• 제목/요약/키워드: discounted cost distribution

검색결과 8건 처리시간 0.021초

A Simulation Study on The Discounted Cost Distribution under Age Replacement Policy

  • Dohi, Tadashi;Ashioka, Akira;Kaio, Naoto;Osaki, Shunji
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.134-139
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    • 2004
  • During the last three decades, a few attentions have been paid for investigating the cost distribution for the optimal maintenance problems. In this article, we derive the moment of the discounted cost distribution over an infinite time horizon for the basic age replacement problem. With first two moments of the discounted cost distribution, we approximate the underlying distribution function by three theoretical distributions. Through a Monte Carlo simulation, we conclude that the log-normal distribution is the best fitted one to approximate the discounted cost distribution.

An Economic Analysis of Potential Cost Savings from the Use of Low Voltage DC (LVDC) Distribution Network

  • Hur, Don;Baldick, Ross
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.812-819
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    • 2014
  • The proposed technical work attempts to compare the two key technologies of power distribution, i.e. direct current (DC) and alternating current (AC) in a fiscal manner. The DC versus AC debate has been around since the earliest days of electric power. Here, at least four types of a low voltage DC (LVDC) distribution are examined as an alternative to the existing medium voltage AC (MVAC) distribution with an economic assessment technique for a project investment. Besides, the sensitivity analysis will be incorporated in the overall economic analysis model to cover uncertainties of the input data. A detailed feasibility study indicates that many of the common benefits claimed for an LVDC distribution will continue to grow more profoundly as it is foreseen to arise with the increased integration of renewable energy sources and the proliferation of energy storage associated with the enhanced utilization of uninterruptible power supply (UPS) systems.

A Techno-Economic Feasibility Analysis on LVDC Distribution System for Rural Electrification in South Korea

  • Afamefuna, David;Chung, Il-Yop;Hur, Don;Kim, Ju-Yong;Cho, Jintae
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.1501-1510
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    • 2014
  • Low voltage direct current (LVDC) distribution system is a suitable techno-economic candidate which can create an innovative solution for distribution network development with respect to rural electrification. This research focuses on the use of LVDC distribution system to replace some of KEPCO's existing traditional medium voltage alternating current (MVAC) distribution network for rural electrification in South Korea. Considering the technical and economic risks and benefits involved in such project, a comparative techno-economic analysis on the LVDC and the MVAC distribution networks is conducted using economic assessment method such as the net present value (NPV) on a discounted cash flow (DCF) basis as well as the sensitivity analysis technique. Each would play a role in an economic performance indicator and a measure of uncertainty and risk involved in the project. In this work, a simulation model and a computational tool are concurrently developed and employed to aid the techno-economic analysis, evaluation, and estimation of the various systems efficiency and/or performance.

오프라인 소매점의 모바일 할인 서비스에 대한 전략적 분석 (Game Theoretic Analysis of the Mobile Discount Service of the Offline Retailers)

  • 조형래;이민호
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2016
  • The proliferation of the Internet and related technologies has led to a new form of distribution channels, namely online retailers. The conventional offline and the new online retailers have different transaction costs perceived by the consumers in the following perspectives: the accessibility to the product information, the traffic cost and the opportunity cost for the time to visit the store, the delivery time and the possibility of 'touch and feel' to test the quality of the product. In particular, the online retailers have lower distribution cost structure in that they do not have physical stores, which results in lower selling price. Thus they continuously offer price competition against offline retailers using the lower selling cost as competitive weapon. Moreover the emergence of the social commerce is likely to intensify the competition between the online and offline retailers. To survive in this fierce competition, the offline retailers are trying to defend their business interests by sticking to offline transaction in anticipation of increased customer loyalty, customer's preference for 'touch and feel' style shopping, and others. Despite of these efforts, customers who touch and feel a product in an offline store but purchase the product through an online retailer are increasing. To protect such customers, recently, some of the offline retailers began to provide the mobile discount service (MDS) which enables the offline customers to purchase a product at a discounted price through the mobile applications. In business competitions, the price discount strategy is usually considered to secure more market share at the cost of lower profit. In this study, however, we analyze the effect of MDS as a weapon for securing more profit. To do this, we set up a game model between the online and offline retailers which incorporates the effect of the MDS. By numerically analyzing the Nash equilibrium of the game, some managerial implications for using the MDS for more profit are discussed.

우편 발송 비용 최소화를 위한 상업용 다량 우편물 선구분 적재 (Presort and Loading of Commercial Bulk Mails for Minimizing Mailing Fees)

  • 임승길;김재곤;신용호
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.8-16
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    • 2013
  • We consider a problem of presort and loading of commercial bulk mails in a mailing service. Here, presort is the process by which a mailer prepares mail so that it is sorted to at least the finest extent required by the mailing service provider for the (discounted) price claimed. The problem is formulated as a special type of transportation problem. To solve industrial-sized problems, we develop an efficient heuristic algorithm and perform experimental tests on randomly generated problem instances. Results of the tests show that mailers can save mailing cost much more when they use small-sized mail trays with less frequent mailings. Also, large-sized mailers can obtain much more cost saving than small-sized mailers. In addition, cost saving effect is influenced by delivery area distribution of mails and fluctuation of mailing demand.

