• Title/Summary/Keyword: efficient market

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Development of Korean Market Simulator (II) (한국형 Market Simulator 개발(II))

  • Hur, Jin;Kang, Dong-Joo;Kook, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Tai-Hyun;Lee, Jeong-Ho;Moon, Young-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.655-657
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    • 2003
  • Power system deregulation has become a worldwide trend which introduces competition in electric power system in order to realize efficient electricity production and investment. In this regards, it is very important to develop an electricity market simulator so that it is to analyze competitive market and train market operators and market participants. In this paper, we implement the algorithm of determining market clearing price as the first module of unique market simulator. The adopted and suggested algorithm is verified by modelling a simple market with a commercial market simulator(PLEXOS).

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Seasonality and Long-Term Nature of Equity Markets: Empirical Evidence from India

  • SAHOO, Bibhu Prasad;GULATI, Ankita;Ul HAQ, Irfan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.741-749
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    • 2021
  • The research paper endeavors to investigate the presence of seasonal anomalies in the Indian equity market. It also aims to verify the notion that equity markets are for long-term investors. The study employs daily index data of Sensex, Bombay Stock Exchange, to understand its volatility for the period ranging from January 2001 to August 2020. To analyze the seasonal effects in the stock market of India, multiple regression techniques along with descriptive analysis, graphical analysis and various statistical tests are used. The study also employs the rolling returns at different time intervals in order to understand the underlying risks and volatility involved in equity returns. The results from the analysis reveal that daily and monthly seasonality is not present in Sensex returns i.e., investors cannot earn abnormal returns by timing their investment decisions. Hence, the major finding of this study is that the Indian stock market performance is random, and the returns are efficient. The other major conclusion of the research is that the equity returns are profitable in the long run providing investors a hope that they can make gains and compensate for the loss in one period by a superior performance in some other periods.

Analysis of the Stock Market Network for Portfolio Recommendation (주식 포트폴리오 추천을 위한 주식 시장 네트워크 분석)

  • Lee, Yun-Jung;Woo, Gyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.48-58
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    • 2013
  • The stock market is constantly changing and sometimes a slump or a sudden rising in stocks happens without any special reason. So the stock market is recognized as a complex system and it is hard to predict the change on stock prices. In this paper we consider the stock market to a network consisting of stocks. We analyzed the dynamics of the Korean stock market network and evaluated the changing of the correlation between shares consisting of the time series data of 137 companies belong to KOSPI200. Our analysis shows that the stock prices tend to plummet when the correlation between stocks is very high. We propose a method for recommending the stock portfolio based on the analysis of the stock market network. To show the effectiveness of the recommended portfolio, we conducted the simulated stock investment and compared the recommended portfolio with the efficient portfolio proposed Markowitz. According to the experiment results, the rate of return of the portfolio is about 10.6% which is about 3.7% and 5.6% higher than the average rate of return of the efficient portfolio and KOSPI200 respectively.

The Impact of Global Financial Crisis 2008 on Amman Stock Exchange

  • Ajlouni, Moh'd Mahmoud;Mehyaoui, Wafaa;Hmedat, Waleed
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2012
  • The effect of the September 2008 global financial crisis weighed heavily on stock markets around the world. The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the impact of the crisis on Amman Stock Exchange. Event study methodology has been adopted on a period of 24 months, from January 2008 to December 2009. Monthly average abnormal returns across a sample of 52 industrial and services companies have been tested separately. The results reveal that Amman Stock Exchange experienced significant negative abnormal returns in the fourth quarter of the year 2008. However, there were no significant abnormal returns observed thereafter. This means that Amman Stock Exchange managed to overcome its adverse consequences. Since the event study tests for market efficiency, as well, the results show that Amman Stock Exchange reaction is consistent with the semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis.

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Developing an Efficient Promotion Strategy for a Multi-Product Retail Store : A Bayesian Network Application (빅데이터를 통한 대형할인매장 촉진활동 전략 분석 : 베이지언 네트워크기법 응용을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Bumsoo
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.15-33
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    • 2017
  • This paper considers a Bayesian Network analysis for understanding the heterogeneous cross-category effects of different promotion activities and developing an efficient overall promotion strategy for a large retail store. More specifically we differentiate price reduction promotion and floor promotion and study their heterogeneous effect on consumer purchase behavior under a market basket setting. We then utilize Bayesian networks in identifying complex association structure in market basket dataset by analyzing the effects of different promotional activities and also include the effects of time, family income and size. We find from our Bayesian network analysis that the dominant cross-category promotion effect of price promotion is the indirect effect whereas the dominant cross-category promotion effect of floor promotion is the direct effect. Also, among the demographic variables we find that family size of the household is linked with more product categories compared to income and see that there are differences in the extent of the effects by product category. Finally, we also show the existence of products acting as a network hub and how they can be utilized by retailers faced with a limited marketing budget and suggest a more efficient promotion strategy.

