• Title/Summary/Keyword: epidemic

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A Dynamic Analysis of Control Measures Against Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in Korea, November 2010 (우리나라 구제역 방역대책의 동태적 분석: 2010년 11월 구제역 감염을 중심으로)

  • Juhn, Jaeho
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.37-62
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to find out some clues about effectiveness and implementing timing of the control measures against Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD) in Korea. To do that, the case of FMD, which broke out during November 2010 in Korea, is examined and constructed as a system dynamics simulation model. The implications of simulation result are as follows. First of all, it is most effective measure to prevent the movement of vehicle from infected farmhouse to other noninfected farmhouses, which are located far away, in the early stage of FMD diffusion. Secondly, earlier vaccination can be adopted as a reliable means to control the epidemic when FMD spreads widely. Finally, reducing the time to vaccinate the whole noninfected livestock is a little help to restrain the additional infections of FMD.

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A Preliminary Study of the Transmission Dynamics of HIV Infection and AIDS (HIV 감염과 AIDS의 전파 특성에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • 정형환;이광우
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 1994
  • This paper describes some preliminary attempts to formulate simple mathematical models of the transmission dynamics of HIV infection in homosexual communities. In conjunction with a survey of the available epidemiological data on HIV infection and the incidence of AIDS, the model is used to assess how various processes influence the course of the initial epidemic following the introduction of the virus. Models of the early stages of viral spread provide crude methods for estimating the basic reproductive rate of the virus, given a knowledge of the incubation period of AIDS and the initial doubling time of the epidemic. More complex models are formulated to assess the influence of heterogeneity in sexual activity. This latter factor is shown to have a major effect on the predicted pattern of the epidemic.

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A Study on Dongwon(東垣)'s Internal Injury Syndrome in the Aspect of the Study on Epidemic Febrile Disease (동원내상증(東垣內傷證)에 대한 온병학적(溫病學的) 해석(解析))

  • Yang, Kwang-Yeol;Baik, You-Sang;Jang, Woo-Chang;Jeong, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Medical classics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.235-255
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    • 2008
  • Byeollyangchamsa has been a key factor in formation of Dongwon(東垣)'s theory on internal injuries. The majority regarded Byeollyangchamsa as just epidemic disease, while Dongwon(東垣) regarded it as internal injuries by improper diet and overstrain. However, an analysis of Dongwon(東垣)'s internal injury syndrome revealed that it was a kind of external affections caused by damp-heat. In particular, heat rather than dampness have developed as the disease got worse. Therefore It can be regarded as the serious syndrome to show the impairment of Gi(氣), blood, fluids and humors for pathogenic fire.

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INTEGRATION OF CONSTRUCTION TECHNIQUES FOR SPECIAL ISOLATION WARDS OF HOSPITAL BUILDINGS

  • Chi-Su Tai ;Sy-Jye Guo
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.627-632
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    • 2005
  • The severe acute respiratory syndrome -SARS virus spreaded rapidly in Asia in 2003 caused a lethal and serious epidemic. Establishing special isolation wards of high-level epidemic prevention has becomes one of the most important tasks of epidemic prevention. Taking the biosafety level of US CDC biology laboratory as an example, the laboratory of the highest level, BL4 and that of the second high level, BL3 are only allowed to handle and research this kind of highly dangerous viruses safely, to ensure the safety of researchers and the surrounding environment.This research aims to study the functions and the design requirements of "special isolation wards", which is equivalent to the high-level biotechnology laboratory, and have an integrated discussion about the design and construction techniques of this kind of wards, expecting to provide a reference for constructing special isolation wards and maintaining operation safely in Taiwan.

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ANALYSIS OF AN SEIQRVS EPIDEMIC DYNAMICS FOR INFECTIOUS VIRAL DISEASE: QUARANTINE AS A CONTROL STRATEGY

  • RAKESH SINGH TOMAR;JOYDIP DHAR;AJAY KUMAR
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.107-121
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    • 2023
  • An epidemic infectious disease model consists of six compartments viz. Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, Quarantine, Recovered, and Virus with nonlinear saturation incidence rate is proposed to know the viral disease dynamics. There exist two biological equilibrium points for the model system. The system's local and global stability is done through Lyapunov's direct method about equilibrium points. The sensitivity analysis has been performed for the basic reproduction number and equilibrium points through the normalized forward sensitivity index. Sensitivity analysis shows that virus growth and quarantine rates are more sensitive parameters. In support of mathematical conclusions, numerical experimentation has been shown.

