• 제목/요약/키워드: economic conditions

검색결과 2,595건 처리시간 0.027초

컴퓨터 시뮬레이션에 의한 경제인구 예측 통계 모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Estimation of Economic Population Statistical Model by Computer Simulation)

  • 정관희
    • 한국컴퓨터산업학회논문지
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    • 제4권12호
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    • pp.1033-1042
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문에서는 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션에 의한 인구예측을 통계모형을 써서 연구하였고 더불어 경제인구를 예측하였다. 과거의 인구를 토대로 하여 미래의 인구를 예측한다는 것은 불확실한 상황이 많이 개입되어 있기 때문에 매우 어려운 문제이다. 또한 예측이 되었다 하더라도 급변하는 세계적인 문화 및 국내의 문화적인 정서의 흐름에 따라서 많은 변화가 예상되므로 경제인구 예측을 적중하기에는 더 더욱 어려운 것이다. 인구 예측에 있어서 과거의 자료인즉, 1960년도부터 1990년도까지 센서스 인구를 이용하여 Box & Jenkins가 개발한 ARIMA 모형을 써서 미래 2021년도까지의 인구를 각각 표나 부록에 나타난 것처럼 경제인구를 예측하였다.

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Priorities, Mechanisms and Prospects on Industrial Clusters and Special Economic Zones in Kazakhstan

  • Yespayev, Saken S.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2014
  • This research investigates the characteristics, principles, advantages, factors and problems of cluster development in Kazakhstan, and identifies the prerequisites, conditions and stages of organizing clusters on the framework of special economic zones. In this research, we used methods, which will allow analyzing of the organization industrial clusters in special economic zones in Kazakhstan. The author studied international experience of cluster development and the efficiency of the use of the model of the "rhombus effect" with account the specific features of interaction between the participants of the cluster, analysis of the legal framework for the formation and development of clusters. These have been identified as the more important or strategically necessary clusters in Kazakhstan: innovation-technological cluster, innovation-education cluster, innovation-petrochemical cluster, innovative-metallurgical cluster, transport and logistics cluster, textile industry cluster, tourism cluster, agro cluster, construction cluster, medical and pharmaceutical cluster. Firstly, the results suggest that the interaction of science, education, business and government in the development and implementation of innovation policy is not sufficiently structured to provide a balanced representation of the interests of the range of various innovative enterprises in Kazakhstan. Secondly, the legal basis of cluster development in Kazakhstan is determined. Need to develop mechanisms for the implementation of promising direction. Thirdly, the clusters can be formed in the existing special economic zones, allowing them to get right to the mass production of high-tech products that are developed.

가중평균자본비용을 이용한 투자 안의 경제성평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Economics Evaluation using Weighted Average Cost of Capital)

  • 김태성;구일섭
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2001
  • The capital cost of the company is one that must be paid to the money owner as the price by using the money. The capital cost according to the source of money supply can be estimated by the expected profit rate undertaken by the use of the capital. But in the area of pre-existent economic evaluation, the evaluation of the company investment has been treated by the profit rate of the capital after considering the repayment conditions of the other's money or the interest. Thus in this study, in case the company makes an investment on various kinds of the capital at the same time, not make use of the capital as a one source, the economic evaluation of an investment should be handled by taking the weighted average cost of capital into consideration in proportion to the constitution of the capital cost by the sources of money supply, Especially, as the cost of the private money is very much connected with the profit rate through the stock market, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) will be applied. This kind of economic evaluation method can be said to have much to do with the Economic Value Added : EVA) as well as to be highly thought as a standard to estimate the company' value recently To certify the usefulness of this approach, the case study of the output of the capital cost will be made for the purse of the economic evaluation of the alternative investment by using the financial statements of a motor company H.

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Strategic Guidelines for The Intensification of Regional Development Under the Impact of Potential-Forming Determinants in the Conditions of Digitalization

  • Tulchinskiy, Rostislav;Chobitok, Viktoriia;Dergaliuk, Marta;Semenchuk, Tetiana;Tarnovska, Iryna
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권8호
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2021
  • The key challenges and problematic aspects of the formation of intellectually and innovation-oriented strategies of regional entities at the present stage of their development are considered. The main tasks that arise in the process of strategizing the potential-forming development of regional economic systems in the context of digitalization are identified. The list of key organizational and economic directions of strategic character of providing intellectual and innovative development of regional economic systems is formed, which includes clustering of centers of high-tech development of regions, creation of creative hubs, development of knowledge infrastructure and improvement of interregional cooperation; a brief description of each of the presented strategic organizational and economic directions is given. Based on the analysis, the key strategic guidelines for the development of regional economic entities in the context of digitalization under the influence of potential-forming determinants, which form the content basis for further processes of strategizing qualitative aspects of development of specific regional entities.