Market Orientation Types and Investment Performance: Evidence from Multinational Manufacturers in China (중국진출 다국적제조기업의 현지시장지향성 유형과 투자성과에 대한 실증분석)

  • Song Gao;Sung-Hoon Lim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.145-161
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    • 2022
  • For multinational manufacturers, China is an attractive consumer market, but the unique attributes and tastes of Chinese customers present challenges in achieving desired investment performance. In this paper, the influence (mediating function) of consumer-centered market orientation adopted as a strategic means by multinational companies entering China on investment performance was examined utilizing samples collected through questionnaires and statical analysis through structural equation models. This paper, based on value chain and product attributes, divided market orientation into two types: production impacted market orientation and service impacted market orientation. The empirical analysis results of 233 samples showed that, service impacted market orientation with downstream activities and support service (as a variable) has a greater impact on investment performance than production impacted market orientation with upstream activities and product attributes. This indicates to managers that focusing on service impacted market orientation when implementing consumer-centered marketing strategies in the Chinese local market is an efficient/effective localization strategy to increase expected investment performance.

The analysis on the trading system of garlic at the wholesale market (마늘의 도매시장 거래제도 분석)

  • Kim, Soung-Hun;Park, Ji-Eun;Kim, Dae-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.291-297
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    • 2012
  • Garlic is one of the most important seasoning vegetables in Korea. Basically, Korea has two trading systems for garlic at the wholesale market, and academic discussions about this trading system couldn't get the conclusion. The purpose of this paper is to review the marketing structure of garlic and to analyze the trading systems for garlic at the wholesale market through survey analysis. The results of studies present a few findings: First, marketers for garlic show different preferences about the trading systems of garlic at the wholesale market. Especially, the size of volume of trading garlic affects the preference of the trading system. Second, the trading systems have various problems, which are claimed by marketers. These problems need to be improved for the more efficient trading at the wholesale market. Third, the current trading systems for garlic at the wholesale market need to be continued, and they should freely selected by marketers.

Analysis of Mechanism Design for the Optimal Bilateral Contract in the Competitive Electricity Market (경쟁적 전력시장에서의 적정 직거래 계약가격 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Koo-Hyung;Roh, Jae-Hyung;Cho, Ki-Seon;Kim, Hak-Man
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.263-267
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    • 2010
  • Although electricity market structures may be different from each country, they have a long-term forward market and a short-term spot market in general. Particularly, a bilateral contract transacted at a long-term forward market fixes the electricity price between a genco and a customer so that the customer can avoid risk due to price-spike in the spot market. The genco also can make an efficient risk-hedging strategy through the bilateral contract. In this paper, we propose a new mechanism for deriving the optimal bilateral contract price using game theory. This mechanism can make the customer reveal his true willingness to purchase so that an adequate bilateral contract price is derived.

Estimating Minimum Efficient Scale of Korean Mobile Telecom Market: Relation between Cost per Minute and Traffic Volume (국내이동통신서비스 시장에서의 최소효율규모 추정: 분당원가와 통화량 간 관계분석을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Sae-Sol;Han, Sung-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38C no.10
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    • pp.867-873
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    • 2013
  • Competition policy for growth and activation of market should consider structural nature of relevant industry closely. In this viewpoint, whether domestic MNOs(mobile network operators) are competing while securing the effect of scale economies and maximum production efficiency is an important element when looking for competition policy means of domestic mobile communication market. With this, present study analyzed level of MES (Minimum Efficient Scale) and whether achieving them or not through investigating the relation between the cost per minute and call traffic of domestic MNOs. This analysis is differentiated from existing econometric studies entailing several assumptions by enhancing a reality reflection through directly deducing of cost curve using verified data(cost per minute and call traffic). As a result of analysis, the levels of minimum efficient scale were different from each other between domestic MNOs, and an incumbent MNO(SKT) accomplished minimum efficient scale while entrant MNOs(KT and LGU+) could not yet reach minimum efficient scale level. This result demonstrates a gap exists in production efficiency level among domestic MNOs and implies that the policy to alleviate the gap among operators is required when establishing competitive policy in the future.

THE EXISTENCE OF THE RISK-EFFICIENT OPTIONS

  • Kim, Ju Hong
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2014
  • We prove the existence of the risk-efficient options proposed by Xu [7]. The proof is given by both indirect and direct ways. Schied [6] showed the existence of the optimal solution of equation (2.1). The one is to use the Schied's result. The other one is to find the sequences converging to the risk-efficient option.