• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2000.11a
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• pp.19-22
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• 2000

In this paper, we present forecasting ozone concentration with decision support system. Forecasting ozone concentration with decision support system is acquired to information from human knowledge and experiment data. Fuzzy clustering method uses the acquisition and dynamic polynomial neural network gives us a good performance for ozone prediction with ability of superior data approximation and self-organization.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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• v.39 no.3
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• pp.18-31
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• 2002

In this study, we introduce a concept of advanced neurofuzzy polynomial networks(ANFPN), a hybrid modeling architecture combining neurofuzzy networks(NFN) and polynomial neural networks(PNN). These networks are highly nonlinear rule-based models. The development of the ANFPN dwells on the technologies of Computational Intelligence(Cl), namely fuzzy sets, neural networks and genetic algorithms. NFN contributes to the formation of the premise part of the rule-based structure of the ANFPN. The consequence part of the ANFPN is designed using PNN. At the premise part of the ANFPN, NFN uses both the simplified fuzzy inference and error back-propagation learning rule. The parameters of the membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted with the use of genetic optimization. As the consequence structure of ANFPN, PNN is a flexible network architecture whose structure(topology) is developed through learning. In particular, the number of layers and nodes of the PNN are not fixed in advance but is generated in a dynamic way. In this study, we introduce two kinds of ANFPN architectures, namely the basic and the modified one. Here the basic and the modified architecture depend on the number of input variables and the order of polynomial in each layer of PNN structure. Owing to the specific features of two combined architectures, it is possible to consider the nonlinear characteristics of process system and to obtain the better output performance with superb predictive ability. The availability and feasibility of the ANFPN are discussed and illustrated with the aid of two representative numerical examples. The results show that the proposed ANFPN can produce the model with higher accuracy and predictive ability than any other method presented previously.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.172.6-172
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• 2001

In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting, The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. The results show that the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by learning methods ...

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.07d
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• pp.2030-2032
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• 2001

In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting. The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. Results show that both networks can be trained to predict the index. And the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.06a
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• pp.1101-1106
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• 2005

The purpose of this study was to develop a process management system to manage ingot fabrication and the quality of the ingot. The ingot is the first manufactured material of wafers. Operating data (trace parameters) were collected on-line but quality data (measurement parameters) were measured by sampling inspection. The quality parameters were applied to evaluate the quality. Thus, preprocessing was necessary to extract useful information from the quality data. First, statistical methods were employed for data generation, and then modeling was accomplished, using the generated data, to improve the performance of the models. The function of the models is to predict the quality corresponding to the control parameters. The dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) was used for data modeling that used the ingot fabrication data.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.616-628
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• 2000

In this paper, we present the modeling of the ozone prediction system using Neuro-Fuzzy approaches. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, the modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and the results of prediction is not a good performance so far. The Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network(DPNN) which employs a typical algorithm of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system. The structure of the final model is compact and the computation speed to produce an output is faster than other modeling methods. In addition to DPNN, this paper also includes a Fuzzy Logic Method for modeling of ozone prediction system. The results of each modeling method and the performance of ozone prediction are presented. The proposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon Neuro-Fuzzy approaches gives us a good performance for ozone prediction in high and low ozone concentration with the ability of superior data approximation and self organization.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2002.12a
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• pp.195-198
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• 2002

고농도오존이 발생되는 원인과 환경적 요인의 상호관계를 모델링하기 위해 신경회로 망과 같은 지능제어 기법들이 많이 적용되어 왔다 분석과 모델링을 위해 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 최적화 방법을 적용하기도 하지만, 고농도 오존이 발생되는 메커니즘이 매우 복잡하고, 비선형적이며, 패턴파악이 어렵기 때문에 고농도 오존의 예측 모델링에는 여전히 문제점이 있다 따라서 본 논문에서는 신뢰수준과 신뢰구간을 이용하여 초농도 오존을 예측할 수 있는 모델링 방법을 서술하였다 예측값의 신뢰수준의 평가는 예측에 대한 실측값을 구하여 신뢰구간내의 데이터의 개수를 파악함으로써 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있다. 또한 이 테스트는 우리가 가지고 있지 않은 데이터에 대한 유효성을 평가하는데 적용될 수 있다 그리고 본 논문에서는 GMDH(Group Method of data handling)의 전형적인 알고리즘에 바탕을 두고 있는 DPNN(Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network)를 이용하여 예측 모델을 구성하였다. DPNN은 데이터 해석이 용이하고 비선형적인 동적 시스템 예측에 유용하게 적용될 수 있는 장점을 가지고 있다.

• International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.372-381
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• 2006

The purpose of this study was to develop a process management system to manage ingot fabrication and improve ingot quality. The ingot is the first manufactured material of wafers. Trace parameters were collected on-line but measurement parameters were measured by sampling inspection. The quality parameters were applied to evaluate the quality. Therefore, preprocessing was necessary to extract useful information from the quality data. First, statistical methods were used for data generation. Then, modeling was performed, using the generated data, to improve the performance of the models. The function of the models is to predict the quality corresponding to control parameters. Secondly, rule extraction was performed to find the relation between the production quality and control conditions. The extracted rules can give important information concerning how to handle the process correctly. The dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and decision tree were applied for data modeling and rule extraction, respectively, from the ingot fabrication data.