• Title/Summary/Keyword: energy scenario

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Comparison of the Applicability of Bayesian Filters for System Identification of Sudden Structural Damage (급격한 구조손상탐지를 위한 베이지안 필터 적용가능성 비교 검토 연구)

  • Se-Hyeok Lee;Minkyu Kim;Sang-ri Yi
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.283-293
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    • 2024
  • In this study, advanced unscented Kalman filter (UKF) and particle filter (PF) implementations are introduced and applied to perform system identification (SI) for sudden structural damage induced by seismic loading. These two methods are then compared to validate their applicability to SI tasks. For this validation, the Bouc- Wen model is used to simulate the nonlinear shear-building response, and an adaptive rule (i.e., an adaptive tracking method) is applied to the two filter methods to improve their tracking performance during sudden changes in system properties. When the original UKF and PF are applied to an earthquake scenario, both methods fail to estimate the damage initiation time and post-damage parameter values. After applying the adaptive tracking method, it is found for both methods that although the occurrence time is identified, the estimation of the damage state is still not accurate. To improve the accuracy, an adjusted adaptive tracking method is applied, and the two methods then derive accurate estimates. Finally, when considering the computation time, UKF is promoted as a better choice for practical applications, provided that a proper adaptive tracking method is implemented.

Development of Methodology for Automated Office Room Generation Based on Space Utilization (공간 사용률 기반 오피스 실 생성 자동화 방법론 개발)

  • Song, Yoan;Jang, Jae Young;Cha, Seung Hyun
    • Journal of KIBIM
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2024
  • Many efforts are being made to enhance user productivity and promote collaboration while ensuring the economic efficiency of office buildings. Analyzing space utilization, indicating how users utilize spaces, has been a crucial factor in these efforts. Appropriate space utilization enhances building maintenance and space layout design, reducing unnecessary energy waste and under-occupied spaces. Recognizing the importance of space utilization, there have been several studies to predict space utilization using information about users, activities, and spaces. These studies suggested an ontology of the information and implemented automated activity-space mapping as part of space utilization prediction. Despite the existing studies, there remains a gap in integrating space utilization prediction with automated space layout design. As a foundational study to bridge this gap, our study proposes a novel methodology that automatically generates office rooms based on space utilization optimization. This methodology consists of three modules: Activity-space mapping, Space utilization calculation, and Room generation. The first two modules use data on space types and user activity types as input to calculate and optimize space utilization through requirement-based activity-space mapping. After optimizing the space utilization value within an appropriate range, the number and area of each space type are determined. The Room generation module then automatically generates rooms with optimized areas and numbers. The practical application of the developed methodology is demonstrated, highlighting its effectiveness in fabricated case scenario. By automatically generating rooms with optimal space utilization, our methodology shows potential for expanding to automated generation of optimized space layout design based on space utilization.

A Study on the Effect of the Urban Regeneration Project on the Reduction of Carbon Emission - A Case Study of Jeonju Test-Bed - (도시재생사업 적용에 따른 탄소저감 효과 - 전주TB지역을 대상으로 -)

  • Park, Kiyong;Lee, Sangeun;Park, Heekyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2016
  • This study mainly focuses on urban regeneration project as a countermeasure to resolve climate change issues by analyzing the carbon-reduction effect of Jeonju test-bed cases. First, an urban regeneration project is designed for city, Jeonju by analyzing its environmental problems and potential improvement. Then, carbon emission and reduction amounts are evaluated for different businesses and scenarios. Carbon emission sources are classified according to a standard suggested by IPCC, and the emissions are calculated by various standard methods. The result shows that carbon emission amount in Jeonju test-bed is 102,149 tCO2eq. The fact that 70% of the emission from energy sector originates from buildings implies that urban regeneration projects can concentrate on building portions to effectively reduce carbon emission. It is also projected carbon emission will decrease by 3,826tCo2eq in 2020 compared to 2011, reduction mainly based on overall population and industry shrinkage. When urban regeneration projects are applied to 5 urban sectors (urban environment, land use, green transportation, low carbon energy, and green buildings) total of 10,628tCO2eq is reduced and 4,857tCO2 (=15.47%) when only applied to the green building sector. Moreover, different carbon reduction scenarios are set up to meet each goal of different sectors. The result shows that scenario A, B, and C each has 5%, 11%, and 15% of carbon reduction, respectively. It is recommended to apply scenario B to achieve 11% reduction goal in a long term. Therefore, this research can be a valuable guideline for planning future urban regeneration projects and relative policies by analyzing the present urban issues and suggesting improvement directions.