Analysis of Impact of Distribution Tool Railway Transport on The Economic Growth of Azerbaijan

  • AKBULAEV, Nurkhodzha;BAYRAMLI, Gadir
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The purpose of this article is to study the theory of railway transport in Azerbaijan. And also to determine the economic importance of this mode of transport and analyze its relationship with the country's GDP. Research design, data and methodology: This paper studies the theory of railway transport with a focus on the case of Azerbaijan. The economic value of this type of transport is determined, and its relationship with countries' GDP was analyzed. A qualitative model of multiple regressions was developed to characterize the dependence of the GDP of Azerbaijan on the performance of the railway industry. The feasibility of the Gauss-Markov hypotheses was analyzed. Finally, an economic interpretation of the results from the developed model is provided. Results: The results show that the main factors of this dependence are the length of roads and the average monthly salary of employees of the railway industry in Azerbaijan. Conclusions: Therefore, it can be concluded that rail transport contributes to the country's economy. The commencement of active work on the new railway Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway will increase contribution to the economy of Azerbaijan. The development of railway transportation is important for the country's economy, as it will contribute to the development of other sectors in Azerbaijan.

양식장 물김 이송 및 중량 자동측정 시스템 개발의 경제성 분석 연구 (Economic analysis of the loading-unloading and automatic weighing systems in laver aquaculture industry)

  • 김대현;민은비;강태종;황두진
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제59권2호
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    • pp.181-187
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    • 2023
  • Laver aquaculture, which occupies a large proportion in the aquaculture industry in Korea, is still highly dependent on human labor. Therefore, it is necessary to study the development of an automatic system to improve the working environment and increase the efficiency of aquaculture production systems. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the economic feasibility of an improved system in a study for the loading-unloading and automatic weighing systems in laver aquaculture industry. Economic analysis of the developed unloading and automatic weighing system were implemented under various conditions to calculate more accurate benefits and costs. As a result of this study, the economic feasibility was found to be very high in the three models: net present value (NPV), benefit-cost ratio (B/C), internal rate of return (IRR). Moreover, the results of sensitivity analysis showed that the economical efficiency of the automatic loading, unloading, and weighing system in laver aquaculture was very high.

기업경기실사지수 예측에 대한 탐색적 연구: 데이터 마이닝을 이용하여 (An Exploratory Study on the Prediction of Business Survey Index Using Data Mining)

  • 박경보;김미량
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.123-140
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    • 2023
  • In recent times, the global economy has been subject to increasing volatility, which has made it considerably more difficult to accurately predict economic indicators compared to previous periods. In response to this challenge, the present study conducts an exploratory investigation that aims to predict the Business Survey Index (BSI) by leveraging data mining techniques on both structured and unstructured data sources. For the structured data, we have collected information regarding foreign, domestic, and industrial conditions, while the unstructured data consists of content extracted from newspaper articles. By employing an extensive set of 44 distinct data mining techniques, our research strives to enhance the BSI prediction accuracy and provide valuable insights. The results of our analysis demonstrate that the highest predictive power was attained when using data exclusively from the t-1 period. Interestingly, this suggests that previous timeframes play a vital role in forecasting the BSI effectively. The findings of this study hold significant implications for economic decision-makers, as they will not only facilitate better-informed decisions but also serve as a robust foundation for predicting a wide range of other economic indicators. By improving the prediction of crucial economic metrics, this study ultimately aims to contribute to the overall efficacy of economic policy-making and decision processes.

캄보디아 외국인직접투자와 노동환경 (Inward Foreign Direct Investment and Working Conditions in Cambodia)

  • 이승철
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.832-847
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구의 목적은 캄보디아 외국인직접투자 동향 및 제도적 변화와 노동환경 분석을 통해 한국기업의 투자 진출을 위한 전략적 토대를 구축하는데 기여하고자 한다. 2000년대 초반 이후 중국, 2000년대 후반 이후 베트남의 노동비 급상승과 첨단 산업 부문 중심의 투자 인센티브 급증 등으로 섬유 및 의류 부문과 같은 노동집약적 투자 기업들의 입지가 보다 인건비가 저렴한 지역으로 재입지하는 현상이 나타나고 있다. 그 결과, 캄보디아는 기존 투자 지역의 저렴한 인건비와 정책 및 제도적 기반의 입지우위를 상쇄할 수 있는 새로운 투자 대안 지역으로 부상하면서 아시아 경제 지리의 변화(changes in Asian economic geographies)가 나타나고 있다. 이와 더불어 캄보디아 정부는 외국인 투자 기업에 근무하는 노동자들의 근로 여건을 개선하고 고용을 증진하기 위하여 국제노동기구(International Labor Organization: ILO)와 연계하여 두 개의 정책적 노사관계 프로젝트-ILO 민간 부문 모니터링(Better Factory Cambodia: BFC)와 ILO 노동분쟁 해결 프로젝트(Labor Dispute Resolution Project)-를 수행하고 있다. 이 프로젝트는 외국인 투자기업의 국제 노동 규범 준수 여부에 대한 모니터링을 통해 외국인 투자기업이 캄보디아에서 지속적인 공장 운영 여부를 결정할 수 있는 제도로서 역할하기 때문에 외국인 투자기업의 캄보디아 진출 전략을 구축하는데 중요한 분석 대상이 될 뿐 아니라 국제기구와 연계된 캄보디아 정부 정책과 법에 제도적으로 착근되어 있는 기업 전략을 보여준다.

