• Title/Summary/Keyword: employment prediction model

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Development of the Machine Learning-based Employment Prediction Model for Internship Applicants (인턴십 지원자를 위한 기계학습기반 취업예측 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun Soo;Kim, Sunho;Kim, Do Hyun
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.138-143
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    • 2022
  • The employment prediction model proposed in this paper uses 16 independent variables, including self-introductions of M University students who applied for IPP and work-study internship, and 3 dependent variable data such as large companies, mid-sized companies, and unemployment. The employment prediction model for large companies was developed using Random Forest and Word2Vec with the result of F1_Weighted 82.4%. The employment prediction model for medium-sized companies and above was developed using Logistic Regression and Word2Vec with the result of F1_Weighted 73.24%. These two models can be actively used in predicting employment in large and medium-sized companies for M University students in the future.

Designing a Employment Prediction Model Using Machine Learning: Focusing on D-University Graduates (머신러닝을 활용한 취업 예측 모델 설계: D대학교 졸업생을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sungkook;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 2022
  • Recently, youth unemployment, especially the unemployment problem of university graduates, has emerged as a social problem. Unemployment of university graduates is both a pan-national issue and a university-level issue, and each university is making many efforts to increase the employment rate of graduates. In this study, we present a model that predicts employment availability of D-university graduates by utilizing Machine Learning. The variables used were analyzed using up to 138 personal information, admission information, bachelor's information, etc., but in order to reflect them in the future curriculum, only the data after admission works effectively, so by department / student. The proposal was limited to the recommended ability to improve the separate employment rate. In other words, since admission grades are indicators that cannot be improved due to individual efforts after enrollment, they were used to improve the degree of prediction of employment rate. In this research, we implemented a employment prediction model through analysis of the core ability of D-University, which reflects the university's philosophy, goals, human resources awards, etc., and machined the impact of the introduction of a new core ability prediction model on actual employment. Use learning to evaluate. Carried out. It is significant to establish a basis for improving the employment rate by applying the results of future research to the establishment of curriculums by department and guidance for student careers.

Investment, Export, and Exchange Rate on Prediction of Employment with Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine Learning Models (투자와 수출 및 환율의 고용에 대한 의사결정 나무, 랜덤 포레스트와 그래디언트 부스팅 머신러닝 모형 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.281-299
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning methods to forecast the employment. The machine learning methods, such as decision tree, artificial neural network, and ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree were used to forecast the employment in Busan regional economy. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the forecasting power of machine learning methods can predict the employment well. Second, the forecasting values for the employment by decision tree models appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees. Third, the predictive power of artificial neural network model, however, does not show the high predictive power. Fourth, the ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree model show the higher predictive power. Thus, since the machine learning method can accurately predict the employment, we need to improve the accuracy of forecasting employment with the use of machine learning methods.

Prediction for the Spatial Distribution of Occupational Employment by Applying Markov Chain Model (마르코프 체인 모형을 이용한 직종별 취업자의 공간적 분포 변화 예측)

  • Park, So Hyun;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.525-539
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    • 2016
  • This study attempts to predict the changes in the spatial distribution of occupational employment in Korea by applying Markov Chain Model. For the purpose we analyze the job-related migration pattern and estimate the transition probability with the last six years job-related migration data. By applying the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation based on the transition probability, we predict the changes in the spatial distribution of occupational employment for the next ten years. The result reveals that the employment of professional jobs is predicted to increase at every city and region except Seoul, while the employment of elementary labor jobs is predicted to increase slightly in Seoul. In particular, Gangwon-do and Chuncheongdo are predicted to increase in the employment of all occupational jobs.

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Prediction on Busan's Gross Product and Employment of Major Industry with Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Model (로지스틱 회귀모형과 머신러닝 모형을 활용한 주요산업의 부산 지역총생산 및 고용 효과 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.69-88
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to predict Busan's regional product and employment using the logistic regression models and machine learning models. The following are the main findings of the empirical analysis. First, the OLS regression model shows that the main industries such as electricity and electronics, machine and transport, and finance and insurance affect the Busan's income positively. Second, the binomial logistic regression models show that the Busan's strategic industries such as the future transport machinery, life-care, and smart marine industries contribute on the Busan's income in large order. Third, the multinomial logistic regression models show that the Korea's main industries such as the precise machinery, transport equipment, and machinery influence the Busan's economy positively. And Korea's exports and the depreciation can affect Busan's economy more positively at the higher employment level. Fourth, the voting ensemble model show the higher predictive power than artificial neural network model and support vector machine models. Furthermore, the gradient boosting model and the random forest show the higher predictive power than the voting model in large order.

