Gross Regional Domestic Product(GRDP) and regional electricity sales.

THE TREND OF CONSTRUCTION COST INDICES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS

  • Yoo-Sub Lee;Seung-Hyun Lee;Tai-Kyung Kang
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 1th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.908-912
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    • 2005
  • Construction Cost Indices are values for measuring fluctuations in direct construction costs which include material costs, labor costs, and equipment costs for construction operations. In Korea, Korea Institute of Construction Technology (KICT) has been assessing and announcing these indices since January, 2004. The main goals of this paper are to look over the calculation process for those indices and then present the trend in construction costs according to the types of facilities with the past construction cost index data. Also, this paper traces the origin of the occurrence of significant changes on those indices through the further analysis of the trend. In addition, this paper shows the practicality of the indices and the way how to put them to practical use. An alternative estimate method using the indices is suggested for compensating the changes of construction costs caused by price fluctuations.

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Direct Costs of Cervical Cancer Management in Morocco

  • Berraho, Mohamed;Najdi, Adil;Mathoulin-Pelissier, Simone;Salamon, Roger;Nejjari, Chakib
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권7호
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    • pp.3159-3163
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    • 2012
  • Background: For cervical cancer the epidemiological profile is poorly known in Morocco and no data is available concerning the direct medical costs. The purpose of this work is to estimate the direct cost of medical management of invasive cervical cancer during the first year after diagnosis in Morocco. Methods: The estimation of direct costs of medical management of invasive cervical cancer during the first year after diagnosis in Morocco is based on the estimation of individual cost in each stage which covers diagnosis, treatment and follow-up during first year. The cost was estimated per patient and whole cycle-set using the costs for each drug and procedure as indicated by the Moroccan National Agency for Health Insurance. Extrapolation of the results to the whole country was used to calculate the total annual cost of cervical cancer treatments in Morocco. Results: Overall approximately 1,978 new cases of cervical cancer occur each year in Morocco. The majority (82.96%) of these cases were diagnosed at a late stage (stageII or more). The cost of one case of cervical cancer depends on stage of diagnosis, the lowest cost is $382 for stageCis followed by the cost of stageIA1 for young women (< 40 years) which is $2,952. The highest cost is for stageIV, which is $7,827. The total cost of cervical cancer care for one year after diagnosis is estimated at $13,589,360. The share allocated to treatment is the most important part of the global care budget with an annual sum of $13,027,609 whereas other cost components are represented as follows: $435,694 for annual follow-up activity and $126,057 for diagnosis and preclinical staging. Conclusion: This study provides health decision-makers with a first estimate of costs and the opportunity to achieve the optimal use of available data to estimate the needs of health facilities in Morocco.

기준모델을 사용한 종합사업관리용역비 산정방법(ICEP) 연구 (A study on the method for the Integrated Cost Estimate based on Project(ICEP) of program management with typical model)

  • 백명창;박준모;박길범;김옥규
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.119-128
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    • 2015
  • 국내 종합사업관리 용역비 산정을 위하여 대부분의 경우, 유사 사업관리 산정사례를 참고하여 추정하거나 과업참여자의 경험을 바탕으로 비용을 산정하였음을 알 수 있다. 이는 사업관리비 산정에 대한 정확성이 떨어져 사업을 주관하는 발주기관에서는 사업계획 및 예산 반영이 어려우며, 추정치에 의한 용역비 산정으로 향후 설계변경 등의 사업관리용역비 증가의 원인이 되기도 한다. 따라서 발주자와 용역 참여자가 보다 정확한 용역비를 산정하여 변경사항 등으로 인한 비용증가와 분쟁을 최소화하기 위해서는 용역비 산정기준을 객관적이고 과학적인 방법으로 적용할 필요가 있다. 종합건설사업 관리의 용역비 산정을 위해 기존의 경우에는 사례와 경험을 기초로 한 Top-Down 방식으로 접근하였다면, 본 연구에서는 사업관리 업무를 세부단계 및 활동(Activity)으로 분류하고 단계별로 WBS를 부여하여 각각 부여된 코드에 일정과 비용을 산정하는 Bottom-Up 방식의 사업관리 용역비를 산정하는 것으로, 용역비 산정을 위한 프로젝트 기준모델을 개발하고 프로젝트별 보정계수를 적용하여 용역비용을 산정하는 방식으로 이를 ICEP이라고 명명하였다. 또한 산정된 해당 과업의 비용과 추후 실적자료를 분석하여 보완함으로써 프로젝트별 특성을 반영한 종합사업관리 용역비 산정으로 효율적인 건설사업 관리가 가능해진다.

The Development of New Cost-Effective Optimization Technology for OLED Market Entry

  • Kwon, Woo-Taeg;Kwon, Lee-Seung;Lee, Woo-Sik
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This study aims to improve the distribution structure of the OLED market and develop cost-effective optimization techniques. Specifically, it is a study on the optimization of ferric chloride to improve the etch of SUS MASK for OLED. Research design, data, and methodology - Applying the optimal conditions of the experiment, the final confirmation was evaluated for improvement by the Process Capability Index (Cpk). It is possible to derive social performance such as improvement of precision of SUS MASK manufacturing, economic performance such as defect rate, reduction of waste generation and treatment cost, technological achievement such as SUS MASK production technology, improvement of profit structure of technology development and process improvement do. Results - The improvement of the Cpk before the improvement was made was confirmed to be 0.57% with a defect estimate of 25.07% with a failure estimate of 0.57% after the improvement, and 8.84% with a failure estimate of 0.57% level after the improvement. Conclusions - If the conclusions obtained from the specimen experiment are applied to the manufacturing process of SUS MASK, it will be possible to expect excellent cost-effective competitiveness due to the improvement of precision and reduction of defect rate to enhance the OLED market penetration.