• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
• /
• 제3권1호
• /
• pp.7-12
• /
• 2003

In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used the neural network models for the stock market forecasting. The KOSPI 200 (Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) is modeled by using different neural networks and fuzzy logic. In this paper, the neural network, the dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and the fuzzy logic employed for the prediction of the KOSPI 200. The prediction results are compared by the root mean squared error (RMSE) and scatter plot, respectively. The results show that the performance of the fuzzy system is little bit worse than that of the DPNN but better than that of the neural network. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by optimization methods.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 G
• /
• pp.2863-2865
• /
• 1999

In this paper we present the modeling of ozone prediction system using polynomial neural network. The Polynomial Neural Network is a useful tool for data learning, nonlinear function estimation and prediction of dynamic system. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, nonstationary. The purposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon a polynomial neural network gives us a good performance for ozone prediction with ability of superior data approximation.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
• /
• 제7권3호
• /
• pp.65-71
• /
• 1997

With the emergence of neural network, there is a revived interest in identification of nonlinear systems. So in this paper, to identify unknown nonlinear systems dynamically we propose DPNN(Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network) using GMDH (Group Method of Data Handling) algorithm. The dynamic system identification using GMDH consists of applying a set of inputloutput data to train the network by dynamically computing the necessary coeffici1:nt sets. Then, MRAC(Mode1 Reference Adaptive Control) is designed to control nonlinear systems using DPNN. In the result, we can see that the modelling and control using DPNN work well by computer simulation.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
• /
• pp.368-368
• /
• 2000

In this paper, we present forecasting ozone concentration with decision support system. Since the mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and results of prediction are not good performance so far. Forecasting ozone concentration with decision support system is acquired to information from human knowledge and experiment data. Fuzzy clustering method uses the acquisition and dynamic polynomial neural network gives us a good performance for ozone prediction with ability of superior data approximation and self-organization.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
• /
• pp.2762-2764
• /
• 2001

In this study, we introduce and investigate a class of dynamic perceptron architectures, discuss a comprehensive design methodology and carry out a series of numeric experiments. The proposed dynamic perceptron architectures are called as Polynomial Neural Networks(PNN). PNN is a flexible neural architecture whose topology is developed through learning. In particular, the number of layers of the PNN is not fixed in advance but is generated on the fly. In this sense, PNN is a self-organizing network. PNN has two kinds of networks, Polynomial Neuron(FPN)-based and Fuzzy Polynomial Neuron(FPN)-based networks, according to a polynomial structure. The essence of the design procedure of PN-based Self-organizing Polynomial Neural Networks(SOPNN) dwells on the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) [1]. Each node of the SOPNN exhibits a high level of flexibility and realizes a polynomial type of mapping (linear, quadratic, and cubic) between input and output variables. FPN-based SOPNN dwells on the ideas of fuzzy rule-based computing and neural networks. Simulations involve a series of synthetic as well as experimental data used across various neurofuzzy systems. A detailed comparative analysis is included as well.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 대한전기학회 2005년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
• /
• pp.322-324
• /
• 2005

In this paper, we introduce the advanced Self-Organizing Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network based on optimized FPN by evolutionary algorithm and discuss its comprehensive design methodology involving mechanisms of genetic optimization, especially genetic algorithms (GAs). The proposed model gives rise to a structurally and parametrically optimized network through an optimal parameters design available within Fuzzy Polynomial Neuron(FPN) by means of GA. Through the consecutive process of such structural and parametric optimization, an optimized and flexible the proposed model is generated in a dynamic fashion. The performance of the proposed model is quantified through experimentation that exploits standard data already used in fuzzy modeling. These results reveal superiority of the proposed networks over the existing fuzzy and neural models.

