• 제목/요약/키워드: drought planning

검색결과 108건 처리시간 0.028초

수자원 계획을 위한 과거 강수량자료의 분석 (An Analysis of Historical Precipitation data for Water Resources Planning)

  • 이동률;홍일표
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 1994
  • 수자원 계획을 위하여 기본적으로 필요한 과거 강수량자료의 통계적 특성, 역년(calendar year)과 수문년(water year)의 연강수량 관계, 기간별 총강수량의 빈도 등을 장기간 과거 강수량을 이용하여 분석하였다. 또한 우리나라의 수자원 계획에 많이 이용해 왔던 1967-1968년 한발기간의 강수량을 분석하였다. 대상유역은 한강, 낙동강, 금강, 섬진강, 영산강 유역으로, 기상청 65개 우량관측소의 1905-1968년 한발기간의 강수량을 분석하였다. 대상유역은 한강, 낙동강, 금강, 섬진강, 영산강 유역으로, 기상청 65개 우량관측소의 1905-1991년 기간 자료를 이용하였으며, Thiessen 가중법으로 유역평균강수량을 산정하여 분석하였다. 본 연구의 결과에서 우리나라의 연강 수량은 전체적으로 증가하는 경향이 있었으나 통계적 검정결과 그 변동량의 유의성이 없었다. 역년과 수문년의 연강수량 관계식을 제시하였으며, 두 기간의 연강수량은 거의 차이가 없는 것으로 나타났다. 3, 6, 9 그리고 12개월 기간에 따른 총강수량의 연 최저치계열을 작성하였고, 2변수 대수정규분포를 이용하여 각 기간별 빈도강수량을 제시하였다. 1967-1968년 강우분석의 기준으로 볼 때, 댐 등에 의한 수자원 개발이 않된 자연하천 유역에서 건기(10-5월) 또는 우기(6-9월)의 총강수량이 과거 평균수량의 약 75%정도를 기록하면 한발를 초래하고, 약 60% 정도의 강수량이면 심한 한발을 초래한다고 할 수 있다.

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MODSIM을 이용한 농업용 수리시설의 용수공급율 평가 - 금강권역을 중심으로 - (Assessment of the Potential Water Supply Rate of Agricultural Irrigation Facilities Using MODSIM - For Geum River Basin -)

  • 안소라;박근애;신영호;김성준
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권10호
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    • pp.825-843
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    • 2009
  • 농업가뭄에 대한 대책 마련을 위해서는 가뭄기간 동안의 농업용 수리시설에 의한 용수공급 가능량의 파악이 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 네트워크 물수지 모형인 MODSIM을 이용하여 농업용 수리시설을 고려한 물수지 네트워크를 구성하고 36개년(1967-2002) 동안의 물수지 분석을 수행하여 농업용수 공급측면의 가뭄을 평가하였다. 분석 결과, 과거 가뭄발생 기간에 농업용수 부족량이 다른 기간에 비해 많이 발생함을 확인할 수 있었으며, 대표적인 가뭄 년인 1994, 1995, 2001년의 부족량은 745.8백만 m$^3$, 661.1백만 m$^3$, 696.8백만 m$^3$으로 분석되었다. 또한 소유역 평균 용수공급 가능량은 생 공용수의 경우 99.1 %, 농업용수의 경우 84.4 %로 비교적 낮은 공급 가능율을 보였으며, 1994, 1995, 2001년의 농업용수공급 가능량은 74.8 %, 79.2 %, 77.9 %로 소유역 평균보다 낮은 수준으로 분석되었다. 농업용 수리시설물의 기여도 평가를 수행한 결과 양수장과 보의 기여율은 32.5 %, 집수암거와 관정의 기여율은 4.0 %로 분석되었으며, 집수암거와 관정은 양수장과 보에 비해서 상당히 적은 기여율을 갖지만 농업가뭄 해소에 어느 정도 도움을 주는 것으로 분석되었다.

