• 제목/요약/키워드: drought year

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장성호 수자원 이용 패턴 (Water Resources Utilization Pattern of JangSung Reservoir)

  • 윤광식;한국헌;윤석군;정재운
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.291-294
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    • 2003
  • The Water resources utilization pattern of Jangsung reservoir was studied. The observed precipitation and existing reservoir operation data such as irrigation amount, reservoir storage, river maintenance requirement, flood control discharge were collected for ten years period and analyzed. Major findings of this study are as follows: The observed average, minimum, maximum annual precipitation were 905.1mm, 1,977.3mm, 1,554.3mm during study period, respectively. The average annual irrigation amount was 554.5mm, irrigation amount of drought years of '92 and '94 was 604.6mm, 679.2mm, respectively. However, irrigation amount of extended drought year '95 was 384.9mm. It showed that supplying capacity of Jangsung reservoir was limited when consecutive 2 year drought occurred. The main water resources usage of Jangsung reservoir was irrigation, but flood control discharge exceed irrigation amount exceptionally when high precipitation occurred. The reservoir operation record revealed that discharge for river maintenance was delivered even drought years.

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2014~2015 연속가뭄을 고려한 SWAT 수질 매개변수 보정 (Calibration of Water Quality Parameters in SWAT Considering Continuous Drought Periods 2014~2015)

  • 김다래;이지완;정충길;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권1호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2018
  • This study is to calibrate the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) water quality of SS (Suspended Solid), T-P (Total Phosphorus), and T-N (Total Nitrogen) by focusing on 2014~2015 drought periods and identify the important parameters. For Gongdo watershed ($366.5km^2$), the SWAT was calibrated for 2 cases of 2002~2006 normal year focusing calibration and 2014~2015 drought focusing calibration respectively. The parameters of N_UPDIS (Nitrogen uptake distribution parameter) and CMN (Rate factor for humus mineralization of active organic nutrients) played important roles for T-N calibration during drought periods. The SWAT SS, T-N, and T-P average $R^2$ (Coefficient of determination) results by focusing on 2014~2015 drought periods calibration showed 0.71, 0.65 and 0.62 while 2002~2006 normal year focusing calibration showed 0.63, 0.58 and 0.50 respectively. Also SWAT SS, T-N, and T-P model efficiency NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) results by focusing on drought period (2014~2015) calibrated showed 0.76, 0.77, 0.87 respectively. Even though the SS, T-P parameters were unchanged during the calibration, the SS and T-P results were improved by the hydrological parameters (SCS-CN, SOL_K, SLSOIL) during the drought periods. The SWAT water quality calibration needs to be considered for the movement of SS and nutrients transport especially focusing on the drought characteristics.

기상학적, 농업학적, 수문학적 가뭄지수를 이용한 청미천 유역의 가뭄 분석 (Drought analysis of Cheongmicheon watershed using meteorological, agricultural and hydrological drought indices)

  • 원광재;정은성
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.509-518
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 1985년부터 2015년까지 지속기간에 따른 청미천 유역의 가뭄을 분석하였다. 가뭄의 정량적 평가를 위해 기상학적 가뭄지수와 수문학적 가뭄지수를 사용하였다. 기상학적 가뭄지수로는 강수량을 변수로 하는 SPI(Standarized Precipitation Index)와 강수량과 증발산량을 변수로 하는 SPEI(Standarized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index)를 사용하였다. SWAT 모형의 모의를 통해 도출된 결과를 바탕으로 농업학적 가뭄지수인 PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index)와 수문학적 가뭄지수인 SDI(Streamflow Drought Index)를 적용하였다. 산정 결과, 극한 및 평균 가뭄의 평균에서 2015년과 2014년이 가장 가뭄에 취약함이 확인되었다. 빈도분석에 따른 가뭄의 변동성은 서로 다른 형태를 보였다. 또한 상관분석에서 극한 가뭄 및 평균 가뭄은 PDSI를 제외한 SPI, SPEI, SDI 가뭄지수간에는 높은 상관관계가 확인되었다. 하지만 각 가뭄지수는 서로 다른 극한가뭄의 시기 및 강도를 보였다. 따라서 가뭄분석시 다양한 특성을 지닌 가뭄지수를 활용하는 것이 필요하다.

