• 제목/요약/키워드: econometric analysis

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지적측량업무 영향요인 분석을 통한 수요예측모형 연구 (A Study on Demanding forecasting Model of a Cadastral Surveying Operation by analyzing its primary factors)

  • 송명숙
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.477-481
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to provide the ideal forecasting model of cadastral survey work load through the Economeatric Analysis of Time Series, Granger Causality and VAR Model Analysis, it suggested the forecasting reference materials for the total amount of cadastral survey general work load. The main result is that the derive of the environment variables which affect cadastral survey general work load and the outcome of VAR(vector auto regression) analysis materials(impulse response function and forecast error variance decomposition analysis materials), which explain the change of general work load depending on altering the environment variables. And also, For confirming the stability of time series data, we took a unit root test, ADF(Augmented Dickey-Fuller) analysis and the time series model analysis derives the best cadastral forecasting model regarding on general cadastral survey work load. And also, it showed up the various standards that are applied the statistical method of econometric analysis so it enhanced the prior aggregate system of cadastral survey work load forecasting.

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신재생에너지의 확산이 대기오염 배출 저감에 미치는 영향 분석 (Analysis on Impacts of Renewable Energy Promotion on Mitigation of Air Pollution)

  • 배정환;정서림
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed whether the diffusion of new and renewable energy contributed to mitigating emissions of various air pollutants, including particulate matter, using panel econometric models. The theoretical foundation of such econometric models is based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, which assumes an inverted U-shaped relation between national income and environmental pollution, as originally proposed by Grossman and Krueger. We examined whether there are inverted U-, U-shaped, or N-shaped relations between national income and air pollution. We demonstrate that increases in new and renewable energy significantly mitigated emissions of CO, NOX, and PM2.5. Additionally, we included NOX, SOX, PM10, and VOCs as secondary emission sources of PM2.5 and found that emission of PM10 resulted in the highest PM2.5 emissions, followed by NOX and SOX emissions. The impact of new and renewable energy on air pollution varied across regions. Increase of new and renewable energy in the Honam region significantly mitigated CO, NOX, and TSP emissions, while that in the Youngnam and metropolitan areas did not significantly mitigate air pollution overall. There was a U-shaped relationship between air pollution and national income for CO, NOX, PM2.5, and SOX, while an inverted N-shape was observed for PM10.

산업특화가 지역경제의 변동성에 미치는 효과에 관한 연구: 제조업을 대상으로 (The Effects of Industrial Specialization on the Volatility of Regional Economies in Korea: the Case of Manufacturing)

  • 정준호
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.494-506
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 제조업을 대상으로 산업특화, 고용성장, 사업체규모, 경제규모, 산업구조, 수도권과 비수도권의 지역 간 차이 등이 1990~2006년 기간 동안 203개 시군구 제조업 고용성장의 변동성에 미치는 효과에 대한 요인들을 공간계량기법을 활용하여 분석하는 것이다. 특정 제조업에 특화되고 고용성장이 빠른 지역일수록 제조업의 산업구조에 관계없이 지역 고용성장의 변동성이 크지만, 해당지역의 경제규모와 사업체규모가 클수록 그 지역 고용성장의 변동성은 심하지 않다는 회귀분석 결과가 도출되었다. 또한 공간계량기법을 사용한 기존의 해외 연구와는 달리 한 지역 고용성장의 변동성과 그 인근 지역 고용성장의 변동성 간에는 부(-)의 관계가 존재한다는 것을 밝혀내었다.

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사이버비행 요인 파악 및 예측모델 개발: 혼합방법론 접근 (Juvenile Cyber Deviance Factors and Predictive Model Development Using a Mixed Method Approach)

  • 손새아;신우식;김희웅
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.29-56
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    • 2021
  • Purpose Cyber deviance of adolescents has become a serious social problem. With a widespread use of smartphones, incidents of cyber deviance have increased in Korea and both quantitative and qualitative damages such as suicide and depression are increasing. Research has been conducted to understand diverse factors that explain adolescents' delinquency in cyber space. However, most previous studies have focused on a single theory or perspective. Therefore, this study aims to comprehensively analyze motivations of juvenile cyber deviance and to develop a predictive model for delinquent adolescents by integrating four different theories on cyber deviance. Design/methodology/approach By using data from Korean Children & Youth Panel Survey 2010, this study extracts 27 potential factors for cyber deivance based on four background theories including general strain, social learning, social bonding, and routine activity theories. Then this study employs econometric analysis to empirically assess the impact of potential factors and utilizes a machine learning approach to predict the likelihood of cyber deviance by adolescents. Findings This study found that general strain factors as well as social learning factors have positive effects on cyber deviance. Routine activity-related factors such as real-life delinquent behaviors and online activities also positively influence the likelihood of cyber diviance. On the other hand, social bonding factors such as community commitment and attachment to community lessen the likelihood of cyber deviance while social factors related to school activities are found to have positive impacts on cyber deviance. This study also found a predictive model using a deep learning algorithm indicates the highest prediction performance. This study contributes to the prevention of cyber deviance of teenagers in practice by understanding motivations for adolescents' delinquency and predicting potential cyber deviants.