항만 구조물의 최적 정밀점검 시기 추정을 위한 추계학적 결정모형의 개발 (Development of Stochastic Decision Model for Estimation of Optimal In-depth Inspection Period of Harbor Structures)

  • 이철응
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2016
  • 경사제 피복재와 같은 항만 구조물의 유지관리 계획에서 중요한 최적 정밀점검시기를 쉽게 결정할 수 있는 RRP(Renewal Reward Process)기반 기대할인비용모형인 추계학적 결정모형을 개발하였다. PIM(Periodic Inspection and Maintenance)과 CBIM(Condition-Based Inspection and Maintenance) 정책을 동시에 적용하여 이전 모형들의 한계성을 극복할 수 있는 수학적 모형을 수립하였다. 또한 모형에 연속복리계수를 도입하여 점검 및 보수보강과 관련된 비용들의 시간에 따른 가치변화를 고려하였다. 먼저 파괴율 함수가 일정한 조건에서 해석해를 유도하고, 분포함수에 따른 영향 등 다각적 민감도 분석을 수행하여 본 연구에서 유도된 해석해가 기존에 제시된 해석해를 포함하며 적용성이 더 우수함을 확인 할 수 있었다. 추계학적 확률과정을 이용하는 경우에도 본 연구에서 수립된 모형은 경사제 피복재와 같은 구조물의 추계학적 누적피해도의 비선형성을 올바로 해석할 수 있다. 특히 MCS(Monte-Carlo Simulation) 기반 표본경로기법을 사용하여 모형의 피해강도함수의 계수들을 비교적 쉽게 산정할 수 있었다. 마지막으로 본 연구에서 개발된 추계학적 결정 모형을 경사제 피복재에 만족스럽게 적용하였다. 누적피해의 거동 특성, 사용한계의 수준 그리고 구조물의 중요도에 따라 단위시간당 기대 총 비용이 최소가 되는 경사제의 피복재의 최적 정밀점검 시점을 비교적 쉽게 결정할 수 있었다.

특수항만구조하에서의 물류비용 최적화에 관한 연구 - 포항제철의 원료부두 사례를 중심으로 - (Optimizing Total Transport Cost Incurred under Specific Port System: With a Case of Managing POSCO-owned Berths)

  • 김원재
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.42-55
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문의 핵심은 일정한 전용항만을 운용하는데 있어 발생되는 물유비용을 크게 3가지로 나누어 이들의 합계가 최소화 될 수 있는 선박톤수 별 연간 발주 항차 수를 최적화하는 것이다. 즉 항만에서 적항과 양항간을 오가며 발생되는 해상수송비용, 도착 선박이 항만에서 선석을 기다리며 발생되는 대기비용, 그리고 수입된 화물이 하역되어 야적장에 보관된 상태에서 발생되는 재고유지비용 등의 비용발생 행태가 대, 중, 소 3가지 선급별 연간 항차 수의 배정에 따라 상이한 만큼, 이들 비용의 합계가 최소화 될 수 있는 최적 항차 배정 의사결정이 요구된다. 이때 해상수송비용은 주어진 선급 별, 항만 별 요율로써 확정할 수 있고, 항만 대기비용은 시뮬레이션 모델로써 추정할 수 있다. 그리고 야적장의 화물 재고유지비용은 연간 평균재고량에 화물 별 단가(單價)와 이자율 등을 감안하여 추정할 수 있다. 포항제철(주)의 원료수입 전용부두를 운영하는 사례 분석 결과에서 규모의 경제 효과에 의한 해상수송비용을 최소화하기 위해 대형선박의 연간 항차 배정 율을 증가시킬 경우, 일정 비율을 지나면 선박 대기비용이 급격히 상승하고 야적장의 재고비용도 다소 상승되어 결국 총비용이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 현재의 전용항만 구조하에서 물류비용을 최소화하기 위해서는 중형선은 연간 총 배정 항차 수의 약 50% 정도의 비중으로, 대형선은 약 33% 정도, 그리고 소형선은 약 17% 내외로 구성하는 것이 최적인 것으로 나타났다. 물론 이러한 분석 결과는 추후 새로운 선석의 건설, 수입화종과 화물량, 단가 등의 변수에 따라 달라질 수 있다.