북한의 가뭄 특성 변화가 농업에 미치는 영향 평가 (Evaluation of the Impact of Changes in Drought Characteristics on Agriculture in the DPRK)

  • 송성호;김혁
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.18-31
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    • 2022
  • To evaluate the impact of drought on agriculture in N. Korea, SPI (standardized precipitation index) analysis was carried out by utilizing time-series precipitation data during 1996 - 2003 when severe drought occurred throughout the country. The SPI value was estimated to reach 12 in approximately 60% of the total period, indicating that agricultural productivity deteriorated rapidly due to the long-term drought. The national average drought cycle, based on SPI 12, was estimated as 32.5 months for the last 40 years. However, when examined on 20-year basis, the drought cycle was shortened by 10.6 months in last 20 years (30.3 months) as compared to previous 20 years (40.9 months). Annual crop production continued to increase mainly in rice and maize until the mid-1990s, but declined sharply thereafter due to the drought. After the drought period, the production of potatoes of which growth is more resistant to drought started to increase to the production level comparable to those of rice and soybean. It is expected that changes in the agricultural production environment in N. Korea will be inevitable due to the climate change. To this end, using the results of the drought cycle analysis, it is possible to analyze the changes in the agricultural production environment in N. Korea in the future.

농업용 저수지 이수관리를 위한 저수율 가뭄단계기준 개선 (Improvement of Drought Operation Criteria in Agricultural Reservoirs)

  • 문영식;남원호;우승범;이희진;양미혜;이종서;하태현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권4호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2022
  • Currently, the operation rule of agricultural reservoirs in case of drought events follows the drought forecast warning standard of agricultural water supply. However, it is difficult to preemptively manage drought in individual reservoirs because drought forecasting standards are set according to average reservoir storage ratio such as 70%, 60%, 50%, and 40%. The equal standards based on average water level across the country could not reflect the actual drought situation in the region. In this study, we proposed the improvement of drought operation rule for agricultural reservoirs based on the percentile approach using past water level of each reservoir. The percentile approach is applied to monitor drought conditions and determine drought criteria in the U.S. Drought Monitoring (USDM). We applied the drought operation rule to reservoir storage rate in extreme 2017 spring drought year, the one of the most climatologically driest spring seasons over the 1961-2021 period of record. We counted frequency of each drought criteria which are existing and developed operation rules to compare drought operation rule determining the actual drought conditions during 2016-2017. As a result of comparing the current standard and the percentile standard with SPI6, the percentile standard showed severe-level when SPI6 showed severe drought condition, but the current standard fell short of the results. Results can be used to improve the drought operation criteria of drought events that better reflects the actual drought conditions in agricultural reservoirs.

기상 자료에 의한 수원 지역 한발 분석 (Analysis of Drought Based on the Weather Data in Suwon District)

  • 오영택;신제성;임정남
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.209-225
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    • 1997
  • 수십 년의 강우 및 증발 자료를 일목 요연하게 파악할 수 있도록 도표화하고 50mm 저장 증발 팬 모델을 적용하여 수원 지방 한발을 무성장 시간을 및 물 부족율로 계산하고 일별, 월별, 한발 발생 기간별 및 확률별로 계산하는 S/W를 제작 분석하였다. 증발산은 매년 유사한 주기성을 보이나 강우량과 분포는 년차별 차이가 커서 강우 분포가 한발의 주요 외적 원인이었다. 가장 심한 한발은 '64년 12월부터 65년 6월까지 190일간 이었고 가장 강우가 자주 있었든 시기는 '89년 6월부터 90년 9월까지 15개월이었다. 무성장 시간율을 기초로 감가 상각 년한이 10년 일 때 관개 투자 가능 금액을 계산한 결과 년간 총 조수익보다 적은 정도 이하이면 무난하다. 이 연구에서 제작된 S/W 는 각종 한발 지수의 도표화에 적합하여 타지역 한발 평가에도 유익할 것이다.

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광양만 임해 매립지 느티나무 이식 이후의 연륜생장 특성 (Tree-Ring Growth Characteristics of Zelkova serrata Makino after Replanting on the Reclaimed Land from the sea in Gwangyang Bay)

  • 김도균
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.40-50
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    • 2006
  • This study was carried out to examine the tree-ring growth characteristics of Zelkova serrata Makino after replanting, for the built-up planting founds for stability of landscaped trees in the reclaimed land from the sea. the factors, many affecting the growths of Zelkova serrata Makino, were the replanting stress and drought. The growth reduction due to replanting and drought occurred in the replanting year and the following year. The mean sensitivity(year-to-year variation) and the coefficient of variation(tree-to-tree variation in a certain year) in tree rings of Zelkova serrate Makino, were higher in the poor soil sites than in the favourable soil ones. And the poor soil sites were the filled ground of improve soil and the covered ground of improve soil and the top ground of big mounding than mounding ground sites, especially soil hardness, alkali soil, high $Na^+\;and\;K^+,\;low\;Ca^{++}\;and\;Mg^{++}$ and T-C were the most crucial. We suggest technique development of the built-up planting ground for stability in the reclaimed land from the sea. The built-up planting grounds in reclaimed land from the sea, should be considered for the use of fair soil with the physical and chemical soil properties, -high level foundation of planting ground, and the prevention of disturbed soil-.

