• Title/Summary/Keyword: epidemic spreading

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Rapid construction delivery of COVID-19 special hospital: Case study on Wuhan Huoshenshan hospital

  • Wang, Chen;Yu, Liangcheng;Kassem, Mukhtar A.;Li, Heng;Wang, Ziming
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.345-369
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    • 2022
  • Infectious disease emergency hospitals are usually temporarily built during the pneumonia epidemic with higher requirements regarding diagnosis and treatment efficiency, hygiene and safety, and infection control.This study aims to identify how the Building Information Modeling (BIM) + Industrialized Building System (IBS) approach could rapidly deliver an infectious disease hospital and develop site epidemic spreading algorithms. Coronavirus-19 pneumonia construction site spreading algorithm model mind map and block diagram of the construction site epidemic spreading algorithm model were developed. BIM+IBS approach could maximize the repetition of reinforced components and reduce the number of particular components. Huoshenshan Hospital adopted IBS and BIM in the construction, which reduced the workload of on-site operations and avoided later rectification. BIM+IBS integrated information on building materials, building planning, building participants, and construction machinery, and realized construction visualization control and parametric design. The delivery of Huoshenshan Hospital was during the most critical period of the Coronavirus-19 pneumonia epidemic. The development of a construction site epidemic spreading algorithm provided theoretical and numerical support for prevention. The agent-based analysis on hospital evacuation observed "arched" congestion formed at the evacuation exit, indicating behavioral blindness caused by fear in emergencies.

Epidemic Disease Spreading Simulation Model Based on Census Data (센서스 데이터를 기반으로 만든 전염병 전파 시뮬레이션 모델)

  • Hwang, Kyosang;Lee, Taesik;Lee, Hyunrok
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2014
  • Epidemic models are used to analyze the spreading of epidemic diseases, estimate public health needs, and assess the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. Modeling scope of an epidemic model ranges from the regional scale to national and global scale. Most of the epidemic models developed in Korea are at the national scale using the equation-based model. While these models are useful for designing and evaluating national public health policies, they do not provide sufficient details. As an alternative, individual-based models at the regional scale are often used to describe disease spreading, so that various mitigation strategies can be designed and tested. This paper presents an individual-based epidemic spreading model at regional scale. This model incorporates 2005 census data to build the synthetic population in the model representing Daejeon in 2005. The model's capability is demonstrated by an example where we assess the effectiveness of several mitigation strategies using the model.

Epidemiologic characteristics of malaria in non-malarious area, Jeollabuk-do, Korea in 2000

  • Kim, Myung-Bin
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.223-226
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    • 2001
  • In South Korea, the north border area has been under vivax malaria epidemic since 1993. However, Jeollabuk-do, which is about 300 kms from the border, has not experienced the same epidemic. 1 investigated a total of 58 notified cases of malaria in Jeollabuk-do in the year 2000. All of the cases had an exposure history in the epidemic area. Among them were 49 ex-soldiers, 3 soldiers who served near the border area and 6 civilians who traveled there. The causal agent of all cases was Plasmodium vivax. Except the civilians, the soldiers and ex-soldiers were aged in their twenty's. In the present study, the incubation period was from 6 to 520 days with a median of 157 days, and the latent onset type (92%) was more prevalent than the early onset type. illness onset of most cases (86%) peaked during the summer season (June to September) despite of variable incubation periods. The time lag for diagnosis ranged from 2 to 42 days with a median of 11 days. Jeollabuk-do has not been an area of epidemic untill now, but incidences have been increasing annually since 1996. In Jeollabuk-do, early diagnosis and treatment can be a feasible disease control measure to prevent spreading from the epidemic area.