순환형 농업용수관리를 위한 농업용 저수지의 비관개기 양수저류 추정 (Water Balance Analysis of Pumped-Storage Reservoir during Non-Irrigation Period for Recurrent Irrigation Water Management)

  • 방나경;남원호;신지현;김한중;강구;백승출;이광야
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제62권4호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2020
  • The extreme 2017 spring drought affected a large portion of South Korea in the Southern Gyeonggi-do and Chungcheongnam-do districts. This drought event was one of the climatologically driest spring seasons over the 1961-2016 period of record. It was characterized by exceptionally low reservoir water levels, with the average water level being 36% lower over most of western South Korea. In this study, we consider drought response methods to alleviate the shortage of agricultural water in times of drought. It could be to store water from a stream into a reservoir. There is a cyclical method for reusing water supplied from a reservoir into streams through drainage. We intended to present a decision-making plan for water supply based on the calculation of the quantity of water supply and leakage. We compared the rainfall-runoff equation with the TANK model, which is a long-term run-off model. Estimations of reservoir inflow during non-irrigation seasons applied to the Madun, Daesa, and Pungjeon reservoirs. We applied the run-off flow to the last 30 years of rainfall data to estimate reservoir storage. We calculated the available water in the river during the non-irrigation season. The daily average inflow from 2003 to 2018 was calculated from October to April. Simulation results show that an average of 67,000 tons of water is obtained during the non-irrigation season. The report shows that about 53,000 tons of water are available except during the winter season from December to February. The Madun Reservoir began in early October with a 10 percent storage rate. In the starting ratio, a simulated rate of 4 K, 6 K, and 8 K tons is predicted to be 44%, 50%, and 60%. We can estimate the amount of water needed and the timing of water pump operations during the non-irrigation season that focuses on fresh water reservoirs and improve decision making for efficient water supplies.

재해 취약성 평가를 위한 기상자료 처리 프로그램 MetSystem 개발 (Development of Meteorologic Data Retrieval Program for Vulnerability Assessment to Natural Hazards)

  • 장민원;김상민
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2013
  • Climate change is the most direct threatening factors in sustaining agricultural productivity. It is necessary to reduce the damages from the natural hazards such as flood, drought, typhoons, and snowstorms caused by climate change. Through the vulnerability assessment to adapt the climate change, it is possible to analyze the priority, feasibility, effect of the reduction policy. For the vulnerability assessment, broad amount of weather data for each meterological station are required. Making the database management system for the meteorologic data could troubleshoot of the difficulties lie in handling and processing the weather data. In this study, we generated the meteorologic data retrieval system (MetSystem) for climate change vulnerability assessment. The user interface of MetSystem was implemented in the web-browser so as to access to a database server at any time and place, and it provides different query executions according to the criteria of meteorologic stations, temporal range, meteorologic items, statistics, and range of values, as well as the function of exporting to Excel format (*.xls). The developed system is expected that it will make it easier to try different analyses of vulnerability to natural hazards by the simple access to meteorologic database and the extensive search functions.

가뭄 대응형 지하수 개발 우선순위 선정을 위한 농촌용수구역의 유형 분석 (Classifying Agricultural Districts for Prioritizing Groudwater Development Area based on Correlation and Cluster Analysis)

  • 오윤경;이상현;김아라;홍순욱;유승환
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we analyzed the characteristics of 511 agricultural districts through statistical data, and classify these districts as the vulnerable area to drought through correlation and cluster analysis. The criteria for classification was related to ground-water recharge, irrigation water demand, and water supply. As a result, 8 types of agricultural districts were extracted. For example, the type 1 indicated the high priority area for ground-water development, thus the districts which were classified as type 1 showed ground-water use was less than 80 % of maximum capacity, and irrigation water supply was only 37.5 % and 76.5 % of irrigation water demand in upland and paddy field, respectively. As a result, 44 of 511 districts were classified as type 1.36 districts (types 5-8) were areas where groundwater development is limited. The results of this study are expected to provide useful information for establishing the direction of the rural area development project in connection with the revitalization of policy of people return to rural area.