AVHRR 위성영상을 이용한 가뭄평가 활용 방안 (Use Plan for a Drought Estimate Using NOAA AVHRR Images)

  • 김옥경;최진용;장민원;유승환
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2005년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.51-55
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    • 2005
  • This study aims to evaluate applicability of AVHRR NDVI for drought prediction. Drought, one of the typical natural disasters, has damaged almost every year in different places and at time varied. An AVHRR satellite image can be a comprehensive tool to measure the drought because it is easy to obtain the vegetation status over the nationwide. This study explored a possibility of NOAA AVHRR NDVI applicability to drought because NDVI can provide plant vitality. Using May AVHRR imageries in 1998, 1999, and 2000, NDVIs are derived and compared with the rainfall amount to pursue the relationship between NDVI and drought. From the result, AVHRR NDVI showed a possible applicability in using drought prediction.

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Improvement of Abiotic Stress Resilience for Stable Rice Production

  • Dongjin Shin;Hyunggon Mang;Jiyun Lee
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.13-13
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    • 2022
  • Recently, stable crop production is threatened by the effects of climate change. In particular, it is difficult to consistently maintain agricultural policies due to large price fluctuations depending on the difference in total domestic rice production from year to year. For stable rice production amid changes in the crop growing environment, development of varieties with improved disease resistance and abiotic stress stability is becoming more important. In here, drought and cold tolerant trait have been studied. First, for the development of drought tolerant varieties, we analyzed which agricultural traits are mainly affected by domestic drought conditions. As a result, it was observed that drought caused by the lack of water during transplanting season inhibits the development of the number of tiller and reduces the yield. 'Samgang' was selected as a useful genetic resource with strong drought tolerant and stable tiller number development even under drought conditions by phenotype screening. Three of drought tolerant QTLs were identified using doubled haploid (DH) population derived from a cross between Nacdong and Samgang, a drought sensitive and a tolerant, respectively. Among these QTLs, when qVDT2 and qVDTl1 were integrated, it was investigated that the tiller number development was relatively stable in the rainfed paddy field conditions. It is known that the high-yielding Tongil-type cultivars are severely affected by cold stress throughout the entire growth stage. In this study, we established conditions that can test the cold tolerance phenotype with alternate temperature to treat low temperatures in indoor growth conditions similar to those in field conditions at seedling stage. Three cold tolerant QTLs were explored using population derived from a cross between Hanareum2 (cold sensitive variety, Tongil-type) and Unkwang (cold tolerant variety, Japonica). Among these QTLs, qSCT12 showed strong cold tolerant phenotype, and when all of three QTLs were integrated, it was investigated that cold tolerant score was relatively similar to its donor parent, Unkwang, in our experimental conditions. We are performing that development of new variety with improved cold tolerant through the introduction of these QTLs.

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Evaluating the Spatio-temporal Drought Patterns over Bangladesh using Effective Drought Index (EDI)

  • Kamruzzaman, Md.;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil;Park, Chanwoo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.158-158
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    • 2018
  • Drought is a recurrent natural hazard in Bangladesh. It has significant impacts on agriculture, environment, and society. Well-timed information on the onset, extent, intensity, duration, and impacts of drought can mitigate the potential drought-related losses. Thus, drought characteristics need to be explained in terms of frequency, severity, and duration. This paper aims to characterize the spatial and temporal pattern of meteorological drought using EDI and illustrated drought severity over Bangladesh. Twenty-seven (27) station-based daily rainfall data for the study period of 1981-2015 were used to calculate the EDI values over Bangladesh. The evaluation of EDI is conducted for 4 sub-regions over the country to confirm the historical drought record-developed at the regional scale. The finding shows that on average, the frequency of severe to extreme drought is approximately 0.7 events per year. As a result of the regional analysis, most of the recorded historical drought events were successfully detected during the study period. Additionally, the seasonal analysis showed that the extreme droughts were frequently hit in northwestern, middle portion of the eastern and small portion of central parts of Bangladesh during the Kharif(wet) and Rabi(dry) seasons. The severe drought was affected recurrently in the central and northern regions of the country during all cropping seasons. The study also points out that the northern, south-western and central regions in Bangladesh are comparatively vulnerable to both extreme and severe drought event. The study showed that EDI would be a useful tool to identify the drought-prone area and time and potentially applicable to the climate change-induced drought evolution monitoring at regional to the national level in Bangladesh. The outcome of the present study can be used in taking anticipatory strategies to mitigate the drought damages on agricultural production as well as human sufferings in drought-prone areas of Bangladesh.

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