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http://dx.doi.org/10.11001/jksww.2016.30.1.051

Estimation of Annual Minimal Probable Precipitation Under Climate Change in Major Cities  

Park, Kyoohong (Dept. of Civil Engineering at Chung-Ang University)
Yu, Soonyu (Dept. of Civil Engineering at Chung-Ang University)
Byambadorj, Elbegjargal (Dept. of Sewerage in Ulanbataar City)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater / v.30, no.1, 2016 , pp. 51-58 More about this Journal
Abstract
On account of the increase in water demand and climate change, droughts are in great concern for water resources planning and management. In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using Weibull distribution model with 40-year records of annual minimum rainfall depth collected in major cities of Korea. As a result, the non-stationary minimum probable rainfall was expected to decrease, compared with the stationary probable rainfall. The reliability of ${\xi}_1$, a variable reflecting the decrease of the minimum rainfall depth due to climate change, in Wonju, Daegu, and Busan was over 90%, indicating the probability that the minimal rainfall depths in those city decrease is high.
Keywords
Drought; Weibull distribution; climate change; minimum probable rainfall depth;
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