Agenda Setting between the Public and Government on Weibo: The Case of Shanghai Lockdown during the COVID-19 Epidemic

  • Weiwen Yu
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.39-58
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    • 2023
  • This study examined China's public and government agenda setting in response to the Shanghai lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It employed content analysis, correlation, and Granger's causality tests to analyze 1,717 Weibo posts published by the public and the Shanghai Municipal Government from March 12 to June 1, 2022. The results showed that (1) pandemic statistics were the central attribute in the government agenda, while civil life, community management, and government and policies were the central attributes in the public agenda; (2) the government's agenda unidirectionally influenced the public agenda in terms of government policy attributes; and (3) the government and public agendas reciprocally influenced each other in terms of economic attributes. This study contributed to the existing literature by examining agenda-setting dynamics in a city closure event during the COVID-19 epidemic. It also extended existing methods by modeling implicit relationships between attributes in the public and government agendas.

PREVENTION STRATEGIES TO CONTROL AN EPIDEMIC USING A SEIQHRV MODEL

  • Mohit Soni;Rajesh Kumar Sharma;Shivram Sharma
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.131-158
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    • 2024
  • This study investigates the impact of precautionary measures, such as isolating exposed individuals, wearing masks, and maintaining physical distance, on preventing infectious disease. A deterministic SEIQHRV epidemic model is employed for this purpose. The model's positivity, boundedness, disease-free, and endemic equilibrium points are identified. A sensitivity test assesses the impact of preventive measures on infected classes. Results show that a basic reproduction number less than unity drives disease eradiction, while a higher unity value encourages the adoption of preventive measures.

A Change in the Diagnosis of a Korean Pediatric Outpatients following the COVID-19 Pandemic (코로나19 유행에 따른 한방소아청소년과 외래 환자의 진단명 변화)

  • Seo, Hae Sun;Park, So Hyun;Park, Sul Gi;Lee, Sun Haeng;Lee, Jin Yong
    • The Journal of Pediatrics of Korean Medicine
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.16-33
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    • 2021
  • Objectives This study aims to provide directions for future Korean pediatric medicine treatment and researches by analyzing the characteristics of diseases of Korean pediatric outpatients before and after the COVID-19 epidemic. Methods We analyzed the medical records of 10,868 new patients aged 0-18 who visited the Korean pediatrics at Kyung Hee university hospital from January 1, 2019 to June 30, 2021. All patients were divided into 2 groups; patients who visited from January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2019, before the coronavirus epidemic, and patients who visited from January 1, 2020 to June 30, 2021, after the coronavirus epidemic. Within the two groups, the diagnosis distribution was performed for the entire population, by gender and by age group. Diagnoses were classified as allergy, growth, gastrointestinal, respiratory, general body supplementation, neuropsychiatric, skin, urogenital, musculoskeletal, and other systems. Results According to the comparative analysis results of before and after the COVID epidemic, there was a decreasing trend of diagnoses in relates to allergy, respiratory, urogenital, musculoskeletal system. On the other side, there was an increasing trend in gastrointestinal, general body supplementation, growth, neuropsychiatric, skin and other system. Changes in diagnosis based on gender and age group will be described below. Conclusions This study analyzed the characteristics of diseases of Korean pediatric outpatients before and after the COVID-19 epidemic, and suggested the direction of future Korean medicine treatment and researches for pediatrics. Also, this study aimed to propose proper treatments for children by showing the role of Korean pediatric medicine related to growth and development of children during the epidemic. However, this study has limitations such as failure to track the long-term impact of COVID-19. Thus, long term follow-up studies are needed to show the effect of COVID-19 on Korean pediatric medicine.

STABILITY OF A TWO-STRAIN EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH AN AGE STRUCTURE AND MUTATION

  • Wang, Xiaoyan;Yang, Junyuan;Zhang, Fengqin
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.30 no.1_2
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    • pp.183-200
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    • 2012
  • A two-strain epidemic model with an age structure mutation and varying population is studied. By means of the spectrum theory of bounded linear operator in functional analysis, the reproductive numbers according to the strains, which associates with the growth rate ${\lambda}^*$ of total population size are obtained. The asymptotic stability of the steady states are obtained under some sufficient conditions.