서비스제공자와 사용자의 인식차이 분석을 통한 소셜커머스 핵심성공요인에 대한 연구: 한국의 티켓몬스터 중심으로 (A Study on the Critical Success Factors of Social Commerce through the Analysis of the Perception Gap between the Service Providers and the Users: Focused on Ticket Monster in Korea)

  • 김일중;이대철;임규건
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.211-232
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    • 2014
  • Recently, there is a growing interest toward social commerce using SNS(Social Networking Service), and the size of its market is also expanding due to popularization of smart phones, tablet PCs and other smart devices. Accordingly, various studies have been attempted but it is shown that most of the previous studies have been conducted from perspectives of the users. The purpose of this study is to derive user-centered CSF(Critical Success Factor) of social commerce from the previous studies and analyze the CSF perception gap between social commerce service providers and users. The CSF perception gap between two groups shows that there is a difference between ideal images the service providers hope for and the actual image the service users have on social commerce companies. This study provides effective improvement directions for social commerce companies by presenting current business problems and its solution plans. For this, This study selected Korea's representative social commerce business Ticket Monster, which is dominant in sales and staff size together with its excellent funding power through M&A by stock exchange with the US social commerce business Living Social with Amazon.com as a shareholder in August, 2011, as a target group of social commerce service provider. we have gathered questionnaires from both service providers and the users from October 22, 2012 until October 31, 2012 to conduct an empirical analysis. We surveyed 160 service providers of Ticket Monster We also surveyed 160 social commerce users who have experienced in using Ticket Monster service. Out of 320 surveys, 20 questionaries which were unfit or undependable were discarded. Consequently the remaining 300(service provider 150, user 150)were used for this empirical study. The statistics were analyzed using SPSS 12.0. Implications of the empirical analysis result of this study are as follows: First of all, There are order differences in the importance of social commerce CSF between two groups. While service providers regard Price Economic as the most important CSF influencing purchasing intention, the users regard 'Trust' as the most important CSF influencing purchasing intention. This means that the service providers have to utilize the unique strong point of social commerce which make the customers be trusted rathe than just focusing on selling product at a discounted price. It means that service Providers need to enhance effective communication skills by using SNS and play a vital role as a trusted adviser who provides curation services and explains the value of products through information filtering. Also, they need to pay attention to preventing consumer damages from deceptive and false advertising. service providers have to create the detailed reward system in case of a consumer damages caused by above problems. It can make strong ties with customers. Second, both service providers and users tend to consider that social commerce CSF influencing purchasing intention are Price Economic, Utility, Trust, and Word of Mouth Effect. Accordingly, it can be learned that users are expecting the benefit from the aspect of prices and economy when using social commerce, and service providers should be able to suggest the individualized discount benefit through diverse methods using social network service. Looking into it from the aspect of usefulness, service providers are required to get users to be cognizant of time-saving, efficiency, and convenience when they are using social commerce. Therefore, it is necessary to increase the usefulness of social commerce through the introduction of a new management strategy, such as intensification of search engine of the Website, facilitation in payment through shopping basket, and package distribution. Trust, as mentioned before, is the most important variable in consumers' mind, so it should definitely be managed for sustainable management. If the trust in social commerce should fall due to consumers' damage case due to false and puffery advertising forgeries, it could have a negative influence on the image of the social commerce industry in general. Instead of advertising with famous celebrities and using a bombastic amount of money on marketing expenses, the social commerce industry should be able to use the word of mouth effect between users by making use of the social network service, the major marketing method of initial social commerce. The word of mouth effect occurring from consumers' spontaneous self-marketer's duty performance can bring not only reduction effect in advertising cost to a service provider but it can also prepare the basis of discounted price suggestion to consumers; in this context, the word of mouth effect should be managed as the CSF of social commerce. Third, Trade safety was not derived as one of the CSF. Recently, with e-commerce like social commerce and Internet shopping increasing in a variety of methods, the importance of trade safety on the Internet also increases, but in this study result, trade safety wasn't evaluated as CSF of social commerce by both groups. This study judges that it's because both service provider groups and user group are perceiving that there is a reliable PG(Payment Gateway) which acts for e-payment of Internet transaction. Accordingly, it is understood that both two groups feel that social commerce can have a corporate identity by website and differentiation in products and services in sales, but don't feel a big difference by business in case of e-payment system. In other words, trade safety should be perceived as natural, basic universal service. Fourth, it's necessary that service providers should intensify the communication with users by making use of social network service which is the major marketing method of social commerce and should be able to use the word of mouth effect between users. The word of mouth effect occurring from consumers' spontaneous self- marketer's duty performance can bring not only reduction effect in advertising cost to a service provider but it can also prepare the basis of discounted price suggestion to consumers. in this context, it is judged that the word of mouth effect should be managed as CSF of social commerce. In this paper, the characteristics of social commerce are limited as five independent variables, however, if an additional study is proceeded with more various independent variables, more in-depth study results will be derived. In addition, this research targets social commerce service providers and the users, however, in the consideration of the fact that social commerce is a two-sided market, drawing CSF through an analysis of perception gap between social commerce service providers and its advertisement clients would be worth to be dealt with in a follow-up study.