• International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
• /
• 제1권3호
• /
• pp.321-331
• /
• 2003

Experimental software datasets describing software projects in terms of their complexity and development time have been the subject of intensive modeling. A number of various modeling methodologies and modeling designs have been proposed including such approaches as neural networks, fuzzy, and fuzzy neural network models. In this study, we introduce the concept of the Rule-based fuzzy polynomial neural networks (RFPNN) as a hybrid modeling architecture and discuss its comprehensive design methodology. The development of the RFPNN dwells on the technologies of Computational Intelligence (CI), namely fuzzy sets, neural networks, and genetic algorithms. The architecture of the RFPNN results from a synergistic usage of RFNN and PNN. RFNN contribute to the formation of the premise part of the rule-based structure of the RFPNN. The consequence part of the RFPNN is designed using PNN. We discuss two kinds of RFPNN architectures and propose a comprehensive learning algorithm. In particular, it is shown that this network exhibits a dynamic structure. The experimental results include well-known software data such as the NASA dataset concerning software cost estimation and the one describing software modules of the Medical Imaging System (MIS).

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
• /
• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
• /
• pp.191-194
• /
• 2001

The ozone forecasting systems have many problems because the mechanism of the ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary. Also, the results of prediction are not a good performance so far, especially in the high-level ozone concentration. This paper describes the modeling method of the ozone prediction system using neuro-fuzzy approaches and fuzzy clustering. The dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) based upon a typical algorithm of GMDH (group method of data handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
• /
• 제53권8호
• /
• pp.551-560
• /
• 2004

In this paper, we propose a new architecture of Self-Organizing Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks (SOFPNN) that is based on a genetically optimized multilayer perceptron with fuzzy polynomial neurons (FPNs) and discuss its comprehensive design methodology involving mechanisms of genetic optimization, especially genetic algorithms (GAs). The proposed SOFPNN gives rise to a structurally optimized structure and comes with a substantial level of flexibility in comparison to the one we encounter in conventional SOFPNNs. The design procedure applied in the construction of each layer of a SOFPNN deals with its structural optimization involving the selection of preferred nodes (or FPNs) with specific local characteristics (such as the number of input variables, the order of the polynomial of the consequent part of fuzzy rules, and a collection of the specific subset of input variables) and addresses specific aspects of parametric optimization. Through the consecutive process of such structural and parametric optimization, an optimized and flexible fuzzy neural network is generated in a dynamic fashion. To evaluate the performance of the genetically optimized SOFPNN, the model is experimented with using two time series data(gas furnace and chaotic time series), A comparative analysis reveals that the proposed SOFPNN exhibits higher accuracy and superb predictive capability in comparison to some previous models available in the literatures.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 대한전기학회 2004년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
• /
• pp.346-348
• /
• 2004

In this rarer, we introduce a new Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks (FPNNs)-like structure whose neuron is based on the Fuzzy Set-based Fuzzy Inference System (FS-FIS) and is different from that of FPNNs based on the Fuzzy relation-based Fuzzy Inference System (FR-FIS) and discuss the ability of the new FPNNs-like structurenamed Fuzzy Set-based Polynomial Neural Networks (FSPNN). The premise parts of their fuzzy rules are not identical, while the consequent parts of the both Networks (such as FPNN and FSPNN) are identical. This difference results from the angle of a viewpoint of partition of input space of system. In other word, from a point of view of FS-FIS, the input variables are mutually independent under input space of system, while from a viewpoint of FR-FIS they are related each other. In considering the structures of FPNN-like networks such as FPNN and FSPNN, they are almost similar. Therefore they have the same shortcomings as well as the same virtues on structural side. The proposed design procedure for networks' architecture involves the selection of appropriate nodes with specific local characteristics such as the number of input variables, the order of the polynomial that is constant, linear, quadratic, or modified quadratic functions being viewed as the consequent part of fuzzy rules, and a collection of the specific subset of input variables. On the parameter optimization phase, we adopt Information Granulation (IG) based on HCM clustering algorithm and a standard least square method-based learning. Through the consecutive process of such structural and parametric optimization, an optimized and flexible fuzzy neural network is generated in a dynamic fashion. To evaluate the performance of the genetically optimized FSPNN (gFSPNN), the model is experimented with using gas furnace process dataset.