하천유지유량을 이용한 일최대 오염허용부하량 산정 방안 (Calculation of Total Maximum Daily Load using Instreamflow Requirement)

  • 정은성;김경태;김상욱;이길성
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.317-327
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    • 2008
  • This study developed the methodology to calculate the total daily maximum load (TMDL) using the instreamflow requirement because the previous TMDLs were too simple to easily achieve. Instreamflow requirement which was the average low flow ($Q_{275}$) in the previous planning cannot consider the seasonal variation of streamflow. Therefore, this study used the instreamflow requirement which is a maximum value among hydrologic drought flow ($Q_{355}$), and environmental flows for ecology and scenery. The environmental flows for ecology were calculated using Physical HABitat SIMulation system (PHABSIM) which can estimate the necessary flow for fish survival by life cycle. Using the proposed method, all monthly TMDLs of streams in the Anyangcheon were calculated for the application.

기후변화에 따른 주요 도시의 연간 최소 확률강우량 추정 (Estimation of Annual Minimal Probable Precipitation Under Climate Change in Major Cities)

  • 박규홍;유순유;뱜바도지 엘베자르갈
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2016
  • On account of the increase in water demand and climate change, droughts are in great concern for water resources planning and management. In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using Weibull distribution model with 40-year records of annual minimum rainfall depth collected in major cities of Korea. As a result, the non-stationary minimum probable rainfall was expected to decrease, compared with the stationary probable rainfall. The reliability of ${\xi}_1$, a variable reflecting the decrease of the minimum rainfall depth due to climate change, in Wonju, Daegu, and Busan was over 90%, indicating the probability that the minimal rainfall depths in those city decrease is high.

灌漑 貯水池의 利水 管理 方法 (Operation Rule of Irrigation Reservoir)

  • 김태철;노재경;박승기
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 1992
  • Up to now, monthly water balance analysis has been dominantly used for the water resources planning. But, it is more reasonable to explain the variation of spatial and temporal distribution of water by the daily water balance model with daily streamflow data. Since we are recently facing the problems of regional unbalance of water quantity, and of multiuse of irrigation water, and of deterioration of water quality, it is urgently needed to develop the daily water balance model to solve those problems and establish the rational plannings of agricultural water resources. In the circumstances, Daily water Balance(DAWABA) model for irrigation reservoirs was developed and the operation rule of irrigation resorvoir during drought season was established.

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금강유역 양수장지구의 농업용수 회귀량 산정 (Estimation of the Irrigation Return Flow of Pumped Water in the Keum River Watershed)

  • 김영식;박정남;안병기;김태철
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1999년도 Proceedings of the 1999 Annual Conference The Korean Society of Agricutural Engineers
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 1999
  • Unused irrigation water due to delievery losses and management losses. and ground water releases from infiltration in the paddy irrigation system are eventually returned to the stream. They are called as irrigation return flow. It affects the discharge of drought flow in the down strenamflow. And it may contain chemicals, and threaten streamflow quality . Thus, the accurage estimation of irrigation return flow is important to the streamflow modeling and water resources planning , and also to the control of agriculutral nonpoint source pollution . The irrigation return flow of pumped water was investigated in the Keum river watershed.

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기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 미래 읍면동단위 기준증발산량 데이터베이스 설계 및 구축 (Design and Implementation of Reference Evapotranspiration Database for Future Climate Scenarios)

  • 김태곤;서교;남원호;이제명;황세운;유승환;홍순욱
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2016
  • Meanwhile, reference evapotranspiration(ET0) is important information for agricultural management including irrigation planning and drought assessment, the database of reference evapotranspiration for future periods was rarely constructed especially at districts unit over the country. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) provides several meteorological data such as precipitation, average temperature, humidity, wind speed, and radiation for long-term future period at daily time-scale. This study aimed to build a database for reference evapotranspiration using the climate forecasts at high resolution (the outputs of HadGEM3-RA provided by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)). To estimate reference evapotranspiration, we implemented four different models such as FAO Modified Penman, FAO Penman-Monteith, FAO Blaney-Criddle, and Thornthwaite. The suggested database system has an open architecture so that user could add other models into the database. The database contains 5,050 regions' data for each four models and four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios. The developed database system provides selecting features by which the database users could extract specific region and period data.