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Study on Epidemic Warm Diseases with dampness of "OnByeongJoByeon" ("온병조변(溫病條辨)" 습류온병(濕類溫病)에 대한 고찰)

  • Park, Mi Sun;Kim, Yeong Mok
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.803-811
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    • 2012
  • Oriental Medicine always attach great importance to the damp diseases. Dampness is related with many organs and many clinical diseases. The cause and the location of the damp disease, nature of the symptoms, combination with other pathogenic factors are very diverse. This article analyzed the concept, cause of disease, pathogenesis, characteristic of symptoms, treatment method and prescriptions of Epidemic Warm Diseases of dampness syndrome and cases of dampness-heat diseases based on the theories of Epidemic Warm Diseases and found that theories of Epidemic Warm Diseases have very wide area of application. Dampness is classified into cold-dampness and dampness-heat by combination of heat or cold. The dampness syndrome is related with organs such as lung, spleen, kidney, triple energizers and bladder, and affects liver and heart. The basic treatment methods are dispelling dampness turbidity and diffusing qi movement. The detail treatment methods are spreading lung qi with lightness and resolving dampness and excreting turbidity in upper energizer, opening and dipping down with pungent-bitter and diffusing qi movement and strengthening the spleen and stomach in the middle energizer, draining dampness with bland in the lower energizer. Warming Yang is the main method of treatment for cold-dampness and clearing heat is for dampness-heat with the assistant methods such as resolving dampness and promoting the flow of qi. 5. Acute fever, virus diseases, epidemic diseases among modern diseases are much related with the dampness-heat syndrome.

Neighborhood coreness algorithm for identifying a set of influential spreaders in complex networks

  • YANG, Xiong;HUANG, De-Cai;ZHANG, Zi-Ke
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.2979-2995
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, there has been an increasing number of studies focused on identifying a set of spreaders to maximize the influence of spreading in complex networks. Although the k-core decomposition can effectively identify the single most influential spreader, selecting a group of nodes that has the largest k-core value as the seeds cannot increase the performance of the influence maximization because the propagation sphere of this group of nodes is overlapped. To overcome this limitation, we propose a neighborhood coreness cover and discount heuristic algorithm named "NCCDH" to identify a set of influential and decentralized seeds. Using this method, a node in the high-order shell with the largest neighborhood coreness and an uncovered status will be selected as the seed in each turn. In addition, the neighbors within the same shell layer of this seed will be covered, and the neighborhood coreness of the neighbors outside the shell layer will be discounted in the subsequent round. The experimental results show that with increases in the spreading probability, the NCCDH outperforms other algorithms in terms of the affected scale and spreading speed under the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and Susceptible-Infected (SI) models. Furthermore, this approach has a superior running time.

Seasonal Prevalence and Abundance of Mosquitoes at the Busan Port (2001~2006)

  • Kim, Mi-Kyeong;Lee, Eun-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the population density of the mosquito species, and to provide the basic data related to vector mosquitoes to manage the possible epidemic diseases. During a 4-year investigation (2001, 2002, 2004, and 2006), we collected the specimens of the mosquitoes at pier no. 1, 3 and 5 of Busan port with light traps from sunset until the next day morning from April to October each year. Through the research, we collected 5,985 mosquito specimens in total and found 7 mosquito species belonging to 3 genera. A total of 1,575, 1,473, 1,478 and 1,459 mosquito specimens were collected in 2001, 2002, 2004 and 2006, respectively. Among them, 5,568 (93.0%) specimens were Culex pipiens pallens, the West Nile virus infection vector, which showed the highest density among the specimens. The population densities of the other species were: 295(4.9%) Culex tritaeniorhynchus, 94(1.5%) Aedes togoi, 12(0.3%) Aedes albopictus, 10(0.2%) Anopheles sinensis, 4(0.1%) Aedes vexans nipponii, 2(0.1%) Culex inatomii. The monthly abundance of mosquitoes from July through September showed the highest values. Although it was a general mosquito monitoring study, this study could provide a base for securing the statistical data on spreading epidemic diseases by people infected outside Korea.