Microfinance and Poverty Alleviation: An Empirical Reflection

  • Mago, Stephen
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to carry out an empirical analysis of the link that exists between microfinance and poverty alleviation. The analysis is driven by literature searches on empirical works done by different researchers in different contexts. Qualitative research methodology was adopted, following a desktop approach. An empirical literature review took a centre stage in this investigation. An analysis of empirical works shows that microfinance enhances poverty alleviation despite the challenges such as the Indian Andhra Pradesh crisis. The paper is limited to a review of empirical sources of literature. A field survey, supported by an econometric analysis would have helped to generate robust results. This paper attempts to bring together the empirical works that were done in different contexts to shed light on the important relationship between microfinance and poverty. Many research works on microfinance depend upon personal anecdotes, thus this present paper attempts to compile the scattered empirical findings on microfinance and poverty alleviation.

Network, Channel, and Geographical Proximity of Knowledge Transfer: The Case of University-Industry Collaboration in South Korea

  • Kwon, Ki-Seok;Jang, Duckhee;Park, Han Woo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.242-262
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    • 2015
  • The relationship between geographical proximity and academics' formal and informal knowledge-transfer activities in the network is analyzed with a mixed research method. With social network analysis as a basis, we have explored the networks between academics and firms in the 16 regions of South Korea. The result shows Seoul and Gyunggi are identified as central nodes, meaning that the academics in other regions tend to collaborate with firms in these regions. An econometric analysis is performed to confirm the localization of knowledge-transfer activities. The intensity of formal channels measured by the number of academic papers is negatively, but significantly associated with the geographical proximity. However, we have not found any significant relationship between the formality of the channels and geographical proximity. Possibly, the regional innovation systems in South Korea are neither big enough nor strong enough to show a localization effect.

정책분석(政策分析)을 위한 산업부문(産業部門) 수급모형(需給模型)과 그 해법(解法) (An Industrial Sector Model Formulation and its Computation for Policy Analysis)

  • 안병훈
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 1978
  • A modeling framework and its computational methodology for an industrial sector of the economy are investigated. The suggested industrial sector model is characterized by a programming (process analysis) representation of a production sector and an econometric estimation of the price sensitive (own and cross-prices) demands. By introducing the price sensitive demands into the process analysis representation of the production sector, it becomes possible to analyze and plan the pricing policy, the optimal production schedules and capacity expansion plans within a single framework. The computational scheme suggested in the report is based on the iterative approach each of which solves a separable convex programming problem.

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Deletion diagnostics in fitting a given regression model to a new observation

  • Kim, Myung Geun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 2016
  • A graphical diagnostic method based on multiple case deletions in a regression context is introduced by using the sampling distribution of the difference between two least squares estimators with and without multiple cases. Principal components analysis plays a key role in deriving this diagnostic method. Multiple case deletions of test statistic are also considered when a new observation is fitted to a given regression model. The result is useful for detecting influential observations in econometric data analysis, for example in checking whether the consumption pattern at a later time is the same as the one found before or not, as well as for investigating the influence of cases in the usual regression model. An illustrative example is given.

의료보험하에서의 의료수요의 가격탄력성에 관한 실증분석 (An Empirical Analysis of Price Elasticity of the Demand for Medical Care Services in Korean National Health Insurance Program)

  • 김춘배;이도성;김한중;손명세
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.450-461
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    • 1995
  • This paper tested by using Micro TSP, an empirical econometric analysis to approve officially a hypothesis of price elasticity of the demand for medical care services in Korean national medical insurance and the economic effect of health care delivery system with time-series datas of Medical Insurance Statistical Yearbook$(1981\sim1993)$. The results suggest that the Korean medical insurance system shows moral hazard due to the change of coinsurance and the economic effect according to intervention of the health care delivery system, but it is different by insurers regardless of the same structure of the medical insurance scheme.

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기초연구지수의 국제비교 (A Study on the International Comparison of Basic Research Capacity Index)

  • 송충한
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents an econometric model for measuring basic research capacity index(BRCI) of each OECD countries and analyses the gap in terms of time lag measured and forecasted in connection with factor analysis and BRCI progress function. Based on the analysis, gross domestic expenditure on R&D(GERD), total R&D personnel higher education expenditure on R&D(HERD) and number of science and technical papers based on SCI are more effective than other factors to BRCI. Also, BRCI progress function shows that 29 years is needed for Korea to catch up the level of German's BRCI of year 1998. But, it's impossible for Korea to catch up US and Japan. Therefore, with restricted scientific resources, Korea's own strategy for strengthening basic research capacity is going to be more important in 21st century.

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