Operational Ship Monitoring Based on Multi-platforms (Satellite, UAV, HF Radar, AIS) (다중 플랫폼(위성, 무인기, AIS, HF 레이더)에 기반한 시나리오별 선박탐지 모니터링)

  • Kim, Sang-Wan;Kim, Donghan;Lee, Yoon-Kyung;Lee, Impyeong;Lee, Sangho;Kim, Junghoon;Kim, Keunyong;Ryu, Joo-Hyung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.2_2
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    • pp.379-399
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    • 2020
  • The detection of illegal ship is one of the key factors in building a marine surveillance system. Effective marine surveillance requires the means for continuous monitoring over a wide area. In this study, the possibility of ship detection monitoring based on satellite SAR, HF radar, UAV and AIS integration was investigated. Considering the characteristics of time and spatial resolution for each platform, the ship monitoring scenario consisted of a regular surveillance system using HFR data and AIS data, and an event monitoring system using satellites and UAVs. The regular surveillance system still has limitations in detecting a small ship and accuracy due to the low spatial resolution of HF radar data. However, the event monitoring system using satellite SAR data effectively detects illegal ships using AIS data, and the ship speed and heading direction estimated from SAR images or ship tracking information using HF radar data can be used as the main information for the transition to UAV monitoring. For the validation of monitoring scenario, a comprehensive field experiment was conducted from June 25 to June 26, 2019, at the west side of Hongwon Port in Seocheon. KOMPSAT-5 SAR images, UAV data, HF radar data and AIS data were successfully collected and analyzed by applying each developed algorithm. The developed system will be the basis for the regular and event ship monitoring scenarios as well as the visualization of data and analysis results collected from multiple platforms.

$CO_2$ Transport for CCS Application in Republic of Korea (이산화탄소 포집 및 저장 실용화를 위한 대한민국에서의 이산화탄소 수송)

  • Huh, Cheol;Kang, Seong-Gil;Cho, Mang-Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.18-29
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    • 2010
  • Offshore subsurface storage of $CO_2$ is regarded as one of the most promising options to response severe climate change. Marine geological storage of $CO_2$ is to capture $CO_2$ from major point sources, to transport to the storage sites and to store $CO_2$ into the offshore subsurface geological structure such as the depleted gas reservoir and deep sea saline aquifer. Since 2005, we have developed relevant technologies for marine geological storage of $CO_2$. Those technologies include possible storage site surveys and basic designs for $CO_2$ transport and storage processes. To design a reliable $CO_2$ marine geological storage system, we devised a hypothetical scenario and used a numerical simulation tool to study its detailed processes. The process of transport $CO_2$ from the onshore capture sites to the offshore storage sites can be simulated with a thermodynamic equation of state. Before going to main calculation of process design, we compared and analyzed the relevant equation of states. To evaluate the predictive accuracies of the examined equation of states, we compare the results of numerical calculations with experimental reference data. Up to now, process design for this $CO_2$ marine geological storage has been carried out mainly on pure $CO_2$. Unfortunately the captured $CO_2$ mixture contains many impurities such as $N_2$, $O_2$, Ar, $H_{2}O$, $SO_{\chi}$, $H_{2}S$. A small amount of impurities can change the thermodynamic properties and then significantly affect the compression, purification and transport processes. This paper analyzes the major design parameters that are useful for constructing onshore and offshore $CO_2$ transport systems. On the basis of a parametric study of the hypothetical scenario, we suggest relevant variation ranges for the design parameters, particularly the flow rate, diameter, temperature, and pressure.

Estimation of Maximum Typhoon Intensity Considering Climate Change Scenarios and Simulation of Corresponding Storm Surge (기후변화 시나리오에 따른 최대 가능 태풍강도 추정 및 이에 따른 폭풍해일고 양상 모의)

  • Yoon, Jong-Joo;Jun, Ki-Cheon;Shim, Jae-Seol;Park, Kwang-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.292-301
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    • 2012
  • The rise in sea surface temperature (SST) as a global warming enhance overall typhoon activity. We assumed that there exist thermodynamic limits to intensity that apply in the absence of significant interaction between storms and their environment. The limit calculations depend on SST and atmospheric profiles of temperature and moisture. This approach do appear to provide resonable upper bounds on the intensities of observed storms and may even be useful for predicting the change in intensity over a long period time. The maximum storm intensities was estimated through the global warming scenarios from IPCC-AR4 report over the North-East Asia. The result shows stronger intensities according to scenarios for increase of carbon dioxide levels. And storm surge simulations was performed with the typhoons which were combined route of the typhoon Maemi (2003) and intensity as climate change scenarios. The maximum increase of storm surge heights was shown about 29~110 cm (36~65%) regionally. Especially at Masan, the result of simulated maximum surge height exceed the 200 years return period surge.