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Elementary, Middle, and High School Health Teachers' Countermeasures Against an Outbreak of Pandemic Diseases, Including MERS (초·중·고 보건교사들의 메르스 발생 시 대응)

  • Jun, Eunkyoung;Lee, Gyuyoung
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study aims to examine how elementary, middle and high school health teachers in Gyeonggi province react to infectious disease like MERS. Methods: This is a descriptive study using a convenience sample of 1,267 school health teachers. Results: When MERS was an epidemic, school health teachers who took the 'leading' role were 92.4%. A school heath teacher's countermeasures against infectious diseases showed a high score during MERS outbreak (3.81) compared to regular days (3.59). Conclusion: Based on such results, it has been determined that schools need to keep two types of procedures manual, such as 'countermeasures on a regular basis' and 'countermeasures in the event of a pandemic disease outbreak' manual in the staff offices so that anyone can view them at any time. It is necessary to prepare regulations to strengthen their authority so that school health teachers can take the role of control tower, in a professional capacity, when communicable disease is spreading. In order to prevent any confusion and chaos, there should be a unitary reporting system at each school when dealing with an epidemic. School health teachers need to get continuous training to reinforce their abilities to react to communicable diseases.

A Hybrid Modeling Method for RCS Worm Simulation (RCS 웜 시뮬레이션을 위한 Hybrid 모델링 방법)

  • Kim, Jung-Sik;Park, Jin-Ho;Cho, Jae-Ik;Choi, Kyoung-Ho;Im, Eul-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2007
  • Internet becomes more and more popular, and most companies and institutes use web services for e-business and many other purposes. With the explosion of Internet, the occurrence of cyber terrorism has grown very rapidly. Simulation is one of the most widely used method to study internet worms. But, it is quite challenging to simulate very large-scale worm attacks because of various reasons. In this paper, we propose a hybrid modeling method for RCS(Random Constant Spreading) worm simulation. The proposed hybrid model simulates worm attacks by synchronizing modeling network and packet network. So, this model will be both detailed enough to generate realistic packet traffic, and efficient enough to model a worm spreading through the Internet. Moreover, our model have the capability of dynamic updates of the modeling parameters. Finally, we simulate the hybrid model with the CodeRed worm to show validity of our proposed model for RCS worm simulation.

Future Perspectives on New Approaches in Pathogen Detection

  • Li, Peng;Ho, Bow;Ding, Jeak Ling
    • Biomedical Science Letters
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.165-171
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    • 2015
  • Microbial pathogens are responsible for most of the rapidly-spreading deadly infectious diseases against humans. Thus, there is an urgent need for efficient and rapid detection methods for infectious microorganisms. The detection methods should not only be targeted and specific, but they have to be encompassing of potential changes of the pathogen as it evolves and mutates quickly during an epidemic or pandemic. The existing diagnostics such as the antibody-based ELISA immunoassay and PCR methods are too selective and narrowly focused; they are insufficient to capture newly evolved mutant strains of the pathogen. Here, we introduce a fresh perspective on some new technologies, including aptamers and next generation sequencing for pathogen detection. These technologies are not in their infancy; they are reasonably mature and ready, and they hold great promise for unparalleled applications in pathogen detection.

Finding the Information Source by Voronoi Inference in Networks (네트워크에서 퍼진 정보의 근원에 대한 Voronoi 추정방법)

  • Choi, Jaeyoung
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.684-694
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    • 2019
  • Information spread in networks is universal in many real-world phenomena such as propagation of infectious diseases, diffusion of a new technology, computer virus/spam infection in the internet, and tweeting and retweeting of popular topics. The problem of finding the information source is to pick out the true source if information spread. It is of practical importance because harmful diffusion can be mitigated or even blocked e.g., by vaccinating human or installing security updates. This problem has been much studied, where it has been shown that the detection probability cannot be beyond 31% even for regular trees if the number of infected nodes is sufficiently large. In this paper, we study the impact of an anti-information spreading on the original information source detection. We consider an active defender in the network who spreads the anti-information against to the original information simultaneously and propose an inverse Voronoi partition based inference approach, called Voronoi Inference to find the source. We perform various simulations for the proposed method and obtain the detection probability that outperforms to the existing prior work.