Development of Prediction Model for Churn Agents -Comparing Prediction Accuracy Between Pattern Model and Matrix Model- (대리점 이탈예측모델 개발 - 동적모델(Pattern Model)과 정적모델(Matrix Model)의 예측적중률 비교 -)

  • An, Bong-Rak;Lee, Sae-Bom;Roh, In-Sung;Suh, Yung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.221-234
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The Purpose of this study is to develop a model for predicting agent churn group in the cosmetics industry. We develope two models, pattern model and matrix model, which are compared regarding the prediction accuracy of churn agents. Finally, we try to conclude if there is statistically significant difference between two models by empirical study. Methods: We develop two models using the part of RFM(Recency, Frequency, Monetary) method which is one of customer segmentation method in traditional CRM study. In order to ensure which model can predict churn agents more precisely between two models, we used CRM data of cosmetics company A in China. Results: Pattern model and matrix model have been developed. we find out that there is statistically significant differences between two models regarding the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: Pattern model and matrix model predict churn agents. Although pattern model employed the trend of monetary mount for six months, matrix model that used the amount of sales per month and the duration of the employment is better than pattern model in prediction accuracy.

Optimizing Employment and Learning System Using Big Data and Knowledge Management Based on Deduction Graph

  • Vishkaei, Behzad Maleki;Mahdavi, Iraj;Mahdavi-Amiri, Nezam;Askari, Masoud
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2016
  • In recent years, big data has usefully been deployed by organizations with the aim of getting a better prediction for the future. Moreover, knowledge management systems are being used by organizations to identify and create knowledge. Here, the output from analysis of big data and a knowledge management system are used to develop a new model with the goal of minimizing the cost of implementing new recognized processes including staff training, transferring and employment costs. Strategies are proposed from big data analysis and new processes are defined accordingly. The company requires various skills to execute the proposed processes. Organization's current experts and their skills are known through a pre-established knowledge management system. After a gap analysis, managers can make decisions about the expert arrangement, training programs and employment to bridge the gap and accomplish their goals. Finally, deduction graph is used to analyze the model.

A Study on Prediction of Business Status Based on Machine Learning

  • Kim, Ki-Pyeong;Song, Seo-Won
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.23-27
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    • 2018
  • Korea has a high proportion of self-employment. Many of them start the food business since it does not require high-techs and it is possible to start the business relatively easily compared to many others in business categories. However, the closure rate of the business is also high due to excessive competition and market saturation. Cafés and restaurants are examples of food business where the business analysis is highly important. However, for most of the people who want to start their own business, it is difficult to conduct systematic business analysis such as trade area analysis or to find information for business analysis. Therefore, in this paper, we predicted business status with simple information using Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio program. Experimental results showed higher performance than the number of attributes, and it is expected that this artificial intelligence model will be helpful to those who are self-employed because it can easily predict the business status. The results showed that the overall accuracy was over 60 % and the performance was high compared to the number of attributes. If this model is used, those who prepare for self-employment who are not experts in the business analysis will be able to predict the business status of stores in Seoul with simple attributes.

Study on the Prediction Model for Employment of University Graduates Using Machine Learning Classification (머신러닝 기법을 활용한 대졸 구직자 취업 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Hun;Kim, Tae Hyung
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.287-306
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Youth unemployment is a social problem that continues to emerge in Korea. In this study, we create a model that predicts the employment of college graduates using decision tree, random forest and artificial neural network among machine learning techniques and compare the performance between each model through prediction results. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the data processing was performed, including the acquisition of the college graduates' vocational path survey data first, then the selection of independent variables and setting up dependent variables. We use R to create decision tree, random forest, and artificial neural network models and predicted whether college graduates were employed through each model. And at the end, the performance of each model was compared and evaluated. Findings The results showed that the random forest model had the highest performance, and the artificial neural network model had a narrow difference in performance than the decision tree model. In the decision-making tree model, key nodes were selected as to whether they receive economic support from their families, major affiliates, the route of obtaining information for jobs at universities, the importance of working income when choosing jobs and the location of graduation universities. Identifying the importance of variables in the random forest model, whether they receive economic support from their families as important variables, majors, the route to obtaining job information, the degree of irritating feelings for a month, and the location of the graduating university were selected.

A Machine Learning-Based Vocational Training Dropout Prediction Model Considering Structured and Unstructured Data (정형 데이터와 비정형 데이터를 동시에 고려하는 기계학습 기반의 직업훈련 중도탈락 예측 모형)

  • Ha, Manseok;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2019
  • One of the biggest difficulties in the vocational training field is the dropout problem. A large number of students drop out during the training process, which hampers the waste of the state budget and the improvement of the youth employment rate. Previous studies have mainly analyzed the cause of dropouts. The purpose of this study is to propose a machine learning based model that predicts dropout in advance by using various information of learners. In particular, this study aimed to improve the accuracy of the prediction model by taking into consideration not only structured data but also unstructured data. Analysis of unstructured data was performed using Word2vec and Convolutional Neural Network(CNN), which are the most popular text analysis technologies. We could find that application of the proposed model to the actual data of a domestic vocational training institute improved the prediction accuracy by up to 20%. In addition, the support vector machine-based prediction model using both structured and unstructured data showed high prediction accuracy of the latter half of 90%.