Development of the Efficiency-Evaluation Model for the Mechanism of CO2 Sequestration in a Deep Saline Aquifer (심부 대염수층 CO2 격리 메커니즘에 관한 효율성 평가 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jung-Gyun;Lee, Young-Soo;Lee, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.55-66
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    • 2012
  • The practical way to minimize the greenhouse gas is to reduce the emission of carbon dioxide. For this reason, CCS(Carbon Capture and Storage) technology, which could reduce carbon dioxide emission, has risen as a realistic alternative in recent years. In addition, the researcher is recently working into ways of applying CCS technologies with deep saline aquifer. In this study, the evaluation model on the feasibility of $CO_2$ sequestration in the deep saline aquifer using ANN(Artificial Neural Network) was developed. In order to develop the efficiency-evaluation model, basic model was created in the deep saline aquifer and sensitivity analysis was performed for the aquifer characteristics by utilizing the commercial simulator of GEM. Based on the sensitivity analysis, the factors and ranges affecting $CO_2$ sequestration in the deep saline aquifer were chosen. The result from ANN training scenario were confirmed $CO_2$ sequestration by solubility trapping and residual trapping mechanism. The result from ANN model evaluation indicated there is the increase of correlation coefficient up to 0.99. It has been confirmed that the developed model can be utilized in feasibility of $CO_2$ sequestration at deep saline aquifer.

A Cost-Benefit Analysis of Emissions Reduction (배기(排氣)가스 배출억제(排出抑制)의 비용(費用)-수익분석(收益分析))

  • Lee, Hong-gue
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.61-87
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    • 1992
  • Reducing the level of greenhouse gas emissions is necessary to mitigate global warming. One of the most feasible methods to reduce emissions would be to conserve energy and substitute fossil fuels. Yet reducing emissions entails huge financial costs, so it is advisable to employ cost-effective economic instruments such as a carbon tax or tradeable emissions permits. Assuming that the proper economic tools will be used in the future, we calculated the optimal level of emissions reduction for Korea. We applied to our cost-benefit analysis Nordhaus' scenario regarding the economic damage from a $3^{\circ}C$ rise in global temperatures, which is the calculated result when the greenhouse gas level doubles. The result of our analysis based on the 1990 data indicates that the optimal level of emissions reduction ranges from 2% to 15 % of current emissions depending on the value of damage parameters. We also found that the amount of emissions must be reduced will increase if action is postponed, when the development of climate engineering technology or more efficient use of energy is expected. In addition, we discussed the advantages and disadvantages of the economic instruments available to implement emissions reduction. Tradeable permits and carbon tax are equivalent in their cost-effectiveness, but have different implications in practice.

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Estimation in a Model for Determining the Amount of Carbon in Soil and Measurement of the Influences of the Specific Factors (농경지 토양탄소량 결정모형 추정 및 요인별 영향력 계측)

  • Suh, Jeong-Min;Cho, Jae-Hwan;Son, Beung-Gu;Kang, Jum-Soon;Hong, Chang-Oh;Kim, Woon-Won;Park, Jeong-Ho;Lim, Woo-Taik;Jin, Kyung-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.1827-1833
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    • 2014
  • This study has been carried out to present the valuation system of soil carbon sequestration potentials of soil in accordance with the new climate change scenarios(RCP). For that, by analyzing variation of soil carbon of the each type of agricultural land use, it aims to develop technology to increase the amount of carbon emissions and sequestration. Among the factors which affects the estimation of determining the soil carbon model and influence power after the measurement on soil organic carbon, under the center of a causal relationship between the explanatory variables this study were investigated. Chemical fertilizers (NPK) decreased with increasing the amount of soil organic carbon and as with the first experimental results, when cultivating rice than pepper, the fact that soil organic carbon content increased has been found out. The higher the carbon dioxide concentration, the higher the amount of organic carbon in the soil and this result is reliable under a 10% significance level. On the other hand, soil organic carbon, humus carbon and hot water extractable carbon has been found out that was not affected the soils depth, sames as the result of the first year. The higher concentration of carbon dioxide, the higher carbon content of humus and hot water extractable carbon content. According to IPCC 2006 Guidelines and the new climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and the measurement results of the total amount of soil organic carbon to the crops due to abnormal climate weather, 1% increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration was found to be small when compared to the growing rate of increasing 0.01058% of organic carbon in the soil.

A Study on Competitiveness and Effect Analysis for Developing a Port Specialized in Northern Sea Route (경쟁력분석에 따른 국내 북극항로 전진기지 구축방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Hee;Lee, Min-Gyu
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 2015
  • Recently, It became possible to transport freights and energy resources via Northern Sea Route(NSR) as global warming has been accelerated. As a result, all countries of the world and Korean local governments have had a struggle to take the advantageous position first in NSR development. However, this extreme competitions might have a negative effect on the national port industry and cause unnecessary social costs and economic losses. Therefore, the main target of this study is to find the most suitable port for NSR using AHP analysis. Most of the data was gained from previous literatures and public statistics and the weight of each factor was calculated by the result of expert survey. As a result, Busan port has the biggest competitiveness, followed by Yeosu Gwangyang, Ulsan and Incheon. From the result, this study suggested 3 possible scenarios. The first scenario specializing Busan port in NSR focuses more on developing the related businesses such as repair of ships, refueling, ship stores trade than attracting the more cargoes. the second is a strategy to make Ulsan port as a hub for energy resources, especially liquid cargo on NSR. the last is a mixed one to assign suitable roles to the ports according to their competitive capabilities.