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농가소득(農家所得) 증대(增大)를 위한 한계농지(限界農地)의 효율적(效率的) 이용방안(利用方案) - 농지(農地) 및 환경보존(環境保存)을 중심으로- (A Study on Efficient Utilization of the Idle & Marginal Farm Land for Farm Household Income Increase - With Respect to Conservation of Farm Land and Sustainable Environment -)

  • 임재환
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.110-126
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    • 1995
  • Korean economy has been developed successfully in the course of implementing the five year economic development plans since 1962. The gap of incomes and quality of life between rural and urban area has been widened and it made rural farm laborers drain to urban areas. Therefore the prevailing situation of labor shortage and wage hike in rural area has made farm management deteriorate in recent years. Under the internal and international unfavorable economic conditions, marginal farm land of 66.5 thousand ha has been idled as of end of 1993. The total area outside agricultural development zone with bad farming conditions including irrigation and drainage, and land consolidation for mechanization were estimated at 360.4thousand ha equivalent to 17.5% of the total farm land area in Korea. Considering the topographical conditions of marginal lands, the effective use of marginal lands should be studied from the view point of public interest rather than from the view point of individual economic conditions. Considering the present agricultural economic settings, such as price decrease, unfavourable benefits of farm products, labour shrotage, free trade of farm products and poor physical condition of marginal lands, the institutional and realistical measures for the effective utilization of idle and marginal land should be studied as soon as possible. Detail land use pattern should be surveyed in the areas outside agricultural development zone and have to be classified as orchard farms, grass land, fish culture farms, lawn and ornamental tree farm, sight seeing and leisure farms for urban peoples, special crops production farms and common farms to be developed for farm mechanization. According to the surveyed results, the expected utilization patterns of the idle and marginal lands could be considerd as village common use, farm land base development, leisure farm development, mutual complementary utilization between urban and rural areas, G't purchase and management, credit supply and new extension services, improvement of cropping patterns and sight seeing and leisure farm patterns. For the successful and reasonable management of the marginal lands, the actions such as institutional improvement, prohibition of idle marginal land, enforcement of activities of farm management committee members and land banking system of RDC including development and utilization systems should be included.

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중국 탄소중립 지역별 이행여건 및 산업전략 분석 (Analysis of Regional Implementation Conditions and Industrial Strategies for Carbon Neutrality in China)

  • 전유정;김수한
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.179-207
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화에 대응한 국제사회의 실천과제인 탄소중립이 각국의 국가 미래 발전을 좌우하는 핵심 산업전략으로 옮겨가고 있다. G2의 경제 대국으로 성장한 중국이지만 고탄소 배출의 산업구조로 인해 이 같은 기후변화 글로벌 이슈를 선도하기 어려울 것이라는 일부 관측이 무색하게도, 중국은 탄소중립을 자국 산업경쟁력 강화를 위한 수단으로 활용하고 있다. 중국정부는 탄소중립 달성을 위한 국정 방침과 이를 이행하기 위한 분야별 세부 계획을 수립, 특히 탄소중립 산업전략을 통해 외부로부터의 기후대응 국제규범 외압을 자국 산업구조의 조정과 신산업 육성을 위한 지렛대로 삼고자 한다. 그러나 이 같은 탄소중립 산업전략은 지역별 경제·산업 수준 등 여건에 따라 중점분야 및 집행력에서 차이가 있을 것으로 예상된다. 이 글에서는 중국 지역별 탄소중립 이행여건과 주요 산업정책의 내용 및 특징을 분석한다. 상이한 경제발전 수준과 산업구조 등에 따라 지역별 탄소배출 규모, 배출원, 효율성에 상당한 차이가 있을 수밖에 없다. 이는 중앙으로부터 주어진 탄소중립 목표를 이행하는 데 있어 상이한 초기 조건과 내생적 요소를 부여하게 되며, 이 같은 주어진 구조적 요인들은 각 지역에 유리한 탄소중립 산업전략의 방향과 중점정책의 조성 및 추진을 제약하게 된다. 특히 탄소중립 이행 관련 지방정부의 정책 자율성 정도를 제약함으로써, 중앙-지방 환경거버넌스의 지역별 특징이 나타날 것이다. 이 같은 점은 보다 정확한 중국 탄소중립 향방을 탐색하기 위해서 국가를 단위로 한 총괄적 연구와 더불어 지역별 모니터링이 긴요함을 시사한다.